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Posted
Image courtesy of © Matt Blewett-Imagn Images

The Twins are moving on from the mountain of a man, the Autocorrect- (and barrel-)defying splinker., and the electrifying ninth-inning entrance. They're trading Jhoan Duran to the Philadelphia Phillies for a package of high-end prospect talent, according to Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic. Twins Daily has confirmed Rosenthal's report. Minnesota will receive catching prospect Eduardo Tait and rookie pitcher Mick Abel.

Duran, 27, is under team control through 2027. The Twins promoted him on Opening Day in 2022, rather than game his service time, and he’s rewarded that faith. His triple-digit fastball was the first thing to open eyes throughout the league, not least because referring to it that way undersells him: Duran often topped 103 miles per hour in his rookie campaign. He rapidly matured into the team’s closer, and even as he’s seen some occasional velocity dips and struggled with an imperfect fastball shape, he’s found ways to thoroughly dominate opposing batters.

Much of that is attributable to Duran’s secondary pitches, which are even more valuable (and more indispensable) than the heater. His curveball and splinker are devastating, and this year, he’s added a sweeper to that arsenal. His strikeout rate has eroded slightly each year, but the .553 OPS opponents have managed against Duran in 2025 is the lowest of his career. He’s morphed into an elite ground-ball hurler, and his entrance production for save opportunities has been one of the delightful features of evenings at Target Field over the last two-plus seasons.

The lone constraint on Duran’s trade value, perhaps, is the likelihood that he’ll be one of the highest-paid relief pitchers in baseball for the next two seasons. He’s making $4.125 million in 2025, and given the season he’s having, that figure should rise considerably for 2026. Nonetheless, he’s been the trade chip teams have clamored for most in talks with the Twins, so when a move happened, it was sure to be a big one.

Tait, 18, is the headliner here. A left-handed batter and catcher, he's played almost the whole season at Low-A Clearwater, where he's hitting .251/.322/.436. He was promoted earlier this month to the Phillies' High-A affiliate, at a very young age. He'll turn 19 next month. His bat is his carrying tool; scouts view him as a hitter who can make enough contact to get to plus power at maturity. What is far less clear is whether he can stick as a catcher, but even without knowing for sure in that regard, Tait ranked third on Baseball America's midseason update of the Phillies' top 30 prospects list. He'll be slightly lower-ranked in the Twins system, but they'll hope to develop him into their catcher of the future.

Abel, 23, provides the immediate juice in the deal. He was Philadelphia's top pick in the 2020 MLB Draft, and has already made it to the majors for a brief look as a starter. He profiles as a pitcher who can stay in the rotation, though perhaps more as a third or fourth starter than as the frontliner the team envisioned when they drafted him. He figures to pitch for the big-league Twins for much of the final two months of this season, unless they have specific things they want to tweak with a stopover in St. Paul.

Bob Nightengale was first to report that the return will be Tait and Abel.

This move signals the degree of aggressiveness the Twins have elected to take at this trade deadline. They sought two high-end potential contributors in any deal for Duran, and they got them here. There's risk associated with both prospects, but the team is ready to shift gears and reshape their core for 2026 and beyond. Tait and Abel begin that process, by moving resources from the bullpen toward the positional core and the starting rotation.


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Posted

I don't know much about Tait.  It looks like a promising bat and possibly could be decent behind the dish.  I hope the Twins scouts got that one right because it seems like lot's of teenage catchers fall big time as they move up levels.  The Twins will have a catcher in the top 100 for the first time since Joe Mauer I believe.

If Abel pans out an arm for an arm sounds good, but Duran is an elite arm so I don't know.  I hope Abel gets his control issues under control and it works out well for us.  He's close so there's that.

If these players work out as projected it's a steal for the Twins.  Let's hope they work out.

Have to say at the start I am disappointed in the return, but I haven't really watched these guys so maybe they are better than I think they are.

I think Dombrowski got the best of them personally.  Guy always wins deals.  Nice get for them.

Posted

Abel 5.04 era this yr in 25 innings.  So that projects to about a 5.50 era and 7-8 man in the rotation. Catcher doesn't excite me at all, unless he's going to be a Realmuto type.

Posted

Huh. I guess that's the cost of a top tier catching prospect, even though he's not even 19 years old yet. Abel is at least major-league ready, the frangraphs write-up on him paints him as more likely to end up in the bullpen... he was at least averaging almost 6 innings per outing at AAA. He has to give the Twins value as a starter in the next couple seasons to make the deal worth it before Tait contributes. If he ends up as a reliever, then even with around 5 years of control of him is that worth it for 2.5 of Duran?

I tell you what, if I'm a Phillies fan, I do this trade 100 times out of 100.

Oh, and the AJ Pierzynski trade lives on. Pierzynski -> Liriano -> Escobar -> Duran -> Abel/Tait.

Posted

I can't believe Seattle couldn't beat this.  He would have really helped their pen and if the Twins could have worked a deal around Ford they would have a catcher close to ready.  I am not a fan.

They tried for painter and couldn't even pry away their third ranked prospect in Crawford who at least has star potential.

How does Dombrowski do it?  We need that guy on our side.

Posted
Just now, Dman said:

I can't believe Seattle couldn't beat this.  He would have really helped their pen and if the Twins could have worked a deal around Ford they would have a catcher close to ready.  I am not a fan.

They tried for painter and couldn't even pry away their third ranked prospect in Crawford who at least has star potential.

How does Dombrowski do it?  We need that guy on our side.

He picks on the weak.

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