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twinstalker

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Everything posted by twinstalker

  1. Yeah, I don't see him getting traded without a major revision to his contract, and yours is one reason why he wouldn't consider okaying a trade without a new contract.
  2. Prielipp is super interesting. At first glance, and it may be the right one, he doesn't have a pitch to get rh batters out. This is beyond my scope, really, but it would seem he needs a changeup ( a good one), a cutter, or a splitter to get out right handers. Most pitchers are going to eventually groove their breaking ball to opposite sided hitters, and that's where one asks if his slider and/or curve are going to be consistently better (as described) than almost all the pitchers' in MLB. It's a fear that it won't be, but he's been impressive thus far. Question: how many more (non-opener) starter innings does Prielipp get this year? My thought is he should take a long break while the Twins have five other starters and start back again after trade deadline. Is 110 ip the max overall? Do you let him get to 100 ip and use him in relief for 10-20 innings to close the season?
  3. Ryan Jeffers, broken hamate bone, out 6-8 weeks. Jose Ramirez, broken hamate bone, out 4-6 weeks. So, I guess we know a broken hamate bone means a player is out exactly 6 weeks.
  4. It might be. The safer route would be going after Gage Wood and getting Francisco Renteria, along with lesser prospect. The Phillies just paid Renteria $4 million, and he's thus far a monster in the DSL: 1.052 OPS with 8 Ks in 52 PA. Wood was drafted a little ahead of Quick and is already at AA. He threw the no-hitter or perfect game or whatever in the CWS last year.
  5. 23.8% is a horrible number for a player with Houston's profile and who is old for his league, prospect-wise. It's good that he's reduced it considerably We'll see. I didn't like the pick because his hitting in WF's park was not what it should be for a mid first-rounder. He struck out way too much at low A, then finished strong in that area. That he's hitting now is fine, but he should be hitting. There's nothing special about a 22 yr old 1st round pick putting up those numbers in high A.
  6. The one guy on here who really matters, Diaw, is an interesting prospect in some respects. He's too old for his slash line to be overly impressive at A+ (turns 23 this summer), and it's unclear why he's even there at this point. I'm interested in how he handles AA. Sprock is unlikely to be much of anything but his relative youth and likely promotion do put him into play, I guess. He's sort of repeating low A, and his improvement is modest, so let's get it over with and promote him to see if there's something there. Rosario is good for organizational depth, nothing more.
  7. Jhomnardo Reyes* I'd get rid of a number of guys currently listed in top 20.
  8. A .170 isolated OBP isn't a good thing. It's a really bad thing. It's not prospect fatigue, it's a growing awareness that the good he brings to the table will get drowned out by the bad. How is this so hard to see? Taking a walk in MLB is extremely important. Taking too many walks in MiLB is a negative, unless we're talking about winning MiLB games. Minor League walks at the high extreme don't predict high OBP in MLB, they predict paralysis.
  9. Pun. I do not think that word means what you think it means.
  10. At the beginning of this season, no way. At the end of this season, possibly.
  11. Either the Twins have the greatest farm system ever, or you're getting fooled by park effects on top of bad pitching on top of too old vs level for real prospectdom.
  12. You are are missing the punchline. First, Cholowsky has to drop, which he probably won't, and Emerson is the next best pick. But the horrifying thing missed here is that the Twins are said to be in on 5'8 OF Drew Burress if they don't get Cholowsky. Nobody with Burress' profile has succeeded in this century. His profile being OF, 5'8 or shorter, and right-handed. A number have been taken in the first round, and they all struggle with major league right handed pitching. Burress is projected anywhere from 8 to 20, and yet the Twins might take him 3rd. This is not how to rebuild, I don't care if you save a million or more in contract that you can put to your next pick. The Twins don't draft well enough to apply that money appropriately.
  13. 3.86 is not a good BB/9 (Gomez). H/9 are due in part to luck, but BBs not so. I'd be shocked if a Rogers could bring anything other than an open roster. Would you get more for Clemens than he helps you stabilize the long road back? Getting rid of Larnach saves $1.5 million, so trading him makes sense.
  14. None of these numbers jump off the page for a 22 yr old facing low A batters. Without a spike in numbers vs higher competition, his only hope might be as a reliever someday.
  15. SMH. He's repeating the level. Wake me up when he truly makes progress.
  16. Andrew Fisher has a 33% K rate. Which, because you asked the question, means he'll strike out on average five times per MLB game. Should be the first thing people look at wrt prospects, but alas...
  17. If he can be salvaged, AAA is where to do it. He certainly didn't learn anything helpful there (he didn't have time before hitting bombs), so it's pretty much a waste. I'd keep him down. The combo of hitting a million HRs and being the first pick in the draft will get you a little bit in trade. Bring him up, and he's just a bad major leaguer.
  18. Called it. Watch him succeed now, but we needed to get rid of him in a year there was never a chance to win. The brilliance of it all is blinding.
  19. There's likely no win for the Twins in any scenario except the one where he's back before the trade deadline, and they get something good for him. which is somewhat questionable given the injury and their lack of ability to recognize and bargain for prospect talent. Foremost, the only possibility of Jeffers continuing on with the Twins is through the qualifying offer which overpays him for one year so that he doesn't have to be saddled with costing his new team a first round pick (which decreases his $$$). You can't do that yesterday, only in mid-November. Is that the best thing to do for $23 million, sign Ryan Jeffers, knowing he won't be part of the team after 2027? You hope to get a compensation pick by extending him the offer and having him choose another team, but there's a real danger he takes it, and you've just spent $23 million that won't help you when you might realistically be looking to compete. So, trade him by Aug 4. You'll (hopefully) get better than what a compensation pick would net you on average, and you don't carry the risk of using $23M on an aging catcher who won't be here after 2027. Of course it all changes if the injury scares all teams away, and it might. The swing does not come back immediately.
  20. Not only do you need to trade Ryan, you need to do it asap. Injury risk is high, and if you can get a good package now, it's time. I'm not sure what people wanting to hold onto Ryan expect will happen with him, but the answer is that he'll be playing with some other team two years from now no matter what.
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