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arby58

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arby58 last won the day on February 6

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  • Location:
    Des Moines, Iowa
  • Biography
    Grew up in the Twin Cities and got to see about 10-15 games a year at the old Met stadium - Harmon Killebrew was my favorite Twins player as a kid.
  • Occupation
    Director, Public Finance.

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  1. I also won't disagree, but he will need to turn things around IF he is to be viewed as anything but a liability. I hope you're right that he will. He is not good defensively at 1B, and if Jeffers returns and needs to mostly DH for awhile, what happens to Bell? It's notable that the only player so far this year with a worse WAR for the Twins is currently playing in St. Paul. RBIs are something of a stat of opportunity, and with the Twins second in the AL in runs scored, there have been plenty of opportunities for a hitter in the middle of the order. That said, you would expect better than a .363 slugging percentage and .647 OPS from the someone batting in the heart of the order.
  2. There are a few other constants: Larnach is going to play LF against right-handed pitching, and Martin is going to be in either RF or LF pretty much every day. It's also pretty clear who will be the starting rotation, barring injury or innings caps. We also know how will be catching, and when Jeffers comes back, he will be in the lineup most every day (although it wouldn't surprise me if a lot of those days he DHs, at least at first).
  3. Right now, we are a contender, and he's contributing. If he regresses, it's a conversation to have. The one I'd be looking to upgrade at the moment is Bell.
  4. Third base is mostly about quick reflexes and strong hand/eye coordination - the range is pretty limited right to left stuff, and speed is not at a premium. Look at the all-time leaders in gold gloves there - Brooks Robinson stole 28 bases in his career. Even more recent GG winners - Nolan Arenado had 32 stolen bases for his career.
  5. Right now Clemens deserves to be the 1B. He's good defensively, and is 4th on the team in WAR. He also leads the team in doubles and has nearly as many walks as Ks.
  6. I was not a Rocco hater, but Shelton just seems a little more 'grounded' in the way he manages.
  7. Well, you're getting warmer with the mention of Plouffe. In his 18 year old season in rookie ball, he had 217 chances and 16 errors at SS. That is still a .926 fielding %age, quite a bit better than Young's .882. Plouffe had 522 chances in A ball at age 19 and 35 errors - but that was still a .933 fielding %age.
  8. I'd challenge you to find the players who put up these kind of error numbers/chances who 'developed' into a solid MLB SS (his numbers at 3B are even worse). Just looked back at Royce Lewis. He played SS in rookie league at 18 (Young is 19) and had 125 chances and 4 errors. He was 'still learning' back then too. At 19, Polanco was in A ball and had 201 chances and 5 errors. Those are the stats of players 'still learning' who might actually stay on the left side of the infield.
  9. Quentin Young had 2 more errors - he's now got 16 errors in 111 chances. Get the guy a 1B glove and away from the left side of the infield.
  10. The author notes this, but the underlying statistics are encouraging. The Twins caught utility player lightning in a bottle with Willi Castro - it's possible they knew what they were doing in taking a flyer on him.
  11. With the exception of the East, the rest of the American League this year is a 'terrible division.' The West is even worse than the Central. Right now, Cleveland has the third best record in the AL (and both those ahead of them are in the East), and the leader in the West is one game over .500.
  12. If they only lose 75 games, they will be in the play-offs - they might make it if they lose 81. They have plenty of their key AAA players already getting MLB exposure (Prielipp, Rojas, Adams) not to mention Abel and Bradley. Given that the two most likley additional call ups (Jenkins and Emma) are injured, I'm not sure what else you would want them to do. I expect both will make it up before the end of the year. I suppose you could make the case for older players (Fedko, Sabato), but they're both 27 and seem like more of the same AAAA types. That only really leaves Culpepper, and he has only just now gotten a taste of AAA. I think it is right to keep him there for now. He has done ok at that level but not banging the door down for a promotion.
  13. You'd love to see it, but one of the big franchises is going to throw money at Ryan that the Twins cannot match. That is just the reality of MLB without a salary cap. The good news is the next wave (Bradley, Abel, Prielipp, Rojas) looks good, and Lopez and Ober are still around as well. Starting pitchiing is probably the one position going forward where the Twins don't have to overpay.
  14. In the strike shortened 1981 season, the Twins went 41-68, which would equate to 61-101 over a 162 game season. In 1982, they went 60-102. Be careful what you wish for. This Twins team isn't going to lose 102 games.
  15. Royce Lewis was never 'completely harmless' in his call up to the Twins. 12 games in 2022, .867 OPS and 143 OPS+. |n 2023, in 58 games, he was .921 OPS and 249 OPS+. Maybe you are thinking of another Royce Lewis?
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