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3 Potential Twins Trade Targets on the Rise


Twins Daily Contributor

There are roughly seven weeks until the trade deadline, and plenty of names will start being tossed around in the rumor mill. Here are three players whose stock has risen recently and how they fit with the Twins. 

 

The players mentioned below are on non-contending teams, which are expected to be active at the deadline. As the August 2 trade deadline approaches, expect multiple trade targets tied to the Twins. 

Luis Castillo, RHP, Reds
Twins fans have been calling for the Twins to trade for Luis Castillo since last winter, but he will be one of the most sought-after arms heading into the deadline. Minnesota completed the Sonny Gray trade with Cinncinatti, so the two front offices are familiar with one another. Sometimes that helps to make more significant trades come to fruition. Unlike the last trade that was a one-for-one deal, a Castillo trade will likely take multiple prospects, especially since he has one last arbitration-eligible season in 2023. 

Recent Hot Streak: Castillo began the year on the IL, which may have hurt his potential trade value. However, he has rounded back into form over his last five starts. In 29 1/3 innings, he has allowed eight earned runs (2.45 ERA) and averaged nearly six innings per outing. Opponents have hit .214/.279/.304 (.582) while striking out in 26.8% of their at-bats. Castillo would bolster nearly any team's playoff rotation. 

Willson Contreras, C, Cubs
Minnesota has two capable big-league catchers on the roster, but a catching upgrade might help improve the entire line-up. Ryan Jeffers has struggled this season, and Willson Contreras would be a significant upgrade behind the plate. The Cubs traded away many of their core players last year, and Contreras is one of the last remaining pieces from their 2016 World Series run. FanGraphs has him ranked as the catcher with the highest WAR total in 2022. He is a free agent at the season's end, so plenty of teams will be in the market for the two-time All-Star.

Recent Hot Streak: Contreras posted a .781 OPS through the season's first month, which isn't terrible. However, his bat started to heat up when the calendar turned to May. Over his last 33 games, he is hitting .279/.420/.550 (.970), including four doubles and eight home runs. At this point, he may be baseball's best offensive catcher. 

Trey Mancini, 1B, Orioles
First base is an interesting position for the Twins. Luis Arraez has been getting most of the starts at the position, but the team can also add Alex Kirilloff and Miguel Sano back to the roster in the coming weeks. Trey Mancini can play first base or either corner outfield spot, but the Twins have depth at those positions. MLB.com identified him as a potential fit for the Twins, but it is hard to envision him fitting into the current line-up unless injuries became a concern. His current contract includes a $10 million mutual option for 2023 with a $250,000 buyout, so he doesn't have to serve strictly as a rental player for a team acquiring him. 

Recent Hot Streak: Mancini posted a .590 OPS through the season's first month, but he has recently heated up. Over his last 38 games, he is hitting .326/.424/.482 (.907) with five doubles and five home runs. FanGraphs ranks Minnesota's first base production in the bottom six of the American League. Mancini fits the prototypical first baseman role if the front office wants to address this position. 

Which player(s) do you feel like would be the best fit for the Twins before the trade deadline? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. 

 


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4 minutes ago, Karbo said:

I really don't see why the Twins would have much interest in Mancini. Contraras or Castillo are interesting but I'm sure it will all depend on asking prices.

Yeah, Mancini makes no sense. 1B/corner outfield is where the Twins should trading from not adding to

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28 minutes ago, Byrdman said:

I rather we just trade for about 4 effective bullpen arms.  We don't need a 1B or a Catcher.  We need Pitching with a big ol PERIOD.

I agree.  There was just an article with many posters stating why Kirilloff should remain in the minors and not at 1st for the Twins.  If we are in the bottom of the American League in production...maybe we do need to call up Kirilloff.  It would be a killer when we trade Kirilloff for Mancini so Mancini can play 1st for us!

You are right.  Bullpen arms and starting pitching.  If it isn't that, don't do the trade.

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I would take the first two - not Mancini - redundant.  Kiriloff has that position when the Twins wake up.  Castillo could really upgrade the rotation - but who do we give up?  We seem to have some positions with two many bodies - can we clear the congestion and add a pitcher?

If Sanchez is gone after this year we have only Jeffers.  A good catcher would be a fine addition. 

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Mancini is a no for me dog, but the other two I would take, for the right price, but do not feel we need either to make the playoffs.  I do agree upgrading the pen will help us the most. I am not for selling off the whole farm though to upgrade just for this season. 

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I don't really see this team trading for a big ticket rental player. I could see them buying low on some players they liked and hoping they rebound, like the Braves did at the end of last year, but my guess is if they made a big name trade, it would be for a guy with more than just three months of control left.

Also, I was thinking about Contreras the other day. Does anyone recall any big-time, mid-season catcher trades recently? Since half of the catcher's job is familiarizing himself with the pitchers, it would seem to me that catcher of all positions would be the most difficult to expect strong results from after a mid-season trade. But it was only a thought as I don't really remember any trades since Piazza got moved twice. Which admittedly worked out well for the Mets.

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The 3 players are good players and Castillo would fulfill a Twins need but at what trade value and at what resigning price? Will #2 prospect Martin,  &#16 Sands be adequate and a resigning salary of $125m for 5 years do the job? 
The relief pitcher market seems to be uncertain and no headliners. The relief pitcher will have to be creative. I would explore a trade with Pittsburgh for Bednar and Stratton for #9 Steer & Strotsman  & bottom # prospect.  Bednar has good stats, contract control & age & . Stratton is reasonable priced, 5-8 inning relief, ground ball pitcher, age is good. These two trades would improve Twins. The loss of these five prospects can be absolved by the Twins with the way the major league roster is structured with skill and age, and the minors are structured with skill sets.

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They're all perfectly fine players, but Castillo is the only one I might be interested in to enhance the rotation. And frankly, I'm more interested in a bullpen arm than any position players right now. yes, it would be great to get more offensive production out of jeffers slot in the lineup but a) we also have Sanchez who is doing fine, b) I'm not sure I'm ready to give up on Jeffers, and c) this would cost a lot. With 1B, we have Kirilloff looking to return at any time, so why would we fling a bunch of prospect capital to upgrade there when the best option might be in-house?

I'd like to add a bullpen arm, especially with Alcala not rejoining the team any time soon. A power arm to add to Duran/Pagan/Jax on the righty side would be a significant help, and I'm not sure we have the right blend in the minors to step in to high leverage spots.

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I have no idea how an MLB analyst looks at Mancini and thinks, "know who would be a good team for him?  The Twins!" :)

Castillo will of course be expensive.  Contreras will likely be in huge demand, driving up the cost of a part-year rental.  Either one would be desirable for our team.  I have my doubts either one becomes a Twin though.

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7 hours ago, nicksaviking said:

I don't really see this team trading for a big ticket rental player. I could see them buying low on some players they liked and hoping they rebound, like the Braves did at the end of last year, but my guess is if they made a big name trade, it would be for a guy with more than just three months of control left.

Also, I was thinking about Contreras the other day. Does anyone recall any big-time, mid-season catcher trades recently? Since half of the catcher's job is familiarizing himself with the pitchers, it would seem to me that catcher of all positions would be the most difficult to expect strong results from after a mid-season trade. But it was only a thought as I don't really remember any trades since Piazza got moved twice. Which admittedly worked out well for the Mets.

Jonathan Lucroy was dealt to the Rangers at the deadline after declining a trade that would've sent him to Cleveland. That's all I've got.

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Corner types are what this organization has an abundance of.  If you don't like Miranda or Arraez at 1B, the heir apparent is tearing up AAA on the other side of the river.  Mancini makes little sense and a poor use of assets.

Castillo has my interest piqued and would pursue heavily.  As does Contreras, but I don't see that happening.

 

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As the deadline approaches what is available becomes clearer. Bullpen rentals looks like the most need and usually only cost lottery tickets. Hopefully those lottery tickets are not the equivalent of Ynoa  

Considering the previous trades, the Twins have very few Ryan era prospects left to trade. Ynoa, Giza, Gill, Davis, Wade and Graterol were all Ryan era players. Enlow Leach and Balazovic are about it 

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1 hour ago, Vanimal46 said:

Let’s start getting realistic and talk about bullpen arms to acquire in July. 

Agreed!  Hour is getting late, but a few---imo---realistic options that our FO should be considering to acquire.  

David Bednar (RH-RP)-PIT.  2-1 with 11 SV and 4 HLD. 1.14 ERA/ 0.79 WHIP. K-BB rate:  42-7.

Dillon Peters (LH-RP)- PIT.  Currently on 15-day IL---so health issues are a concern. 4-2 W-L record with 3 HLD. 3.86 ERA. 1.17 WHIP

PIT is 10.5 games out in NL Central.  For sure building to future.

Joe Mantiply (LH-RP)- AZ.  1-0 with 1 SV and 6 HLD. 0.37 ERA/ 0.90 WHIP

Will see him this weekend.  AZ is only 5 games under .500 but, like PIT, is a non-contender in AL west.

Steven Okert (LH-RP)- MIA.  3-0/ 2.75 ERA/ 1.12 WHIP.  9 HLD with a good K-BB rate: 28-10

MIA is already 11.5 games back in tough NL East.  Like others, building for future.

Brock Burke (LH-RP)- TX. 4-1 with a 0.83 ERA and 1.01 WHIP. 38-10 K to BB rate

Although only 4 games under .500 (29-33), TX is 10 games out in AL West.  Another team desperate to add prospects.

AJ Puk (LH-RP)-OAK. 1-0; 6 HLD/ 1.69 ERA and 1.01 WHIP with a 24-5 K to BB rate

OAK is stuck in AL West cellar---18.5 games out. Would like to see Puk with 1 of their top C prospects also being acquired.  Would take multiple prospects but a package of Martin, Sands, Enlow and another high or low A hitting prospect (CES- from Cedar Rapids) might get OAK to make a deal.

I know this list is LH "heavy"---but I believe adding at least 1..... WITH.... Bednar would significantly help this team as this current group is currently running on fumes as their being asked to cover at least 4 innings every night.

 

 

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