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Posted
Image courtesy of © Chris Pietsch/The Register-Guard / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Well, that’s a wrap, folks. The Twins' 2025 MLB Draft class is complete. I gotta say, I hate the shortened format. It’s already a cram session. Here’s a recap of what the Twins did on Day Two. To keep this consumable, I’ve kept writeups to ‘the headlines’. There’s some in-depth analysis on what I think are some interesting trends and developments at the top.

Analysis
Guys, the Twins are doing something different. We know some of the tendencies of the organization in the middle and late phases of the draft. Take a bunch of college right-handed pitchers. They will send them to velo camp, add 2-3 ticks to a bunch of fastballs, and as sure as the sun rises, a new regen of Zebby Matthews will appear. We know the Twins add velo well and add pitches to develop arsenals well. What if the arm talent was better to begin with?

After taking Riley Quick (who has been up to 99 mph) in Compensation Round A, the Twins took James Ellwanger in the third round; he’s also been up to 99 mph. Jason Reitz has been up to 98 mph, and Matt Barr (my favorite mid-round pick) has been up to 97 mph. The Twins are leaning into higher-end starting velocity for the arms they draft.

What’s the impact of this going to be? Well, that’s the fun part: we get to find out. Probably more flameouts and more volatility. Maybe some frustrating injuries. Definitely more upside. This is a gambit I like, and I hope it continues. If you can turn an 8th-round Matthews (who threw 92 mph with 70% strikes) into a back-end to mid-rotation guy, what can you do with Barr, his 97-mph high-spin heater, and a pair of breakers he can impart exceptional spin on?

Here’s some headlines of their day two guys.

Round 4: Jason Reitz, RHP, Oregon
Impossibly tall (6-foot-11) right-handed pitcher who began as a reliever before ending his collegiate career at Oregon. Fastball sits 93-94 mph, but has been as high as 98 mph. There’s a slider, changeup and cutter in his mix. In 64 1/3 IP in 2025, he managed a 3.01 FIP with a 26.8% strikeout rate.

Round 5: Matt Barr, RHP, SUNY Niagara CC
Barr has a great frame at 6-foot-6, 200 pounds. It’s a high-spin fastball at 97 mph, with elite spin traits on his slider/curveball combo. It’s raw, but it’s a good delivery. Very much in line with JUCO picks the Brewers have made in recent seasons. Barr is committed to Tennessee.

Round 6: Bruin Agbayani, SS, St. Louis School, HI
Agbayani is the son of Benny, who spent a few seasons in the big leagues. Bruin was committed to the University of Michigan and made a strong impression at the MLB Combine. It’s a hit-over-power profile that may grow into more extra-base impact with a projectable frame. Agbayani probably won’t stick at shortstop, but could stick somewhere else on the dirt. It's funny how familiar this pick feels, after the team took Quentin Young on Day One.

Round 7: Jacob McCombs, OF, UC Irvine
McCombs is a 21-year-old draft-eligible sophomore. The left-handed-hitting outfielder mashed for a talented Anteaters lineup, hitting .352/.446/.635 with 13 home runs and a 162 wRC+. It’s really solid bat-to-ball skills, with a measly 11.5% strikeout rate; his approach could use some refinement.

Round 8: Ryan Sprock, 3B, Elon
Sprock is a stocky corner infielder out of Elon with good bat speed and above-average power. He controls the strike zone well, walking 12.2% of the time and striking out just 13.3% of the time in 2025. Sprock ripped 13 home runs and carried a solid 136 wRC+ in 2025. The bat is carrying this profile.

Round 9: Justin Mitrovich, RHP, Elon
I love the Mitrovich pick. It’s really solid stuff, albeit with a little bit of a crossfire-fueled, unconventional delivery. Mitrovich sits in the low 90s with his fastball, but he’s been as high as 96 mph with a solid slider/changeup combo. A 3.56 FIP with slightly too many walks is solid clay for the Twins to work with. Get him in the lab for an arsenal makeover and a few extra ticks on the fastball.

Rounds 10: Shai Robinson, SS, Illinois State
Robinson is a shortstop out of Illinois State who has been oft-injured in his college career. It’s a plus arm with infield versatility. There’s a good approach with more walks than strikeouts. Robinson showed some pull side power in 2025, finishing with 10 home runs.

Round 11: Ryan Daniels, 2B, Connecticut 
A left-handed hitting infielder out of UConn, Daniels mashed in 2025. He managed a 175 wRC+, a 15.9% walk rate, a 16.3% strikeout rate, and 18 home runs. Likely a second baseman at the next level.

Round 12: Kolten Smith, RHP, Georgia
Smith came into 2025 with some pedigree and had a poor season, managing a 4.80 FIP, albeit with a 31.4% strikeout rate. Smith, when on, can run his fastball up to 96 mph, with a sweeper and additional offerings who throws enough strikes to continue starting.

Round 13: Callan Fang, RHP, Harvard
Fang is a fun arm out of Harvard. A good frame with a quick arm, Fang has been up to 95 mph with his fastball, though it struggles to generate whiffs. There’s a good changeup in the mix, too, in addition to a breaking ball that needs more velo. Fang is a good strike thrower. He’s a solid bet to come out in 2026 with a pretty different looking arsenal.

Round 14: Merit Jones, RHP, Utah
The Twins drafted Jones in 2024 but he returned to school. He had a poor 2025 but performed extremely well in the MLB Draft League. 

Rounds 15: Reed Moring, RHP, UC Santa Barbara
A righty out of UCSB who had limited innings in 2025. Moring had a 3.60 FIP, striking out 28% of hitters (great) and walking 16% (less great) in just 17.2 IP.

Round 16: Jonathan Stevens, RHP, Alabama
Stevens hasn’t pitched for Alabama, appearing most recently on the Cape for Bourne. I got very little here guys, give us a day or two!

Round 17: JP Smith, 3B, Sacramento State
Smith is a 20 year old, right-handed hitting infielder out of Sac State. It’s big time juice with a lot of swing and miss issues and hit tool questions. In 2025, he took almost 12% off his strikeout rate, while also sacrificing some home run power in the process.

Round 18: Matthew Dalquist, RHP, UC San Diego
A multi-year starter at UCSD, Dalquist is a bit more what we are used to with some of the Twins later round arms, extreme strike throwing and control. He walked just 3.7% of hitters in 2025. There’s not enough swing and miss generated as yet, but we know what the Twins do well with pitchers.

Round 19: Matthew Becker, LHP, South Carolina
A 22-year-old lefty senior sign. Becker put up a 3.98 FIP in 47.1 innings in the SEC in 2025, not bad. It’s whiff generating stuff with a strikeout rate approaching 30%, but too many walks sprinkled in here too.

Round 20: Michael Hilker, RHP, Arizona
Hilker was limited to two starts and some relief appearances for Arizona in 2025 (22.1 IP). He managed a 1.59 FIP with a 29 % strikeout rate and a 4.3% walk rate.


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Posted

I thought the prior pitching plan was probably the best thing the Twins had done with these draft picks; instead of trying to improve command, use science to improve velocity? That was a fantastic move.

"We're going to take high velocity pitchers with injury and command issues, and fix the injury and command issues" has been a draft mantra since the draft began, and it fails just about every time.

Posted

Barr was such a well known name heading into the second day and yet he lasted to the 5th round.  Are there more questions there than we think, or teams just felt the guys they grabbed were better value.  Have to believe the Brewers might be mad that the Twins grabbed him before they did.

I was surprised they took a High school kid in the 6th round.  I assume they won't need much extra money to sign him because I don't see a lot of senior signs to take less money.  Nice bat and frame.  It would seem he could add more power. Will have to wait and see.

Any news on Ryan Daniels?  The Twins took him with their 11th rounder and that usually is a spot where they take a chance on someone who might not sign that they think belonged in the top 200 players or so.  Reading an article it sounded like he was contacted by 29 of the 30 teams, but hadn't made up his mind if he would come back or go pro. 

Thanks for the info on Merit Jones.  I have to say I was confused by that pick given it looked like his stuff backed up on him.  I am sure they have a plan for him.

Not sure if I just didn't get as much info on players before, but picks 14 through 20 just didn't seem as full of potential as other years.  Not that it matters that much as they rarely get very far, but it looked like they went more for a lot of guys with poor fastballs\poor results and good secondaries. 

While I get that the Twins have been good at adding velocity I am not as convinced they have been able to get flat fastballs to change shape and it looks like that is what is needed for several of these guys. I am looking at Tanner Hall as an example from the 2023 draft.  He had an elite changeup but is still getting hit hard at High A. Jeremy Lee would be another one.  I get that not everyone works out, but when you get one you get a Festa, Matthews type arm.  This draft it seemed a bit less promising to me for some reason.

Overall this was a very balanced draft. through the top 11 picks they grabbed 6 position players and 5 pitchers.  After the top 300 players it generally doesn't matter much, but they got some arms to work with. Personally I would have gotten more arms at picks 6 and 7 but I do like the profiles of the hitters they did take.  Most all have good contact rates.  Hoping all these guys make it. Go Twins.

 

Posted

Lowed the first two picks, Jamie.

Have a question about Barr.  Is he going to be a tough signing?  As a juco pick, I am guessing he has at least two years eligibility remaining.  At #5, his bonus slot isn't all that big.  Love the talent, but am concerned about signability.

On the other hand, they didn't pick a high school kid at #11 who would require an overpay.  So maybe they have the money to get Barr signed.

Eight college pitchers from the final ten picks.  Love it.  Only problem I see is their taking no catchers.  Are they more happy with several of their current catchers in the organization than we fans are?

Posted

Five position players with picks in rounds 4 to 20 and the only mention of defense is that two might be able to play in the infield.  

Posted

This is the part of the draft where expecting to really know much about the players true prospects is beyond me. I'll be interested to see where these guys are in a year or so and see if anyone has broken out. I expect someone will, but I really don't have any idea who that will be right now?

Interesting to grab a 6'11" pitcher. Twins do have some experience in working with tall guys, but this is a real outlier. Sure will be fun if her figures it our though!

Posted
43 minutes ago, Dman said:

Barr was such a well known name heading into the second day and yet he lasted to the 5th round.  Aere there more questions there than we think or teams just felt guys they grabbed were better value.  Have to believe the Brewers might be mad the Twins grabbed before they did.

I was surprised they took a High school kid in the 6th round.  I assume they won't need much extra money to sign him because I don't see a lot of senior signs to take less money.  Nice bat and frame.  It would seem he could add more power. Will have to wait and see.

Any news on Ryan Daniels?  The Twins took him with their 11th rounder and that usually is a spot where they take a chance on someone who might not sign that they think belonged in the top 200 players or so.  Reading an article it sounded like he was contacted by 29 of the 30 teams, but hadn't made up his mind if he would come back or go pro. 

Thanks for the info on Merit Jones.  I have to say I was confused by that pick given it looked like his stuff backed up on him.  I am sure they have a plan for him.

Not sure if I just didn't get as much info on players before, but picks 14 through 20 just didn't seem as full of potential as other years.  Not that it matters that much as they rarely get very far, but it looked they went more for a lot guys with poor fastballs\poor results and good secondaries. 

While I get that the Twins have been good at adding velocity I am not as convinced they have been able to get flat fastballs to change shape and it looks like is what is needed for several of these guys. I am looking at Tanner Hall as an example from the 2023 draft.  He had an elite changeup but is still getting hit hard at High A. Jeremy Lee would be another one.  I get that not everyone works out, but when you get one you get a Festa, Matthews type arm.  This draft it seemed a bit less promising to me for some reason.

Overall this was a very balanced draft. through the top 11 picks they grabbed 6 position players and 5 pitchers.  After the top 300 players it generally doesn't matter much, but they got some arms to work with. Personally I would have gotten more arms at picks 6 and 7 but I do like the profiles of the hitters they did take.  Most all have good contact rates.  Hoping all these guys make it. Go Twins.

 

Barr is by far my favorite pick (at slot) in the entire draft.  There should not be sign ability issues.  I guess hiccups getting into Tennessee the last few weeks.  Electric stuff.  If Vitello wants him, I want him.  Love this draft!

Twins Daily Contributor
Posted
51 minutes ago, Dman said:

Barr was such a well known name heading into the second day and yet he lasted to the 5th round.  Aere there more questions there than we think or teams just felt guys they grabbed were better value.  Have to believe the Brewers might be mad the Twins grabbed before they did.

I was surprised they took a High school kid in the 6th round.  I assume they won't need much extra money to sign him because I don't see a lot of senior signs to take less money.  Nice bat and frame.  It would seem he could add more power. Will have to wait and see.

Any news on Ryan Daniels?  The Twins took him with their 11th rounder and that usually is a spot where they take a chance on someone who might not sign that they think belonged in the top 200 players or so.  Reading an article it sounded like he was contacted by 29 of the 30 teams, but hadn't made up his mind if he would come back or go pro. 

Thanks for the info on Merit Jones.  I have to say I was confused by that pick given it looked like his stuff backed up on him.  I am sure they have a plan for him.

Not sure if I just didn't get as much info on players before, but picks 14 through 20 just didn't seem as full of potential as other years.  Not that it matters that much as they rarely get very far, but it looked they went more for a lot guys with poor fastballs\poor results and good secondaries. 

While I get that the Twins have been good at adding velocity I am not as convinced they have been able to get flat fastballs to change shape and it looks like is what is needed for several of these guys. I am looking at Tanner Hall as an example from the 2023 draft.  He had an elite changeup but is still getting hit hard at High A. Jeremy Lee would be another one.  I get that not everyone works out, but when you get one you get a Festa, Matthews type arm.  This draft it seemed a bit less promising to me for some reason.

Overall this was a very balanced draft. through the top 11 picks they grabbed 6 position players and 5 pitchers.  After the top 300 players it generally doesn't matter much, but they got some arms to work with. Personally I would have gotten more arms at picks 6 and 7 but I do like the profiles of the hitters they did take.  Most all have good contact rates.  Hoping all these guys make it. Go Twins.

 

Daniels had an incredible season, I hope they get him signed. I think R5 is pretty high for a JUCO guy, he has decent leverage with a Tennessee commit (who do exceptionally well with high octane arms) so I'm sure they know the price. 

RE the pitching development stuff. I think after the success of the '22 guys (Lewis, Zebby, Morris etc) we haven't seen as many of the college arms take a big step forwards in subsequent years. I think they view polishing arsenals as a hole, and figuring out what works for guys as a strength, so that'll be the meat on the bone with some of the guys who already throw hard, in addition to getting a little more juice if it's there to be had.

Twins Daily Contributor
Posted
53 minutes ago, rdehring said:

Lowed the first two picks, Jamie.

Have a question about Barr.  Is he going to be a tough signing?  As a juco pick, I am guessing he has at least two years eligibility remaining.  At #5, his bonus slot isn't all that big.  Love the talent, but am concerned about signability.

On the other hand, they didn't pick a high school kid at #11 who would require an overpay.  So maybe they have the money to get Barr signed.

Eight college pitchers from the final ten picks.  Love it.  Only problem I see is their taking no catchers.  Are they more happy with several of their current catchers in the organization than we fans are?

I'd be surprised if they don't agree with Barr, Twins don't usually take signability risks (like the Brewers), but he does have a good commitment. Idk about the C thing. Everyone really seems to want them to stock up. I'll try and ask around about that.

Twins Daily Contributor
Posted
28 minutes ago, jmlease1 said:

This is the part of the draft where expecting to really know much about the players true prospects is beyond me. I'll be interested to see where these guys are in a year or so and see if anyone has broken out. I expect someone will, but I really don't have any idea who that will be right now?

Interesting to grab a 6'11" pitcher. Twins do have some experience in working with tall guys, but this is a real outlier. Sure will be fun if her figures it our though!

Yeah Reitz is a fun one. However tall you think he's going to look, you won't be prepared for what he actually looks like :)

Posted

This is what I noticed about the draft, too,   They actually are investing in real pitchers rather than more or less longshots.  I thought they should have done that in round 2, as well.  Take a hitter in round 1 who needs the least help and development (because you aren't developing hitting), then take the best looking pitchers you can.  Lean into your strengths.

I thought they did poorly with their first pick and second rd pick, the hitters.  The pitchers in rds 1 and 3 seem like better candidates than they've drafted before for their college development projects.  I have fewer opinions on the day 2 pitchers, but I sort of trust they know what they're looking for there.

I can't say the same for any hitter they draft.

Posted
24 minutes ago, Jamie Cameron said:

Daniels had an incredible season, I hope they get him signed. I think R5 is pretty high for a JUCO guy, he has decent leverage with a Tennessee commit (who do exceptionally well with high octane arms) so I'm sure they know the price. 

RE the pitching development stuff. I think after the success of the '22 guys (Lewis, Zebby, Morris etc) we haven't seen as many of the college arms take a big step forwards in subsequent years. I think they view polishing arsenals as a hole, and figuring out what works for guys as a strength, so that'll be the meat on the bone with some of the guys who already throw hard, in addition to getting a little more juice if it's there to be had.

For a minute there in the 5th round I thought they were going to take Dickerson.  I liked the Barr pick better, but they had a chance to grab him in the 4th or 5th round.  Still they got some interesting bats after that, but I did think they were going to take him there in the 5th since he had fallen.  Would have been a cool story but I like what they did better.

Posted
33 minutes ago, Jamie Cameron said:

Daniels had an incredible season, I hope they get him signed. I think R5 is pretty high for a JUCO guy, he has decent leverage with a Tennessee commit (who do exceptionally well with high octane arms) so I'm sure they know the price. 

RE the pitching development stuff. I think after the success of the '22 guys (Lewis, Zebby, Morris etc) we haven't seen as many of the college arms take a big step forwards in subsequent years. I think they view polishing arsenals as a hole, and figuring out what works for guys as a strength, so that'll be the meat on the bone with some of the guys who already throw hard, in addition to getting a little more juice if it's there to be had.

This is a great take.  For years I think Falvey and the staff felt the were great at getting diamonds in the rough regarding 3-4 yr college pitchers with average stuff, and turning them into something.  It doesn't seem that strategy has worked other than to deliver solid AAA arms (sans Ober, Jax).  Top teams need high end starters not 4/5's.  I guess Last year Soto, there's been Prielipp, leech, Enlow. Hopefully they got it right.  But I do like the attempt. 

Posted
18 minutes ago, Wedman13 said:

This is a great take.  For years I think Falvey and the staff felt the were great at getting diamonds in the rough regarding 3-4 yr college pitchers with average stuff, and turning them into something.  It doesn't seem that strategy has worked other than to deliver solid AAA arms (sans Ober, Jax).  Top teams need high end starters not 4/5's.  I guess Last year Soto, there's been Prielipp, leech, Enlow. Hopefully they got it right.  But I do like the attempt. 

I think it's a little early to write off Festa, Matthews, and Morris as being "solid AAA" arms.

Yes, top teams need high-end starters, but those are also hard to find. That said, there are more paths to getting one than just drafting the guys with the best stuff at the time of the draft and hoping.

Posted

I was really surprised they didn't take a single catcher when they appear to really need some in their system.  Noah Cardenas looks like he's got the defensive chops but needs work with his hitting.  Hardly anyone else sticks out.

Hot Take:  I think the Twins are going to make a bid at the deadline to bring in their "Catcher of the Future."  Whether it's a deal built around Jhoan Duran for Dalton Rushing or a Quero or Kyle Teel...there is SOMEBODY out there that I think the Twins have their eye on and who they think they have a strong feeling they'll get him.

I've complained in the past about this Twins FO seemingly NOT having an off season plan.  In this instance, I'm hoping they have a trade deadline plan.  

Posted

I do love the clusterbombing the midrounds for pitching prospects strategy, the more volatile spot could use more rolls of the dice. I hope the 6' 11" guy makes it up, he looks like he'd be fun to watch. I was already enjoying that we took an O-lineman SP in the late 1st.

Posted
1 hour ago, TopGunn#22 said:

I was really surprised they didn't take a single catcher when they appear to really need some in their system.  Noah Cardenas looks like he's got the defensive chops but needs work with his hitting.  Hardly anyone else sticks out.

Hot Take:  I think the Twins are going to make a bid at the deadline to bring in their "Catcher of the Future."  Whether it's a deal built around Jhoan Duran for Dalton Rushing or a Quero or Kyle Teel...there is SOMEBODY out there that I think the Twins have their eye on and who they think they have a strong feeling they'll get him.

I've complained in the past about this Twins FO seemingly NOT having an off season plan.  In this instance, I'm hoping they have a trade deadline plan.  

You sell at the trade deadline and buy in the offseason. Get the best prospects available in July, trade for areas of need in December/January.

Posted
4 hours ago, strumdatjag said:

Big point - Not a single catcher taken.   

Follow up question on this:

How often do we see position players converted to catchers in the minors. I know we see catchers converted to position players regularly (Justin Morneau anyone?), does it often happen the other way around?

Posted
23 minutes ago, Fire Dan Gladden said:

Follow up question on this:

How often do we see position players converted to catchers in the minors. I know we see catchers converted to position players regularly (Justin Morneau anyone?), does it often happen the other way around?

They seem to have spent the last couple of drafts/signings sticking their system with almost catchers.

They drafted Diaw in the 3rd round last season and he is hitting pretty well  in Cedar Rapids.  He is a catcher (25 games) and OF (10 games).

They have Ricardo Olivar in Wichita and he is hitting pretty well.   He is a catcher (28 games) OF (18 games) and DH (20 games).  AA also has 2022 draft picks Andrew Cossetti and Noah Baez who are more traditional catchers.

2021 draft pick Noah Cardenas is in AAA.alog with Jair Camargo.  

While with the exception of Diaw I don't think we have much talent in the minors at this position, they have catchers enough to fill the minor league rosters.   This does not seem to be a position that the Twins management prioritizes.

Posted

I would say the Twins did a couple of things I thought were changeups from previous drafts.

1.   We drafted way fewer college seniors than we seemed to draft in previous drafts.  In 2025 we selected only 2 college seniors and they were late round picks (18th and 19th round).   This means in the draft slotted rounds we did not take a senior NCAA player who normally are signed to lower slot values.

In 2024 we drafted 5 (5th, 10th rounds).  In 2023 we drafted 4 (7th round).  In 2022 we drafted 5 (4th, 7th, 8th, 10th, 11th).

2.   We drafted 3 4 yr college sophomore eligibles including our 3rd and 7th round pick, along with 16th rounder.  In 2024 we drafted 1 sophomore eligible, Merit Jones who we redrafted in 2025.  IN 2023 we did not draft a single sophomore eligible.  In 2022 we drafted one, Tanner Schobel who was our 3rd round pick.   So we selected more in 2025 than previous 3 drafts combined.  

3.  This is just a casual obervation, but it also seemed to me that in the 2025 draft the Twins selected their players much more to what the different rating consensus was.  If you use MLB draft prospect ratings, the Twins selected their first 7 players within range of how MLB rated them.   In 2024 their 4th and 5th round players were not even rated in the top 250,  and Diaw their 3rd rounder was rated much lower.  And this is the pattern in the 2023 and 2022 drafts.  

I am not sure what the explanation, if any, for why they did not draft 4th years seniors, although the higher number in 2022 was probably due to the covid years.  

Just some thoughts.

 

Posted
4 hours ago, jmlease1 said:

This is the part of the draft where expecting to really know much about the players true prospects is beyond me. I'll be interested to see where these guys are in a year or so and see if anyone has broken out. I expect someone will, but I really don't have any idea who that will be right now?

Interesting to grab a 6'11" pitcher. Twins do have some experience in working with tall guys, but this is a real outlier. Sure will be fun if her figures it our though!

There probably aren't many here that remember a tall pitcher for the Braves back in I don't know, maybe late '50's.  They had Gene Conley, who if memory serves was 6'10 or 6'11.  All players worked during the offseason back then.  His winter job was with the Boston Celtics.

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