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twinstalker

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Everything posted by twinstalker

  1. There's a lot wrong here,, but namely Houston and Culpepper do not project to be stars and certainly don't have a 50% chance to be a star. Buxton is a star, I think you'd agree. Jenkins has a chance, a decent chance. But assuming a star is someone who is putting up Buxton's numbers (maybe adjusted for position) or close, I'm not sure even Jenkins' has more than a 35% chance. You take the best player, regardless of position. I have two names on my list, and you don't want them because they're shortstops (meaning, by the way, they can player everything but pitcher/catcher, probably).
  2. Seriously, please stop it. If your goal is to be a serious journalist, please stop it.
  3. Not sure what the Yankees would give, but I can only imagine they'd prefer to give up an over-hyped one, one of their "prospect" pitchers or one of their hitters currently benefitting from High A Hudson Valley. I'd guess there'd be other teams interested, hopefully increasing the value coming back.
  4. An owner who doesn't know what he's talking about and a GM who's too shy to tell him to keep out of it.
  5. I've been doing a lot of prospecting, and this list looks very weak compared to other teams'. Foremost, Milwaukee's prospects are absolutely sick. All throughout. Surprisingly, though, the Pirates have started to get their sh-- together. If I were the Twins, I'd trade Joe Ryan to the Pirates for Johan De Los Santos and Esmerlyn Valdez. The former is a name you'll all soon know, he's 17 until next month and is crushing the FCL and now is at low A Bradenton.
  6. Given that Callis just provided the six permutations of the three consensus top names, this statement couldn't make less sense. Yeah, we know the Twins are getting one of the top three if those three guys are taken first.
  7. Yeah, I don't see him getting traded without a major revision to his contract, and yours is one reason why he wouldn't consider okaying a trade without a new contract.
  8. Prielipp is super interesting. At first glance, and it may be the right one, he doesn't have a pitch to get rh batters out. This is beyond my scope, really, but it would seem he needs a changeup ( a good one), a cutter, or a splitter to get out right handers. Most pitchers are going to eventually groove their breaking ball to opposite sided hitters, and that's where one asks if his slider and/or curve are going to be consistently better (as described) than almost all the pitchers' in MLB. It's a fear that it won't be, but he's been impressive thus far. Question: how many more (non-opener) starter innings does Prielipp get this year? My thought is he should take a long break while the Twins have five other starters and start back again after trade deadline. Is 110 ip the max overall? Do you let him get to 100 ip and use him in relief for 10-20 innings to close the season?
  9. Ryan Jeffers, broken hamate bone, out 6-8 weeks. Jose Ramirez, broken hamate bone, out 4-6 weeks. So, I guess we know a broken hamate bone means a player is out exactly 6 weeks.
  10. It might be. The safer route would be going after Gage Wood and getting Francisco Renteria, along with lesser prospect. The Phillies just paid Renteria $4 million, and he's thus far a monster in the DSL: 1.052 OPS with 8 Ks in 52 PA. Wood was drafted a little ahead of Quick and is already at AA. He threw the no-hitter or perfect game or whatever in the CWS last year.
  11. 23.8% is a horrible number for a player with Houston's profile and who is old for his league, prospect-wise. It's good that he's reduced it considerably We'll see. I didn't like the pick because his hitting in WF's park was not what it should be for a mid first-rounder. He struck out way too much at low A, then finished strong in that area. That he's hitting now is fine, but he should be hitting. There's nothing special about a 22 yr old 1st round pick putting up those numbers in high A.
  12. The one guy on here who really matters, Diaw, is an interesting prospect in some respects. He's too old for his slash line to be overly impressive at A+ (turns 23 this summer), and it's unclear why he's even there at this point. I'm interested in how he handles AA. Sprock is unlikely to be much of anything but his relative youth and likely promotion do put him into play, I guess. He's sort of repeating low A, and his improvement is modest, so let's get it over with and promote him to see if there's something there. Rosario is good for organizational depth, nothing more.
  13. Jhomnardo Reyes* I'd get rid of a number of guys currently listed in top 20.
  14. A .170 isolated OBP isn't a good thing. It's a really bad thing. It's not prospect fatigue, it's a growing awareness that the good he brings to the table will get drowned out by the bad. How is this so hard to see? Taking a walk in MLB is extremely important. Taking too many walks in MiLB is a negative, unless we're talking about winning MiLB games. Minor League walks at the high extreme don't predict high OBP in MLB, they predict paralysis.
  15. Pun. I do not think that word means what you think it means.
  16. At the beginning of this season, no way. At the end of this season, possibly.
  17. Either the Twins have the greatest farm system ever, or you're getting fooled by park effects on top of bad pitching on top of too old vs level for real prospectdom.
  18. You are are missing the punchline. First, Cholowsky has to drop, which he probably won't, and Emerson is the next best pick. But the horrifying thing missed here is that the Twins are said to be in on 5'8 OF Drew Burress if they don't get Cholowsky. Nobody with Burress' profile has succeeded in this century. His profile being OF, 5'8 or shorter, and right-handed. A number have been taken in the first round, and they all struggle with major league right handed pitching. Burress is projected anywhere from 8 to 20, and yet the Twins might take him 3rd. This is not how to rebuild, I don't care if you save a million or more in contract that you can put to your next pick. The Twins don't draft well enough to apply that money appropriately.
  19. 3.86 is not a good BB/9 (Gomez). H/9 are due in part to luck, but BBs not so. I'd be shocked if a Rogers could bring anything other than an open roster. Would you get more for Clemens than he helps you stabilize the long road back? Getting rid of Larnach saves $1.5 million, so trading him makes sense.
  20. None of these numbers jump off the page for a 22 yr old facing low A batters. Without a spike in numbers vs higher competition, his only hope might be as a reliever someday.
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