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ToddlerHarmon

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ToddlerHarmon last won the day on December 9 2020

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  1.    Western SD Fan reacted to a post in a topic: Austin Martin, Brooks Lee, and a Changing Developmental Blueprint
  2.    ToddlerHarmon reacted to a post in a topic: Austin Martin, Brooks Lee, and a Changing Developmental Blueprint
  3.    ToddlerHarmon reacted to a post in a topic: Austin Martin, Brooks Lee, and a Changing Developmental Blueprint
  4.    rdehring reacted to a post in a topic: Austin Martin, Brooks Lee, and a Changing Developmental Blueprint
  5.    Parfigliano reacted to a post in a topic: Austin Martin, Brooks Lee, and a Changing Developmental Blueprint
  6.    ToddlerHarmon reacted to an article: Twins 7, Blue Jays 1: Bailey Ober, Man. He Just Keeps Living.
  7.    ToddlerHarmon reacted to a post in a topic: Austin Martin, Brooks Lee, and a Changing Developmental Blueprint
  8. ToddlerHarmon
    The article does not mention that the Twins tried to change Martin in the minors before seeing whether his contact skills could play, whereas they let Lee suffer and work things out in the majors. Because of this, the time it took to arrive at a useful player was much longer for Martin. Some of this was circumstance rather than differences in developmental philosophy, but both strategies began to implement after last year's trade deadline. Is there a lesson? I hope so, and I hope the Twins have learned it.
  9.    ToddlerHarmon reacted to a post in a topic: Why Statcast Says Byron Buxton is Just OK in Center Field, and Whether It's Right
  10.    ToddlerHarmon reacted to a post in a topic: Why Statcast Says Byron Buxton is Just OK in Center Field, and Whether It's Right
  11.    ToddlerHarmon reacted to a post in a topic: Why Statcast Says Byron Buxton is Just OK in Center Field, and Whether It's Right
  12.    ToddlerHarmon reacted to a post in a topic: Why Statcast Says Byron Buxton is Just OK in Center Field, and Whether It's Right
  13.    ToddlerHarmon reacted to an article: Why Statcast Says Byron Buxton is Just OK in Center Field, and Whether It's Right
  14.    D.C Twins reacted to a post in a topic: Week in Review: Big Debuts, Bad Defense
  15. ToddlerHarmon
    .
  16.    ToddlerHarmon reacted to a post in a topic: Week in Review: Big Debuts, Bad Defense
  17.    Wedman13 reacted to a post in a topic: Mick Abel Might Be Pitching His Way to the Twins' Opening Day Roster
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  22. ToddlerHarmon
    You may be overstating, but just a bit. This team needs to take some big swings* at excellence and youth. While I believe that proven MLB performers get under-valued in the chase for ooh shiny, the Twins are in a situation where lightning has to be given a chance to strike. *NB: not an endorsement of big swinger Outman :)
  23.    nddan67 reacted to a post in a topic: The Twins Underrated Path to Contention
  24. ToddlerHarmon
    This is it: the problem is not that the Twins have no talent and no opportunities for overachievement, it's that they have too many spots where best case is uninspiring. What's the most we are going to get out of Lee, Bell, Larnach, Roden? Even if they all achieve "playable", the rest of the roster is not star studded. You aren't going to win divisions and playoff series with that much mediocrity.
  25. ToddlerHarmon
    This is the whole deal. The sample size of batted balls last season for all three was small, and when you zoom back, the larger sample size doesn't make any of them look like good MLB hitters. And each of them have notable small samples where they looked great: Outman and Julien as rookies and Clemens in his first few weeks as a Twin. The regression to the mean has already happened for them. The only luck remaining is that they are all lucky to be on an MLB roster.
  26. ToddlerHarmon
    The most-ready impactful prospect might be EmRod, though I suppose you need to see if he is past his injury. To play him every day, either he or Wallner would have to be your DH. IMO add EmRod and Roden. Drop Outman, trade Larnach, and pick between Julien and Clemens. Stare pointedly at Brooks Lee while waiting for Culpepper to prove it at AAA.
  27. ToddlerHarmon
    This is the whole thing right here. The Twins started the season with above-average expectations and an almost-average payroll. The opportunity cost of playing and paying Correa instead of playing and paying others sunk the team's season, as it was too high a cost for this mid market team to bear. Is that "fair" to Correa? Maybe not, but that's the downside of getting paid $30M a year to play baseball.
  28. ToddlerHarmon
    I get the feeling they have all "lost" his number
  29. ToddlerHarmon
    Hmm. If no starting pitchers are traded, I would guess Topa's option gets picked up in a bid for competitiveness. Gonzalez is more likely IMO to be given a shot on Opening Day than either Outman or the young Jenkins. The roster has no backup shortstop, and I don't think Clemens has done enough to keep that spot. Especially if any one of the corner outfielders can take over first base. So Culpepper instead?
  30. ToddlerHarmon
    I slightly disagree with the author's statement that Martin's emergence changes no plans: it should have the Twins vetting several of their corner outfielders for first base. It should also give them confidence to move on from the 4A experiments like Outman, Kiersey, McKusker, and maybe Roden. To echo someone above, Martin should be the bar to clear, offensively, defensively, and by age. If you're not clearly better or younger, someone else needs a shot.
  31. ToddlerHarmon
    Two bats; if you are spending, you are keeping Lopez and Ryan, and you will need lineup oomph to make that worthwhile. Sure add a bullpen arm, but that is hardly your big spend.
  32. ToddlerHarmon
    I think you are correct about what is being suggested. But my opinion (and maybe other posters' hope) is that it should only be done if you have an option to actually adopt it. Otherwise, you make it too hard to adapt pitchers that turn out to be excellent into the traditional starter role. Kind of a practice-like-the-real-thing philosophy. I see the most promising possibility for long-term adoption being creating a permanent third category between starter and reliever: a piggybacker who does multi-inning stints at (mostly) regular intervals. That could be valuable for development, for surviving a staff with few 6-inning-capable starters, and for adapting to the inevitable but unpredictable situations of an overworked pen. I could go along with that experiment.
  33. ToddlerHarmon
    Subtitled: How the Pohlad Kids Lost a Billion Dollars in Franchise Value. They didn't have to sign Gray, or Kepler. One $20M/year slugging first baseman, instead of "right-sizing", and maybe the last 2 years we don't collapse. Correa showed them how it could be done, and they weren't interested.
  34. ToddlerHarmon
    Worry about the HR rate when he's 24
  35. ToddlerHarmon
    Pretty much this. It wouldn't qualify as "much", but getting an average-hitting backup catcher might be exactly what the Twins need. Would Larnach even fetch that?
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