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Matthew Lenz

Twins Daily Contributor
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Matthew Lenz last won the day on September 5

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About Matthew Lenz

  • Birthday 10/18/1988

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    Apple Valley, MN

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  1. I also co-sign! It's funny because people think that by saying he's not an ace is the same as saying "he's not good" and that's just not the case. Like many have stated in here, Berrios is a good pitcher but I don't want him headlining my rotation heading into a postseason.
  2. You named a bunch of Twins #1 starters, many of whom would be middle to bottom of the rotation arms on most teams. To answer your question, the last ace was Johan Santana. You handed him the ball and had confidence your team was going to win.
  3. The fact he left after 4 and 5 innings is a problem for me. Ultimately it didn't matter because the offense didn't produce, but if he's the pitcher that some people think he is, I need at least 6 innings.
  4. He's only made two starts but has three appearances. Very convenient to shrink an already small sample (3 games) into an even smaller sample, especially when that game you decided to leave out he gave up three earned runs in three innings. I do love that now you want to blame the offense who scored 1 run but wanted to credit Berrios for the win yesterday when his offense gave him a 5-run cushion before he threw a pitch. BUT I'll play your game and focus on only his two starts, and we can even blame the 1st appearance to him not being a reliever. The fact that he only lasted 4.0 and 5.0 innings in those starts is a massive issue for me. That "ace" or "bulldog" you are obsessed with defining would give you at least 6 but really you hope for even more given the magnitude of the game. Before you blame Baldelli, remember the narrative that he pulls pitchers early has already been debunked. At the end of 2020, the Twins starting pitchers had the 7th most innings pitched since Baldelli took over.
  5. I know that if I were to come up with a definition to appease you it wouldn’t include an average career walk rate, a career ERA/FIP above 4, and an average career start of less than 6 IP! It would also need to be sustained for longer than one season, especially when you have 5 seasons as a counterexample to the subjective definition of an “ace”.
  6. Lol wasn’t dancing around it, just don’t see why it matters. The “ace” conversation is frustrating because everyone defines it differently and it really can vary from year to year. In general, I would say there are 5-10 per year. Me saying Berríos isn’t an ace, is not a knock on him nor would it be for 99% of pitchers. Me saying that he’s inefficient is and he’s not a true #1 on a contending team is my knock on him. Define “ace” however you want.
  7. His offense put up 5 runs in the first, the Twins offense sucks, and his opposing pitcher was one of the worst bullpens in baseball. If that’s what you want to hang your hat on then we have very different expectations for pitchers and will never see eye to eye on this.
  8. Oh I completely agree with you. My biggest complaint of him has always been his inefficiency. Watching him dance around the strike zone with his plus “stuff” was frustrating as hell. IMO that’s the biggest limiting factor in his ceiling.
  9. “He’s good enough to be the best pitcher on 20 teams”. My opinion is he can’t be relied on as the best pitcher on a contender and you seem to agree with that.
  10. It was me and I was talking about his whole career and not exclusively this season. His Toronto average is skewed by the small sample..He’s had a couple clunkers with Toronto, otherwise 7/10 starts have been 6+ IP.
  11. Yea but because he was inefficient with lots of deep counts and a decent number of walks. He often would have a high number of pitches, not allowing him to continue on. Moreover, the Twins have the 13th most innings from starters since 2019…they were actually ranked 7th from 2019 to 2020 before this abysmal season. You’re suggestion that Baldelli pulls plug too soon seems off base.
  12. He’s consistently average. Inconsistently good and bad. You never knew if you could count on him for 5 innings or 7. 2 earned runs or 4. I never said he was bad. But a career 4.01 FIP, average of 5.2 IP/start, and 2.9 BB/9 speaks for itself. His 1st half and 2nd half splits are pretty different. Sure, from year to year he was consistently average. But the road to those numbers was very up and down.
  13. Honestly, I think we have similar opinions of Berrios...unless I'm misinterpreting. I think you are slightly higher on him but it seems like neither of us seem him as quality #1 option on a contending team. Last postseason, I wanted Maeda in game 1 and then Pineda to be the pitcher of the "must win" game. Meaning if the Twins won game 1 then save Pineda for a potential game 3. If the Twins lost game 1 then pitch Pineda in game 2. Ultimately, it was the offense that lost the series and Berrios pitched well but I have never felt comfortable with him on the mound. He's been too inconsistent throughout his entire career. Even heading into this season I said that if Berrios is our best pitcher then something went wrong with Maeda or Pineda and we will not be a true contender. Little did I know that it wasn't something that would go wrong...it was everything.
  14. Box Score Luke Farrell: 1.0 IP, 7 H, 5 ER, 1 K (70.5-percent strikes) Homeruns: Rortvedt (3) Bottom 3 WPA: Farrell (-.332), Kepler (-.099), Cave (-.097) Win Probability Chart (via Fangraphs) José Berríos Stifles Twins Lowly Offensive Attack The big storyline headed into today was the Twins bad offense against “old friend” José Berríos who’s having the best second half of his career. Despite pitching well for Toronto over the last month and half, today’s start by the former Twins pitcher was reminiscent of his time in Minnesota. Over the first three innings of the game, Berríos was on point by allowing just one hit, a 1st inning double to Byron Buxton, but only struckout one hitter. The Twins were able to put together a little rally in the fourth when Berríos hit Josh Donaldson which was followed up by back-to-back doubles from Miguel Sano and Nick Gordon to give the Twins their first runs of the game. Berríos settled back by getting 10 of the next 11 Twins batters out and allowing a lone walk to Donaldson in the top of the 6th. He’d go out for the 7th but wouldn’t be able to finish the inning as he allowed a solo homerun to Ben Rortvedt, who was batting ninth for the Twins today. The Twins didn’t have the baserunners or runs to show it but they were actually able to hit their former teammate pretty hard today generating 11 balls with exit velocities of 95 miles per hour or greater. For reference, the Twins bullpen game generated 12 hard hits over the same amount of innings. The three runs against Berríos were the only runs the Twins would get as they weren’t able to muster up a hit after the Rortvedt homer. Bullpen Needs Relief Early The Twins elected to use a bullpen game today, which typically means that each relief pitcher used will try and give the club two to three innings. Unfortunately, Luke Farrell got clobbered in the first inning giving up seven straight hits, including a double and two-run homerun, and five earned runs. Farrell was relieved by Nick Vincent at the start of the second inning who was able to silence the best offense in baseball with two innings of shutout work giving up only a hit and a walk while striking out one. Juan Minaya came on in the fourth allowing a walk and a hit but striking out the nine, one, and four hitters in the Blue Jays high powered offense. He continued his strong appearance with two more strikeouts in the fifth and generated 15-percent whiff rate on his fastballs over the two innings pitched. Caleb Thielbar was up next on the merry-go-round giving up one hit while striking out one. Danny Coulumbe finished up the last two innings of the game by striking out two and allowing just one hit. WED THU FRI SAT SUN TOT Moran 34 0 0 34 0 68 Barraclough 0 0 0 32 0 32 Coulombe 0 0 0 0 0 0 Colomé 0 0 14 0 0 14 Vincent 21 0 0 0 40 61 Alcalá 0 0 13 0 0 13 Garza Jr. 0 0 0 17 0 17 Duffey 0 0 16 0 0 16 Minaya 0 0 0 0 36 36 Farrell 0 0 0 0 34 34 Thielbar 0 0 0 0 22 22
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