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Article: Brian Dozier: I'll Be A Free Agent

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#1 John Bonnes

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Posted 27 February 2018 - 05:55 PM

FT. MYERS – If you’re a Twins fan hoping for a contract extension between Brian Dozier and the Minnesota Twins, prepare for some disappointment. It sounds like Dozier is resolved to hit the free agent market at the end of the season. He’s even excited about it.

“You mentioned “intriguing.” [Free agency] is very intriguing,” said Dozier. “And it’s something that to get excited about. I feel like it’s always a goal of anybody at this level to reach free agency. And that’s no disrespect to this organization because I love this organization. It is all I know. But I do know I’ll be a free agent at the end of the season.”It is not clear if there have been any discussions between the Twins and Dozier this offseason. Dozier didn’t want to go into the details, and also wanted to emphasize it is not a distraction.

“I don’t want to elaborate too much on this, but I will say: my focus really is just on this year. All that stuff takes care of itself," said Dozier, when asked about possibly his last spring training as a Twin. “But also at the same time, I do know this is it. I mean, this is it. I’ll be a free agent.”

Of course, hitting free agency doesn’t necessarily mean that he won’t be on the Twins next year. It is the organization that he has been with since he was drafted out of the University of Southern Mississippi. So it isn’t safe to assume that this is his last year with the Twins. “I’m not going to say anything is going to happen or anything,” said Dozier. “But I do know: I’m a free agent at the end of the year.”

Ok then. Apparently Brian Dozier will be a free agent.

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#2 nater79a

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Posted 27 February 2018 - 06:02 PM

Could be a nice trade chip rental at the deadline if the Twins fall out of the race in July.
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#3 Tuba

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Posted 27 February 2018 - 06:02 PM

Every single player on an expiring contract should be saying these things. Simple negotiating tactic. 

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#4 dgwills

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Posted 27 February 2018 - 06:06 PM

Good to know Dozier's not an idiot. Of course he should hit free agency. This is his one shot for a huge contract.

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#5 ashbury

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Posted 27 February 2018 - 06:14 PM

TD Exclusive?

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#6 Vanimal46

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Posted 27 February 2018 - 06:19 PM

I don't blame anyone for wanting to explore free agency. Teams control a player for long enough.

I'd like to keep him as a Twin for the foreseeable future. Next winter it's time for the Twins to bid against the big market teams.
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#7 Thrylos

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Posted 27 February 2018 - 06:20 PM

Well, then the Twins should give him a qualifying offer.The draft pick they will get will have more value than Dozier for them, especially, since apparently he does not seem to want to be a Twin any longer.Not very smart for him to start talking about this, especially in this environment regarding FA compensation and offers...

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#8 Jax

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Posted 27 February 2018 - 06:21 PM

Need to keep him! Very good player and a much needed leader.
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#9 Vanimal46

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Posted 27 February 2018 - 06:24 PM

Well, then the Twins should give him a qualifying offer. The draft pick they will get will have more value than Dozier for them, especially, since apparently he does not seem to want to be a Twin any longer. Not very smart for him to start talking about this, especially in this environment regarding FA compensation and offers...


A 2nd round pick is more valuable than Dozier? No need to take this personally. He's going to continue playing the best he can for Minnesota so he can cash in as much as possible.

It's up to Minnesota if they want to compete against LA, NY, and Chicago for his services.
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#10 ashbury

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Posted 27 February 2018 - 06:26 PM

apparently he does not seem to want to be a Twin any longer. 

Let's please avoid mind-reading.

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#11 Thrylos

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Posted 27 February 2018 - 06:27 PM

 

A 2nd round pick is more valuable than Dozier? No need to take this personally. He's going to continue playing the best he can for Minnesota so he can cash in as much as possible.

It's up to Minnesota if they want to compete against LA, NY, and Chicago for his services.

 

You are over-rating Dozier.If he were worth anything more, he would had been a Dodger last off- season.An overpaid second baseman is a huge luxury for most teams out there.

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#12 Deduno Abides

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Posted 27 February 2018 - 06:29 PM

Dozier is great, or at least highly very good, and he deserves whatever he can get, but it will be interesting to see if he has a better market while looking for a multi year big bucks contract than the Twins were able to find two years earlier when he was cost-controlled and younger.

#13 Hosken Bombo Disco

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Posted 27 February 2018 - 06:30 PM

The Twins look like they are strong up the middle, but they will miss Dozier when he is gone. I hope he gets all the money in the world.
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#14 Doomtints

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Posted 27 February 2018 - 06:30 PM

Darn tootin.

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#15 Vanimal46

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Posted 27 February 2018 - 06:32 PM

You are over-rating Dozier. If he were worth anything more, he would had been a Dodger last off- season. An overpaid second baseman is a huge luxury for most teams out there.


He's a top 3 2B by most every offensive statistic and WAR out there. And proved his worth by slugging 34 HRs last year after his career year in 2016.
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#16 Thrylos

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Posted 27 February 2018 - 06:44 PM

 

He's a top 3 2B by most every offensive statistic and WAR out there. And proved his worth by slugging 34 HRs last year after his career year in 2016.

 

If you compare his 2017 with his 2015, you will find that his numbers were almost identical, other than the ones driven by his BABIP that was about 40 points higher in 2017 than 2015, and about 25 points higher than his career. 

 

To add to that, he will be 31 this season and age-based regression will continue.Already lost a step on the bases (16/23 SB, 69.5% last season) and will not improve.  

 

How many 31 year old players got big money this off-season? He will be older than Jay Bruce was this off-season.Will he get a Jay Bruce type contract? And there should be no argument that Bruce is more valuable than Dozier.

 

Edited by Thrylos, 27 February 2018 - 06:47 PM.

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#17 Mike Sixel

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Posted 27 February 2018 - 06:47 PM

No surprise at all. Good luck to him, I hope he goes the jackpot!
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It's been a fun year so far, GO Twins. 


#18 slash129

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Posted 27 February 2018 - 06:52 PM

 

A 2nd round pick is more valuable than Dozier? No need to take this personally. He's going to continue playing the best he can for Minnesota so he can cash in as much as possible.

It's up to Minnesota if they want to compete against LA, NY, and Chicago for his services.

 

I had to go all the way back to 1996 to find a player (Jacques Jones) that would even be in the conversation as a 2nd rounder as good as Dozier.

 

Scott Baker and Anthony Swarzak are the only other two whose career WAR was higher than a single season WAR from Dozier.

 

The Twins have not done well in the 2nd round.

 

Baddoo, Rortvedt, Miranda and Leach have a chance at changing that, but all are low minors prospects at this point.I'm pretty sure Eades and Melotakis won't even make the Baker/Swarzak list.All other 2nd rounders are out of the system.

 

Anyway, Vanimal, I think the answer to your question is: Likely not.

 

Isn't prospect dreaming fun?!!

 

Edit:My bad ... I missed Jesse Crain (Still half the career WAR of Dozier so far)

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#19 kab21

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Posted 27 February 2018 - 06:52 PM

There are reasons to not sign Dozier to an extension or a new contract next offseason. His production during the last 5 years are not one of them. He has unarguably been GREAT. The lack of trade value is also meaningless. Very few contending teams needed a 2B last offseason and that drove down his value.

For the record I wouldn't sign Dozier to an extension or a new contract unless the market for him collapses for him. This could happen for similar reasons that FA has been slow this year. Teams don't seem keen on big contracts for aging players. This is justified by how many end up being dead weight for half of the contract.

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#20 BJames

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Posted 27 February 2018 - 06:55 PM

Well, if the Twins didn't (don't) extend him by the end of March, yes, he'll be gone next year.I see this as good and bad.He's a solid player, but we have some good young players on the way up that cost less and can do more as far as run and hit for AVG. Will we miss him as a lead-off? not that much. 




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