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beckmt

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beckmt last won the day on October 26 2020

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About beckmt

  • Birthday 09/28/1947

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  1.    beckmt reacted to a post in a topic: The Twins' Pitching Philosophy Is at War With Itself
  2.    beckmt reacted to a post in a topic: The Twins' Pitching Philosophy Is at War With Itself
  3.    beckmt reacted to a post in a topic: The Twins’ Identity Is Shifting, And It Starts on the Bases
  4.    beckmt reacted to a post in a topic: The Twins’ Identity Is Shifting, And It Starts on the Bases
  5.    beckmt reacted to a post in a topic: Tom Pohlad Has a Differing Vision for the Twins. That Might Be the Problem.
  6. beckmt
    I think down the line moving Lee to 2B seems to be where this is going. Keaschall moves to 1B when Culpepper comes up and sticks. That works for me. Unless we find a bullpen this seems to be more of a let's find out what we have thing than a true contention position this year.
  7.    beckmt reacted to a post in a topic: 5 Best Suitors in Byron Buxton Trade Rumors
  8. beckmt
    Outman was a lottery ticket as Stewart is always hurt. Nothing ventured, nothing gained. And this one looks like a nothing burger.
  9.    beckmt reacted to a post in a topic: Taking Stock of Minnesota Twins' 2024 Draft Class
  10.    Blyleven2011 reacted to a post in a topic: The Latest Trade Rumors Regarding Joe Ryan and Pablo López
  11. beckmt
    Problem is, it will be a lockout and therefore the players will probably wind up being paid. And it could be a long one if enough of the owners want a hard cap (the only way to level the field). New investors could well want to see a return next year, so my guess is the Twins payroll will be very low. Other thought is now of the Twins players (except maybe Lewis) has yet to hit 1000 PA. That is about the number where players who make it figure it out. If you look over time it took many great players a few years to figure it out. Even Mike Schmidt hit under the Mendoza line early in his career. So we don't know how Lewis, Lee, Wallner, and Larnach will turn out. Much less other young players. This is mostly a learn and develop year and see what you do during an after it. I just have no faith in the Twins not to go super cheap and tear it down. This should argue against trading Lopez and Ryan, but the Twins are not rational, so we shall see what happens.
  12.    beckmt reacted to a post in a topic: The Latest Trade Rumors Regarding Joe Ryan and Pablo López
  13. beckmt
    In the next year you have Jenkins, Gonzalez, and Rodriquez along with Buxton and Martin. Plus you have a few more guys that can play outfield. I want players with speed and lower K totals. That is not Wallner. It might be a mistake, but I would move Wallner, and possible Larnach at this time to clear space. We also have more of the same profile for outfielders at St. Paul plus Roden and Outman. In the tough situations Wallner will either see a lefty or a righty that can hit his spots. Wallner might make it, just do not see the timing of it here.
  14.    Vanimal46 reacted to a post in a topic: Down to Four Managerial Finalists; What Each Could Bring to the Twins
  15.    beckmt reacted to a post in a topic: Road to a Rebound: Matt Wallner
  16.    PerfectGame reacted to a post in a topic: Down to Four Managerial Finalists; What Each Could Bring to the Twins
  17.    Dave Borton reacted to a post in a topic: Down to Four Managerial Finalists; What Each Could Bring to the Twins
  18.    S Bart reacted to a post in a topic: Down to Four Managerial Finalists; What Each Could Bring to the Twins
  19.    terrydactyls reacted to a post in a topic: Down to Four Managerial Finalists; What Each Could Bring to the Twins
  20. beckmt
    my guess is with the lockout looming at the end of next year the Twins will go with the cheapest option available. And finish the rebuild hopefully after the lockout. Next year Twins will need a great communicator because it will almost certainly be a trial by fire and a lot of moving parts at the major league level.
  21.    beckmt reacted to a post in a topic: Arbitrary Thoughts: Justin Topa
  22. beckmt
    Saw tonight that Festa should be ready for spring training. Do not know if this makes a difference, but if healthy would give him a good chance of being on the roster. Does Fitz play SS, that may be the short term solution. Don't see the Twins spending any major money this winter. Expect Ryan to be traded, since he does not seem to want to be here. Rest will sort itself out next season, as we need to get most of these hitters to 1000 mlb plate appearances and see what we have. Outside of a reclamation project or two, don't see signing any bullpen help. They will just see what they have.
  23.    Nshore reacted to a post in a topic: A Way-Too-Early Minnesota Twins 2026 Opening Roster Projection
  24.    RpR reacted to a post in a topic: A Way-Too-Early Minnesota Twins 2026 Opening Roster Projection
  25.    ashbury reacted to a post in a topic: A Way-Too-Early Minnesota Twins 2026 Opening Roster Projection
  26. beckmt
    If he has men on base, he will strikeout, because the pitchers bear down. It might be a mistake, but I hope the Twins move Wallner. I don't see a place for him next year.
  27.    In My La Z boy reacted to a post in a topic: Where Could Minnesota Twins Spend $30 Million (or More) This Offseason?
  28. beckmt
    I am at the same point, they will cut another 30 - 40 million off the payroll and wait until after the new CBA. And then hopefully pocket the money and sell the team. That means Lopez, Ryan, Ober if they can get anything for him, Larnach, Jeffers and anyone else of value will be gone. They will probably ask Buxton if he wants to go also since it could be 4 years until we might be competitive and his contract will be up by then.
  29. beckmt
    My payroll feeling is around $60 - $70 million if Buxton decides to stay. Both Lopez and Ryan will be gone and possibly Ober also (don't think he will get an overpay, but it is possible), Both Larnach and Wallner should be gone (maybe Wallner stays because he is still cheap (but don't see the upside of him contributing a lot to a winning ballclub)). 2027 looks like a black hole and don't see these owners wanting to be on the hook for any extra money. This is what it looks like to me in 2026, C Pereda and Gasper 1B Clemons and someone not on the 40 2b current player playing there now ss Lee and possibly Culpepper by midyear 3B Lewis UT Not currently on the club OF Buxton, Jenkins, Roden or Outman, Martin, player not on roster SP SWR, Matthews, Bradley, Ober, player not on roster RP Funderbuck, Topa, sands, Raya, Laweryton, Adams, 2 not on roster This should be somewhere in the 60 million range. Actually like the on field players better if they can get on and run, because am tired of station to station, and no ability to put the ball in play with runners on base. Pitching is who knows, maybe you get lucky.
  30. beckmt
    Given that I have little hope for the 2027 season being played, I can see the Pohlads selling everything not tied down and running with about a $60 - $70 million payroll in the expectation that what is paid out in 2027 will be litigated. Biggest issue for me is the owners are unlikely to be on the same page, so why should the players settle. Unless you both get a hard cap and a floor, there are going to be issues here. Gasper and Pereda seem reasonable to me as Jeffers is very likely to be traded, along with Lopez, Ryan, and Ober (if Twins get a decent offer). Idea would be a get an up and coming young ballclub in 2028 and see where it goes. Can also see the Twins sticking Jenkins and Rodriguez in St. Paul for the year to prevent service time. It is all dollars and cents.
  31. beckmt
    Martin has played well enough to be considered for a starting OF spot next year. Or he will be a Willi Castro replacement, better hitter, worse fielder. I expect Laudner to be gone (even though I like him better then Wallner). We have way too many outfielders, so some will have to go. Expect them to bring in some relievers or starters. Depends on how many starters are traded. I also am expecting at least 2, with the Twins budget in the $70 million range. Pohlads will cut payroll to the bone in preperation for the 2027 lockout (which could be long and brutal). Only thing that will stop that is if the owners cannot agree on a plan to push the players.
  32. beckmt
    I can see a Twins payroll as low as $60 - $70 million. Lopez, Ryan, and Larnach are $35 million right there. Toss in Wallner and maybe Ober, you are getting into this range. I actually prefer the team the Twins are building now, one based on speed and better fielding. We don't know what the returns are yet on the trades, but on the Outman for Stewart trade, Stewart is probably done for the year. Mid level starters are turning into decent relievers at a growing rate, so all those pitchers the Twins have in the pipeline should have uses in the next two years. And maybe you can catch lightning in a bottle.
  33. beckmt
    Joe Ryan already wants out of here, your odds of resigning him are about 1%, so you have to max value there. He would already have been gone if the Red Sox GM was not an idiot. There are many contending clubs that need starting pitching, most will give value to get a Lopez/Ryan starter. Actually a major league starting outfielder or catcher would be good start, plus prospects.
  34. beckmt
    I expect a total teardown, with the possibility (very real) of a lockout in 2027, most small market owners are cutting payroll to the bone until this is settled. It could be a long time. So I expect Lopez, Ryan, Ober, Jeffers, Lewis, Larnach, and possibly Wallner to be gone this winter. It is the only way to make a profit next year to tide you over for maybe a very short season or no season in 2027.
  35. beckmt
    I have an issue giving extensions to pitchers who will be 31, 32 when their arbitration years run out. Then you are paying for past performance and hoping they can make the adjustments with less velocity. I don't think this team can survive with that approach. I more like the Cleveland approach, which is to trade them when they get expensive. This group has proven they can develop pitching, let's go with that. Position is a different matter, so I can see doing Luke Keaschall if the dollars are right. At this pace, he could get very expensive by his 4th year, so $80 - $90 million for 7 - 8 years is reasonable. Extend them young and don't overpay 30 year old + players.
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