Cleveland always surprises me. I'm not sure how they win as much as they do. But, alas, they've gained some separation. While I expect them to regress a little bit, along with the White Sox, I think Detroit will eventually right the ship just enough to make a run. The Twins could hang around in the AL Central for another few weeks, but it will be a tall task with this line up. Who would have thought the bullpen wouldn't be the main problem right now?!
There's always the path to the wildcard - that usually stays a jumbled mess well into September - but even with that, I think Seattle and Toronto will go on extended runs as they get healthy.
If being 'in it' was really a priority, the Twins would have approached the previous off-season much differently than they did. The only questions for me - when do they trade Ryan and Jeffers - and if / when do we see Jenkins, Rodriguez, Culpepper, Mendez, etc..