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Posted
Image courtesy of © Matt Blewett-Imagn Images

Acquired alongside left-handed starting pitcher Kendry Rojas in the last-minute trade deadline deal that sent the pride of North St. Paul, Louis Varland, to the Toronto Blue Jays, left-handed hitting outfielder Alan Roden instantly got run in a full-time role with the new-look Minnesota Twins, playing in 12 of the club's first 13 post-trade deadline games. The 25-year-old prospect moved among all three outfield spots, earning eight starts in left field and two in center field. The former Blue Jay also mixed into right field, sliding over as a defensive substitution in two games. 

Despite quickly becoming a fixture in Minnesota's lineup, Roden sustained a left thumb sprain on Aug. 10 that became worse with further aggravation, resulting in him being placed on the 60-day IL on Aug. 16 and prematurely ending his rookie campaign. Before sustaining his injury, Roden struggled at the plate with Minnesota, hitting .158/.200/.263, with six hits, one double, one home run, and a 26 wRC+ over 40 plate appearances. The left-handed hitting rookie's struggles weren't unique to Minnesota; he'd hit a similarly lackluster .204/.283/.306, with 20 hits, five doubles, one home run, and a 66 wRC+ over 113 plate appearances with Toronto. 

Thankfully, Roden underwent successful thumb surgery on Friday, meaning he should be able to compete for a 26-man roster spot come Spring Training. Interestingly, though, some sections of Twins Territory have already soured on Roden, less than one month into his Twins tenure. Yes, Roden struggled at the plate over 40 plate appearances. Yet, much of the angst surrounding the 25-year-old outfielder is seemingly the result of those who follow the club feeling bitter that Twins decision-makers parted ways with a Minnesota-born fan favorite to acquire him. 

Of course, it's impossible to really judge Roden based on the small sample of playing time he's accrued in the majors so far. It's equally unwieldy, this particular summer, to consider a player and their relationship with the fan base outside the context of last month's fire sale. Right now, fans can only view Roden through the dingy curtain of that alienating sequence of events: players being traded, and then the franchise being taken off the market.

Unlike the Pohlad family (and most billionaires), Roden is an accessible figure. Angered fans who watched the club post-deadline could identify the 25-year-old outfielder and direct their overwhelming sense of discontent and malaise onto him. Entering this offseason, though, those who follow the team should detach their initial perceptions of Roden from ownership's ineptitude, and instead analyze and assess him as a young, inexperienced outfielder who just graduated from prospect status. 

When assessing Roden through this lens, one soon realizes he possesses the tools necessary to quickly become an above-average MLB contributor in the field and at the plate. Sporting a hit-over-power profile with near-elite plate discipline, Roden has excelled in Toronto's minor-league system since being drafted in the third round of the 2022 MLB Draft, quickly ascending to Double-A in 2023 and generating a 138 wRC+ over 530 combined plate appearances between Double- and Triple-A in 2024. 

Roden's success in the high minors continued this season, as he hit .331/.423/.496 with a 9.2% strikeout rate and 149 wRC+ over 142 plate appearances for Triple-A Buffalo. As mentioned earlier, Roden's minor-league success has been the result of him making exceptional swing decisions, while possessing a high-contact profile and above-average power. 

Controlling the zone, the left-handed hitting outfielder can keep up with high-velocity pitches while being able to contend with breaking and offspeed pitches, meaning he should be able to counter adjustments made by major-league pitching. While he has yet to be able to effectively do so (again, he only has 153 major-league plate appearances), there is reason to hope that can change.

Assuming Twins decision-makers part ways with veteran outfielder Trevor Larnach this offseason, Roden will be in line to become the club's Opening Day left fielder. Fellow left-handed hitting outfielders James Outman and Matt Wallner could cut into his playing time. Yet, given his plus defense in a corner outfield spot (a skillset Wallner does not possess) while possessing the potential to become an above-average hitter (a skillset Outman does not possess), he should find some real opportunities.

That said, Roden's opportunity window to blossom into an everyday starting outfielder for Minnesota could be small, given top prospect Emmanuel Rodriguez and Walker Jenkins's proximity to the majors. Both top-ranked prospects could make their debuts in 2026. If they can produce at the plate while exhibiting good health, they could entrench themselves as everyday starting outfielders alongside franchise cornerstone centerfield Byron Buxton, making Wallner, Outman, and Roden's skillsets redundant. For now, though, Roden is well-positioned to become a full-time starter for Minnesota early next season. Despite his small-sample struggles with the Twins this season, there is reason to believe he could rise to the occasion. 


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Posted

Bright spot, seriously? To me he just looks like another Keirsey. The guy can play good defense, he's got some good speed. Problem is he can't hit. K's way too much. Sure, he has raked in the minors last few years, but never able to translate that to MLB success. We've seen this with Gasper too. Him and Outman are not viable major leaguers and it is very confusing as to why Falvey acquired them in the first place when seemingly every OF we have is already LH? Maybe he was hoping Roden would hit enough to where they would feel comfortable dumping Larnach or Wallner. I was all for letting Outman play out the year everyday after Roden went down. With something like a 45 percent K rate, I'd rather see Martin out there. See if he can be a viable 4rth OF. 

Posted

I don't know that Roden is a bright spot at all yet. It's still early to say he can't hit MLB pitching, but he'll be 26 next season, so he also can't be called a young player for much longer. 

The tools are intriguing, but he has to hit to make it. His AAA performances have been strong, but the leap from AAA to MLB is a really hard one, and there are a lot of players who can consistently abuse AAA pitchers by waiting for the inevitable mistake or punishing the known weakness that keep a pitcher from making it in MLB who get exposed in MLB by pitchers who don't make those same kind of mistakes or have easily exploitable weaknesses.

Roden will get a chance next season, and there's been enough AAA performance to warrant it...but he has to start hitting. If he doesn't he'll be a Quad-A guy, and unfortunately we've seen a few of those lately. At least he can fill in at CF and be a good defender in LF, but we also have Walker Jenkins pushing his way up and there's only so many LH outfielders the Twins can carry...

Posted

Bright spot is a tad strong LOL.  However,  right now I think he is fully in the plans for next year.   His contact rates are good,  he has good power and in the past has shown good defensive skill.   Yes his time up with the Twins wasn't great,  but he was actually improving and starting to provide a positive impact.   Giving up on a player on their first season of MLB experience is beyond stupid.  This fan base, many of the writers here are beyond fickle.  In this case you are one of the few showing excessive optimism - which I tend to agree with.  I still think Falvey is right for the position.  He is doing the job in the constraints of ownership.   As to Baldelli,  I am ready for a change.  I am all for analytics.  However the pinch hitting of our better hitters for a worse hitter even if it is to get a lefty or righty advantage is beyond stupid and hasn't paid off.  Its clear we don't teach bunting.  If we are going to be more a small ball team we have to be able to do the fundamentals.  Bunting is 1 of those.     

As to Roden, I expect an above average outfielder as soon as next year.   The only caveat is the gap between AAA and the MLB level is very evident right now.  Both Roden and Abel have dominated AAA.  They have met much stiffer competition up here.  They could both wash out,  but they still have the ability and skill to get better,  they just need to continue to improve.  

Posted

Roden could be an average MLB player but his skills are not polished yet and he should be near prime age. Do the Twins roll him out for a year on a 100 loss team and allow him to learn the MLB game with the hope he blossoms in a couple of years? Maybe. The plans for the team are not very evident to me. 

I don't have anything against Roden or others, but I'm wanting to see a few prospects who have been highly regarded step forward and play regularly. Is that going to happen? Emmanuel Rodriguez is looking more like a mirage than a Twins star; always on the IL and high K rates when he does play. And yet, still, I'm hoping for a miracle. If Roden is the miracle .... great.

Posted

Next year's Twins have very little chance at being a competitive team. Roden should just be written in as the everyday LF and let him sink or swim. As soon as May, Walker Jenkins could be knocking on the door, but he can play in RF if and when he's ready. God knows Wallner doesn't help the team playing out there. 

As for Larnach and Martin, they should never start a game in the OF the remainder of their MLB careers. 

Posted

The Twins are in a desperate "throw spaghetti at the wall and see if it sticks" mode. So yes, Roden, who has shown nothing at the ML level, is a small strand of spaghetti to lob out there.  That's the current Twins' version of a "bright spot".  Get your 2026 season tickets as soon as you can.

Posted
25 minutes ago, NYCTK said:

Next year's Twins have very little chance at being a competitive team. Roden should just be written in as the everyday LF and let him sink or swim. As soon as May, Walker Jenkins could be knocking on the door, but he can play in RF if and when he's ready. God knows Wallner doesn't help the team playing out there. 

As for Larnach and Martin, they should never start a game in the OF the remainder of their MLB careers. 

I wonder if trying Keaschall in the outfield might be a good move.  He's looked pretty shaky at 2B, and not sure what his arm is like in the OF, but he's athletic and puts his bat on the ball.  Keaschall in LF and Jenkins in RF and Culpepper at 2B might make them bearable to watch.

Posted

Since he was acquired, the vast majority of comments I've seen here are saying he has already failed.  How many great players struggled in their first 50-100 at bats?  Don't have any interest in researching that but would guess the answer is many or even most.  Will agree with your comment that the real dislike for this kid is the fact most or all of us were so upset they traded Louie. 

As you pointed out, his results at AA and AAA were not only good, but very good.  Again without spending a lot of time researching this, expect his numbers were similar to Jenkins, EmRod and Gonzalez.  Probably a bit less power than EmRod, but certainly better defense than Gonzalez and maybe EmRod also.  As for his age, he got to the Show as quickly as most college draft picks not named Kurtz, 

Let's give this young man a chance before sending him to the Twins Daily trash can.  As for openings in the outfield in 2026, agree that one of Larnach or Wallner will probably be gone before spring training.  Probably Larnach.  And unless Wallner begins hitting a heck of a lot better than he has this year, he could also be gone by then or next July at the latest.

 

Posted
3 hours ago, tony&rodney said:

Roden could be an average MLB player but his skills are not polished yet and he should be near prime age. Do the Twins roll him out for a year on a 100 loss team and allow him to learn the MLB game with the hope he blossoms in a couple of years? Maybe. The plans for the team are not very evident to me. 

I don't have anything against Roden or others, but I'm wanting to see a few prospects who have been highly regarded step forward and play regularly. Is that going to happen? Emmanuel Rodriguez is looking more like a mirage than a Twins star; always on the IL and high K rates when he does play. And yet, still, I'm hoping for a miracle. If Roden is the miracle .... great.

He's always going to have Louie chained around his neck like a millstone. Maybe it was France..

I'm not seeing anything to like in much of our existing outfield. If Buck isn't hurt he's sure thrown in the towel, it looks like. I'm thinking Larnach ($) but hoping Wallner is on the way out, and Martin looks like a lifelong Saint. Maybe the remaining existing left handed OF can play 1B if we don't get-have anybody else.. 

Since the Rodent went missing the team has really tanked. Not correlating but just noticing. Of course he will get a look next spring and I expect he'll be the 4th OF at the very least.

Posted

Samples are so deceiving.

What hope did people have in Stowers leading up to 2025? Entering his age 27 season he had a good 2022 AAA season with a wRC+ of 134 in AAA. Over three up and down seasons in Baltimore with an OPS+ of 83 and negative OOAs from corner OF. He used up his options. After the trade he had a 56 wRC+ in 172 PAs for the Marlins. Would the Twins have that kind of patience for a player whose value is the potential of his bat? That is the same wRC+ as Roden with the Twins. Outman is 75. Stowers turned it around and found that bat he showed in the minors. It took three years to find it.

It takes so much patience with some players. Sometimes patience beyond their available options. How much patience should the Twins have with Roden or even Outman? There is no guarantee they will find the bat they had in the minors. 

 

Posted

Finally some sanity from rdehering. Give Roden a chance for Chrissakes, He's all of what 150 MLB ABs, some of with a jammed thumb on which he has to have surgery. His MiLB track record and athleticism show exactly the type of player that this Board has been agitating for to replace Larnach (and/or Wallner).  

Look, none of us know if Roden will be the next Keirsey, Bader, Ozuna, or Trout. or somewhere in between. The good news is that his MiLB stats and profile suggest he could be an above average MLB regular. He should get a real shot next year to show what he can do based on his track record. Besides, who else we got?  

Twins Daily Contributor
Posted
39 minutes ago, LA VIkes Fan said:

Finally some sanity from rdehering. Give Roden a chance for Chrissakes, He's all of what 150 MLB ABs, some of with a jammed thumb on which he has to have surgery. His MiLB track record and athleticism show exactly the type of player that this Board has been agitating for to replace Larnach (and/or Wallner).  

Look, none of us know if Roden will be the next Keirsey, Bader, Ozuna, or Trout. or somewhere in between. The good news is that his MiLB stats and profile suggest he could be an above average MLB regular. He should get a real shot next year to show what he can do based on his track record. Besides, who else we got?  

LOL.

We don't know if Alan Roden is the next Mike Trout?

Alan Roden is 25. Do me a favor...go to Baseball Reference, look up Mike Trout, check what Mike Trout had accomplished at the same age, and get back to us.

 

Posted

.271/.384/.504

.331/.423/.496

The top one is what Trevor Larnach did in AAA at age 26 (after struggling in the majors in his debut). The bottom is what Roden did in AAA at age 25. Roden is the better fielder (though Larnach was better than he is now when he was younger). The Twins aren't crazy to think Roden is a low-key upgrade on Trevor Larnach. Larnach has provided about 1 WAR per season, Roden could do the same for league minimum.

Posted
1 hour ago, USAFChief said:

LOL.

We don't know if Alan Roden is the next Mike Trout?

Alan Roden is 25. Do me a favor...go to Baseball Reference, look up Mike Trout, check what Mike Trout had accomplished at the same age, and get back to us.

 

True but that wasn't the point the OP was making.

Twins Daily Contributor
Posted
2 minutes ago, Patzky said:

True but that wasn't the point the OP was making.

That's literally what the post I responded to claimed...Roden could be anywhere from Keirsey to Trout. 

 

Posted
7 minutes ago, USAFChief said:

That's literally what the post I responded to claimed...Roden could be anywhere from Keirsey to Trout. 

 

Have you never read hyperbole before? Often times people will say or write things in an exaggerated way in order to make a point. It's a very common rhetorical device. 

Posted
41 minutes ago, USAFChief said:

That's literally what the post I responded to claimed...Roden could be anywhere from Keirsey to Trout. 

 

No, Patzky was correct, you missed the point. That's my fault for not being more clear. The point is that after 150ish at bats we really know very little about what Alan Roden can or will be. He could be anwhere between Keirsey or an All Star. Let's just pump the brakes on an instant analysis and let him play so we can find out. 

By the way, in Trout's first 123 ABs he hit .220/.281/.390 (.671) with 6 HRs, so that is a little better than Roden who is .191/.261/.294 (.555) with 2 HRs in 136 ABs. Frankly, with a .671 OPS and no injury Roden would be hitting 5th on this Twins team. 

 

Posted

Many Twins prospects Flames gave either burned out or are on a very low set.  I doubt Roden is the answer.  He sure didn't look it in his abbreviated time with Twins.  So see what he can do next year.  He may join the Twins prospect heap pole of guys in their mid to upper twenties that were supposed to be good major league players but have stalled out.  We need to get rid of both Falvey and Rocco just for starters.

Posted
6 hours ago, Nshore said:

I wonder if trying Keaschall in the outfield might be a good move.  He's looked pretty shaky at 2B, and not sure what his arm is like in the OF, but he's athletic and puts his bat on the ball.  Keaschall in LF and Jenkins in RF and Culpepper at 2B might make them bearable to watch.

Keaschall has no arm.

Posted
5 hours ago, USAFChief said:

LOL.

We don't know if Alan Roden is the next Mike Trout?

Alan Roden is 25. Do me a favor...go to Baseball Reference, look up Mike Trout, check what Mike Trout had accomplished at the same age, and get back to us.

 

I know if Rhoden is the next Mike Trout.  He isn't.  Not even close.

Posted
3 hours ago, LA VIkes Fan said:

No, Patzky was correct, you missed the point. That's my fault for not being more clear. The point is that after 150ish at bats we really know very little about what Alan Roden can or will be. He could be anwhere between Keirsey or an All Star. Let's just pump the brakes on an instant analysis and let him play so we can find out. 

By the way, in Trout's first 123 ABs he hit .220/.281/.390 (.671) with 6 HRs, so that is a little better than Roden who is .191/.261/.294 (.555) with 2 HRs in 136 ABs. Frankly, with a .671 OPS and no injury Roden would be hitting 5th on this Twins team. 

 

As much as Trout struggled, looks to me like Roden was WAY worse. Not even a good comparable. 

Posted
3 hours ago, Parfigliano said:

Keaschall has no arm.

Wow.  I didn't realize that.  Which arm is missing?  How does he catch or throw a ball?

Posted

Heh...  remember when Austin Martin was the gem of the Blue Jays trade for El Machina?  

From the jump, this trade looks like another one of those.  I'm certainly willing to give the kid time, and I'd love to be proved wrong, but I wouldn't hang hopes on replacing our probable future closer with yet another pedestrian left-handed OF.

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