Connor Gould
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jmlease1 reacted to a post in a topic:
Twins Minor League Report (8/4): St. Paul Bludgeons Louisville
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Mike Sixel reacted to a post in a topic:
Twins Minor League Report (8/4): St. Paul Bludgeons Louisville
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I understand that Wallner was unplayably bad at the start of the season, but the prior 3 seasons, he had a 130 OPS+ and we're just a different lineup when he's hot. So I think we should give him another shot, perhaps 1 final shot. He's got 20 HRs in 61 games and cut his K rate to 26.6% since the demotion. The MLB offense is stagnant, and he's been a gamechanger for us before.
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- preston johnson
- ben ross
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Otwins reacted to a post in a topic:
BREAKING: Twins Acquire Starting Pitcher Dean Kremer from Orioles
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Roden has good K/BB and discipline stats and a good hard-hit rate, but his expected stats are low. Maybe he needs to get it in the air better. If so, the approach will play. Also of note, Brooks Lee pulled another homer, I wonder if he's taking the Dozier career trajectory. Both were called up to be slap hitting shortstops, before becoming dead pull guys at other infield spots. Dozier went from 67 OPS+ rookie to 18 homer and 98 OPS+ year 2 before being a plus power bat from then on. Lee has gone from 64 OPS+ rookie to 16 homers and 81 OPS+ year 2 and is now sitting on 16 homers and a 101 OPS+. So not as good of a version, but maybe a similar career arc.
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Last year, Culpepper in his draft +1 year had an .864 OPS in 247 A+ PAs before getting promoted and having an .827 OPS in 270 PAs. This year, Houston had a .867 OPS in 268 A+ PAs and is now at .956 in 139 AA PAs. The bat is on a very comparable pace, so we may have 2 shots at developing a SS soon, which is nice. The jump to AA is when I start to really believe in a prospect, glad to see him survive and thrive that jump. Given Houston's defensive reputation, his offensive breakout and now upper minors success may make him a top 100 prospect, maybe even top 50 if he closes the season strong.
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- minor league report
- sam armstrong
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The more I look, the more I find myself liking Tait. I'd been hung up on hitting in the .220s, but his K rate is 24.7% so it's probably not too big of a red flag. And the fact that power usually takes time to show up for younger prospects makes it really impressive that he's hit 19 homers and 40 XBH in 90 games at 19 years old. Maybe my expectations to dominate a level he's 3.2 years younger than were dumb, a .213 ISO is very promising.
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- minor league report
- sam armstrong
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I like the move. He's got 4 years track record of being a #3/4 guy before being bad for 7 starts this year, and I definitely think that track record is long enough and 2026 sample size is small enough to be able to trust him for the stretch as well as next year. Especially given that 3.0 HR/9 is due for positive regression. Reyes may be a bit steep of a price, but I've been burned enough by guys like Misael Urbina, Eduardo Beltre, and Wander Javier to fret about guys raking in rookie ball. They're called lottery tickets for a reason, and maybe we gave up a Powerball when he's worth a casino scratch off, but my mindset is that if we get burned, good for them.
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Connor Gould reacted to a post in a topic:
BREAKING: Twins Acquire Starting Pitcher Dean Kremer from Orioles
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I like this, Minter's got a very consistent track record, and he slots in perfectly as the number 1 lefty. Seems like a fair return, both teams seem to have gotten a fair deal. Gomez, Morris, and Minter may not be a high end back of the pen, but it's hopefully enough to be pretty good. Nance is a fair 6th inning guy to grab but not an ideal leverage arm, and now he slots there. While Adams and Rogers are better lately than their bad starts and Anderson might have intrigue, we might be 1 steady 6th or 7th inning arm away from being real comfortable. I'm curious if we'll add more. I'd be down for another reliever, a righty platoon bat, and maybe a SS (probably too expensive, though). Fun stuff.
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- aj minter
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Connor Gould reacted to a post in a topic:
Twins 4, Royals 3: Kody Clemens Turns Disaster Into Miracle With Walk-Off Grand Slam
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Tait with a .221 ISO while 3 years younger than the average player in the league is a nice way to offset concerns of hitting .221. I wonder if he plays AA next year. I was glad to see Quick make that Fangraphs list, big dude who's getting a ton of K's, the leap to AA will determine if he's a legit top prospect or fringier, but I'm liking it. Also can't recall if I've seen Rojas sneak into a top 100 before, but if he throws strikes and stretches out, he's legit. Nice system.
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- minor league report
- jhomnardo reyes
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Connor Gould reacted to a post in a topic:
2026 Minnesota Twins MLB Draft Recap: 21 Thoughts on 21 Draftees
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Connor Gould reacted to a post in a topic:
BREAKING: Twins Select Vahn Lackey at Pick #3 in the 2026 MLB Draft
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Connor Gould reacted to a post in a topic:
BREAKING: Twins Select Vahn Lackey at Pick #3 in the 2026 MLB Draft
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Connor Gould reacted to a post in a topic:
BREAKING: Twins Select Vahn Lackey at Pick #3 in the 2026 MLB Draft
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Connor Gould reacted to a post in a topic:
BREAKING: Twins Select Vahn Lackey at Pick #3 in the 2026 MLB Draft
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Connor Gould reacted to a post in a topic:
BREAKING: Twins Select Vahn Lackey at Pick #3 in the 2026 MLB Draft
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Connor Gould reacted to a post in a topic:
BREAKING: Twins Select Vahn Lackey at Pick #3 in the 2026 MLB Draft
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A fireballer who used to wrestle and play football, obviously the track record of health and production isn't there, but I love the fun aspect of it.
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Connor Gould reacted to a post in a topic:
It's Time for the Twins to Promote Alan Roden
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Week in Review: Battling the Big Dawgs
Connor Gould replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'll be real, I understand that selling of Bell, Larnach, Clemens, and Jeffers (if no extension, I'd extend but that's another discussion) is the smart move to make, they're not long term guys and we could use the lineup slots to look at some guys instead of playing out the season as is. And I'd agree 99% of the time. But at this point, it just felt like morale was all around bad between fans and team from last August and into the offseason, so I think there's actually more value this year in standing pat and playing out the season just to rebuild the culture. Things are delicate, but the vibes are up and that means something, I wouldn't risk it. Also, I'm not sure that those guys are actually valuable on the market outside of Jeffers. Rentals like Larnach and Bell who are mostly bat first guys will probably only bring in a prospect that's around 20-30th in the org. Normally, I'd say better than nothing, but I'm just feeling different this year.- 84 replies
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- josh bell
- tristan gray
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If he can develop into an 85 wRC+ 9-hole guy who plays defense like a gold glove contender at the premium position that is SS, it's an awesome pick. I'd love to dream on a prime Andrelton Simmons comp, but that's not realistic.
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Have We Reached the End of the Road for Matt Wallner?
Connor Gould replied to Sam Caulder's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
He was so good in 2023 and 2024, 2025 was okay but playable. I get that this year was so unplayably bad that he had to go down, but I definitely think his track record was long enough to get one more chance now that he's been crushing it at AAA. And I'm not worried about him having a 28% AAA K rate while producing, he's a kind of guy that can be good while striking out in the low 30s percent of the time, just can't be 39 like it was this year. I don't know who I'd bump from the lineup, but I'd have him as the next guy up if someone gets injured, if not him then Roden. Gotta have a final eval on these guys so that we know what the plan is with Jenkins and Mendez. -
My main thought on Lee is that he's starting to develop into a slightly above average power based hitter, but he's doing so at a level that would play really well at short but only plays OK at a bat first spot like third. It's like how we had Kepler as a glove first RF who'd put up right around 100 OPS+/wRC+ numbers, and it was fine enough, but left you wanting a bit more from a bat first spot. He played about a season's worth of short with -9 OAA before he got the hook. Those numbers are bad, and his speed indicates there's probably not any more range in the tank, but I would've preferred to at least see the rest of the season's worth of time to confirm it. It's similar to how I feel about Keaschall at 2B, he played 1000 bad innings of 2B, but his bat just doesn't play in cOF and it's organizationally crowded, so he needs to stick at 2B to have a future and unlike Lee he seems to have athleticism.
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- brooks lee
- juan soto
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Prielipp this year has gone from a career high of 23.1 innings to now 65, reaching AAA in the process and putting up 10.8 K/9. Some ups and downs, but if you look at the big picture this is definitely a successful year for him. Hopefully he can finish the year healthy and around 80 innings, would put him on track to try to hit maybe 125 innings in 2026 and hopefully have some of them in the MLB.
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- kyler fedko
- ty langenberg
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Does anyone know anything about Mike Paredes and if he could have a future? Because I'm not familiar with him and while he is a 25 year old in AA with a low K rate, his last outing puts him at a 2.54 ERA in 88.2 innings.
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We signed Correa after deeming Josh Donaldson's contract to be a bad return on investment, and at the end of the day, Correa left the Twins with an OPS 45 points lower than Donaldson's during his tenure for more money. Sure, his SS defense more than made up that difference, but nobody seemed to broken up about Donaldson, so it checks out that they wouldn't be about Correa.
