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There seems to be a perception that Trevor Larnach has been a failure as a draft pick or development project. It's just not fair or accurate.
First of all, he's been pretty decent! The Twins selected Larnach in the second half of the first round, where it's very difficult to find future stars. They liked him for his high-floor bat, and he's delivered on that appeal. Larnach has slashed .283/.371/.452 in the minors. He has a 96 OPS+ and 2.0 fWAR in 180 major-league games, which – while far from great – is respectable, especially for a developing young player.
And that's the other part: the book is hardly written on Larnach for a big-leaguer. I will remind you that Brent Rooker, drafted a year earlier as a similar high-floor college hitter, had a .668 OPS in the majors through his age-27 season and was an All-Star at age 28.
It takes time, especially for players like Rooker and Larnach who had their development massively disrupted by the lost COVID season.
That bit of poor timing for Larnach, coming just as he was arriving in the high minors and preparing to make his case for a call-up, was the first of many in his tumultuous young career.
After getting no official at-bats in 2020, Larnach reached the majors in 2021 and was beginning to establish himself as a fixture, before a hand injury tanked his numbers and ultimately forced him to finish on the IL. Last year he again was looking solid at the plate before another injury ended his season, this time a core muscle issue.
In spite of all that, Larnach has actually shown far more promise than Rooker had up to this point. The strikeouts are out of control but Larnach has shown the ability to take some walks and he's a capable defender. His raw power has flashed in big ways at times.
Twins fans can easily lose sight of it, given the stockpile in this organization, but quality left-handed bats are in short supply elsewhere. As Twins Chief Baseball Officer Derek Falvey recently shared that the team's lefty bats have been "asked on a lot," adding that "there are teams that don't have any of that and they're dying to get some."
To plenty of other teams, rebuilding or otherwise, Larnach should have a lot of appeal – still controllable for four more seasons, with upside yet to be tapped. In the Twins organization, his path is almost hopelessly blocked. He managed to get only 10 at-bats in his latest MLB stint before being optioned to make room for Byron Buxton on Thursday.
Even if the Twins are able to keep Matt Wallner on the roster by, say, designating Joey Gallo for assignment, that still leaves Larnach with no path to regular playing time. His lefty bat remains stacked behind at least two others in the corner outfield mix, with Nick Gordon also returning to the fold at some point. And here's the other thing: Larnach will be out of options next spring.
The clock is ticking and now seems like the right time to make a proactive move with Larnach rather than waiting to make a reactive one. Larnach deserves a real opportunity and now that he's been firmly passed in the pecking order by Wallner, it's exceedingly difficult to see him getting it here.
The Twins should take the best offer for Larnach and give him a chance to make an impact elsewhere since it just ain't coming here.







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