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Riverbrian last won the day on June 9 2020

Riverbrian had the most liked content!

About Riverbrian

  • Birthday 09/20/1965

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  • Location:
    Grand Forks, ND
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  • Interests
    Baseball and Rock N Roll... And Buffalo Wings... And... I can't think of anything else

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  1. My personal subjective opinion is that I'm happy with them. My opinion is that they are making progress in the right direction and yes I was watching last year and am still saying that.
  2. The Twins are nothing like the Seattle Kraken. When Falvey and Lavine came aboard there was already a roster of players in place, there was nothing they could do about that. Nearly every job has conditions that define the starting point. Once in the chair... they are responsible for what happens. Terry Ryan is no longer responsible. 100% Credit and Blame
  3. Rankings are fun to look at but they don't mean much to me from a win-loss point of view. How many Giants did Buster Olney place on his lists last year? The Twins offense will be fine, providing Baldelli manages his options and properly rewards good performance with playing time. Everything for this season and the season after that and the season after that, hinges on the young arms and the supporting bullpen. Can Falvey Lavine and Baldelli work together and be flexible enough to move young arms up and down according to performance, manage the work load restrictions that will be in place because of the lost development due to Covid plus not be tethered to a typical 5 man rotation that won't be available to us. Gonna need a much better bullpen this year because the pitch counts for the young starters will be held in check and we didn't have a great bullpen last year. It seems like a tall order to me on January 17th, 2022 but I won't say it's not doable. If it doesn't work in 2022, we should be a year closer to it working in 2023. It's time to see what the young pitchers can do.
  4. The only way the Twins can build a competitive rotation will be through the farm system. Trading any of our farm arms for one year of below average veteran starters would be tragic. Ober, Ryan, Dobnak, Thorpe, Balazovic, Jax, Duran, Strotman, Winder, Sands and Vallimont are all on the 40 man roster. Having that many arms at this stage of their career on the 40 man roster should tell everyone what the plan is. The young arms are not only coming but already here. It will be quantity to search for quality and I think they will find some.
  5. This makes perfect sense to me. Revenue sharing tied to Utilization. If don't spend, no Revenue sharing.
  6. Interesting new proposal. Draft pick incentive to encourage teams to not manipulate service time is kinda like the bank offering a free toaster to themselves. We might be here awhile.
  7. Agreed. I think a hard specific age for free agency could work. Player turns 29... He's a Free Agent. If Juan Soto is called up at age 20... Great... the Nats get 9 years with him. If Juan Soto is called up at age 26... The Nats get 3. It would eliminate the Kris Bryant manipulation and even encourage teams to call up there best talent quicker. I'm sure this would cause additional complications but for simplicity sake... Free Agency by Age could cure some of the games ills.
  8. What you are saying is pretty much what I have rolling around in my brain. I'm not an expert by any stretch of the imagination but in my attempt to simplify a very complex situation. It occurs to me that there are two problematic large disparities at play. One of them, everybody focuses on and one of them nobody seems to focus on. Disparity #1 that everyone focuses on is revenue and payroll. It's been discussed to death. I don't have any suggestions on how to fix that. It would take a willingness of owners to pool the differences and disperse it equally. I don't see that happening so moving on to Disparity #2 that nobody talks about. It's the large and growing value disparity between the pre-arb players with talent and the older lower tier free agent. Hell, include the arbitration eligible players because they are also being pushed out the door for Lamonte Wade (Eddie Rosario for example). We also need to factor in options, when looking at the value disparity. Having options available on a player is a huge increase in value beyond the salary disparity. The freedom to send a struggling pre-arb player to the minors is a huge value when you compare it to a struggling free agent that you signed that you can't send down. That you have to absorb and die with. Because they can't be traded easily forcing you to cut them off the roster so you can provide opportunity for a pre-arb player who will perform as good or better. The value disparity is huge. Why would any organization including the Dodgers and Yankees willingly pay 5 million and lock into that 5 million for a .230 hitting OF when they have a .240 hitting OF at the minimum that can be sent down to clear space if they hit .200. None of us would do that if we knew better and the Ivy league GM's know better. So it occurs to me, like it does to you. The players union should really focus on disparity #2 more. Pay the Pre-Arb players more because whenever you attach more money to a player or group of players, the value goes down because of the increased cost, which in turn, like a see-saw, will increase the value of the Arbitration eligible players and the 30 year old plus free agents who are struggling to find work. Pittsburgh will spend more money and Brian Dozier quite possibly still has a job. Collectively the overall compensation should raise. I'm not an expert but it seems to me that the players union strategy of trying to get the luxury tax threshold raised so the Red Sox can sign Correa while shaming Pittsburgh into signing Andrelton Simmons types by using this tanking mantra for public consumption straight from Madison Avenue will do nothing to improve competitive balance and is ultimately the hardest hill they could climb with the stiffest wind to get where they are going. Make the rookies less cost effective for the GM's. Take the cheap option away. It's just a thought, I'm sure there is a hole in my thinking somewhere. Surely somebody would have thought of it before me. I'm not an expert.
  9. Neither party is concerned about tanking. The players union would like Pittsburgh to spend money on tier 2 guys that the Dodgers won't sign due to age/talent deficiencies. And if the Pirates or Marlins don't spend money on tier 2 type guys... they have social media to call them a bunch of tankers and plenty of people willing to repeat the mantra over and over. Here's the problem that the players union can't solve, it's no longer a secret, the cat is out of the bag, players making the minimum are performing on-par or better than the secondary or tertiary free agents. The front offices know this and the players are bringing home less collectively as a result.
  10. I read this post yesterday. I was thinking that I should take the high road and quietly go back to where I was before. Thinking about it today. I’ve decided to respond. I’m not a problem poster. Or at least if I am… I can say that it isn’t my intention to be. I haven’t posted in a year and a half, so I know I haven’t been a problem lately. When I took a rather extended break from Twinsdaily, I felt that I was becoming disruptive and being disruptive is the last thing that I intend to be so I got out of the way, this was coupled with a personal serious concern over the conditions that exist in social media so, I decided to avoid all of it. Here’s the deal… I recently lost my father, recently enough that we still haven’t had the funeral yet due in part to the difficulty of trying to gather everyone together over holiday schedules. Anytime you lose someone, it leads you into a period of self-reflection. Self-reflection typically doesn’t last because you eventually go back to being who you are while you do what you’ve always done, however, you do have that period where you ponder the shortness of life, have you accomplished what you want to accomplish, are you the person you want to be, I’d like to simply be a nice person BTW, and am I doing the things that I’d like to do before it’s too late? I assume we all have these types of thoughts in similar circumstances. After the obvious hopes of the health and happiness of my loved ones, Baseball and specifically the Twins are my primary interests. This community is the only place that can keep up with me and in this period of reflection, Baseball was something that I thought about, I want to see every stadium and I thought about TD. Soon after I got an email from John Bonnes out of the blue and I thought some more about TD. Yesterday was January 1st and thinking about new beginnings, everything, I thought I’d jump back in. Perhaps, it was all too soon because nothing changes on New Year’s Day, it seems. I would have never assumed that you meant “Retain Everyone” and if you read my posts, you will see there is no time that I mentioned “Retain Everyone”. I don’t understand your need to not only repeat but also lead your post with the declarative “Again, I didn’t say retain everyone”. Where is that coming from? You and I should both be miles past the rather elementary understanding that it is impossible for any baseball team to “Retain Everyone”. Now I do believe that the discussion had turned to retention. I didn’t introduce retention to the discussion, you did. Fair enough, you feel that retention is important, so I followed down your path because retention is indeed a hard consideration for all 30 teams. I mentioned Blake Snell specifically to try find common ground because even as an ardent believer in the Tampa methods of roster management, even I was shocked by that trade. You say that I created an exaggeration of what you said? I do tend you use exaggerated allegories, parables, metaphors when making my points because I think they are fun but I am not the only practitioner. Is your “revolving door” metaphor an exaggeration? Or how about when Twodogs says “full roster flips like the Rays seem to do year in and year out”. I get it. We all get it. We should probably all take a look at that turnover. Are Charlie Morton and Tommy Pham types really a revolving door? Or is it normal turnover that all 30 teams experience, possibly escalated as a by-product of the Rays success? The limitations of the 26- and 40-man rosters will cause difficult decisions and there will be more of those decisions to make if you are good at identifying talent, acquiring talent and developing that talent because the system will overflow. Kevin Keirmeier and his price point for example just might not be that necessary anymore with 21 rule 5 eligible and 9 players out of options to consider for next year’s roster. I would love for the Twins to have those problems because the Rays are not spending zoom time discussing Jake Cave type roster decisions at the moment. I’m under the impression that you have stated that simply winning isn’t enough, that you also need balance and that fans like to have players that they have become accustomed to. I believe that winning is hard enough by itself and additional conditions beyond the existing rules that govern the sport is an unnecessary addendum that will only lead to a never ceasing frustration because of its pure difficulty. If all fans demanded winning plus superfluous specific subjective methods used to achieve it, baseball won’t be around long with a win and win my way obstacle course. BTW… the “When did the Rays last win the WS” card was played. What time frame are you going to apply to this criticism? The Braves won last year after a 26 year drought. The Dodgers ended a 32 year drought by beating the Rays the year before that. The Nationals/Expos ended a 50 year drought before that. In 2017 the Astros snapped a 55 year drought, in 2016, the Cubs dry spell lasted 108 years, the Royals spaced 30 years in between titles in 2015. It’s been a decade of drought ending for teams that are all trying to win the thing and starting with a blank slate every opening day. The Rays have been in existence for 23 years total.
  11. Feathers were certainly ruffled after Blake Snell was traded. How that manifest's itself in the long run? Who knows because there is a lot of nuance to add to those feathers. Stripping away the nuance and going to straight to the nuts and bolts. My opinion... I feel if a fan base can't support a consistent winning team because (insert recognizable name/names here) isn't part of that winning? Pack it up, leave Tampa and see if Shreveport, Louisiana isn't so... um... particular about the methods used to provide the blanket of a consistent winning team. Jack and Jill from Tarpon Springs can't show up and enjoy Arozarena, Brandon Lowe, Glasnow, and a 100 mph bullpen from front to back because it isn't Arozarena, Brandon Lowe, Glasnow and a 100 mph bullpen plus Blake Snell to pitch every fifth game? Goodbye to Jack and Jill because those two were never going to carry the water back down the hill to support this franchise to the level of their competitors... due a debilitating form of fickleness.
  12. It's incredibly hard to have it both ways... if not impossible. If you get good at talent identification and talent development, the sheer numbers of capable talent produced are going to challenge any notion of retention with the limitations of the 26 and 40 man roster. Not retaining players is a natural by-product of producing too many players. They control the considerable spillage of their system very very well.
  13. In my opinion... there is way too much focus on the money in this discussion. Placing the Rays in a subset with the A's, Pirates, Orioles, Royals, Marlins and Guardians because of payroll is a mistake because what they are doing will slide right past you while you watch the dollars. The Rays belong in a very shallow subset of teams in terms of how they manage their 26 and 40 man rosters that includes the Dodgers, and now clearly the Giants. I also believe the Red Sox have joined this group, and the Brewers show flashes of it. Nobody else at this moment but I have a feeling that the Twins are trying to get there. The Dodgers are the same as the Rays with the addition of a ton of money in the equation. Nobody should want the Twins to be the Rays from a revenue standpoint. We should all want the Twins to be the Rays from a talent identification, talent utilization, talent development, and talent acquisition standpoint. Who wants to be the Rays? I raise my hand.
  14. Here's a good read.) Nick, I've been singing this very song on TD for quite a few years now. I've spent a life time working with demographics and the obvious conclusion is: Baseball's current demo's are not sustainable for the long run, the sport will age out unless significant changes are made. The game needs to become more appealing to a wider demographic range for the future and it has to start ASAP. They can start by eliminating of Grandpa's stoic unwritten rules, that are still enforced today. Let players express themselves and have FUN out there instead of getting a bean ball for a bat flip. This move alone will increase youth interest across the board. There are many things the sport can do to increase youth interest. Old Grandpa rules used to be that ex-ball players were the ones qualified for coaching and front office positions and if you are hiring ex-ball players, the actual demographics of ball players will play a role in your coaching and front office numbers in the years to follow. However, the recent trend of Ivy league front offices have blown that old grandpa convention out of the water. Front office personnel who never played the game are all over the place now and if front office personnel who have never played the game are running things today and they are... Past and future baseball player demographics don't matter anymore. Meaning, we have qualified black candidates who can be hired today for advancement to the big chairs and there are qualified female candidates for the big chairs. And let's not forget about the females. There is absolutely no reason why a female couldn't do what Dick Bremer does or what Derek Falvey does. It is systemic. Baseball has a demographic problem because it has stubbornly clung to it's traditions and we have all read the history books to know what was happening when those traditions were set in stone.
  15. I never judge draft picks because I really lack the knowledge to form specific opinions on individual players. However, I like the idea of drafting players with the skills that cant be taught, which are Power, speed and velocity. This guy apparently has the power so now the Twins are tasked with teaching the rest.
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