Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

ToddlerHarmon

Verified Member
  • Posts

    469
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    1

ToddlerHarmon last won the day on December 9 2020

ToddlerHarmon had the most liked content!

Recent Profile Visitors

13,142 profile views

ToddlerHarmon's Achievements

  1. What I'm saying is do so with eyes open: that move would be aimed at the long term vision. If it pays off earlier, great, but don't let Bell and Larnach block them
  2. The Twins need a compelling vision. I don't think they have the resources for that vision to be going for it this year or next. They could make the playoffs either year, and maybe even surprise if their starters are clicking. I wouldn't mind buying a few cheap lotto tickets with that hope, but that is not a vision. They do have Jenkins, Houston, and Tait as up the middle, almost ready, VERY young, two-way prospects. If the pitching pipeline can keep churning, *that* is what you build your vision around. Get them all up as quickly as is reasonable (IMO before next year's All-Star break), and *be patient* while they figure it out. There is enough youth and quality around them (Erod, Culpepper, Mendez, Gonzalez; even Keaschall and Lee are still young) to maybe make 2028 the breakout. On that timeline, you still have Buxton, Lopez, and most of the current rotation. And if they don't make it happen quickly, that is a core that will get a lot of bites at the apple, or provide the resources to keep tuning and reloading. BUT, that vision requires step one: bring prospects up and jettison hope for this season.
  3. Almost with you. Two issues: - Those AAA players will probably take longer than mid-27 to be leading a playoff charge. Just sorting wheat from chaff may take longer. - I think everyone is betting too heavy on Jackson and Caratini and thus undervaluing Jeffers. But I have no magic wand to make the Twins extend Jeffers or make the rest of the league value him below the QO, so your point stands. Sigh.
  4. I guess I've become cynical, but only Culpepper looks like he could be a two-way star, with Lewis and Keaschall both looking like bat-first players that might flame out. Lee, Clemens, et al all look to have a ceiling of useful bench player or maybe 7-9 hitter on a good team. For a reality check, Scott Leius was the short half of a third base platoon on the 1991 Twins, perhaps the second-or-third-worst-hitting regular in the lineup, and still a 1.5-2 WAR player. Yet only Clemens in the group above is on track to surpass his performance in 2026. We have such a climb ahead to establish a championship infield
  5. I appreciate the sentiment, and it should be plan A for 2026. But all the major leaguers on that list have shown plenty of reason to doubt that steady playing time will turn them into competent regulars. Alas.
  6. Even without SWR, the Twins have a young starting staff. That seems to make long relief a role we will need, and one SWR might be well suited for, if he can regain his mojo. For both players, this plummet smells of playing through injuries for whatever reason
  7. The article does not mention that the Twins tried to change Martin in the minors before seeing whether his contact skills could play, whereas they let Lee suffer and work things out in the majors. Because of this, the time it took to arrive at a useful player was much longer for Martin. Some of this was circumstance rather than differences in developmental philosophy, but both strategies began to implement after last year's trade deadline. Is there a lesson? I hope so, and I hope the Twins have learned it.
  8. You may be overstating, but just a bit. This team needs to take some big swings* at excellence and youth. While I believe that proven MLB performers get under-valued in the chase for ooh shiny, the Twins are in a situation where lightning has to be given a chance to strike. *NB: not an endorsement of big swinger Outman :)
  9. This is it: the problem is not that the Twins have no talent and no opportunities for overachievement, it's that they have too many spots where best case is uninspiring. What's the most we are going to get out of Lee, Bell, Larnach, Roden? Even if they all achieve "playable", the rest of the roster is not star studded. You aren't going to win divisions and playoff series with that much mediocrity.
  10. This is the whole deal. The sample size of batted balls last season for all three was small, and when you zoom back, the larger sample size doesn't make any of them look like good MLB hitters. And each of them have notable small samples where they looked great: Outman and Julien as rookies and Clemens in his first few weeks as a Twin. The regression to the mean has already happened for them. The only luck remaining is that they are all lucky to be on an MLB roster.
  11. The most-ready impactful prospect might be EmRod, though I suppose you need to see if he is past his injury. To play him every day, either he or Wallner would have to be your DH. IMO add EmRod and Roden. Drop Outman, trade Larnach, and pick between Julien and Clemens. Stare pointedly at Brooks Lee while waiting for Culpepper to prove it at AAA.
  12. This is the whole thing right here. The Twins started the season with above-average expectations and an almost-average payroll. The opportunity cost of playing and paying Correa instead of playing and paying others sunk the team's season, as it was too high a cost for this mid market team to bear. Is that "fair" to Correa? Maybe not, but that's the downside of getting paid $30M a year to play baseball.
×
×
  • Create New...