Jamie Cameron

I think Lebron will be closer to a mid-round pick than the T3 ultimately unless he heats up significantly. The whiff is just more risk than teams picking T5 will be willing to tolerate. I'm glad we got the board out with Flora in third, because I'm pretty sure Emerson/Lackey are about to lock up 2/3 for the rest of the cycle. For the record, I think the drop off in arm talent if you grabbed an arm at 42 is way less than the drop off in offensive talent. You could grab an arm like Carlon or Townsend (or whoever ends up replacing them on the board) in a pick similar to quick at #36, and have your elite stuff, fast moving college arm. TLDR: I think it'll be a bat.

That's a fun talker. I don't really love the phrase because there's not really a normed definition of what that means. 55s across the board? I'm not sure there is, in this class. Cholowsky is close, but he's an average runner. Emerson if the power ticks up a bit.

There's a pretty clear explanation that account for this. Literally called out that it's a 'lagging reflection' of what the actual rankings are.

Flukey's return is a bit of a wild card. He's back on Sunday. He'll have to be lights out down the stretch, but as Carlos Collazo pointed out on our POD, he could force his way into the mix. Outside shot for me, but definitely worth paying attention to.

Always appreciate your thoughtful responses. Good read. We're in the midst of a lot of major board updates atm. If I had to make a prediction, I'd suggest that in two weeks, there will be a pretty 'formed' T4 of Cholowsky, Emerson, Lackey, Flora. As of today, I'd think Emerson or Lackey are the most likely selections. I'd be happy with either, personally. Obviously, I'll post more in-depth write ups of options as the season winds down.

Welcome to the 2026 MLB Consensus Draft Board. This is the fifth version of the board, which started in 2022 as a top 30. Since then, it’s expanded to around 150 players on an annual basis, featuring at eight different team sites. So what is the Consensus Board? How is it made? How should it be used? The concept is loosely based on Arif Hasan’s NFL Consensus Board. It’s meant to be a tool for folks getting interested in the MLB Draft. As I was learning about the draft, I struggled to navigate wildly varied rankings and evaluations of players. The Consensus Board takes every major publicly available board and combines them into a consensus ranking, eliminating some of the noise and variance of an extremely challenging evaluation process. We’ve found this process to be useful in ranking players in appropriate ranges through the first five (or so) rounds of the draft. On the board, you’ll find player names, handedness, listed height and weight, age, and a write-up, walking through their strengths and weaknesses as a prospect. As we go through the cycle, these will be updated with tweaks, final college stats, and more. Every time a major outlet (Baseball America, ESPN, The Athletic, etc.) releases an updated list, the consensus ranking shifts. As such, the board is a lagging reflection of what the industry thinks of the class and its key players. The final Consensus Board will incorporate at least 10 other boards as inputs. New MLB Mock Draft Board Features There are a few important features to point out to help you navigate the board. There’s a search bar to help you find players of interest. If you click ‘expand,’ the board will focus on the writeup you are engaged with, in addition to one immediately above it and one immediately below it. Additionally, you’ll find the logo of your team next to their draft slots to help understand where they are picking. There will be a player slotted there, based on their consensus ranking. Rather than using that ranking as an indicator of who they might actually pick, it’s more useful to use it as a proxy for what caliber of talent is available at that slot. We’ll dig in deeper to team-specific mock drafts later in the cycle. The last important note is that this year, the board features ‘push’ updates. It updates automatically every hour. The board is typically updated with new write-ups five days per week, so check back regularly. At #3, The Minnesota Twins Select: Jackson Flora, RHP, UC Santa Barbara Flora pitched behind No. 2 overall pick Tyler Bremner in 2025, and returns a year later to headline the Gauchos' rotation, himself a contender to be a top-three pick. Flora has an ideal frame for a starter, standing 6-foot-5 and weighing 205 pounds, with some additional strength still to be added. After pitching primarily as a reliever as a freshman, Flora took on a starting role as a sophomore and thrived, managing a 3.15 FIP in 75 innings, while striking out close to 28% of the hitters he faced. The stuff is loud. Flora primarily relies on a fastball, slider, and changeup combination, though he does access a cutter and curveball occasionally, too. It's a high-spin fastball (up to 2,600 RPM), topping out at 100 MPH from a low release height. Flora throws two iterations of his slider, a harder version around 87 mph, and a sweeper that generates 19 inches of horizontal movement. To add to this intriguing arsenal, Flora has been an excellent strike thrower in college, walking just 5.5% of hitters in 2025. Flora has separated himself as SP1 early in the 2026 cycle. There's room for development and refinement of his pitch shapes and arsenal, but this is front-of-the-rotation arm talent and upside. At the moment, he's the type of player Twins fans can expect the team to be discussing when they're on the clock this July. Demographically, he'd be an unusual choice for this team, but then again, the front office has undergone some major changes recently. It's a whole new world. View full article

Image courtesy of © Mike Watters-Imagn Images There’s a triumvirate of top-100 hitting prospects playing at CHS Field this spring, on one of Minor League Baseball’s most offensively loaded teams. Naturally, Twins fans are wondering who will debut first. In the early going, Emmanuel Rodriguez has been the most productive and looks the most ready. What’s fueled his incandescent April? A change in approach and setup at the plate. We’ll start with his setup at the plate. Rodríguez has closed his batting stance this year. Slight camera angle differences aside, notice the difference in his setup in the first image (2025) and the second image (2026). What are the potential benefits here? Several, but I want to focus on two; being more closed can help with coverage on the outside part of the plate. Additionally, it can support better hip rotation and directionality with his swing. Both benefits seem to be playing out for Rodríguez through the first month of the season. The outside portion of the plate (down and away) has been a weak spot for Rodríguez, throughout his professional career. Since he hits the ball so dang hard, we’ll use quality of contact as a proxy for his ability to do damage. In 2025, Rodríguez averaged 84.4 mph on batted balls in that quadrant of the zone, good for a .353 slugging percentage. In 2026, it’s 94.3 mph, resulting in a 1.000 slugging percentage at the time of writing. In order to examine the second contention, we need to revisit 2025. Rodríguez had a weird year. He played 52 games at Triple-A, and managed a 134 wRC+ despite only rocking a .166 ISO. For context here, a .140 ISO is around league average. Rodríguez, who will always strike out at an above-average rate, has a power-reliant offensive profile, so sitting at such a low mark was discouraging. He simply wasn’t launching the baseball in 2025. He carried a 51.6% ground-ball rate. Below, you can see his launch angles by zone from last year. Insert sad trombone. The newly closed stance has ameliorated that issue in 2026. While it’s only 16 games, his ground-ball rate is just 31.6%, which has allowed him to tap into a .263 ISO. Peep the launch angles by zone in 2026. That’s looking much more productive. If you want more evidence, he recently hit the hardest ball in St. Paul Saints history (117.1 mph), and he leads all Triple-A players ages 23 and under in EV90, at 110.8 mph. Those numbers probably won’t hold, but they're both markers of top-of-the-scale power. In short, this is the potential 30-home run bat Twins fans have been dreaming of. We should also discuss some changes Rodríguez has made in his approach at the plate. Describing his plate discipline binary pithily as ‘patience or passivity’ has become a staple of our analysis of Rodríguez since he became a notable prospect. Through the first month of the season, he’s made some swing decision tweaks that might finally help put that phrase to bed. In his 52-game 2025 Triple-A sample, Rodríguez swung at 38.1% of pitches. That's as low as anyone goes in MLB. Only Taylor Ward and Juan Soto swung less often in the majors last year. That’s not necessarily a problem, in and of itself, but it’s easy for that lack of aggression to quickly become an impediment. How would this play out disadvantageously? Hypotheticaly, Rodríguez would be waiting for his perfect pitch and quickly get into 0-2 or 1-2 counts. Without elite bat-to-ball skills in his back pocket, he’s in challenging counts too often to be consistently productive. What’s different in 2026? In short, he’s swinging more. His overall swing percentage is up from 37.7% to 44.4%. That's a level at which he's defending the strike zone much more robustly. Rodríguez is swinging at pitches in the zone around 10% more in the early going in 2026. While that has resulted in a higher chase percentage (17.3% in 2025; 23.9% in 2026), this is a trade worth making, because it was such an absurdly low mark to begin with. If Rodríguez carries his current increased chase rate into the majors, it’d still be a top-15 mark in the league. What’s the headline here? Rodríguez is chasing more, but the prize is more of that incredible bat speed directed at hittable pitches earlier in counts. You can see this represented below, with his average exit velocities represented by count. In 2026, we see a greater swath of red earlier in counts. You miss 100% of the swings you don’t take, I guess. How does Rodríguez force himself into the Twins lineup, and at whose expense? That’s a fun discussion, but one for another day. What’s clear is that early in 2026, he’s making the adjustments needed for his specific skillset to thrive in the majors—not just in Triple-A. View full article

Image courtesy of William Parmeter Andrew Morris is getting the call. Twins Daily’s #12 prospect is joining the team in Toronto for a three-game road trip. He’s expected to pitch out the bullpen with right-hander Cody Laweryson being placed on the injured list. Morris was drafted in the fourth round of the 2022 draft out of Texas Tech (114th overall). After making short work of the lower minors in 2023, he spent parts of three seasons in Triple-A dealing with injuries and searching for consistency. After throwing 94 2/3 innings for St. Paul in 2025 (4.09 ERA, 4.14 FIP), he looked good in two outings (7 1/3 IP) in 2026 (1.23 ERA, 2.93 FIP). Morris has been a consistent strike thrower throughout the minor leagues, maintaining walk rates that oscillated between 4.5% and 8%. As for the pitch mix Morris will bring to the table, he’ll throw up to six pitches in a kitchen sink type approach. He throws all three fastball shapes, his four-seamer sitting 95 mph and topping out at 98 mph. Morris also mixes in a slider (84 mph), a slower curveball (75 mph), and a firm changeup (89 mph). While Morris’ production has been consistently effective throughout his minor league career, he began to generate less swing and miss in the upper levels of the minors, raising doubts about whether he can start in the majors (he's neither a pronator or a supinator, leading to a lack of outlier vertical or horizontal movement on his pitches). Getting an opportunity to contribute in the bullpen is the perfect introduction for Morris. The role should allow his stuff to play up and give him the best possible chance to succeed while adjusting to major league hitting. In addition, Ryan Kreidler is taking Royce Lewis's spot on the 26-man roster. Lewis is out with a knee sprain. View full article

Image courtesy of © Tim Heitman-Imagn Images Bonus pools were announced for the 2026 MLB Draft on Wednesday. The Minnesota Twins are in great shape ahead of July, for what promises to be a class rich in both impact talent and depth. The Twins have the fourth-highest bonus pool total, at $16,929,600, behind only the Pirates, Rays, and White Sox. Slot values have increased 2.5% from 2025. The Twins' bonus pool is heavily weighted toward the No. 3 overall pick, which comes with a slot value of $9,740,100. In a strong class, Minnesota is likely to have several good options, including prep shortstop Grady Emerson, UC Santa Barbara ace Jackson Flora, or impact college bats like Justin Lebron, Vahn Lackey, or AJ Gracia. Listed below are all 11 of the Twins' slotted picks with their allotted bonus values. 1st Round, 3rd pick: $9,740,100 2nd Round, 43rd pick: $2,333,200 Comp B, 74th pick: $1,138,600 3rd Round, 79th pick: $1,052,700 4th Round, 107th pick: $733,100 5th Round, 139th pick: $536,900 6th Round, 168th pick: $406,800 7th Round, 197th pick: $319,600 8th Round, 227th pick: $253,300 9th Round, 257th pick: $215,400 10th Round, 287th pick: $199,900 Teams can spend up to $150,000 on player bonuses in rounds 11-20, with any amount spent over $150,000 being counted toward their bonus pool. Teams are permitted to spend up to 5% over their total bonus pool, incurring only a tax penalty on the overage. The total they have to spend can be spread around however they'd like, though, so (for instance) if the wealth of options at No. 3 gives them the leverage to sign someone for $7.7 million instead of $9.7 million, they can use the remainder on one or more of their other picks. Typically, teams at the very top of the draft do at least some of this. Last year, the Mariners saved $700,000 against the slot value of the third pick. Over the last four drafts, the top three picks have delivered their teams an average savings of $937,000. However, when the Twins picked fifth in 2023, they were so happy to have Walker Jenkins fall to them that they signed him for the full slot allotment. If you were picking for the Twins today, who would you select at number three overall? View full article

Image courtesy of Thieres Rabelo In episode 113 of Destination: The Show, Jeremy and Jamie caught up with Twins left-handed pitching prospect Dasan Hill as he prepares to start Opening Night for the Cedar Rapids Kernels. The guys talk with Dasan about his journey through amateur baseball, his draft experience, and his onboarding with the Twins. They move on to discuss his first full pro season in 2025, his goals for 2026, and his reflections on starting the Spring Breakout game and touching 100 mph for the first time. 0:55 Dasan Hill 1:16 Earliest baseball memories 3:44 Process of getting recruited and drafted 6:15 Stuff taking a step forward as a senior of high school 7:55 Getting drafted by the Twins 9:33 What did you know about Minnesota? 11:00 The onboarding process after getting drafted You can support the show by downloading it from wherever you get your podcasts, including iTunes and Spotify. If you enjoy the content, consider leaving us a five-star rating and review in addition to sharing or retweeting DTS-related content. You can follow us on Twitter @DTS_POD1, @Jeremynygaard, @J_D_Cameron, and @TheodoreTollef1. We’re now on Bluesky @destinationtheshow.bsky.social. You can also find full episodes and clips of our shows on our YouTube page @DestinationTheShow. View full article

Image courtesy of William Parmeter The Twins' performance in the international market in the Derek Falvey era is largely pinned on Emmanuel Rodriguez. Despite missing significant time due to a litany of injuries in recent seasons, Rodriguez has performed well at every MiLB pitstop. It's a rare combination of exceptional on-base ability, eye-popping power, and strong supplementary tools being balanced out by significant concerns around his hit tool. Emmanuel Rodriguez Age: 23 (DOB: 02/28/2003) Bats/Throws: L/L 2025 Stats (CPX, A, Triple-A): 267 PA, .269/.431/.409, 9 2B, 1 3B, 6 HR, 10 SB ETA: 2026 2025 Ranking: #2 National Top 100 Rankings BP: 48 | MLB: 74 | ATH: 57 | BA: 57 | ESPN: 97 Personally, I went back and forth on Kaelen Culpepper and Rodriguez in this spot several times. If you want stability and floor, Culpepper is the guy. If you want the only Twins prospect not named Walker Jenkins who is capable of a 3-4 win season, E-Rod should be number two. His drop, more than anything else, is indicative of a prospect whose only averaged 70 MiLB games played in a three-season span between 2023-2025. What to Like Rodriguez has one of the weirdest, most fascinating offensive profiles in baseball. With impressive assets only matched by the magnitude of his flaws. He’s a patient hitter, running a 37% overall swing rate in the minors in 2025. That’s Juan Soto level selectivity. We also don’t have a ton of examples of guys with a matching number in the majors. Luckily for Rodriguez, his patience is the product of a fantastic eye at the plate. He walked 20.6% of the time in 2025, contributing to a whopping .430 OBP. The Twins have worked with Rodriguez on being more aggressive on pitches thrown over the heart of the zone, to avoid leveraged counts. It’s difficult to ascertain how successfully he’s managed it, given his limited time on the field There’s impressive power to go with his ability to get on base. Rodriguez put up max exit velocities in the 115 mph range in 2025 and has been up as high as 117 mph in his MiLB career. There’s 30 home run power in there, potentially. Rodriguez’s isolated power fell significantly from 2024 (.287) to 2025 (.139). That falloff doesn’t line up with how hard E-Rod hits the ball. For now, I think we can attribute that to constant interruptions to his playing time, until that’s a pattern that continues into 2026. What's Left to Work On? Let’s talk about the issues. Aside from health, Rodriguez’s hit tool has some major red flags. There’s some holes in his swing at the top of the zone, and the bat-to-ball numbers are suspect. The overall contact rate (67%) is poor for a high-caliber prospect at AAA. It’s particularly bad out of the strike zone (33.8%). This led to a 31.8% strikeout rate in 2025. You can see how this might play out in the majors; a patient power hitter with poor contact skills gets into too many leveraged counts, and increasingly swings through elite big-league stuff. There are some valuable supplementary tools in the bag here, too. E-Rod is a good defensive centerfielder. Not in the way Byron Buxton is, in which elite speed contributes to outstanding range. Rodriguez gets good jumps and has outstanding body control. It’s backed by a big arm, too. It’s a similar defensive projection to Walker Jenkins; solid-to-good in centerfield, potentially great in a corner spot. What to Look for in 2026 The version of E-Rod who puts it all together is a scary prospect. It’s a .230 hitter with 30 bombs, 25 bags, playing a premium defensive position. Sadly, we’ve yet to see that version play out over the course of a minor league season. He’ll debut in 2026 and should be the prospect in this top ten who hits the majors first, health permitting. Rodriguez’s having a strong year would do wonders for the Twins, who retain a massive yet deeply inspiring menagerie of left-handed hitting outfielders on their 40-man roster. There’s an unusually wide range of outcomes here for a prospect already in AAA. Let’s hope 2026 is the year health, performance, and opportunity match up neatly for a Twins top prospect. View full article

The new international signing period opens on January 15th. As a smaller market team, the Twins are one of a handful of organizations with an upper echelon bonus pool. They, along with seven other teams, have $7,357,100 to spend, the second highest pool available to teams. This year, the Twins class is headlined by Enmanuel Merlo, a Venezuelan shortstop who turned 17 in November. Merlo is slated to receive the 29th largest bonus of any international prospect, per Baseball America. His signing bonus is expected to be ~$1.5 million. Merlo is ranked by MLB Pipeline as the 34th best prospect in the 2026 class. Listed at 6'1, 190 pounds, Merlo is a switch hitter with a wiry frame. He's currently better from the left side and has a well rounded offensive profile. Merlo consistently produced above average exit velocities relative to his peers, while also being praised for controlling the strike zone effectively and taking free passes when available. Despite being an average runner, Merlo is aggressive on the base paths and his running may become an asset in his game as he develops his reads. He has an above average arm and a smooth first step at shortstop. While he may not stick there permanently, he certainly has the requisite skills to stick in the dirt as a professional. We'll have more details on the Twins forthcoming international crop at Twins Daily in the coming weeks. View full article

Image courtesy of © Gary Cosby Jr.-Tuscaloosa News / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images The dust has settled on the 2025 MLB Draft Lottery. It was a solid outcome for the Twins, who should have a bonus pool upwards of $16 million to play with when we get to next July. The No. 3 spot is a fascinating place to pick. There's a consensus top prospect, in Roch Cholowsky, and kind of a consensus second choice in prep shortstop Grady Emerson. What of the rest? For this thought exercise, I'm going to try to rank the prospects the Twins might take based on their talent, recent performance, and fit with the organization. This 'ranking' will change significantly over the course of the amateur season, so I'm using it as a checkpoint for my thinking here in December. For the purposes of this writeup, we're going to assume Roch Cholowsky is going number one to the White Sox, and Grady Emerson is going number two to the Rays. Let's rank the five next most likely options. Will this look silly in July 2026? Absolutely; that's part of the fun. 1. Justin Lebron, SS, Alabama, R/R, 21 .316/.421/.636 (127 wRC+), 12.5 BB%, 24.2 K%, 18 HR, 17 SB (94%) Lebron is a premier athlete and one of the few prospects in this class who has the combination of tools and talent to push Cholowsky at the top of the class. He pummels stuff up in the zone, with maximum exit velocities north of 110 mph. There are warts in the hit tool, with some swing-and-miss (particularly breaking stuff down and away) and an aggressive approach. Defensively, it's a plus arm and at least above-average defense at short. He's sticking there. If Lebron irons out the hit tool concerns, it's superstar potential for a prospect who draws rave reviews for his leadership and makeup. 2. Drew Burress, OF, Georgia Tech, R/R, 21 .333/.468/.693 (151 wRC+), 18.3 BB%, 14.5 K%, 19 HR, 10 SB (91%) Smaller amateur players are often dinged by pro organizations, but there's no doubting Burress's insane production at Georgia Tech. He's hit 44 home runs in two seasons for the Yellow Jackets, with legit bat speed and strong high-end exit velocities, despite being listed at 5-foot-9. It's a plus arm and solid defense from a prospect who could start his pro career in center field, but he may end up in a corner. Regardless of the defensive home, he's been the most consistently productive college player in the past two seasons, by a wide margin. 3. AJ Gracia, OF, Virginia, L/L, 21 .293/.449/.558 (126 wRC+), 20 BB%, 12.6 K%, 15 HR This selection will likely put some Twins fans off, just because he's a left-handed-hitting corner outfielder, but there's a ton to like. The value here is in the offensive profile, and Gracia will have to mash to deliver, as he's not bringing more than average speed and defensive tools. Gracia is an on-base machine, though, walking 20% of the time in 2025. It's good bat speed and a swing built to lift the ball, but Gracia combines it with excellent bat-to-ball skills. Between the well-rounded hit tool and an outstanding approach, this is one of the best hit/power combos in the class. 4. Cam Flukey, RHP, Coastal Carolina, R/R, 21 101.2 IP, 3.19 ERA, 2.68 FIP, 28.5 K%, 5.8 BB% Flukey might not seem like an obvious fit, but a monster season could vault him into contention (and the Twins love drafting from the Carolinas). Standing at 6-foot-6, Flukey boasts a polished four-pitch mix. It's headlined by a fastball that sits 93-95 mph, but has been as high as 98 mph with outstanding ride. He dots it for strikes, too. Flukey made strides with both control and command in 2025, walking only 5.8% of opposing hitters. There are very few weaknesses in a profile that you could see starting a playoff game within a few seasons. 5. Mystery Guy Prior to the 2022 draft, Jackson Holliday was a fringe first-round prospect. Prior to the 2023 college season starting, Paul Skenes was ranked in the teens on many lists, significantly lower than Chase Dollander. It's likely that there's at least one name in the mix at three that we aren't yet talking about. If you have a prospect in mind, throw their name in the comments. Other Names Considered: Jacob Lombard, Liam Peterson, Sawyer Strosnider, Chris Hacopian, Tyler Bell, Ace Reece View full article

Image courtesy of John Bonnes The hated Chicago White Sox, who already got Justin Ishbia and the Pope this year, win again. They will pick first in the 2026 MLB Draft, after winning the annual MLB Draft Lottery on Tuesday evening in Orlando. The Twins will pick third, but can find some consolation in not having fallen any further. The division-rival Royals also got a bump, as they entered with the 16th slot in the theoretical draft order but landed the sixth overall pick. The Royals, San Francisco Giants and Tampa Bay Rays all jumped into the lottery section (the top six selections), so the Twins were more fortunate than the Orioles, Athletics, or Braves, who all tumbled to the back half of the top 10. So, what are some of the ramifications of this outcome? Let's talk through the talent and the dollars. The Twins will miss out on Roch Cholowsky, the consensus number one player in this class and the best college shortstop prospect in at least a decade. There's also a number two guy, at least currently, in Grady Emerson. Number three onwards is where things get interesting. Let's start with the good news, this is a strong class. The top of the first round is particularly resplendent with excellent college bats, with something for everyone. There's profiles like Kentucky shortstop Tyler Bell and Georgia Tech outfielder Drew Burress, who do everything pretty well, a pair of college aces in Liam Peterson and Cam Flukey, or bats that are higher risk, higher reward such as Justin Lebron, or Jacob Lombard. The Twins are going to have access to an outstanding player with the luxury of watching who separates themselves this spring and summer. While falling is never good, things could have been a lot worse. There was a ~$4 million difference between the Twins best case scenario (first) and their worst (eighth). Falling one spot will cost them ~$700,000 in bonus pool money, they are also picking higher than their regular season record dictated they would. Using last years' slot values as a proxy, the 3rd pick will be worth ~$9,500,000 plus the typical 4-9% year-on-year increase from MLB. The upshot of that is the Twins will likely be able to sign their college bat of choice and reappropriate some funds to their Comp B or second round pick to sign a high upside prep player. In the coming days, we'll have more on possible prospects the Twins might target, and some more in the weeds bonus pool math. For now, let's finish with this. It could have been better, but it could have been a whole lot worse. View full article