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twinstalker

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About twinstalker

  • Birthday 12/29/1970

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  1.    SF Twins Fan reacted to a post in a topic: Twins Minor League Report (4/28): Rodriguez and Saints Host Exit Velocity Extravaganza
  2. twinstalker
    Sorry I can't get your video here. Didn't work with old computer, doesn't work with new. Only happens with Twins Daily videos, fwiw. Doesn't matter if I do the things you say. I have a laptop pc and use chrome. On Quick as a college draftee, he needs to be dominating high A to match with the better pitchers. Low A means very little, except as a "lemon" test. I would reserve any positive statements until we see A+ dominance. When he does this and gets promoted to AA, I think that's when we know we might have as good a pitcher as a lot of other teams do and have multiples of. We've wasted so many of our top three round selections, it's a wonder we compete at all. I personally drafted him a couple of weeks ago in a deep league I am in. I think he had three innings at that point and more importantly, the pedigree of a successful SEC pitcher and first round pick, albeit by Twins scouting. I guess I can see the video if I open up an Edge window.
  3.    Mike Sixel reacted to a post in a topic: Twins Minor League Report (4/28): Rodriguez and Saints Host Exit Velocity Extravaganza
  4.    jmlease1 reacted to a post in a topic: Twins Minor League Report (4/28): Rodriguez and Saints Host Exit Velocity Extravaganza
  5.    Jeff K reacted to a post in a topic: Twins Minor League Report (4/28): Rodriguez and Saints Host Exit Velocity Extravaganza
  6.    Steve Lein reacted to a post in a topic: Twins Minor League Report (4/28): Rodriguez and Saints Host Exit Velocity Extravaganza
  7.    rdehring reacted to a post in a topic: Twins Minor League Report (4/28): Rodriguez and Saints Host Exit Velocity Extravaganza
  8.    Dman reacted to a post in a topic: Twins Minor League Report (4/28): Rodriguez and Saints Host Exit Velocity Extravaganza
  9.    arby58 reacted to a post in a topic: Twins Minor League Report (4/28): Rodriguez and Saints Host Exit Velocity Extravaganza
  10.    tarheeltwinsfan reacted to a post in a topic: Twins Minor League Report (4/28): Rodriguez and Saints Host Exit Velocity Extravaganza
  11. twinstalker
    It's good to see Quick get promoted to a more competitive level. Lots of the top pitchers drafted last summer have started at and are dominating A+, so that's the standard for him.
  12. twinstalker
    Guys who have trouble striking guys out, which is why they're in AAA, are striking EmRod out 29% of the time (MLB rate is 22% last I looked). Imagine what legit major league pitchers would do to him. At some point we'll see it, of course, but prepare yourself. And if he hits decently at first, prepare for massive regression.
  13.    Danchat reacted to a post in a topic: Twins Prospect Hot Sheet: Two Trade Deadline Acquisitions Heating Up
  14. twinstalker
    My worry with Prielipp is his ability to throw enough without hurting himself. This should be a ramp-up season for him, and I do wonder if it would be better for it to be in a more controlled environment. I'm no pitching expert, but his pitches seem promising. The Twins are going nowhere. It would be a shame to overwork him for no real gain. And yes, I realize they're trying to limit his pitches up here, but there are so many ways to overwork a guy (days of rest, pitches in an inning, pitches in a game, too many sliders, etc)
  15. twinstalker
    I dismissed Cossetti when he was 23 in low A, and there's documentation to prove it! Actually, as I look back, I should have at least given him a chance to fail, as he did at high A that same year with a 26% K rate. It's way, way too high, age vs level, for someone of his medium power profile (at best). Unfortunately, Olivar, too, is too old now to be anything much if at all. He's an old 24. Ben Ross is in his age 25 season. In terms of guys with a decent prospect of more than a cup of coffee, Hendry Mendez is the only hitter at AA, and his prospect status is based on last year when he handled AA at age 21 with 14% K rate. He has real issues (no loft, no defense) that make him a very mediocre prospect, but if he can fix his swing a bit to stop hitting it into the ground, he has a chance.
  16.    twinstalker reacted to a post in a topic: Twins Prospect Hot Sheet: Two Trade Deadline Acquisitions Heating Up
  17. twinstalker
    Anybody at a level a third time is going to hit. When your home park is a hitter's paradise, it means that a too old Ricardo Olivar (or Ben Ross) is possibly going to mash. I wouldn't take it too seriously. 24 at AA means they are prospects in name only.
  18. twinstalker
    I kept saying he wasn't worthy of a top 20 spot. There was never, ever a reason to rate him highly. The Twins built him up? Sure, he was the only thing in the 2020 draft they could hope for, but he never showed anything, except in a rare occurrence.
  19. twinstalker
    Nice start by the Saints. Overwhelming talent.
  20. twinstalker
    It's hard to take a consensus board seriously that has Justin Lebron so high.
  21. twinstalker
    Hello to Vij.
  22. twinstalker
    My college model has him as a poor hitter, so we'll see what he does this season, not just these two weeks. I generally have three strata for hitters, and he's in the college draftee at 21 stratum. If he's going to be a good MLB hitter, his K rate will be really low, and he'll move on to AA. He has a low power profile, meaning his K rate will have to be lower than if he had power. So much depends on his exit velocities, but babip is a surrogate for that. If he hits the ball square and hard, he'll of course be a good hitter. His K rate is a surrogate for squaring up. When we get statcast data for A+, we'll see it directly. Generally, I don't care if he can hit at the high A level. He had better be good as a prerequisite. It how the failure is divided up that is important. I didn't like him, and scouts didn't like him prior to the draft. After being confused by DeBarge seemingly defeating my college model the first couple of months last year, I'm determined to let the year play out.
  23. twinstalker
    It's not poor vs horrible. It's bottom five vs very worst. And I'm being kind to Kreidler here. Listen, I'm not a big fan of Kyler Fedko, but he's a guy (I think) who can play CF and bat rh and is a very likely a better bat than Kreidler. Outman off the 40, Fedko on and promoted to see what he can do. Do it now while Roden is hurt so you don't have to have that discussion of why Roden-seniority doesn't trump Fedko, even if it's obvious why you'd try it first.
  24. twinstalker
    Thank you for this. It's great.
  25. twinstalker
    Go get Anthony Eyanson and anything else!
  26. twinstalker
    This may be true, but here's the thing: Mick Abel did this last year. He's dominant for a few game and then not. Let it play out before determining that because he wore green underwear, he was destined to pitch well.
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