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Image courtesy of © Brett Davis-Imagn Images I take MLB mock draft rankings from major industry outlets like MLB Pipeline, ESPN, The Athletic (and many others) to form a consensus board, with a working hypothesis that using this approach will eliminate some of the noise and variance in MLB Draft mock rankings. This is the final mock draft board, locked in just before the 2026 MLB Draft on Saturday, July 11. Round 1: Grady Emerson, SS, Fort Worth Christian HS, TX Emerson is a UT commit and the number one prep prospect in the 2026 class. There might be a little prospect fatigue with Emerson by draft day, as he's been well known since he was 15, and there's less transparency around both data and benchmarks for the top prep prospects in the country. Make no mistake, though, Emerson is a prize in this draft. He might be the best overall hitter in it. It's a relaxed setup, a direct, short left-handed swing, and some adjustability that allows Emerson to keep his barrel in the zone as long as possible and take what he's given by a pitcher. Everything is good here, offensively. During the 2025 summer showcase circuit, Emerson showcased strong bat-to-ball skills, excellent swing decisions, and improved bat speed that indicates above-average power may be on the way. Emerson is a plus runner, to boot. Defensively, he has all the ingredients to stick at the position, with a strong glove, excellent throwing arm, and a good level of defensive polish for his age at the position. Emerson should be one of the first names off the board in July. Round 2: Brody Bumila, LHP, Bishop Feehan HS, MA Draft aficionados will be used to the concept of a cold-weather arm rising throughout the cycle. They don't all look like Brody Bumila, though. The 6'9 two-sport star committed to Texas has been making waves this spring. As you might expect from such a unique frame, there's unique stuff to match. Bumila relies on a fastball that has been as high as 101 mph. It sits in the high 90s, coming at hitters from a drop and drive delivery and a lower launch, with good ride at the top of the zone, making it a nightmare for prep hitters in MA. There's plenty of work to do on the secondary arsenal. Bumila relies most heavily on a changeup, thrown in the low 80s, but he'll mix in a slider and a curveball, too. This is a size and stuff over polish prep arm in what could be one of the higher risk, higher reward plays of the entire class. NOTE: Bumila is dealing with a UCL injury that became public on 07.06. It's unclear the extent of the injury, but it will certainly cloud his draft status. Competitive Balance Round B: Brett Renfrow, RHP, Virginia Tech Renfrow was previously a two-way player who began to focus solely on pitching when he got to campus at Virginia Tech. This is a class draft 'type', a college starter where stuff and production haven't quite met. I'd classify Renfrow as someone with a significant 'up arrow' this spring, though. It's a good frame, and he's about to surpass 70 innings for the third consecutive season. Renfrow has slowly ticked up his strikeout rate while reducing his walk rate, exactly what you want to see. In terms of stuff, the fastball is good. It sits at 94 mph and has been up to 97 mph, playing well at the top of the zone. There's a slider/cutter hybrid he throws in the upper 80s, a curveball with plenty of depth that sits in the low 80s, and a changeup with good horizontal action. Renfrow is a pitcher you can see making significant strides in a pro organization. There are plenty of starter traits here. In 73.2 innings in 2026, Renfrow managed a 4.67 FIP, while striking out 27.7% of hitters and walking just 7.9%. Round 3: Ethan Kleinschmidt, LHP, Oregon State Kleinschmidt was a JUCO lefty who transferred to Oregon State after his freshman year. Since then, he's been a mainstay in the Beavers' rotation, posting with consistency as a supplement to otherworldly righty Dax Whitney. Kleinschmidt has a long arm stroke from the left side of the plate. His fastball has been up to 95 mph with good tail, but typically sits in the 90-93 mph range. There's an above-average slider and changeup in the mix, too, along with the ability to throw strikes with consistency. Kleinschmidt has produced consistently strong results in two seasons for the Beavers. If he's able to add some more strength and get an uptick in velocity as a pro, he has starter traits. In 2026, he managed a 4.11 FIP, striking out 29.7% of hitters while walking 8.3% in 77 innings of work. Round 4: Savion Sims, RHP, Prestonwood Christian Academy HS, TX Sims has some of the best raw pitching clay in the class. He's a 6'8 right-handed pitcher out of Texas, committed to Oklahoma, who will be 19 on draft day. The lanky frame and long limbs produce ridiculous velocity with ease. Sims has been over 100 mph with his fastball, and it'll comfortably sit 96-97 mph. His secondary arsenal requires work; there's a two-plane slider he throws in the mid-80s and a high-80s changeup. Both of his secondary pitches have somewhat inconsistent shapes. There are delivery traits to like too, as Sims can get to 7 plus feet of extension down the mound and creates a steepness in his delivery after raising his arm slot. Sims will be a slow burn, and there's a ton of work to do on the arsenal, but this is uncommon arm talent, Curious to see the players around the Minnesota Twins' picks in the draft? Click on the button below to view the entire mock draft board! View full article
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I take MLB mock draft rankings from major industry outlets like MLB Pipeline, ESPN, The Athletic (and many others) to form a consensus board, with a working hypothesis that using this approach will eliminate some of the noise and variance in MLB Draft mock rankings. This is the final mock draft board, locked in just before the 2026 MLB Draft on Saturday, July 11. Round 1: Grady Emerson, SS, Fort Worth Christian HS, TX Emerson is a UT commit and the number one prep prospect in the 2026 class. There might be a little prospect fatigue with Emerson by draft day, as he's been well known since he was 15, and there's less transparency around both data and benchmarks for the top prep prospects in the country. Make no mistake, though, Emerson is a prize in this draft. He might be the best overall hitter in it. It's a relaxed setup, a direct, short left-handed swing, and some adjustability that allows Emerson to keep his barrel in the zone as long as possible and take what he's given by a pitcher. Everything is good here, offensively. During the 2025 summer showcase circuit, Emerson showcased strong bat-to-ball skills, excellent swing decisions, and improved bat speed that indicates above-average power may be on the way. Emerson is a plus runner, to boot. Defensively, he has all the ingredients to stick at the position, with a strong glove, excellent throwing arm, and a good level of defensive polish for his age at the position. Emerson should be one of the first names off the board in July. Round 2: Brody Bumila, LHP, Bishop Feehan HS, MA Draft aficionados will be used to the concept of a cold-weather arm rising throughout the cycle. They don't all look like Brody Bumila, though. The 6'9 two-sport star committed to Texas has been making waves this spring. As you might expect from such a unique frame, there's unique stuff to match. Bumila relies on a fastball that has been as high as 101 mph. It sits in the high 90s, coming at hitters from a drop and drive delivery and a lower launch, with good ride at the top of the zone, making it a nightmare for prep hitters in MA. There's plenty of work to do on the secondary arsenal. Bumila relies most heavily on a changeup, thrown in the low 80s, but he'll mix in a slider and a curveball, too. This is a size and stuff over polish prep arm in what could be one of the higher risk, higher reward plays of the entire class. NOTE: Bumila is dealing with a UCL injury that became public on 07.06. It's unclear the extent of the injury, but it will certainly cloud his draft status. Competitive Balance Round B: Brett Renfrow, RHP, Virginia Tech Renfrow was previously a two-way player who began to focus solely on pitching when he got to campus at Virginia Tech. This is a class draft 'type', a college starter where stuff and production haven't quite met. I'd classify Renfrow as someone with a significant 'up arrow' this spring, though. It's a good frame, and he's about to surpass 70 innings for the third consecutive season. Renfrow has slowly ticked up his strikeout rate while reducing his walk rate, exactly what you want to see. In terms of stuff, the fastball is good. It sits at 94 mph and has been up to 97 mph, playing well at the top of the zone. There's a slider/cutter hybrid he throws in the upper 80s, a curveball with plenty of depth that sits in the low 80s, and a changeup with good horizontal action. Renfrow is a pitcher you can see making significant strides in a pro organization. There are plenty of starter traits here. In 73.2 innings in 2026, Renfrow managed a 4.67 FIP, while striking out 27.7% of hitters and walking just 7.9%. Round 3: Ethan Kleinschmidt, LHP, Oregon State Kleinschmidt was a JUCO lefty who transferred to Oregon State after his freshman year. Since then, he's been a mainstay in the Beavers' rotation, posting with consistency as a supplement to otherworldly righty Dax Whitney. Kleinschmidt has a long arm stroke from the left side of the plate. His fastball has been up to 95 mph with good tail, but typically sits in the 90-93 mph range. There's an above-average slider and changeup in the mix, too, along with the ability to throw strikes with consistency. Kleinschmidt has produced consistently strong results in two seasons for the Beavers. If he's able to add some more strength and get an uptick in velocity as a pro, he has starter traits. In 2026, he managed a 4.11 FIP, striking out 29.7% of hitters while walking 8.3% in 77 innings of work. Round 4: Savion Sims, RHP, Prestonwood Christian Academy HS, TX Sims has some of the best raw pitching clay in the class. He's a 6'8 right-handed pitcher out of Texas, committed to Oklahoma, who will be 19 on draft day. The lanky frame and long limbs produce ridiculous velocity with ease. Sims has been over 100 mph with his fastball, and it'll comfortably sit 96-97 mph. His secondary arsenal requires work; there's a two-plane slider he throws in the mid-80s and a high-80s changeup. Both of his secondary pitches have somewhat inconsistent shapes. There are delivery traits to like too, as Sims can get to 7 plus feet of extension down the mound and creates a steepness in his delivery after raising his arm slot. Sims will be a slow burn, and there's a ton of work to do on the arsenal, but this is uncommon arm talent, Curious to see the players around the Minnesota Twins' picks in the draft? Click on the button below to view the entire mock draft board!
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This guide is a comprehensive look at the 2026 MLB Draft with a focus on the Minnesota Twins. You’ll find a list of key dates for the draft cycle, including the release of bonus pools and pick values, the MLB Draft combine, and a breakdown of the draft itself. Additionally, you’ll find an overview of the draft combine and MLB draft weekend, in addition to links to other important draft resources like the consensus board. Twins 2025 MLB Draft Recap The Twins picked in the middle of the first round in 2025. After a run on up-the-middle prep bats, Minnesota opted for glove-first shortstop Marek Houston out of Wake Forest with the 16th overall pick. The Twins leaned into velocity in drafting college arms earlier than in previous years. They nabbed Alabama righty Riley Quick with their Comp A pick (36th), DBU flamethrower James Ellwanger in the third round, and ent-like righty Jason Reitz (6’11) in the fourth round. The Twins added some additional prep bats with upside, selecting towering, power-forward infielder Quenton Young (nephew of Delmon and Dmitri) in the second round (54th overall) and Bruin Agbayani out of Hawaii, a hit-first infielder, in the 6th round (179th). When Is The 2026 MLB Draft? April 1st 2026 - MLB announced draft bonus pools and pick values June 2026 - MLB Draft Combine (Chase Field, Arizona) July 11th - 12th: 2026 MLB Draft (Philadelphia, PA) July 11th - Rounds 1-4 (time TBA) July 12th - Round 5 through Round 20 (time TBA) 2026 MLB Draft Combine The draft combine is a newer event that started in the 2021 draft cycle. Held over a five-day period around a month before the draft itself, it serves as an opportunity for prospects to showcase their talents and boost their draft stock, while giving organizations better access to potential picks. In addition to medical examinations and educational programming, players have an opportunity to meet with teams in advance of the draft. Additionally, there are a number of televised workouts, featuring infield and outfield drills, batting practice for hitters, and bullpens for pitchers, all of which is tracked and underpinned by Statcast data. There is an incentive for players to attend and complete medicals, as prospects are guaranteed 75 percent of their draft slot bonus if they participate and complete medicals. How Many Rounds Are There In The MLB Draft? There is yet another design shift ahead of the 2026 draft cycle. It was shortened from a three-day event to a two-day event. Previously, day one included rounds 1 through the supplemental second round, day two included rounds 3 through 10, and day three included rounds 10 through 20. For the 2026 cycle, day one will be adjusted to include rounds one through four (~135 picks). The draft will conclude on day two with rounds five through twenty. MLB Draft Day One Explained The first day of the draft can be chaotic as there are additional rounds and picks in play beyond rounds one and two. The top of the draft (top 6 picks) is now determined by the draft lottery. Every non-playoff team is entered into the lottery, giving them the opportunity to move up in the draft order. Non-lottery eligible teams pick in the order they are eliminated from the postseason, with regular-season record-breaking ties. After the first round, prospect promotion incentive picks take place. If an eligible player wins Rookie of the Year, they earn their organization an extra pick immediately after the completion of the first round. Next come compensation picks, where teams who extend the qualifying offer to a player (who rejects it) earn an additional draft pick. Compensation pick positions depend on the contract size signed by the player rejecting the qualifying offer, in addition to the payroll of the organization receiving them (there are additional compensation picks after competitive balance round B and the fourth round). After any compensation picks, comes the competitive balance round A. Teams that have one of the ten smallest markets or ten smallest revenue pools receive an additional pick in round A or round B, on an annually rotating basis. The first day of the draft is capped by the second round, competitive balance round B, and the third round, which typically takes us through approximately 100 picks. MLB Draft Bonus Pool Allocations & Pick Values Prior to the draft, in April, MLB announces each team's bonus pool for the forthcoming draft cycle and pick values for every pick in the top ten rounds of the draft. Each pick in the first ten rounds of the draft is assigned a value, with the total of the slots for the picks each organization has in the top ten rounds comprising their total ‘bonus pool’. Organizations can sign a player to a deal greater than a slot or less than a slot, depending on their negotiations with the player, so it’s useful to think of the slots as ‘guidelines’ and little more. Organizations are allowed to spend up to 5% more than their total pool without incurring a penalty, a choice many teams take advantage of. The Twins and the Rockies are the only teams that have never spent any overage on their bonus pool. Any amount up to 5% over the pool is met with a 75% tax on the overage. If a team spends between 5-10% more than their pool, the penalty is 75% tax on the overage and loss of a future first-rounder. Any team that exceeds its bonus pool by more than 10% up to 15% pays 100% tax on the overage and will lose a first and second-round future pick. Any team that exceeds its bonus pool by more than 15% loses two future first-round picks in addition to paying 100% tax on the overage. Rounds 11-20 work differently from the first half of the draft. These picks do not come with an assigned slot value. Teams can spend up to $150,000 per pick without that spending coming out of their bonus pool. If they spend over that amount, any overage will be deducted from their bonus pool. For example, an 11th-round pick signing for $250,000 will result in $100,000 being subtracted from that team’s bonus pool. This is where some financial strategy comes into play. Often, teams will look to accrue some ‘savings’ from their bonus pool so they can spend over the maximum of $150,000 for a prospect in the second half of the draft. The first day of the draft is capped by the second round, competitive balance round B, and the third and fourth rounds, which typically takes us through approximately 135 picks. NOTE: Slot values increased by 2.5% from 2025 to 2026. View Twins Mock Draft Board Twins 2026 MLB Draft Bonus Pool Round Pick Slot Value Round 1 3rd $9,740,100 Round 2 43rd $2,333,200 Comp B 74th $1,138,600 Round 3 79th $1,052,700 Round 4 107th $733,100 Round 5 139th $536,900 Round 6 168th $406,800 Round 7 197th $319,600 Round 8 227th $253,300 Round 9 257th $215,400 Round 10 287th $199,900 Total Bonus Pool Allocation $16,929,600 (4th in MLB)
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Image courtesy of © Ken Ruinard / USA Today Network South Carolina / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images Each year, I endeavor to project the draft not by claiming to know every player who will be taken, but by standing on the shoulders of giants. I take MLB mock draft rankings from major industry outlets like MLB Pipeline, ESPN, The Athletic and many others to form a consensus board, with a working hypothesis that using this approach will eliminate some of the noise and variance in MLB Draft mock rankings. This year, that all feels especially important for the Twins, who pick high enough in the first round to make this draft a pivotal moment for the franchise. The Minnesota Twins’ first five picks are: Round 1: 3rd Overall Round 2: 43rd Overall Competitive Balance Round B: 74th Overall Round 3: 79th Overall Round 4: 107th Overall Here's a look at who might be available to them at each stop. Round 1: Vahn Lackey, C, Georgia Tech Every draft cycle seems to produce 2-3 first-round catchers, most of whom have warts offensively, defensively, or both. Georgia Tech's Vahn Lackey may be the most complete college catcher in recent seasons and has a case to make as college baseball’s most improved player in 2026. Lackey entered 2026 viewed as an excellent defensive catcher, with athleticism uncommon for the position, in addition to having strong bat-to-ball skills. He’s continued to look excellent behind the plate, with good receiving and blocking skills, an excellent arm and strong pop and transfer times. He has all the ingredients to be a plus defensive catcher. Offensively, his power has taken a step forward. After hitting 6 home runs in 60 games in 2025, he managed 20 in 61 games in 2026, with more walks than strikeouts, adding a high on-base floor to his profile. Lackey ended 2026 hitting .397/.519/.772, with 39 extra-base hits, a 17.7 BB%, a 13.4 K%, and 15 steals (94%). Simply put, he’s one of the most complete profiles in this draft class. Round 2: Aiden Ruiz, SS, The Stony Brook HS (NY) Ruiz is a diminutive, switch-hitting shortstop currently committed to Vanderbilt. He'll be a fascinating follow on draft day. He'll be 19 and is listed at 5-foot-10 and 170 pounds with limited power projection, so he'll test some of our assumptions about what prospect profiles and traits organizations will and won't lean into. Ruiz is arguably the best defensive shortstop in the entire class. He has a quick first step, soft hands, and a big arm. He can make any play from any spot in the infield, it's plus defense at one of the most important positions on the field. Offensively, Ruiz is a switch hitter, with a contact-oriented approach. It's exceptional bat-to-ball skills from both sides of the plate. Ruiz will expand the zone a little, at times, so there's some risk his quality of contact is diminished unless he tightens his approach. There's never going to be a ton of power, but Ruiz is an above-average runner and should be a pesky threat on the basepaths. The defense and contact skills headline this profile, it's a combination that can rack up plenty of value for a drafting organization. Competitive Balance Round B: Brett Renfrow, RHP, Virginia Tech Renfrow was previously a two-way player who began to focus solely on pitching when he got to campus at Virginia Tech. This is a classic draft 'type', a college starter where stuff and ingredients don't line up neatly with outcomes. I'd classify Renfrow as someone with a significant 'up arrow' this spring, though. It's a good frame, and he's about to surpass 70 innings for the third consecutive season. Renfrow has slowly ticked up his strikeout rate while reducing his walk rate—exactly what you want to see. In terms of stuff, the fastball is good. It sits 94 mph and has been up to 97 mph, playing well at the top of the zone. There's a slider/cutter hybrid he throws in the upper 80s, a curveball with plenty of depth that sits in the low 80s, and a changeup with good horizontal action. Renfrow is a pitcher you can see making significant strides in a pro organization. There are plenty of starter traits here. In 73.2 innings in 2026, Renfrow managed a 4.67 FIP, while striking out 27.7% of hitters and walking just 7.9%. Round 3: Beau Peterson, 3B, Mill Valley HS (KS) Peterson is one of the more physically imposing frames on the prep side in 2026. The Kansas prepster is committed to Texas and has played third base, corner outfield, catcher and pitcher in recent years. Peterson has a left-handed swing with good bat speed. He has easy raw power, while currently getting into more line drive power in games. When he learns to add loft with more consistency, he'll be a 25-home run threat as a pro hitter. He has good bat-to-ball skills, too, and controls the strike zone well, giving him a well-rounded offensive profile. Peterson projects to be an average runner (at best) as he continues to fill out. Despite the lack of foot speed, the glove will play just fine at third base. He's been up to 95 mph on the mound, so there's plenty of arm for the hot corner or a corner outfield spot. Curious to see the players around the Minnesota Twins picks in the draft? Click on the button below to view the entire mock draft board! View full article
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Each year, I endeavor to project the draft not by claiming to know every player who will be taken, but by standing on the shoulders of giants. I take MLB mock draft rankings from major industry outlets like MLB Pipeline, ESPN, The Athletic and many others to form a consensus board, with a working hypothesis that using this approach will eliminate some of the noise and variance in MLB Draft mock rankings. This year, that all feels especially important for the Twins, who pick high enough in the first round to make this draft a pivotal moment for the franchise. The Minnesota Twins’ first five picks are: Round 1: 3rd Overall Round 2: 43rd Overall Competitive Balance Round B: 74th Overall Round 3: 79th Overall Round 4: 107th Overall Here's a look at who might be available to them at each stop. Round 1: Vahn Lackey, C, Georgia Tech Every draft cycle seems to produce 2-3 first-round catchers, most of whom have warts offensively, defensively, or both. Georgia Tech's Vahn Lackey may be the most complete college catcher in recent seasons and has a case to make as college baseball’s most improved player in 2026. Lackey entered 2026 viewed as an excellent defensive catcher, with athleticism uncommon for the position, in addition to having strong bat-to-ball skills. He’s continued to look excellent behind the plate, with good receiving and blocking skills, an excellent arm and strong pop and transfer times. He has all the ingredients to be a plus defensive catcher. Offensively, his power has taken a step forward. After hitting 6 home runs in 60 games in 2025, he managed 20 in 61 games in 2026, with more walks than strikeouts, adding a high on-base floor to his profile. Lackey ended 2026 hitting .397/.519/.772, with 39 extra-base hits, a 17.7 BB%, a 13.4 K%, and 15 steals (94%). Simply put, he’s one of the most complete profiles in this draft class. Round 2: Aiden Ruiz, SS, The Stony Brook HS (NY) Ruiz is a diminutive, switch-hitting shortstop currently committed to Vanderbilt. He'll be a fascinating follow on draft day. He'll be 19 and is listed at 5-foot-10 and 170 pounds with limited power projection, so he'll test some of our assumptions about what prospect profiles and traits organizations will and won't lean into. Ruiz is arguably the best defensive shortstop in the entire class. He has a quick first step, soft hands, and a big arm. He can make any play from any spot in the infield, it's plus defense at one of the most important positions on the field. Offensively, Ruiz is a switch hitter, with a contact-oriented approach. It's exceptional bat-to-ball skills from both sides of the plate. Ruiz will expand the zone a little, at times, so there's some risk his quality of contact is diminished unless he tightens his approach. There's never going to be a ton of power, but Ruiz is an above-average runner and should be a pesky threat on the basepaths. The defense and contact skills headline this profile, it's a combination that can rack up plenty of value for a drafting organization. Competitive Balance Round B: Brett Renfrow, RHP, Virginia Tech Renfrow was previously a two-way player who began to focus solely on pitching when he got to campus at Virginia Tech. This is a classic draft 'type', a college starter where stuff and ingredients don't line up neatly with outcomes. I'd classify Renfrow as someone with a significant 'up arrow' this spring, though. It's a good frame, and he's about to surpass 70 innings for the third consecutive season. Renfrow has slowly ticked up his strikeout rate while reducing his walk rate—exactly what you want to see. In terms of stuff, the fastball is good. It sits 94 mph and has been up to 97 mph, playing well at the top of the zone. There's a slider/cutter hybrid he throws in the upper 80s, a curveball with plenty of depth that sits in the low 80s, and a changeup with good horizontal action. Renfrow is a pitcher you can see making significant strides in a pro organization. There are plenty of starter traits here. In 73.2 innings in 2026, Renfrow managed a 4.67 FIP, while striking out 27.7% of hitters and walking just 7.9%. Round 3: Beau Peterson, 3B, Mill Valley HS (KS) Peterson is one of the more physically imposing frames on the prep side in 2026. The Kansas prepster is committed to Texas and has played third base, corner outfield, catcher and pitcher in recent years. Peterson has a left-handed swing with good bat speed. He has easy raw power, while currently getting into more line drive power in games. When he learns to add loft with more consistency, he'll be a 25-home run threat as a pro hitter. He has good bat-to-ball skills, too, and controls the strike zone well, giving him a well-rounded offensive profile. Peterson projects to be an average runner (at best) as he continues to fill out. Despite the lack of foot speed, the glove will play just fine at third base. He's been up to 95 mph on the mound, so there's plenty of arm for the hot corner or a corner outfield spot. Curious to see the players around the Minnesota Twins picks in the draft? Click on the button below to view the entire mock draft board!
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I'm with ya. I still think long term the prognosis for the rotation is pretty good. Ryan (for now), Pablo next year, Taj, Abel, Zebby all good options. Flora is probably the only dark horse candidate I can talk myself into, but I'd rank the top arms from the previous two years above him so I'd rather just stick with whoever is there of Roch, Emerson, or Lackey.
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Image courtesy of © Matt Bush/Special to the Clarion Ledger / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images Over the last few weeks at Twins Daily, we’ve spent time digging into the top three players in the 2026 MLB Draft. After breaking down Georgia Tech catcher Vahn Lackey, we detailed top overall prospect Roch Cholowsky and Grady Emerson, the best high school prospect in the class. As we approach Day One, it’s easier to characterize the class. It’s top-heavy in terms of impact talent, with a clear, consensus top three. There’s plenty of depth in the 30-100 range, too. In short, picking third in this class is a great spot to be. We also know that the MLB Draft yields plenty of surprises. Should the Twins deviate from a consensus top-three player to move some money to their other picks (or just because their reports buck the consensus), here are some of their primary options. Jackson Flora, RHP, UC Santa Barbara Flora is the best pitcher (college or high school) entering draft weekend. He’s an arm who marries performance and projection, although I’d rank him behind the top college arm from 2025 (Kade Anderson) and the top college arm from 2024 (Chase Burns). Flora pitched behind second overall pick Tyler Bremner in 2025, and returned a year later to headline the Gauchos' rotation. He has an ideal frame for a starter, at 6-foot-5 and 205 pounds, with some additional strength still to be added. After pitching primarily as a reliever as a freshman, Flora took on a starting role as a sophomore and thrived, managing a 3.15 FIP in 75 innings while striking out close to 28% of the hitters he faced. The stuff is loud. Flora relies on a fastball, slider, changeup combination, though he does access a cutter and curveball occasionally, too. It's a high-spin heater (up to 2,600 RPM), with about 17 inches of vert, topping out at 100 MPH (averaging 98) from a lowish three-quarter angle. Flora throws two iterations of his slider: a harder version around 84-86 MPH, and a sweeper that generates 17-19 inches of horizontal movement. He incorporated a kick-change in 2026, which sits 86-90 and generated huge whiff rates. To add to this intriguing arsenal, Flora has been an excellent strike-thrower in college, walking just 8% of hitters in 2026. Flora separated himself as SP1 in the 2026 cycle. There's room for development and refinement of his pitch shapes and arsenal, but this is front-of-the-rotation arm talent and upside. In general, drafting a pitcher in the top three gives me pause. An organization has to be incredibly convicted on their evaluation and the level of talent. I’m not sure Flora established the level of dominance of some of his counterparts from recent drafts—the level that would give me enough confidence to pull the trigger at three. Drew Burress, OF, Georgia Tech Burress has been the most consistently productive college hitter since he set foot on campus at Georgia Tech. There's no arguing the track record, but there's a limited catalogue of right-handed impact bats in the big leagues who stood 5-foot-9. Burress has a ton of moving pieces in his swing that can get a little convoluted and may be problematic against better pitching in professional baseball. It's good (not outstanding) bat-to-ball skills, with tremendous quality of contact that has resulted in 44 home runs in his first two collegiate seasons. Burress rarely expands the zone and walked significantly more than he struck out in his first two seasons in Atlanta. He also has strong supplementary tools. A plus arm and above-average speed and defense give him a chance to stick in center field, at least in the infancy of his pro career. After a slow start, Burress finished 2026 with a .358/.473/.657 line with 16 home runs, a 15.8 BB%, a 13.8 K%, and a 143 wRC+. He will get a ton of credit in draft models for his performance in his first two collegiate seasons, but there are too many questions for me to select him in the top three. Jacob Lombard, SS, Gulliver Prep HS, FL Jacob Lombard is the younger brother of George Lombard, a 2023 Yankees draftee and consensus top-100 prospect in his own right. Lombard the younger has some of the loudest tools in the entire draft class, but qualifies as a high-risk, high-reward prep option for teams picking in the first round. Lombard hits from the right-hand side of the plate. There's plus bat speed and easy raw power to all fields. The biggest questions in his offensive profile surround his hit tool, with concerns about the levels of swing-and-miss in the 2025 summer showcase circuit. He's incredibly athletically gifted. He plays smooth shortstop, has a solid arm and double-plus speed. This might be the highest-upside play in the entire draft class. He could be a 30-30 type player if he can hit enough after turning pro. The Field EJ Booth is a compact, twitchy, athletic outfielder committed to Vanderbilt. It's a bit of an unconventional swing from the left side that can look better in batting practice than in games, but it's underpinned by serious bat speed and an emerging ability to do damage on contact. All told, Booth has a chance to have above-average hit and power tools. He's a nightmare on the base paths with 70-grade speed and is one of the fastest runners of the class. As one might imagine, this supports excellent range in the outfield. While his arm is fringe-average, he should have little challenge tracking down almost anything and could settle into any outfield spot defensively. Booth will turn 18 a few days before the draft. Tyler Bell was a supplemental second-rounder in 2024 who was selected by the Rays, but he found his way to campus in Lexington. Two years later, he's a draft-eligible sophomore and top-20 draft prospect ahead of the 2026 cycle. Bell is a switch-hitter who has solid, clean swings from both sides of the plate. As a freshman, he did a little bit of everything well, capping his first collegiate season with 29 extra-base hits and a .907 OPS. If he can elevate the ball with more consistency, it's a 55-hit, 50-power combination potential as a pro. He has all the ingredients to be a solid pro shortstop, with a good first step, an above-average arm, and a good glove. While Bell missed some time from the outset of the 2026 season, he finished strong, hitting .343/.510/.608 with 9 home runs (19 XBH), a 15.5 BB%, an 18.6 K%, and a 152 wRC+ in 41 games. Rumors persist that Bell could be an under-slot top-5 selection. That makes it worth mentioning him in this group, as the Twins weigh all of their options. View full article
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Over the last few weeks at Twins Daily, we’ve spent time digging into the top three players in the 2026 MLB Draft. After breaking down Georgia Tech catcher Vahn Lackey, we detailed top overall prospect Roch Cholowsky and Grady Emerson, the best high school prospect in the class. As we approach Day One, it’s easier to characterize the class. It’s top-heavy in terms of impact talent, with a clear, consensus top three. There’s plenty of depth in the 30-100 range, too. In short, picking third in this class is a great spot to be. We also know that the MLB Draft yields plenty of surprises. Should the Twins deviate from a consensus top-three player to move some money to their other picks (or just because their reports buck the consensus), here are some of their primary options. Jackson Flora, RHP, UC Santa Barbara Flora is the best pitcher (college or high school) entering draft weekend. He’s an arm who marries performance and projection, although I’d rank him behind the top college arm from 2025 (Kade Anderson) and the top college arm from 2024 (Chase Burns). Flora pitched behind second overall pick Tyler Bremner in 2025, and returned a year later to headline the Gauchos' rotation. He has an ideal frame for a starter, at 6-foot-5 and 205 pounds, with some additional strength still to be added. After pitching primarily as a reliever as a freshman, Flora took on a starting role as a sophomore and thrived, managing a 3.15 FIP in 75 innings while striking out close to 28% of the hitters he faced. The stuff is loud. Flora relies on a fastball, slider, changeup combination, though he does access a cutter and curveball occasionally, too. It's a high-spin heater (up to 2,600 RPM), with about 17 inches of vert, topping out at 100 MPH (averaging 98) from a lowish three-quarter angle. Flora throws two iterations of his slider: a harder version around 84-86 MPH, and a sweeper that generates 17-19 inches of horizontal movement. He incorporated a kick-change in 2026, which sits 86-90 and generated huge whiff rates. To add to this intriguing arsenal, Flora has been an excellent strike-thrower in college, walking just 8% of hitters in 2026. Flora separated himself as SP1 in the 2026 cycle. There's room for development and refinement of his pitch shapes and arsenal, but this is front-of-the-rotation arm talent and upside. In general, drafting a pitcher in the top three gives me pause. An organization has to be incredibly convicted on their evaluation and the level of talent. I’m not sure Flora established the level of dominance of some of his counterparts from recent drafts—the level that would give me enough confidence to pull the trigger at three. Drew Burress, OF, Georgia Tech Burress has been the most consistently productive college hitter since he set foot on campus at Georgia Tech. There's no arguing the track record, but there's a limited catalogue of right-handed impact bats in the big leagues who stood 5-foot-9. Burress has a ton of moving pieces in his swing that can get a little convoluted and may be problematic against better pitching in professional baseball. It's good (not outstanding) bat-to-ball skills, with tremendous quality of contact that has resulted in 44 home runs in his first two collegiate seasons. Burress rarely expands the zone and walked significantly more than he struck out in his first two seasons in Atlanta. He also has strong supplementary tools. A plus arm and above-average speed and defense give him a chance to stick in center field, at least in the infancy of his pro career. After a slow start, Burress finished 2026 with a .358/.473/.657 line with 16 home runs, a 15.8 BB%, a 13.8 K%, and a 143 wRC+. He will get a ton of credit in draft models for his performance in his first two collegiate seasons, but there are too many questions for me to select him in the top three. Jacob Lombard, SS, Gulliver Prep HS, FL Jacob Lombard is the younger brother of George Lombard, a 2023 Yankees draftee and consensus top-100 prospect in his own right. Lombard the younger has some of the loudest tools in the entire draft class, but qualifies as a high-risk, high-reward prep option for teams picking in the first round. Lombard hits from the right-hand side of the plate. There's plus bat speed and easy raw power to all fields. The biggest questions in his offensive profile surround his hit tool, with concerns about the levels of swing-and-miss in the 2025 summer showcase circuit. He's incredibly athletically gifted. He plays smooth shortstop, has a solid arm and double-plus speed. This might be the highest-upside play in the entire draft class. He could be a 30-30 type player if he can hit enough after turning pro. The Field EJ Booth is a compact, twitchy, athletic outfielder committed to Vanderbilt. It's a bit of an unconventional swing from the left side that can look better in batting practice than in games, but it's underpinned by serious bat speed and an emerging ability to do damage on contact. All told, Booth has a chance to have above-average hit and power tools. He's a nightmare on the base paths with 70-grade speed and is one of the fastest runners of the class. As one might imagine, this supports excellent range in the outfield. While his arm is fringe-average, he should have little challenge tracking down almost anything and could settle into any outfield spot defensively. Booth will turn 18 a few days before the draft. Tyler Bell was a supplemental second-rounder in 2024 who was selected by the Rays, but he found his way to campus in Lexington. Two years later, he's a draft-eligible sophomore and top-20 draft prospect ahead of the 2026 cycle. Bell is a switch-hitter who has solid, clean swings from both sides of the plate. As a freshman, he did a little bit of everything well, capping his first collegiate season with 29 extra-base hits and a .907 OPS. If he can elevate the ball with more consistency, it's a 55-hit, 50-power combination potential as a pro. He has all the ingredients to be a solid pro shortstop, with a good first step, an above-average arm, and a good glove. While Bell missed some time from the outset of the 2026 season, he finished strong, hitting .343/.510/.608 with 9 home runs (19 XBH), a 15.5 BB%, an 18.6 K%, and a 152 wRC+ in 41 games. Rumors persist that Bell could be an under-slot top-5 selection. That makes it worth mentioning him in this group, as the Twins weigh all of their options.
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Image courtesy of © Brett Davis-Imagn Images This week at Twins Daily, we’re continuing our series of deep dives into candidates for the third overall pick in the 2026 draft. After examining Georgia Tech catcher Vahn Lackey and UCLA shortstop Roch Chowlowsky, we're turning our attention to the top high school player in the class. It’s a testament to Grady Emerson’s skills and tools as a baseball player that he hasn’t suffered from more prospect fatigue just three weeks away from being drafted. He’s been famous (in amateur baseball circles) since he was 15. Emerson has gone wire-to-wire as the consensus top high school player in the 2026 class, only behind Roch Cholowsky in terms of overall draft stock. I think you may even see his name atop industry rankings before the draft kicks off on July 11. Let’s dig into his profile. Bio and Background Emerson grew up in Argyle, Texas, around 40 miles northwest of Dallas. The University of Texas commit has a lengthy track record in amateur baseball. He was the first player to be selected to four consecutive US National Teams, rotating through every infield position. Additionally, he was named 2026 Gatorade National Player of the Year. It’s fair to say he’s got an impressive pedigree. Emerson played the majority of his high school career at Argyle High School before transferring as a rising senior to Fort Worth Christian School, a smaller, private school (playing inferior competition) under the tutelage of former big-leaguer Rusty Greer. According to MaxPreps, Emerson hit .532/.648/.1.013 in 2026 with seven home runs, nine doubles, and four triples in 108 plate appearances. Emerson had a strong 2025 summer circuit, managing an .873 OPS in 143 plate appearances, while showing a combination of excellent contact skills and bat speed. Scouting Report Emerson hits from the left side of the plate. He sets up in an open stance, with a high hand set that will sit around shoulder height. It’s a quiet operation in general, with little additional or wasted movement loading his hands. His path to the ball is direct, giving the barrel of the bat plenty of time on plane. Emerson’s offensive profile starts with an excellent approach. He makes strong swing decisions, rarely expanding the zone at this early stage of his career. That, combined with his excellent bat-to-ball skills, makes him a brutal at-bat for pitchers. While Emerson’s profile is hit over power for now, that’s selling his bat speed short, for me. It’s likely 20-25 home run power as a pro. This aspect of his game is a little overlooked, as he rarely (if ever) sells out for power in games. Instead, he sprays line drives all over the field. Defensively, Emerson is a strong bet to stick at shortstop. He has a plus arm and can make all the throws the position requires. Additionally, there’s a good internal clock, and he looks equally comfortable ranging to either side of his body or charging the ball, maintaining a level of fluidity and body control that bodes well for his chances of sticking at short. Emerson has posted plenty of plus run times, too. He’s either a 60 runner or a 55 in terms of speed, depending on how you think his frame will develop in the coming years. Shifting Dynamics at the Top of the Draft How should we think of Emerson as part of the consensus top three in this draft? How does he stack up against Roch Cholowsky and Vahn Lackey? What do we know about the draft tendencies of the teams picking above the Twins? Emerson has been the number two player in this draft since day one. He’s never really been under threat from another prep player. He’s also closing the gap at the top of the board, getting closer to Cholowsky. The most logical comparison to make here is between Emerson and Cholowsky, as they play the same position. The consensus in the industry seems to be that Emerson is a better player at the same stage than Cholowsky (who was ranked 35th on our board as a high schooler ahead of the 2023 draft). If you’re the White Sox, do you take a risk on Emerson’s upside, or go with the greater certainty Cholowsky offers? It’s notable that both the White Sox and Twins had interest in drafting Cholowsky out of high school. It’s also worth considering how the Rays factor in at the top of the first round. The Rays took prep players with four of their first five selections in 2025, and three of their first four selections in 2024. In general, they seem to favor left-handed-hitting high school bats (Theo Gillen, Nathan Flewelling, Cooper Flemming, to name a few) and have a strong track record of developing them. Given industry speculation around the White Sox' consideration of Emerson and the Rays' recent track record, it feels less likely Emerson will be on the board at three than it was a month ago. The Twins have done (and will continue to do) extensive work on a number of players under consideration at three. In our final installment of this series, we’ll consider some dark horse candidates. For what it’s worth, I remain confident it’ll be one of Cholowsky, Emerson, or Lackey. View full article
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This week at Twins Daily, we’re continuing our series of deep dives into candidates for the third overall pick in the 2026 draft. After examining Georgia Tech catcher Vahn Lackey and UCLA shortstop Roch Chowlowsky, we're turning our attention to the top high school player in the class. It’s a testament to Grady Emerson’s skills and tools as a baseball player that he hasn’t suffered from more prospect fatigue just three weeks away from being drafted. He’s been famous (in amateur baseball circles) since he was 15. Emerson has gone wire-to-wire as the consensus top high school player in the 2026 class, only behind Roch Cholowsky in terms of overall draft stock. I think you may even see his name atop industry rankings before the draft kicks off on July 11. Let’s dig into his profile. Bio and Background Emerson grew up in Argyle, Texas, around 40 miles northwest of Dallas. The University of Texas commit has a lengthy track record in amateur baseball. He was the first player to be selected to four consecutive US National Teams, rotating through every infield position. Additionally, he was named 2026 Gatorade National Player of the Year. It’s fair to say he’s got an impressive pedigree. Emerson played the majority of his high school career at Argyle High School before transferring as a rising senior to Fort Worth Christian School, a smaller, private school (playing inferior competition) under the tutelage of former big-leaguer Rusty Greer. According to MaxPreps, Emerson hit .532/.648/.1.013 in 2026 with seven home runs, nine doubles, and four triples in 108 plate appearances. Emerson had a strong 2025 summer circuit, managing an .873 OPS in 143 plate appearances, while showing a combination of excellent contact skills and bat speed. Scouting Report Emerson hits from the left side of the plate. He sets up in an open stance, with a high hand set that will sit around shoulder height. It’s a quiet operation in general, with little additional or wasted movement loading his hands. His path to the ball is direct, giving the barrel of the bat plenty of time on plane. Emerson’s offensive profile starts with an excellent approach. He makes strong swing decisions, rarely expanding the zone at this early stage of his career. That, combined with his excellent bat-to-ball skills, makes him a brutal at-bat for pitchers. While Emerson’s profile is hit over power for now, that’s selling his bat speed short, for me. It’s likely 20-25 home run power as a pro. This aspect of his game is a little overlooked, as he rarely (if ever) sells out for power in games. Instead, he sprays line drives all over the field. Defensively, Emerson is a strong bet to stick at shortstop. He has a plus arm and can make all the throws the position requires. Additionally, there’s a good internal clock, and he looks equally comfortable ranging to either side of his body or charging the ball, maintaining a level of fluidity and body control that bodes well for his chances of sticking at short. Emerson has posted plenty of plus run times, too. He’s either a 60 runner or a 55 in terms of speed, depending on how you think his frame will develop in the coming years. Shifting Dynamics at the Top of the Draft How should we think of Emerson as part of the consensus top three in this draft? How does he stack up against Roch Cholowsky and Vahn Lackey? What do we know about the draft tendencies of the teams picking above the Twins? Emerson has been the number two player in this draft since day one. He’s never really been under threat from another prep player. He’s also closing the gap at the top of the board, getting closer to Cholowsky. The most logical comparison to make here is between Emerson and Cholowsky, as they play the same position. The consensus in the industry seems to be that Emerson is a better player at the same stage than Cholowsky (who was ranked 35th on our board as a high schooler ahead of the 2023 draft). If you’re the White Sox, do you take a risk on Emerson’s upside, or go with the greater certainty Cholowsky offers? It’s notable that both the White Sox and Twins had interest in drafting Cholowsky out of high school. It’s also worth considering how the Rays factor in at the top of the first round. The Rays took prep players with four of their first five selections in 2025, and three of their first four selections in 2024. In general, they seem to favor left-handed-hitting high school bats (Theo Gillen, Nathan Flewelling, Cooper Flemming, to name a few) and have a strong track record of developing them. Given industry speculation around the White Sox' consideration of Emerson and the Rays' recent track record, it feels less likely Emerson will be on the board at three than it was a month ago. The Twins have done (and will continue to do) extensive work on a number of players under consideration at three. In our final installment of this series, we’ll consider some dark horse candidates. For what it’s worth, I remain confident it’ll be one of Cholowsky, Emerson, or Lackey.
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Thanks for reading and commenting. I'd say Flora has a chance, he's still the number four player in this class, by consensus. I think there is now an established tier break after the top three so I think it's most likely he's not the selection. Don't think the Twins have rules him out either, though.
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This week at Twins Daily, we’re continuing our series of deep dives into candidates for the number three overall pick in the 2026 draft. It has long been considered a given that UCLA shortstop Roch Cholowsky is a lock to be the first wire-to-wire number one ranked player since Adley Rutschman in 2019. While it's still more likely than not that Cholowsky is the pick at number one (or two), Texas HS shortstop Grady Emerson and Georgia Tech catcher Vahn Lackey have narrowed the gap significantly. Cholowsky is no longer the number one player on every major industry board. The UCLA shortstop recently made it to pick three in a recent Keith Law mock draft. Let’s be prepared and dig into Roch’s profile. Bio and Background Originally hailing from Chandler, Arizona, Cholowsky grew up around baseball. His father was a standout college player at Cal, and played 9 MiLB seasons after being drafted by the Cardinals in 1991, before becoming a long-time scout. Unlike Vahn Lackey, Cholowsky has been on the map as a notable prospect for a long time. Cholowsky was ranked as the 35th player overall by consensus ahead of the 2023 MLB Draft. You’ll remember that draft class was absolutely loaded. In addition to its famous top five (Skenes, Crews, Langford, Clark, and Jenkins), other top-50 notables include Aidan Miller, Kevin McGonigle, and Colt Emerson. The Twins were one of a handful of teams interested in signing Cholowsky as a prep prospect (the White Sox were another) with their Comp A pick. They eventually used that selection on Charlee Soto after Cholowsky would not be dissuaded from his commitment to UCLA. Cholowsky was the highest-ranked unselected player in his class. College Stats Cholowsky played 52 games as a freshman, with around two-thirds coming at third base, and the rest at shortstop. He showed right away why he was such a highly regarded prep prospect. Cholowsky hit .308/.399/.500 (115 wRC+) with 8 home runs (21 XBH) in 235 plate appearances. It was a debut season that put the college baseball world on notice and raised expectations significantly ahead of his sophomore season. As a sophomore, Cholowsky ascended. After taking over as the Bruins everyday shortstop, he managed a .353/.480/.710 line with 23 home runs (43 XBH), a 13.9 BB%, a 9.3 K%, and a 164 wRC+, one of the best offensive seasons in college baseball in 2025. Cholowsky also developed his least discussed superpower, getting hit by 21 pitches along the way. In particular, Cholowsky’s bat-to-ball numbers in-zone improved markedly as a sophomore, as did his approach at the plate. Let’s get to the center of the Cholowsky discourse, his junior season. Was it a fall-off, or is it prospect fatigue? While 2026 wasn’t as exceptional as 2025, it’s a similar trap Drew Burress set for himself after his freshman and sophomore seasons: an almost impossibly high bar. In 2026, Cholowsky hit .320/.452/.636 with 21 home runs (31 XBH), matching 12% walk and strikeout rates, and a 146 wRC+. Not as exceptional as 2025, but not too shabby, either. Cholowsky was hit by a further 25 pitches in 2026. Perhaps it was his (and UCLA’s) uninspiring performance in the postseason, crashing out to St. Mary’s during Regionals, that left a bad taste. Still, I think the narrative of a fall-off might be overthinking it a bit. Unpacking Cholowsky’s numbers further cements his prospect case as fairly unimpeachable. An overall contact rate over 80% (approaching 90% in zone), a chase rate just over 20%, an average EV and EV90 above the 90th percentile in D1 baseball. Roch Cholowsky has a complete offensive profile. Let’s dig into his swing, though, as I do think you can level some minor criticisms here. I don’t love it (who cares?). Cholowsky has, from this seat, some inefficient rotation in his swing, a tendency that might give him some fits against velocity, especially up, or be out in front enough to maximize pulled fly balls. It hasn’t slowed him during his amateur baseball career, but I’d watch out for it as he begins to face better pitching in pro ball. Wood Bat Performance As when we examined Lackey, we should take a moment to examine Cholowsky’s record with wooden bats. Similarly to Lackey, it’s not an extensive history or a particularly impressive one. Cholowsky played for Orleans for a brief stint on the Cape in 2024, managing a .666 OPS in 65 plate appearances. This was immediately following Cholowsky’s freshman college season. While it’d be nice to have Cape performance as a feather in his cap, this run of games was before he’d truly taken off as a collegiate prospect. Defensive Profile There’s been so much discussion and conjecture on Cholowsky as a hitter in 2026, that his defense has been given short shrift. In my write up of Roch ahead of the 2023 draft, I described him as a ‘legitimately excellent defensive shortstop.’ He’s done nothing but cement that sterling defensive reputation in his three years at UCLA. In his sophomore season, Cholowsky was the top college shortstop in the country, amassing +20 DRS (per D1 Baseball). For context, he’s the only shortstop to accrue 20 runs saved or more since D1 began tracking defense using the metric in 2023. While he isn’t the smoothest mover, he’s athletic and explosive at the position. Cholowsky has a history as a high school quarterback and it’s easy to see the parallels in his defensive game at shortstop. He’s particularly adept at making throws on the run, leveraging outstanding body control, a plus arm, and a pinpoint internal clock to augment extremely soft and reliable hands. He’s a lock to stick at the position and Brandon Crawford defensive comps (a player Cholowsky has long admired) are not out of pocket. What Teammates and Coaches Say Cholowsky has earned a reputation as a vocal leader on and off the diamond. Away from baseball, Cholowsky became known at UCLA for finding creative ways to promote team togetherness. "He's always planning things, which is really important as a leader," shared teammate Phoenix Call. "He’ll always make sure everyone (on our team) is there’" Cholowsky developed a close relationship with UCLA Head Coach John Savage in his time in Westwood. Cholowsky credited Savage for sticking with him while he was adjusting to college baseball as a freshman. Savage, in turn, reflected glowingly on having an asset like Cholowsky on his team, remarking that "there’s nothing better than your best player playing the way he plays. He was the offensive player of the year, he was the defensive player of the year (in 2025). That’s a combination you just don’t see’" It remains unlikely that Roch falls out of the top two in the draft. We’re also accustomed to expect chaos in round one. In the unlikely event that he falls, I’d be hard pressed to imagine a scenario where the Twins don’t take Cholowsky, a player they have long coveted, at number three overall. That’s his floor in this draft. View full article
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This week at Twins Daily, we’re continuing our series of deep dives into candidates for the number three overall pick in the 2026 draft. It has long been considered a given that UCLA shortstop Roch Cholowsky is a lock to be the first wire-to-wire number one ranked player since Adley Rutschman in 2019. While it's still more likely than not that Cholowsky is the pick at number one (or two), Texas HS shortstop Grady Emerson and Georgia Tech catcher Vahn Lackey have narrowed the gap significantly. Cholowsky is no longer the number one player on every major industry board. The UCLA shortstop recently made it to pick three in a recent Keith Law mock draft. Let’s be prepared and dig into Roch’s profile. Bio and Background Originally hailing from Chandler, Arizona, Cholowsky grew up around baseball. His father was a standout college player at Cal, and played 9 MiLB seasons after being drafted by the Cardinals in 1991, before becoming a long-time scout. Unlike Vahn Lackey, Cholowsky has been on the map as a notable prospect for a long time. Cholowsky was ranked as the 35th player overall by consensus ahead of the 2023 MLB Draft. You’ll remember that draft class was absolutely loaded. In addition to its famous top five (Skenes, Crews, Langford, Clark, and Jenkins), other top-50 notables include Aidan Miller, Kevin McGonigle, and Colt Emerson. The Twins were one of a handful of teams interested in signing Cholowsky as a prep prospect (the White Sox were another) with their Comp A pick. They eventually used that selection on Charlee Soto after Cholowsky would not be dissuaded from his commitment to UCLA. Cholowsky was the highest-ranked unselected player in his class. College Stats Cholowsky played 52 games as a freshman, with around two-thirds coming at third base, and the rest at shortstop. He showed right away why he was such a highly regarded prep prospect. Cholowsky hit .308/.399/.500 (115 wRC+) with 8 home runs (21 XBH) in 235 plate appearances. It was a debut season that put the college baseball world on notice and raised expectations significantly ahead of his sophomore season. As a sophomore, Cholowsky ascended. After taking over as the Bruins everyday shortstop, he managed a .353/.480/.710 line with 23 home runs (43 XBH), a 13.9 BB%, a 9.3 K%, and a 164 wRC+, one of the best offensive seasons in college baseball in 2025. Cholowsky also developed his least discussed superpower, getting hit by 21 pitches along the way. In particular, Cholowsky’s bat-to-ball numbers in-zone improved markedly as a sophomore, as did his approach at the plate. Let’s get to the center of the Cholowsky discourse, his junior season. Was it a fall-off, or is it prospect fatigue? While 2026 wasn’t as exceptional as 2025, it’s a similar trap Drew Burress set for himself after his freshman and sophomore seasons: an almost impossibly high bar. In 2026, Cholowsky hit .320/.452/.636 with 21 home runs (31 XBH), matching 12% walk and strikeout rates, and a 146 wRC+. Not as exceptional as 2025, but not too shabby, either. Cholowsky was hit by a further 25 pitches in 2026. Perhaps it was his (and UCLA’s) uninspiring performance in the postseason, crashing out to St. Mary’s during Regionals, that left a bad taste. Still, I think the narrative of a fall-off might be overthinking it a bit. Unpacking Cholowsky’s numbers further cements his prospect case as fairly unimpeachable. An overall contact rate over 80% (approaching 90% in zone), a chase rate just over 20%, an average EV and EV90 above the 90th percentile in D1 baseball. Roch Cholowsky has a complete offensive profile. Let’s dig into his swing, though, as I do think you can level some minor criticisms here. I don’t love it (who cares?). Cholowsky has, from this seat, some inefficient rotation in his swing, a tendency that might give him some fits against velocity, especially up, or be out in front enough to maximize pulled fly balls. It hasn’t slowed him during his amateur baseball career, but I’d watch out for it as he begins to face better pitching in pro ball. Wood Bat Performance As when we examined Lackey, we should take a moment to examine Cholowsky’s record with wooden bats. Similarly to Lackey, it’s not an extensive history or a particularly impressive one. Cholowsky played for Orleans for a brief stint on the Cape in 2024, managing a .666 OPS in 65 plate appearances. This was immediately following Cholowsky’s freshman college season. While it’d be nice to have Cape performance as a feather in his cap, this run of games was before he’d truly taken off as a collegiate prospect. Defensive Profile There’s been so much discussion and conjecture on Cholowsky as a hitter in 2026, that his defense has been given short shrift. In my write up of Roch ahead of the 2023 draft, I described him as a ‘legitimately excellent defensive shortstop.’ He’s done nothing but cement that sterling defensive reputation in his three years at UCLA. In his sophomore season, Cholowsky was the top college shortstop in the country, amassing +20 DRS (per D1 Baseball). For context, he’s the only shortstop to accrue 20 runs saved or more since D1 began tracking defense using the metric in 2023. While he isn’t the smoothest mover, he’s athletic and explosive at the position. Cholowsky has a history as a high school quarterback and it’s easy to see the parallels in his defensive game at shortstop. He’s particularly adept at making throws on the run, leveraging outstanding body control, a plus arm, and a pinpoint internal clock to augment extremely soft and reliable hands. He’s a lock to stick at the position and Brandon Crawford defensive comps (a player Cholowsky has long admired) are not out of pocket. What Teammates and Coaches Say Cholowsky has earned a reputation as a vocal leader on and off the diamond. Away from baseball, Cholowsky became known at UCLA for finding creative ways to promote team togetherness. "He's always planning things, which is really important as a leader," shared teammate Phoenix Call. "He’ll always make sure everyone (on our team) is there’" Cholowsky developed a close relationship with UCLA Head Coach John Savage in his time in Westwood. Cholowsky credited Savage for sticking with him while he was adjusting to college baseball as a freshman. Savage, in turn, reflected glowingly on having an asset like Cholowsky on his team, remarking that "there’s nothing better than your best player playing the way he plays. He was the offensive player of the year, he was the defensive player of the year (in 2025). That’s a combination you just don’t see’" It remains unlikely that Roch falls out of the top two in the draft. We’re also accustomed to expect chaos in round one. In the unlikely event that he falls, I’d be hard pressed to imagine a scenario where the Twins don’t take Cholowsky, a player they have long coveted, at number three overall. That’s his floor in this draft.
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I think the Twins would take Emerson at #3. Not saying Burress is ruled out, I'm sure he's in the mix, but I, personally, would be disappointed coming away without one of the consensus T3 players in the draft. I'm reminded of 2023 when the Twins were being consistently linked to Jacob Gonzalez over Walker Jenkins, only for history to play out as it did (nothing against Gonzalez, who is having an amazing season).
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Image courtesy of Rob Thompson, St. Paul Saints The Twins are making a move, promoting outfield prospect Kyler Fedko to join the big-league team for their week-long road trip, sources told Twins Daily. Orlando Arcia has been designated assignment to make room on both the 26-man and the 40-man rosters. Fedko, a 12th-round selection in the 2021 MLB Draft (369th overall), was a $125,000 signing out of UConn. A late bloomer who spent his early minor-league years repeating levels of the system frequently, He took off at Double-A during the 2025 season. In 130 games combined at Wichita and at Triple-A St. Paul, he hit .258/.367/.476, with 28 home runs and 38 stolen bases at an 83% success rate. After a slow start with the Saints in 2026, Fedko has heated up in May and June. Through 58 games for St. Paul, he’s hitting .286/.372/.578 (138 wRC+) with 15 home runs among 28 extra-base hits and 9 stolen bases. Fedko brings an intriguing skill set. His recent power surge is anchored in pulling the ball in the air, as opposed to huge bat speed or upper-end exit velocities. Fedko has a knack for finding the barrel, with a 46% hard-hit rate in 2026. There are some orange flags in the offensive profile. Fedko chases at a troublesome clip (34%), a tendency major-league pitchers will attempt to exploit. He can certainly help the big-league team, though. The Twins have needed additional right-handed help in the outfield for several years, and Fedko has above-average speed and a solid glove, with the versatility to move throughout outfield spots defensively. It’s also worth noting that Fedko mashes left-handed pitching, managing a 1.262 OPS against southpaws in 2026. We should see him spell other outfield positions regularly, be in the lineup with consistency against left-handed pitching, and have a chance to establish himself as a fourth outfielder for the Twins. It's possible he grows into even more than that, but as Derek Shelton moves the pieces around his chessboard, Fedko comes in as another good one who can be utilized in the proper turns, rather than leaned on to do everything. View full article
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BREAKING: Twins to Promote Kyler Fedko for Major-League Debut
Jamie Cameron posted an article in Twins
The Twins are making a move, promoting outfield prospect Kyler Fedko to join the big-league team for their week-long road trip, sources told Twins Daily. Orlando Arcia has been designated assignment to make room on both the 26-man and the 40-man rosters. Fedko, a 12th-round selection in the 2021 MLB Draft (369th overall), was a $125,000 signing out of UConn. A late bloomer who spent his early minor-league years repeating levels of the system frequently, He took off at Double-A during the 2025 season. In 130 games combined at Wichita and at Triple-A St. Paul, he hit .258/.367/.476, with 28 home runs and 38 stolen bases at an 83% success rate. After a slow start with the Saints in 2026, Fedko has heated up in May and June. Through 58 games for St. Paul, he’s hitting .286/.372/.578 (138 wRC+) with 15 home runs among 28 extra-base hits and 9 stolen bases. Fedko brings an intriguing skill set. His recent power surge is anchored in pulling the ball in the air, as opposed to huge bat speed or upper-end exit velocities. Fedko has a knack for finding the barrel, with a 46% hard-hit rate in 2026. There are some orange flags in the offensive profile. Fedko chases at a troublesome clip (34%), a tendency major-league pitchers will attempt to exploit. He can certainly help the big-league team, though. The Twins have needed additional right-handed help in the outfield for several years, and Fedko has above-average speed and a solid glove, with the versatility to move throughout outfield spots defensively. It’s also worth noting that Fedko mashes left-handed pitching, managing a 1.262 OPS against southpaws in 2026. We should see him spell other outfield positions regularly, be in the lineup with consistency against left-handed pitching, and have a chance to establish himself as a fourth outfielder for the Twins. It's possible he grows into even more than that, but as Derek Shelton moves the pieces around his chessboard, Fedko comes in as another good one who can be utilized in the proper turns, rather than leaned on to do everything. -
Image courtesy of © Ken Ruinard / USA Today Network Vahn Lackey has a strong case to make for college baseball’s most improved player in 2026. It’s been a meteoric rise for the Georgia Tech backstop who is about to be the latest first round selection from ‘Catcher U’ (joining Jason Varitek, Matt Wieters, Joey Bart, and Kevin Parada). It’s worth noting that Lackey doesn’t turn 21 until four days before the draft. Along with Jackson Flora, he’s one of the youngest college prospects likely to hear their name called in the first round come July. This will appeal to the draft models of pro organizations. BIO AND BACKGROUND Originally hailing from Suwanee, Georgia, Lackey wasn’t a hailed recruit coming out of high school. Rated as the #16 catcher in the state as a senior by Perfect Game coming out of Collins Hill HS, he was named a team captain in his senior year. A growth spurt in his senior year caught the eye of Georgia Tech and mitigated Lackey having few college offers as a prep player. Lackey entered his collegiate career with a reputation as a defense first catcher. His offensive profile was anchored in good bat-to-ball skills and the bet that a physical late bloomer with standout athleticism could develop a well rounded offensive skillset. COLLEGE STATS AND PERFORMANCE Lackey played 36 games as a freshman, hitting .214/.330/.381 with 4 home runs, an 11.7% walk rate, a 17.5 K%, and a modest 60 wRC+. The roots of Lackey’s offensive skillset were evident though, even in a season with mediocre production. Lackey showed excellent bat-to-ball skills from day one, managing an 82% contact rate (93% in zone) as a freshman. Lackey also showcased his excellent approach, rarely expanding the zone, and taking plenty of free passes, despite a lack of extra base impact. As a sophomore, Lackey improved significantly. Moving into the starting catcher’s role full time, he managed a .347/.421/.500 line with 6 home runs (21 XBH), while walking 9.4% of the time and maintaining his excellent contact skills, managing a 14.3 K%. As a sophomore, Lackey produced a 110 wRC+, also stealing 18 bases at 86%. The impact and added strength began to show up in his second year, despite not adding much home run power, Lackey supplied plenty of extra base hits, and saw jumps in both his average EV and EV90, both of which jumped above the 75th percentile among D1 teams. Lackey’s damage on contact was limited by an elevated (pun intended) ground ball rate. Let’s take a moment to dig into his swing. Lackey sets up at the plate in a neutral stance with a chin-high hand set, often planting himself deep in the batter’s box. Lackey loads and prepares to swing early, getting into a medium-to-significant leg kick while pulling his hands behind his front shoulder. Lackey gets a ton of stretch in his swing, rotating well with increased bat speed and often meeting the ball in front of the plate. It’s a violent, pretty swing (as right-handed swings go). As a junior, Lackey ascended offensively, trading off a marginal degree of his batted ball excellent for significant extra base impact. In 61 games, he hit .397/.519/.772 with 20 home runs (39 extra base hits), a 17.7 BB%, a 13.4 K%, all while stealing 15 bases at 94%. In 2026, he managed a 170 wRC+. Sheesh. That's some of the best offensive production in college baseball, regardless of position. Unpacking those numbers further presents an equally rosy picture. Lackey maintained an overall contact rate of 83% (88% in zone). He doesn’t chase too much (~17%), his average EV and EV90 are both north of the 95th percentile in D1 baseball. Finally, Lackey has figured out how to pull the ball in the air with consistency. For the Baseball Savant slider truthers, it’s a sea of red. In short, it’s a complete offensive profile. WOOD BAT PERFORMANCE It’s worth unpacking Lackey’s performance with wooden bats. In 2024, he managed a .640 OPS in the Northwoods League with Traverse City (through 176 plate appearances). A year later he had a .314 OPS in 26 plate appearances on the Cape for Hyannis. Normally, I'd spend more time unpacking this, but the truth is, Lackey simply isn’t the same player offensively as he was in 2025, and certainly in 2024. Call it an orange flag if you want to, I’m not taking much stock in it, given how he’s performed offensively in 2026. DEFENSIVE PROFILE So, what about the defense that has earned Patrick Bailey comps? Folks will know I don’t like comps, I think they place unrealistic and unfair expectations on players too early, and we’re often not clear with what we’re comping (a swing, production, etc.). What’s universally agreed upon is Lackey has a chance to be a plus defensive catcher. Operating from a one-knee down setup, it’s easily a plus arm, and while his career caught stealing percentage (~25%) might seem light, this is more of a reflection of a need for more precision with his throws, at times, than a lack of arm strength. Lackey put up similar numbers in controlling the running game on the Cape (33 % caught stealing). While there’s some refinement needed to maximize the tools here, the tools are in place, as Lackey routinely posts pop times between 1.85-1.95 seconds. While he can continue to refine his receiving game, Lackey has snappy wrists and moves fluidly enough to suggest he’ll be able to steal plenty of strikes as a pro. Lackey’s lateral movement might be his most impressive defensive trait. He works side to side incredibly smoothly, or with explosive precision when the need arises. It’s a rare level of body control we can find examples of throughout his defensive play. Lackey has a characteristic ‘lateral shuffle’ when positioning his body to throw out a would-be base stealer, that gives him a clear throwing lane, and a better angle to second base. He’ll use his explosiveness to catch base runners off guard, too, backpicking four hitters in 2026 alone. WHAT TEAMMATES AND COACHES SAY Lackey is a high-energy player, earning rave reviews for both his work ethic and how he carries himself as a team mate. Teammate and fellow first round prospect Drew Burress had this to say after Georgia Tech were eliminated from postseason play. Head Coach Jacob Ramsey described recruiting Lackey to Georgia Tech as ‘watching a shortstop play catcher’. It’s a backhanded compliment, describing both his natural athletic ability and the level of rawness with which he entered collegiate baseball. Ramsey played Lackey in every defensive position except pitcher in a non-conference game in early 2026, to showcase his versatility. FINAL THOUGHTS Twins fans have been clamoring for a succession plan for Ryan Jeffers for several years. Lackey (if available) is the rare intersection of pick position, value, and an area of organizational need. He appears to be a unicorn prospect, a catcher with contact skills, power and speed, and the foundations of excellent defense. If he’s on the board at number three, he’d be an excellent, fast moving addition to the Twins system, locking up one of the toughest defensive positions to fill for the next half decade. View full article
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Vahn Lackey has a strong case to make for college baseball’s most improved player in 2026. It’s been a meteoric rise for the Georgia Tech backstop who is about to be the latest first round selection from ‘Catcher U’ (joining Jason Varitek, Matt Wieters, Joey Bart, and Kevin Parada). It’s worth noting that Lackey doesn’t turn 21 until four days before the draft. Along with Jackson Flora, he’s one of the youngest college prospects likely to hear their name called in the first round come July. This will appeal to the draft models of pro organizations. BIO AND BACKGROUND Originally hailing from Suwanee, Georgia, Lackey wasn’t a hailed recruit coming out of high school. Rated as the #16 catcher in the state as a senior by Perfect Game coming out of Collins Hill HS, he was named a team captain in his senior year. A growth spurt in his senior year caught the eye of Georgia Tech and mitigated Lackey having few college offers as a prep player. Lackey entered his collegiate career with a reputation as a defense first catcher. His offensive profile was anchored in good bat-to-ball skills and the bet that a physical late bloomer with standout athleticism could develop a well rounded offensive skillset. COLLEGE STATS AND PERFORMANCE Lackey played 36 games as a freshman, hitting .214/.330/.381 with 4 home runs, an 11.7% walk rate, a 17.5 K%, and a modest 60 wRC+. The roots of Lackey’s offensive skillset were evident though, even in a season with mediocre production. Lackey showed excellent bat-to-ball skills from day one, managing an 82% contact rate (93% in zone) as a freshman. Lackey also showcased his excellent approach, rarely expanding the zone, and taking plenty of free passes, despite a lack of extra base impact. As a sophomore, Lackey improved significantly. Moving into the starting catcher’s role full time, he managed a .347/.421/.500 line with 6 home runs (21 XBH), while walking 9.4% of the time and maintaining his excellent contact skills, managing a 14.3 K%. As a sophomore, Lackey produced a 110 wRC+, also stealing 18 bases at 86%. The impact and added strength began to show up in his second year, despite not adding much home run power, Lackey supplied plenty of extra base hits, and saw jumps in both his average EV and EV90, both of which jumped above the 75th percentile among D1 teams. Lackey’s damage on contact was limited by an elevated (pun intended) ground ball rate. Let’s take a moment to dig into his swing. Lackey sets up at the plate in a neutral stance with a chin-high hand set, often planting himself deep in the batter’s box. Lackey loads and prepares to swing early, getting into a medium-to-significant leg kick while pulling his hands behind his front shoulder. Lackey gets a ton of stretch in his swing, rotating well with increased bat speed and often meeting the ball in front of the plate. It’s a violent, pretty swing (as right-handed swings go). As a junior, Lackey ascended offensively, trading off a marginal degree of his batted ball excellent for significant extra base impact. In 61 games, he hit .397/.519/.772 with 20 home runs (39 extra base hits), a 17.7 BB%, a 13.4 K%, all while stealing 15 bases at 94%. In 2026, he managed a 170 wRC+. Sheesh. That's some of the best offensive production in college baseball, regardless of position. Unpacking those numbers further presents an equally rosy picture. Lackey maintained an overall contact rate of 83% (88% in zone). He doesn’t chase too much (~17%), his average EV and EV90 are both north of the 95th percentile in D1 baseball. Finally, Lackey has figured out how to pull the ball in the air with consistency. For the Baseball Savant slider truthers, it’s a sea of red. In short, it’s a complete offensive profile. WOOD BAT PERFORMANCE It’s worth unpacking Lackey’s performance with wooden bats. In 2024, he managed a .640 OPS in the Northwoods League with Traverse City (through 176 plate appearances). A year later he had a .314 OPS in 26 plate appearances on the Cape for Hyannis. Normally, I'd spend more time unpacking this, but the truth is, Lackey simply isn’t the same player offensively as he was in 2025, and certainly in 2024. Call it an orange flag if you want to, I’m not taking much stock in it, given how he’s performed offensively in 2026. DEFENSIVE PROFILE So, what about the defense that has earned Patrick Bailey comps? Folks will know I don’t like comps, I think they place unrealistic and unfair expectations on players too early, and we’re often not clear with what we’re comping (a swing, production, etc.). What’s universally agreed upon is Lackey has a chance to be a plus defensive catcher. Operating from a one-knee down setup, it’s easily a plus arm, and while his career caught stealing percentage (~25%) might seem light, this is more of a reflection of a need for more precision with his throws, at times, than a lack of arm strength. Lackey put up similar numbers in controlling the running game on the Cape (33 % caught stealing). While there’s some refinement needed to maximize the tools here, the tools are in place, as Lackey routinely posts pop times between 1.85-1.95 seconds. While he can continue to refine his receiving game, Lackey has snappy wrists and moves fluidly enough to suggest he’ll be able to steal plenty of strikes as a pro. Lackey’s lateral movement might be his most impressive defensive trait. He works side to side incredibly smoothly, or with explosive precision when the need arises. It’s a rare level of body control we can find examples of throughout his defensive play. Lackey has a characteristic ‘lateral shuffle’ when positioning his body to throw out a would-be base stealer, that gives him a clear throwing lane, and a better angle to second base. He’ll use his explosiveness to catch base runners off guard, too, backpicking four hitters in 2026 alone. WHAT TEAMMATES AND COACHES SAY Lackey is a high-energy player, earning rave reviews for both his work ethic and how he carries himself as a team mate. Teammate and fellow first round prospect Drew Burress had this to say after Georgia Tech were eliminated from postseason play. Head Coach Jacob Ramsey described recruiting Lackey to Georgia Tech as ‘watching a shortstop play catcher’. It’s a backhanded compliment, describing both his natural athletic ability and the level of rawness with which he entered collegiate baseball. Ramsey played Lackey in every defensive position except pitcher in a non-conference game in early 2026, to showcase his versatility. FINAL THOUGHTS Twins fans have been clamoring for a succession plan for Ryan Jeffers for several years. Lackey (if available) is the rare intersection of pick position, value, and an area of organizational need. He appears to be a unicorn prospect, a catcher with contact skills, power and speed, and the foundations of excellent defense. If he’s on the board at number three, he’d be an excellent, fast moving addition to the Twins system, locking up one of the toughest defensive positions to fill for the next half decade.
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It's time to check back in with another Twins mock. The MLB Draft is just five weeks away. This class is as muddled as any I've covered, though it's plenty deep in talent. You can find our consensus board here. Let's check in on some player profiles it's currently mocking to the Twins with their first few picks in July At #3, the Twins Select Vahn Lackey, Catcher, Georgia Tech Every draft cycle seems to produce 2-3 first-round catchers, most of whom have warts offensively, defensively, or both. Georgia Tech's Vahn Lackey may be the most complete college catcher in recent seasons and has been the name with the most helium associated with it in the early going in 2026. Lackey entered 2026 viewed as an excellent defensive catcher, with athleticism uncommon for the position, in addition to having strong bat-to-ball skills. He continues to look excellent behind the plate, with good receiving and blocking skills, an excellent arm and strong pop and transfer times. Offensively, his power has taken a step forward. After hitting 6 home runs in 60 games in 2025, he has 9 in his first 25 in 2026, with more walks than strikeouts, adding a high on-base floor to his profile. He'll need to continue to prove it in conference play, but a continuation of his early-season improvements will push Lackey into top-5 consideration due to the completeness of his skill sets on both sides of the ball. At #43, the Twins Select Archer Horn, SS/RHP, St. Ignatius College Prep, CA Horn is a two-way prospect out of Northern California, currently committed to Stanford. He's a talented pitcher who has been up to 95 mph with his fastball, also mixing in a good changeup and a solid curveball that has strong spin traits. Most evaluators think his future is as a hitter, however. In the box, Horn has good bat speed, barrel feel, and demonstrates the ability to consistently generate loft in his left-handed swing. I think he'll eventually be a power over hit profile, but he currently has the potential to be at least solid average in both tools. Defensively, it's likely he moves off shortstop eventually, but he has a future on the first at second or third base. His commitment to Stanford, and his placement on the board in the 40-60 range generate some skepticism around his signability. Riojas pitched for two seasons at UTSA prior to transferring to Texas. He's continued to take steps forward in his two seasons with the Longhorns, capped by an excellent 2026 season. At #74, the Twins Select Ruger Riojas, RHP, Texas Riojas is undersized for a starter at 6'0, 195 pounds. He'll also be 23 on draft day, one of the older prospects selected in the entire class. His fastball sits 94-96 mph with good carry and will peak at 97-98 mph. It's backed up by a splitter that sits in the mid 80s, a cutter, a sweeper and a curveball to round out a well-developed arsenal. Riojas has a strikeout rate north of 35% heading into the end of the regular season, combined with an impressive 5.2% walk rate. He'll be drafted in the first 3 rounds as a priority senior sign that will allow an organization some financial flexibility with other early picks. At #79, the Twins Select Taylor Rabe, RHP, Ole Miss Taylor Rabe is a 6’5, right-handed pitcher for Ole’ Miss, who has been a significant late riser on draft boards down the stretch of the 2026 season. After blowing out his elbow in his senior year of high school, he made it to campus and spent his 2024 season recovering from TJ surgery. Rabe transitioned into a starting role in 2026, after functioning primarily as a reliever his sophomore season. Entering Super Regional play, he’s logged a career high 63.1 innings, posting a strikeout rate north of 34%, while managing a 3.82 FIP, an excellent mark given the quality of the competition he’s facing regularly. Rabe has an excellent fastball that sits 95-97 mph but has touched triple digits. It’s primarily complemented by a cutter (86 mph), a slider (82 mph), and a changeup (87 mph), giving Rabe a solid four pitch mix with which to transition into pro ball. There’s excellent strike throwing here. Rabe has walked just 3.8% of hitters in 2026. That’s actually up from 2025 (2.5%) and he gets good extension down the mound. There’s a ton of starter traits here, and I like Rabe a ton to polish up his arsenal and optimize his approach with an offseason in a pro system under his belt. The arrow is firmly up here. View full article
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It's time to check back in with another Twins mock. The MLB Draft is just five weeks away. This class is as muddled as any I've covered, though it's plenty deep in talent. You can find our consensus board here. Let's check in on some player profiles it's currently mocking to the Twins with their first few picks in July At #3, the Twins Select Vahn Lackey, Catcher, Georgia Tech Every draft cycle seems to produce 2-3 first-round catchers, most of whom have warts offensively, defensively, or both. Georgia Tech's Vahn Lackey may be the most complete college catcher in recent seasons and has been the name with the most helium associated with it in the early going in 2026. Lackey entered 2026 viewed as an excellent defensive catcher, with athleticism uncommon for the position, in addition to having strong bat-to-ball skills. He continues to look excellent behind the plate, with good receiving and blocking skills, an excellent arm and strong pop and transfer times. Offensively, his power has taken a step forward. After hitting 6 home runs in 60 games in 2025, he has 9 in his first 25 in 2026, with more walks than strikeouts, adding a high on-base floor to his profile. He'll need to continue to prove it in conference play, but a continuation of his early-season improvements will push Lackey into top-5 consideration due to the completeness of his skill sets on both sides of the ball. At #43, the Twins Select Archer Horn, SS/RHP, St. Ignatius College Prep, CA Horn is a two-way prospect out of Northern California, currently committed to Stanford. He's a talented pitcher who has been up to 95 mph with his fastball, also mixing in a good changeup and a solid curveball that has strong spin traits. Most evaluators think his future is as a hitter, however. In the box, Horn has good bat speed, barrel feel, and demonstrates the ability to consistently generate loft in his left-handed swing. I think he'll eventually be a power over hit profile, but he currently has the potential to be at least solid average in both tools. Defensively, it's likely he moves off shortstop eventually, but he has a future on the first at second or third base. His commitment to Stanford, and his placement on the board in the 40-60 range generate some skepticism around his signability. Riojas pitched for two seasons at UTSA prior to transferring to Texas. He's continued to take steps forward in his two seasons with the Longhorns, capped by an excellent 2026 season. At #74, the Twins Select Ruger Riojas, RHP, Texas Riojas is undersized for a starter at 6'0, 195 pounds. He'll also be 23 on draft day, one of the older prospects selected in the entire class. His fastball sits 94-96 mph with good carry and will peak at 97-98 mph. It's backed up by a splitter that sits in the mid 80s, a cutter, a sweeper and a curveball to round out a well-developed arsenal. Riojas has a strikeout rate north of 35% heading into the end of the regular season, combined with an impressive 5.2% walk rate. He'll be drafted in the first 3 rounds as a priority senior sign that will allow an organization some financial flexibility with other early picks. At #79, the Twins Select Taylor Rabe, RHP, Ole Miss Taylor Rabe is a 6’5, right-handed pitcher for Ole’ Miss, who has been a significant late riser on draft boards down the stretch of the 2026 season. After blowing out his elbow in his senior year of high school, he made it to campus and spent his 2024 season recovering from TJ surgery. Rabe transitioned into a starting role in 2026, after functioning primarily as a reliever his sophomore season. Entering Super Regional play, he’s logged a career high 63.1 innings, posting a strikeout rate north of 34%, while managing a 3.82 FIP, an excellent mark given the quality of the competition he’s facing regularly. Rabe has an excellent fastball that sits 95-97 mph but has touched triple digits. It’s primarily complemented by a cutter (86 mph), a slider (82 mph), and a changeup (87 mph), giving Rabe a solid four pitch mix with which to transition into pro ball. There’s excellent strike throwing here. Rabe has walked just 3.8% of hitters in 2026. That’s actually up from 2025 (2.5%) and he gets good extension down the mound. There’s a ton of starter traits here, and I like Rabe a ton to polish up his arsenal and optimize his approach with an offseason in a pro system under his belt. The arrow is firmly up here.
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Image courtesy of © Steven Branscombe-Imagn Images We all know who is going to be selected first overall in the 2026 MLB Draft in July by the Chicago White Sox. What if we don't, though? This weekend, in one of the more stunning upsets in the history of postseason collegiate baseball, No. 1 national seed UCLA was eliminated by fourth-seeded St. Mary’s. A few months ago, the Bruins looked like a shoo-in for Omaha. In truth, they had been sputtering for weeks, peaking too early, scraping through the B1G Ten conference tournament, and losing key personnel (such as Friday night starter Logan Reddemann) to injury. Roch Cholowsky has been the presumptive No. 1 pick in the 2026 MLB Draft since the 2025 event took place, marking the possibility that an amateur prospect goes wire-to-wire in the consensus top spot in industry rankings for the first time since Adley Rutschman in 2019. This morning, however, Over Slot published their updated top-500 draft rankings, with a new name at the top of the pile: Georgia Tech catcher Vahn Lackey. With all this in mind, let’s walk through a quick update on each of the top three players in the class. Roch Cholowsky, SS, UCLA Cholowsky had a strong season, even if the end was muted. Despite going 2-12 in regional play, the top player in the class hit .320/.452/.636 on the season, with 21 home runs. Cholowsky walked and struck out a matching 12% of the time. Add his offensive performance together, and you have a 146 wRC+, which down from 2025 (164 wRC+), but impressive when you consider he's probably the best defensive shortstop in the class. Cholowsky has a path to four plus tools (speed being the exception). There are some concerns around his swing and load being elongated and impacting his rotation against higher velocity in pro pitching, but he’s not encountered a litmus test for that concern in amateur baseball. Grady Emerson, SS, Fort Worth Christian HS It’s a testament to the quality of Emerson’s profile that he’s been relatively insulated from prospect fatigue. He’s been famous (in youth baseball terms) for several years, playing for four different iterations of the US National team (and playing every infield position with them). Emerson is probably a better player at the same age than Cholowsky was, with the best hit tool in the draft class. Questions around his future profile center more on how much power he will develop. He’s seen as a lock to stick at shortstop as a professional, with evaluators placing him in the same caliber of prep prospects as Max Clark and Walker Jenkins from the 2023 cycle. Notably, the Rays (picking ahead of the Twins) have leaned heavily into left-handed-hitting prep bats in recent classes. Vahn Lackey, C, Georgia Tech Lackey has had the most impressive season of any college player. While he doesn’t have the same historical prospect pedigree as Cholowsky, he’s had an incredible 2026, punctuated by two 450-foot home runs during regional play this weekend. Lackey has hit .407/.529/.790 on the season with 20 home runs (175 wRC+), walking 18% of the time and striking out 13.3%. He’s stolen 15 bases at a 94% success rate and earns Patrick Bailey comps for his defensive work. There are undoubtedly front offices who see him as the best prospect in the class. Such has been his rise in 2026. In recent weeks, we’ve seen the arc of the top pick narrative slowly shift. Initially, the White Sox were doing ‘due diligence’ on other candidates at number one. On May 7, MLB Pipeline draft expert Jim Callis opined that ‘the vibe right now is 55-60 percent that the White Sox take Roch Cholowsky’. Today, on June 1, for the first time, he’s not the number one prospect on every major industry draft board. The next few weeks of postseason collegiate play will dictate the extent to which this narrative continues to be spun. Will Lackey continue to swing a hot bat? Do you think Roch Cholowsky’s grip on the number one spot in industry draft rankings is under threat? Let us know how you think it will play out in the comments. View full article
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- roch cholowsky
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