ToddlerHarmon
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Everything posted by ToddlerHarmon
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When the Scouting Report Knows What’s Coming
ToddlerHarmon replied to Parker Hageman's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
You gotta think Maddux did this. He once grooved a pitch to Biggio in the regular season just so he would sit on it in the playoffs.- 23 replies
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- andrew morris
- pablo lopez
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They end the season against Texas, but that just reinforces your point, as that could be a battle for the last wildcard spot
- 90 replies
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- game recap
- kody clemens
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Clemens appears competent in the infield. That leaves just three above-average defenders on that list, and they might be the three with the highest offensive ceiling: Buxton, Jenkins, Rodriguez. Glut solved? If only the Twins looked at it that way. Do people expect Roden to be a good defender? I've lost track, and he may have to start hitting for the question to matter. *NOT advocating getting rid of Keaschall. But we need a 4th body out there anyway because Buxton
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An underrated aspect of how we got here. Build for playoff success, not mediocrity. That means that you only bring in someone like Bell when you've got 3 or 4 proven elite hitters in the lineup, and you're trying to fill the last gap. Bell's good performance this year has got us where? Clinging to hope for a playoff spot, while we play 2 or 3 DH's in the outfield and wait to find a roster spot for Jenkins.
- 48 replies
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- walker jenkins
- royce lewis
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I agree with the defensive woes mostly being about roster construction than use of the roster. Moving Lewis off third and Keaschall off second were good decisions for the defense, but we were already hiding too many bad defenders elsewhere. As for roster sizes necessitating multiple utility players, the Twins have enough utility players that our 13th best hitter, whether Outman or Fedko or Gray, just rides the bench. "Defensive flexibility" is a red flag, not a recommendation, for either a player or a roster.
- 48 replies
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- walker jenkins
- royce lewis
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Nice that Shelton used Kriedler over Lee against the lefty. Culpepper improved two spots in the lineup
- 67 replies
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- ryan jeffers
- kaelen culpepper
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The Shape of a Trade Deadline
ToddlerHarmon replied to Cody Schoenmann's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The 1987 Tigers thought they had met the girl in Doyle Alexander, who had a great September after being acquired in a trade. Then the Twins pushed them in a hole, and left them looking up at Jon Smoltz leading Atlanta to about 15 straight division titles. Would the trade be remembered differently if the Tigers had cashed in at least one championship for Smoltz? That is the question -
What I'm saying is do so with eyes open: that move would be aimed at the long term vision. If it pays off earlier, great, but don't let Bell and Larnach block them
- 96 replies
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- josh bell
- kody clemens
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The Twins need a compelling vision. I don't think they have the resources for that vision to be going for it this year or next. They could make the playoffs either year, and maybe even surprise if their starters are clicking. I wouldn't mind buying a few cheap lotto tickets with that hope, but that is not a vision. They do have Jenkins, Houston, and Tait as up the middle, almost ready, VERY young, two-way prospects. If the pitching pipeline can keep churning, *that* is what you build your vision around. Get them all up as quickly as is reasonable (IMO before next year's All-Star break), and *be patient* while they figure it out. There is enough youth and quality around them (Erod, Culpepper, Mendez, Gonzalez; even Keaschall and Lee are still young) to maybe make 2028 the breakout. On that timeline, you still have Buxton, Lopez, and most of the current rotation. And if they don't make it happen quickly, that is a core that will get a lot of bites at the apple, or provide the resources to keep tuning and reloading. BUT, that vision requires step one: bring prospects up and jettison hope for this season.
- 96 replies
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- josh bell
- kody clemens
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Almost with you. Two issues: - Those AAA players will probably take longer than mid-27 to be leading a playoff charge. Just sorting wheat from chaff may take longer. - I think everyone is betting too heavy on Jackson and Caratini and thus undervaluing Jeffers. But I have no magic wand to make the Twins extend Jeffers or make the rest of the league value him below the QO, so your point stands. Sigh.
- 96 replies
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- josh bell
- kody clemens
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I guess I've become cynical, but only Culpepper looks like he could be a two-way star, with Lewis and Keaschall both looking like bat-first players that might flame out. Lee, Clemens, et al all look to have a ceiling of useful bench player or maybe 7-9 hitter on a good team. For a reality check, Scott Leius was the short half of a third base platoon on the 1991 Twins, perhaps the second-or-third-worst-hitting regular in the lineup, and still a 1.5-2 WAR player. Yet only Clemens in the group above is on track to surpass his performance in 2026. We have such a climb ahead to establish a championship infield
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The article does not mention that the Twins tried to change Martin in the minors before seeing whether his contact skills could play, whereas they let Lee suffer and work things out in the majors. Because of this, the time it took to arrive at a useful player was much longer for Martin. Some of this was circumstance rather than differences in developmental philosophy, but both strategies began to implement after last year's trade deadline. Is there a lesson? I hope so, and I hope the Twins have learned it.
- 43 replies
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- austin martin
- brooks lee
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Week in Review: Big Debuts, Bad Defense
ToddlerHarmon replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
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- austin martin
- connor prielipp
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You may be overstating, but just a bit. This team needs to take some big swings* at excellence and youth. While I believe that proven MLB performers get under-valued in the chase for ooh shiny, the Twins are in a situation where lightning has to be given a chance to strike. *NB: not an endorsement of big swinger Outman :)
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The Twins Underrated Path to Contention
ToddlerHarmon replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
This is it: the problem is not that the Twins have no talent and no opportunities for overachievement, it's that they have too many spots where best case is uninspiring. What's the most we are going to get out of Lee, Bell, Larnach, Roden? Even if they all achieve "playable", the rest of the roster is not star studded. You aren't going to win divisions and playoff series with that much mediocrity.- 60 replies
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- royce lewis
- cole sands
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