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jmlease1

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jmlease1 last won the day on March 13

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About jmlease1

  • Birthday 10/15/1973

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  1. It's complicated on Royce. You want to see him doing well, which he is. But the difference between AAA and MLB is pretty huge, and it's unclear how much of his current success in Saint Paul is a result of him fixing problems that were ruining him in MLB or the fact that the pitchers just make a lot more mistakes over the plate/struggle more to induce hitters to chase off the place. Now, Royce is also definitely a confidence player, so him clocking a bunch of AAA pitchers is also probably good for that aspect for him? Hopefully he's getting a good re-set that lets him get into a repeatable and sustainable approach at the plate. I'd love for him to get back on track (it's sad to me that there are people on this site who seem to want him to fail and be gone) Winokur is continuing on his nice run. I'd say he's lining himself up well for a midseason promotion to AA, which is great. Diaw is interesting: not showing much pop in the bat yet, but he's doing well at everything else...maybe he gets a promotion soon too? I'm impressed that he's still splitting time between catcher and CF. I'd probably move McDaniel up fairly soon as well; I just don't think we learn much about him watching him beat up on A-Ball pitching, and while I'd love for him to turn out to be a hidden gem that good scouting and vigilance towards the indy leagues uncovered, I'm not going to get too excited about him until he gets up to AA and faces both better and more age-appropriate competition.
  2. Solid enough effort from Prielipp, and nice to see him get through 6. Back to back solid (if not great) starts got us wins and kept the bullpen from running out of guys already. Pretty important until we get some guys back off the IL. Some good clutch hitting and solid baserunning to help get runs across the plate, and frankly we needed every one we could find. A little fortunate to bunch up hits at the bottom of the lineup; could have used a bit more pop. Mixed bag for Jackson: 2 hits, but also 2 errors. seems to have a good feel for making challenges?
  3. Encouraging news, but still worried about Abel until he's back in MLB throwing again. Glad to hear Festa is on a path again, but with his initial diagnosis I felt like we simply couldn't count on him in 2026. Wish I'd been wrong, but we are where we are. Hopefully he's able to throw real innings before the end of the season. The real question with Jeffers is what his power stroke will look like when he's back. That's been the biggest drawback for a lot of guys returning from that injury: the power isn't there for a while. And for Jeffers that's an important part of his game.
  4. Finally, some good news on the injury front. Really hope the issues are past for Soto and he gets to have a healthy second half of the season. He's missed a lot of time, but is a very talented arm.
  5. it's one of the things that makes this so hard to know right now; Roden has crushed AAA pitching just fine, but looked a little lost in his first exposure to MLB pitching with the Twins last season. Mendez might have similar challenges, you just don't know. The last step is the steepest. The Twins did seem to get quite a bit of value from their deadline deals, but of course they also gave up real assets to get there for some them. The great thing about the deals for Mendez ( and Gallagher) is we didn't really give up much.
  6. Gallagher is doing a nice job, and if he gets that walk rate back under control he'll have a real chance. The prospect return expectation for Castro was low; Willi wasn't having a great season and was a free agent to be, so getting anything viable in return would be great. Gallagher looks like he could be a contributor soon, which is pretty great business for trading half a season of a utility guy, even if Castro was a guy who did well for us overall and was certainly very well liked.
  7. Well, it's absurd to suggest that no one is doing more to validate the trade deadline than Mendez, when Taj Bradley has been so good overall as well. (and while Mick Abel's injury is a setback, he was also showing out) In terms of prospect capital that hasn't reached MLB...sure? Tait is doing well, but is still a ways away, but the Twins return was focused on players that already had some MLB experience or were close to coming up (Bradley, Abel, Rojas). Mendez is doing very well so far and as a return for half a season of Bader, it's an excellent return. there's still some concerns about the amount of groundballs he hits and whether or not he'll generate enough consistent power to be a corner OF/1B/DH. But they targeted well and got a real asset in flipping a player that wasn't going to be back.
  8. Martin really needed that hit yesterday. Not a great outing for Ryan, who was too casual in his location. Nice to see the offense putting up a pile of runs though. Love it when they're pulling walks, it consistently fires their offense. Nice bit of defense from Larnach in left. Still think they'd be better playing him in RF and Martin in LF, but Larnach has been much much better in the OF this year. I'm sure being healthy has helped a lot, but he's also worked to get in better shape and cover more ground.
  9. It's hilarious since there's the other article about Lackey where there's much agonizing about whether or not he's really that good of a hitter, etc to see the spec that maybe the ChiSox will actually take Lackey over Roch...
  10. I'd definitely rather be taking a look at Fedko over continuing to waste time on Outman. While Bell has disappointed and really had a rotten May, there's little chance the Twins cut bait on him and his salary this early. Mendez is doing a fine job pushing for time though, and has the advantage of already being on the 40-man.
  11. I'm not too worried about the promotion chain yet; I'll worry if they're keeping guys down in A-ball at the end of June not the beginning. Houston's bat has been fine, but he had a fairly significant power outage in May, so it's worth watching to see if that ticks back up in June or if he's spending more time slapping the ball around than driving it. Winokur has been on a very nice run, but with the slow start it's not crazy to see if he sustains this a little longer. Tait needs more work, and that's fine: he's still super young. McDaniel can get pushed up to AA at any time; I'm not sure how much we learn about him beating up A-ball pitching at his age, even if he did need time in Independent ball to get his career back on track. he's a lottery ticket anyways.
  12. When you have the 3rd overall pick, you don't draft for need. Pick whomever you think is the best player on the board. lackey seems to be quite good: a strong bat who can also play a premium defensive position, with the athletic ability to move to 3B or elsewhere and still have his bat play. Works for me. Is his bat good enough? Who the hell knows. Will his arm translate into a real weapon at the pro level? who the hell knows. It's a baseball draft, and as William Goldman so wisely said, "Nobody knows anything."
  13. 25% of the top prospect list on the IL again. UGH. Hate seeing that. Nervous about Rojas' elbow situation; it might be minor and preventative, but when was the last time the Twins were that lucky? (the answer is never. they've never been that lucky) Hope they get healthy soon. Winokur is on a nice run right now. He's had these stretches before though, so making sure that he can sustain things without an extended slump is what I'm watching for. He's still only 21 so it's not like he's falling behind or anything, but it's good to see him turn those tools into production. Would like to see him do this for another month or so and maybe earn the promotion to AA. At least there's somebody with a high ceiling who's doing well and playing...
  14. The only real issue with a salary floor from a Twins fan perspective is if too many teams need to meet it in a single season without enough teams needing to get under a cap is that you could end up with a lot of big contracts going out to players that simply aren't that good. But I love a system where the Twins would have bigger annual budget and incentives to re-sign a pitcher like Joe Ryan rather than deal him. As a general rule, I would rather more money go to the millionaire players than the billionaire owners, but what I really want as a fan is for better revenue sharing so that certain teams don't have massive financial advantages based on their geography. Strong revenue sharing is part of what makes the NFL work so well, and why Green Bay can compete effectively with NY or LA to sign free agents, retain players, etc. Now, the overall model for the NFL is different (fewer games, all tv rights controlled nationally, local revenue less relevant, etc) but it doesn't mean that you can't design one for MLB where most if not all teams can be operating in a similar band of budget for players without gifting the owners millions and millions of dollars in instant profits regardless of how competently they run their franchises. This Twins roster would look so much better if we were sitting at $150M right now; we'd have some real bullpen arms to supplement the young guys we're trying out, the lineup would have added a bigger/better bat than Bell for 1B/DH, Outman never makes the roster, etc. And Keeping Joe Ryan would be a much more realistic option...which also increases his trade value because other teams can't just keep sending lowball offers knowing you need to move him. I'm interested in a cap & floor system. you have to yank the bottom 10 up and find a way to pull revenue off the absurd spend of teams like the Mets and Dodgers.
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