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twinstalker

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Everything posted by twinstalker

  1. twinstalker
    Three good choices, Cody. I'm not going to dismiss GG the way I have EmRod, but let's remember that last year was his third attempt at high A, and then while on a roll he went to ballparks that are super easy to hit in. He's shown ups and downs before, and the educated guess is he becomes the useful but very limited hitter he's always supposed to have become. Strictly platoon DH, COF, and maybe 1B. The Twins need to recover some of Tait's prospect value next year and see if they can move him. I'd suggest sending him to AA in 2027, let him pretend to hit like our other prospects there, and deal him while you still can. Somebody should be helping Hill, or what's going on there? Is his head messed up? And in what way?
  2. twinstalker
    Oof. What do you want him to do? He can't hit for average, he only takes walks he'll never get at the MLB level, and mostly what he does is strike out.
  3. twinstalker
    Roden will only have to worry about some of those players.
  4. twinstalker
    Why in the world would you trade Jeffers for a reliever? Jeffers helps you win now. A reliever helps you win now. What's the point? If the answer has something to do with Caratini and Jackson, you're going down the wrong rabbit hole. Jeffers has a chance to make you better for the future. The front office needs to be very strategic about dealing him. They have lots of ability to get relievers for prospects that have little chance of ever helping. For example, Emmanuel Rodriguez could probably get you a couple of relievers from a front office and fanbase who also doesn't understand he'll never hit.
  5. twinstalker
    I have no idea what's going on with the major league team, but I doubt the minor league development has changed, and I see no real evidence of identifying hitters who weren't completely obvious. Hitters in the system: Jenkins -- natural born hitter Lackey -- questionable because amateur, but very much the consensus pick. Culpepper -- really questionable as to how good he might be, but the ceiling isn't that high. His stats for St. Paul, and especially relative to the HRs of minor leagues/AAA this year are decent but not special. Nobody else has my attention yet, really. I wanted to love Jhomnardo Reyes, but his K rate is trending high, and that's going to be problematic. Marek Houston's real value is difficult but not impossible to determine at Wichita and St. Paul. I currently think he won't be a hitter, but once we finally get Statcast data from AAA, it will be easier to know exactly what he is.
  6. twinstalker
    There is no Jake Anderson, fyi. The Twins picked up Jack Anderson from Boston. Check your link, too.
  7. twinstalker
    I tend to think they're going to have to be careful with Prielipp every season. Then he'll eventually have to have TJS again, which will, for practicality's sake, lose two seasons, the one where he gets injured and the next. What would/should you do with a great, currently non-injured arm and that profile?
  8. twinstalker
    There are rhp's that righties can hit, and there are ones they can't. Platooning Lewis probably makes most sense if you don't sit him against the hittable ones. Basically, sit him vs the really tough righty on righty.
  9. twinstalker
    Twins picked up Jack Anderson, not Jake Anderson. Jack's pitched in MLB. Jake is some sort of former college pitcher.
  10. twinstalker
    Falvey was the man who made all the decisions that didn't have to go through ownership. Now Zoll is that guy. If Zoll made a decision on his own before, it's because Falvey gave him that power, but I guarantee it wasn't a roster decision, and you'd be crazy to think Zoll made trade decisions. Which front office boss would ever delegate trade decisions?
  11. twinstalker
    A well-considered article. I would disagree, though, that we can count on playing meaningful baseball in September, unless you're saying they're not eliminated by then. Things can easily fall apart from where they stand now, partially due to other things you mention: a batting regression, which is all but guaranteed, and the pitching will be tested. Those are almost for sure, and when you add in the distinct possibility of bad luck otherwise, counting on the Twins to play meaningful games in September comes down to getting technical about it. That doesn't mean they won't, just that it's very possible they won't.
  12. twinstalker
    This seems a question that could have been handled in one sentence. "Unless Lackey races through the minors to push his way onto the team sometime in 2027, the hope would be that he could contribute as early as 2028."
  13. twinstalker
    Is it worth it to trade Larnach and Bell for something that, realistically will never help or an amount that can easily be made up other ways rather than see if they can help this year? I'm not saying yes or no, but that would seem to be the dilemma. As far as extending Ryan, that's fine in a world where the Twins can spend whatever they want. In a realistic world, it's probably best to trade Ryan at his (likely peak) current value before he has his normal late-season letdown and before an injury. Is it so important to make the postseason that you risk missing out on the great return he can bring? I don't know the answer, except that he absolutely needs to be traded now, this offseason, or (third place by far) next trade deadline.
  14. twinstalker
    I was Keaschall's biggest advocate coming into the season, but you have to see what is wrong, please. It's not about hating, it's about what we expected and what we got. Keaschall simply has two huge flaws. He doesn't field well, and he doesn't hit the ball hard enough. Neither should have been an expectation, but we thought Keaschall would improve his fielding, and we didn't know what his EVs were (he seemed okay last year). But LK can square up a ball, and as he gets stronger, he will hopefully hit MLB pitching harder. Why are you defending him? It's not about homers. It's about hitting the ball hard.
  15. twinstalker
    Tait's got some real issues, but he's 19 at high A+, which is really good. His isolated power is good. His .244 BABIP is substantially lower than his history, which likely means the average is due to bad luck, and his numbers would be better. His walk rate, never good, can possibly be attributed to always being young for his league. The biggest problem is that he's unlikely to stay behind the plate, and then what do you do with him? The Twins have a great excuse now to trade Tait, and I'd suggest they take advantage of it once he's back to hitting next year.
  16. twinstalker
    Honestly, what kind of prospect has a 34% walk rate rather than taking his chance to swing the bat? I predict not good things there.
  17. twinstalker
    The answer to the title question is quite easy right this moment. Alex Jackson can't be demoted without risking losing him, and the Twins will (hopefully) trade Jeffers for a decent return rather than the only other realistic possibility, which is losing him for nothing. We'll need Jackson at that point. When the Twins trade Jeffers for bad return, nobody accuse me of wanting that, please. I have yet to see them make a real good deal since getting Joe Ryan for nothing. One problem right now is they seem to be restricting themselves to near-majors, and the most inane return I could see them getting is rental relief pitching they could get otherwise.
  18. twinstalker
    #2, and it's not close. Once we see him, it might be different (vs 3+), but until there's plenty of evidence otherwise, he's nowhere close to Jenkins. I'm not saying he couldn't get there, but Jenkins is so far above the rest of the system, both because he's so good and because the system's so bad. I wouldn't blink to put Lackey in that wide gap, and I'm not as big a Lackey fan as most everybody else (yet).
  19. twinstalker
    Buxton wants to stay a Twin? Who knew?
  20. twinstalker
    Yeah, EmRod's profile is not good, and I know people desperately want to ignore that. Ben Ross is not doing anything at AAA. People need to get used to the numbers. Is he a great fielder or something? If for some reason he would be promoted, he'd probably have to be DFA'd thereafter. As much as I've liked CJ Culpepper the pitcher, he hasn't done a ton yet. He's exactly the type who can relieve in the majors: he's was an intriguing starter whose arm just couldn't handle the innings required for starts. But he's got to be better in his appearances. MLB is more difficult, I've heard.
  21. twinstalker
    There's really nothing in Winokur's statistical profile to make anyone think he'll by anything other than an eventual cup of coffee. First, repeating a league let's you know that you should ignore the positives in a stat line. He's 21, repeating A+, and his K rate there is about 30%. It's absurd that it's been ignored in his promotion to AA. He's not age inappropriate, so there's that, but that K rate takes him out of the running for any hope we might otherwise have.
  22. twinstalker
    Houston: As much as I doubt, sure, this is what a prospect hot sheet is for. Don't get fooled by hitting stats at Wichita (or St. Paul). Kendle: He's 24, which isn't really his fault, but he needs to be moved to and succeed at AAA for there really to be anything there. Gomez: Relievers in the minors have the easiest job and no idea what it would be like to face MLB hitters in that situation. That's why there are a ton of successful ones, and hardly any of them make MLB, much less have success at it. I mean, sure, take a shot at a guy in independent ball. He's now got a 2.42 xFIP at AA. You'd like even better, given his age and task at AA, but that 1 HR there could have been a pop-up in that ballpark.
  23. twinstalker
    Yeah, they could get the same infield hitters in round 11-12 that they've gotten in rds 1s, 2, and 3 in the Falvey regime (except Keaschall). It's been a complete waste (except Keaschall). Get your infielders and outfielders internationally, for the most part after your first pick. Pick up wicked arms in the vacated spots.
  24. twinstalker
    There are Riley Quicks in every org. The Twins just don't go for his type that often. They prefer to waste their Rounds 1s and 2 pick on bad infielders or guys with no chance (see Tinney) when that area is the perfect spot to get arms like Quick. Every year. Some will become top relievers, some will stay starters, but if you don't know how to identify hitters there, please start taking guys like Eyanson, Perry, and Quick and stop wasting these slots!
  25. twinstalker
    Juan Holmann. I always find it...interesting...when Central Americans have German surnames. I have an acquaintance with such, but I never ask. I have another friend, not Latin, who told me his great-grandfather of the same name was a very famous/notorious person, someone I knew well from 20th century European history. I asked a lot of questions, but he didn't even know what I knew. He just knew he was a big deal.
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