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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    While the Twins are tied for 3rd most steals-against in the majors, no team has even as many as a stolen base per game against them these days. Their caught stealing percentage is low, but even that means that the number of attempts against them isn't very high, fewer than a lot of teams. This seems like about a third-order effect, compared to much bigger fish to fry.
  2. ashbury
    Do you want your DH batting 7th if you aim to be competitive? Do you want Larnach patrolling the outfield when you have Buxton, ERod, Roden and perhaps others available? That's the dilemma I see with Larnach.
  3. ashbury
    I expect every MLB front office is capable of estimating a player's arbitration salary a year or so out, so Ryan's trade value isn't suddenly affected by this. It's affected by there being only a year of team control before a market-correct salary has to be offered, compared to an additional third of a season plus a post-season a couple of months ago.
  4. ashbury
    I thought injuries and under-performance would bring the roster down like a house of cards, and offered a 61-101 prognostication, and instead they survived the amount of injuries I was roughly expecting and achieved 16 more wins than my scenario. Guys like Clemens and Ober out-performed my expectations, while Taj Bradley and Luke Keaschall showed signs of reaching good, high ceilings. And across the roster, Twins batters ended up with better than average hitting with RISP, which helped get the most out of the opportunities they had.
  5. ashbury
    Signing Caratini as a free agent to fill this transitional role, with Lackey or Tinney or Tait taking over in 2028 or 2029, was never as good a plan as this one. Paying big bucks for a mediocre catcher, or even bigger bucks for a difference maker at the plate, is simply the Failure Tax for not having developed a good one since, well, drafting Jeffers himself in 2018.
  6. ashbury
    Home Run Abreu is the reliever we could have had in return for Larnach at the trade deadline, yes?
  7. ashbury
    Or, perhaps, shall we say Mr Willis met YOU at that Hooters? 🙃
  8. ashbury
    Almost all of which were accrued this very season. Maybe it's a fluke or career year. But is it implausible a player might simply continue to improve while maturing from age 23 to age 25?
  9. ashbury
    Sawx probably weren't going to win regardless of managerial moves, but I thought removing Tolle was premature and therefore I lol'ed when the first batter homered against the lefty reliever. The parade of relievers who followed might have been curtailed, keeping the game closer.
  10. ashbury
    Pohlad's words are less important than actions. But nevertheless I'm tired of the particular words I keep seeing spewed out. This may not rank up there quite with Joe Pohlad's infamous "right-sizing" the payroll, but it's cut from the same cloth. Truly successful people know how to shift gears from the corporate audience to the general public. If they can't do it, they need to share some of their salary with people competent in public relations. PR earns snickers when it speaks in hollow generalities (as hollow as the remainder of Tom's quoted remarks, actually), but good PR is worth a great deal - relationships with the paying public are vitally important. With Joe it felt like we were hearing a deeply insecure person trying to convince anyone within earshot that he's an insider on a par with other business heavyweights. Tom doesn't seem the same, but slipping into manager-speak is no less off-putting.
  11. ashbury
    He missed 4 games while a shortstop, only 2 once established at 3B. Even better.
  12. ashbury
    I looked at the young guys too. No one stood out.
  13. ashbury
    At first I thought this was Old Man Yelling At Cloud territory, but I took a look at active leaders in Innings Pitched, and it's not clear to me who else, if anyone, is going to reach 3000 again anytime soon.
  14. ashbury
    Ahead 17-10 at the moment. Follow it here: https://www.espn.com/nfl/boxscore/_/gameId/401872959
  15. ashbury
    LEWIS!!!! If that's his last at bat as a Twin, he's going out on a good note.
  16. ashbury
    That's because you went to the wrong state. They're in FLA.
  17. ashbury
    Exceeded my personal expectations but I was an outlier. I really expected injuries to trigger a full collapse, but instead they found the pieces necessary to hang in there for merely a below-average record.
  18. ashbury
    Why.
  19. ashbury
    I'll let today's game decide my vote. 😀
  20. ashbury
    The activity at the trade deadline was in part meant to be a vote of confidence for the roster that had brought them there so far. That roster and its upgrades turned around and rewarded management by going 4-10 to begin August. Miracle finishes do happen, but that is what it was going to take to make the postseason, from that point forward. Depending on miracles in September is not my idea of meaningful.
  21. ashbury
    I'm sure Rocco was whispering in Terry Ryan's ear in 2016, three years before the Twins officially hired him, to convince them to try Sano in RF that one season. I mean, what harm can't Rocco do???
  22. ashbury
    The worst ones are the least likely to be poached.
  23. ashbury
    This aged well.
  24. ashbury
    Exactly. That's how bad Revere's arm was. I saw him two-hop the ball to the cutoff man - I don't think it was a unique occurrence either. You give up on Revere ever stopping a runner from taking an extra base, and at least try to salvage something in LF. I hope Keaschall's arm isn't as bad as that, but that would be one rationale for RF.
  25. ashbury
    The logic could be similar to when Ben Revere patrolled RF. When the arm is bad enough, he's still not throwing anybody out at third base even if he's in LF, so put the more-decent arm there.
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