beckmt
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Everything posted by beckmt
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How Kaelen Culpepper Can Keep Forcing the Issue in 2026
beckmt replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
I think down the line moving Lee to 2B seems to be where this is going. Keaschall moves to 1B when Culpepper comes up and sticks. That works for me. Unless we find a bullpen this seems to be more of a let's find out what we have thing than a true contention position this year. -
5 Best Suitors in Byron Buxton Trade Rumors
beckmt replied to Eric Blonigen's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Outman was a lottery ticket as Stewart is always hurt. Nothing ventured, nothing gained. And this one looks like a nothing burger. -
Problem is, it will be a lockout and therefore the players will probably wind up being paid. And it could be a long one if enough of the owners want a hard cap (the only way to level the field). New investors could well want to see a return next year, so my guess is the Twins payroll will be very low. Other thought is now of the Twins players (except maybe Lewis) has yet to hit 1000 PA. That is about the number where players who make it figure it out. If you look over time it took many great players a few years to figure it out. Even Mike Schmidt hit under the Mendoza line early in his career. So we don't know how Lewis, Lee, Wallner, and Larnach will turn out. Much less other young players. This is mostly a learn and develop year and see what you do during an after it. I just have no faith in the Twins not to go super cheap and tear it down. This should argue against trading Lopez and Ryan, but the Twins are not rational, so we shall see what happens.
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In the next year you have Jenkins, Gonzalez, and Rodriquez along with Buxton and Martin. Plus you have a few more guys that can play outfield. I want players with speed and lower K totals. That is not Wallner. It might be a mistake, but I would move Wallner, and possible Larnach at this time to clear space. We also have more of the same profile for outfielders at St. Paul plus Roden and Outman. In the tough situations Wallner will either see a lefty or a righty that can hit his spots. Wallner might make it, just do not see the timing of it here.
- 42 replies
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- cole sands
- matt wallner
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my guess is with the lockout looming at the end of next year the Twins will go with the cheapest option available. And finish the rebuild hopefully after the lockout. Next year Twins will need a great communicator because it will almost certainly be a trial by fire and a lot of moving parts at the major league level.
- 71 replies
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- derek shelton
- james rowson
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Saw tonight that Festa should be ready for spring training. Do not know if this makes a difference, but if healthy would give him a good chance of being on the roster. Does Fitz play SS, that may be the short term solution. Don't see the Twins spending any major money this winter. Expect Ryan to be traded, since he does not seem to want to be here. Rest will sort itself out next season, as we need to get most of these hitters to 1000 mlb plate appearances and see what we have. Outside of a reclamation project or two, don't see signing any bullpen help. They will just see what they have.
- 67 replies
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- ryan jeffers
- rhys hoskins
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If he has men on base, he will strikeout, because the pitchers bear down. It might be a mistake, but I hope the Twins move Wallner. I don't see a place for him next year.
- 67 replies
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- ryan jeffers
- rhys hoskins
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I am at the same point, they will cut another 30 - 40 million off the payroll and wait until after the new CBA. And then hopefully pocket the money and sell the team. That means Lopez, Ryan, Ober if they can get anything for him, Larnach, Jeffers and anyone else of value will be gone. They will probably ask Buxton if he wants to go also since it could be 4 years until we might be competitive and his contract will be up by then.
- 84 replies
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- ryan pressly
- cedric mullins
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My payroll feeling is around $60 - $70 million if Buxton decides to stay. Both Lopez and Ryan will be gone and possibly Ober also (don't think he will get an overpay, but it is possible), Both Larnach and Wallner should be gone (maybe Wallner stays because he is still cheap (but don't see the upside of him contributing a lot to a winning ballclub)). 2027 looks like a black hole and don't see these owners wanting to be on the hook for any extra money. This is what it looks like to me in 2026, C Pereda and Gasper 1B Clemons and someone not on the 40 2b current player playing there now ss Lee and possibly Culpepper by midyear 3B Lewis UT Not currently on the club OF Buxton, Jenkins, Roden or Outman, Martin, player not on roster SP SWR, Matthews, Bradley, Ober, player not on roster RP Funderbuck, Topa, sands, Raya, Laweryton, Adams, 2 not on roster This should be somewhere in the 60 million range. Actually like the on field players better if they can get on and run, because am tired of station to station, and no ability to put the ball in play with runners on base. Pitching is who knows, maybe you get lucky.
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Given that I have little hope for the 2027 season being played, I can see the Pohlads selling everything not tied down and running with about a $60 - $70 million payroll in the expectation that what is paid out in 2027 will be litigated. Biggest issue for me is the owners are unlikely to be on the same page, so why should the players settle. Unless you both get a hard cap and a floor, there are going to be issues here. Gasper and Pereda seem reasonable to me as Jeffers is very likely to be traded, along with Lopez, Ryan, and Ober (if Twins get a decent offer). Idea would be a get an up and coming young ballclub in 2028 and see where it goes. Can also see the Twins sticking Jenkins and Rodriguez in St. Paul for the year to prevent service time. It is all dollars and cents.
- 37 replies
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- ryan jeffers
- christian vazquez
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Matt Wallner or Travor Larnach?
beckmt replied to Alex Boxwell's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Martin has played well enough to be considered for a starting OF spot next year. Or he will be a Willi Castro replacement, better hitter, worse fielder. I expect Laudner to be gone (even though I like him better then Wallner). We have way too many outfielders, so some will have to go. Expect them to bring in some relievers or starters. Depends on how many starters are traded. I also am expecting at least 2, with the Twins budget in the $70 million range. Pohlads will cut payroll to the bone in preperation for the 2027 lockout (which could be long and brutal). Only thing that will stop that is if the owners cannot agree on a plan to push the players. -
I can see a Twins payroll as low as $60 - $70 million. Lopez, Ryan, and Larnach are $35 million right there. Toss in Wallner and maybe Ober, you are getting into this range. I actually prefer the team the Twins are building now, one based on speed and better fielding. We don't know what the returns are yet on the trades, but on the Outman for Stewart trade, Stewart is probably done for the year. Mid level starters are turning into decent relievers at a growing rate, so all those pitchers the Twins have in the pipeline should have uses in the next two years. And maybe you can catch lightning in a bottle.
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Joe Ryan already wants out of here, your odds of resigning him are about 1%, so you have to max value there. He would already have been gone if the Red Sox GM was not an idiot. There are many contending clubs that need starting pitching, most will give value to get a Lopez/Ryan starter. Actually a major league starting outfielder or catcher would be good start, plus prospects.
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I expect a total teardown, with the possibility (very real) of a lockout in 2027, most small market owners are cutting payroll to the bone until this is settled. It could be a long time. So I expect Lopez, Ryan, Ober, Jeffers, Lewis, Larnach, and possibly Wallner to be gone this winter. It is the only way to make a profit next year to tide you over for maybe a very short season or no season in 2027.
- 95 replies
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- pablo lopez
- joe ryan
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I have an issue giving extensions to pitchers who will be 31, 32 when their arbitration years run out. Then you are paying for past performance and hoping they can make the adjustments with less velocity. I don't think this team can survive with that approach. I more like the Cleveland approach, which is to trade them when they get expensive. This group has proven they can develop pitching, let's go with that. Position is a different matter, so I can see doing Luke Keaschall if the dollars are right. At this pace, he could get very expensive by his 4th year, so $80 - $90 million for 7 - 8 years is reasonable. Extend them young and don't overpay 30 year old + players.
- 55 replies
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- luke keaschall
- bailey ober
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Don't see this group extending Joe Ryan. That might well be north of $30 million a year. By the time he reaches FA he will be 32, so maybe you just run with it. Don't like trading him, but if you do a rebuild, then you might as well get as many prospects as you can from the upper level top 100. Don't think it will work, but maybe worth a try.
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If you are not going to compete for this year, Jenkins, Rodrequez, Gonzales could all be here next year. I know Jenkins is a left handed bat and don't know about the other two. You also have Lee and Castro who are switch hitters and more coming. Plus Sabato might make it here and is another 3 true outcome players. We need to figure out who can make it and who can't. Will never do that with players being blocked.
- 48 replies
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- willi castro
- matt wallner
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I don't think we need to see any more of Funderburk, though trading Coulombe should happen. We may want to see Sabato up here and see what he has, also might well want to let Raya start figuring it out at a major league level if we are throwing this year away. We need to get Major League experience to the higher level prospects, even if you send them back down, they may surprise you and it will show them what they need to work on. I also feel we need to change hitting philosophy here as I loved what the Brewers did, That means you should also consider moving either Wallner or Laurnach or both to open up spots for that type of player. Twins have some of those in AA at this point, so maybe some of them are here next year.
- 132 replies
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- harrison bader
- ty france
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And the losses count the same now as later. Again today and another Rocco mismanage pitching staff day. Twins have no chance with this type of pitcher management. We need to fire Rocco now.
- 82 replies
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- luke keaschall
- ryan jeffers
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The problem here is Rocco, Jax should have been used in lower leverage situations until he worked it out. Twins because of Rocco on well on the way to leading the league in blown saves and it will not be close. Save the season and find a new manager who understands pitching and does not just go by script.
- 82 replies
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- luke keaschall
- ryan jeffers
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I enjoyed it, just wanted the record set straight. I was a Dodger fan going back to 'Dem Bums' and 'There is an apple tree that grows in Brooklyn'
- 71 replies
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- joe ryan
- mickey gasper
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This club needs a manager with some fire. Someone who is not afraid to get in some players faces. Best thing may be can the calvary come fast enough from st Paul.
- 71 replies
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- joe ryan
- mickey gasper
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Learn your history, Koufax retired after 1966. At that point the dodgers had Don Sutton, very good, but not Koufax.
- 71 replies
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- joe ryan
- mickey gasper
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