Decisions: Royce Lewis Put on a Ballet About the Trade Deadline Saturday

[Matthew Trueblood]

Image courtesy of Steven Bisig-Imagn Images

Royce Lewis hasn't spent much time at first base. He doesn't even really think of himself as a first baseman; he still longs to get back to the left side of the infield. The reality, though, is that he's not the athlete or the thrower he would need to be to return to shortstop or third base—and, unfortunately, Saturday delivered an excruciating reminder that he's not the quick processor required even of a right-side infielder.

The situation demanded a lot of him—maybe more than can fairly be asked of a guy who was still all the way across the diamond three months ago. With a runner on third base and one out in the bottom of the ninth, the Twins went to a five-man infield and issued an intentional walk, bringing Cal Raleigh to the plate with runners on the corners. Randy Arozarena, at third, carried the winning run, so the idea in issuing Julio Rodríguez an intentional walk was to set up a double play on the big-dumpered Raleigh. Everyone involved had to understand, though, that the right way to make the play would depend on the specific play that happened. Each infielder's responsibility, in the very short time they had, was to arrange the field in their minds and to visualize the variety of plays that might present themselves. There was no one correct thing to do; what was correct would depend on the batted ball.

Lewis didn't have a robust enough set of plans. The ball came his way, and he made the wrong play. Raleigh hit a one-hop smash, 105.4 miles per hour off the bat. Lewis's reflexes were fine; those have never been his problem. He lunged to his left, speared the ball cleanly, and managed not to go all the way to the ground. He'd been crowding the line, with two other infielders on his side of the second-base bag, so the ball took him right to the first-base bag. Right away, though, you could see him thinking—and not in a good way.

As Lewis took the step and a half left to reach the base after fielding the ball, he turned to look over his left shoulder to find Rodríguez. That was smart, really. It was one of those plays where, if he hadn't picked up Rodríguez and the Mariners outfielder had been especially wily, he could have snuck back into first base after Lewis tagged it. Because he had been so concerned about getting down the line and minimizing the risk of a double play, though, Rodríguez never even thought about a retreat. Therefore, as Lewis stepped on first, his eyes took him toward second, where Rodríguez was charging for the base and two teammates awaited a throw. That caused all kinds of trouble.

First, as soon as Lewis started moving toward first and turned away from third, Arozarena could break for the plate freely. If Lewis gets up and stomps on the pillow while staring down Arozarena, the chance for a double play is likely lost, but the result is the second out and a chance to get out of the inning by retiring the next batter.

However, you can make the play the way Lewis initially did and still get the double play. Once he turned his back to third, Arozarena was going, but if Lewis merely uses that turn to check for a dive-back by Rodríguez and then pivots to the plate with his eyes and mind clear, he retires Arozarena easily. Alas, we're all wired a certain way, and the way Lewis is wired is to be captured a bit by his own gaze. He turned and saw Rodríguez far enough short of second to be beaten by a good throw, and for a fatal half-second, he planned to make that throw. His eyes committed him to it. 

His brain kicked in. It overrode that command and turned him to the plate, and he threw. That throw was a bit later than it should have been, but if it had been strong and accurate, Arozarena still would have been out. Instead, it was to the first-base side of the plate, and Victor Caratini was unable to position himself to receive it and make a tag in time. The game was over.

Though his arm has never been great—that's a big part of why he's no longer on the left side—Lewis is capable of that throw, physically. The problem, again, was mental. He wasn't fully turned, wasn't fully targeted. Having cost himself a moment with the mistaken pump toward second, he rushed the process of lining up his throw to the plate.

After the game, manager Derek Shelton said the right play would have been to throw to second when Lewis got the ball. That could have worked, but it would have been risky. Shelton might not have appreciated how much of Lewis's momentum had to move toward first base to snare the ball. Turning that momentum and making a good throw to second, then aligning oneself for the return throw to double up Raleigh, would have been tough. Lewis isn't a good enough infielder, regardless of position, to do that; throwing to second right away wouldn't have been the right play. What needed to happen, rather, is what I described above. That's an unusual play, though—a rare progression. It demands that a player be a fast and confident processor of information during a play. Lewis isn't that, either.

Rocco Baldelli talked about this on a much different (but not so different, really) play last season, when Lewis was playing third with the bases loaded and had to decide between trying to turn a double play and taking the out at the plate. He saw, and articulated, that Lewis is not the kind of processor who can reliably make that difficult series of incredibly fast decisions. Shelton hasn't put it the same way, but it's clear that the organization feels that way as a group. They're right.

That leaves the team in a bit of a quandary. Lewis remains endlessly self-assured, at least before and after each difficult play that comes his way. He's been better at the plate since returning from his demotion to Triple-A St. Paul. However, he looks unlikely to be a competent defender at key moments, anywhere on the diamond. The closest thing to a position he can play well might be second base. The Twins simply don't have enough instinctive, intelligent and skillful defenders to fill out a lineup; they have to make do with Lewis, Luke Keaschall and others who lack that nous. As Saturday suggests, that could be what costs them a playoff berth this season. Hopefully, they can overcome that shortcoming, but sometimes, the ball finds you.

The same things are true at the trade deadline. It's not the wrong decision that costs you; it's the quick decision not made, or the balk and non-committal move right after it. The sport comes down to quick decisions and to the hard work of being decisive under pressure—even off the field.

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[Galen]

There was only 1 runner that mattered

[Muppet]

It was Shelty’s fault. He should have shouted “the play is at the plate” before the pitch so all the infielders would know wheee to throw the ball. 

[HarmonK03]

Another bang on Lewis OP.  You even disagree with what Shelton said he should have done.  Some of these plays are instinct and that comes from playing the position.  At some point lets see an article about the benefits and downsides to the team constantly playing musical chairs on defense.

Lewis was playing 3B at an acceptable level and it was not his play that moved him, they were preparing for Culpepper at SS so they shuffled the infield.  His throwing was improved from last year when he had leg injuries and the question needs to be asked was that affecting him.

 

 

[CRF]

It's a guy playing out of position/learning a position, who had a brain freeze. It happens. We lost the game. Time to move on to today's game. 

[ashbury]

Once Lewis stepped on first, a throw to second would not be the best choice.  Rodriguez no longer is forced and his game winning countermeasure is to stop dead in his tracks, daring a rundown involving the middle infielder who now has the ball, and allowing the runner from third to finish scampering home. 

For Lewis to be even considering that option was the fatal mistake.

[GNess]

Coaches often cite eliminating mental errors as a goal. In reality, they mean reducing mental errors because eliminating them altogether is not realistic. 

Mistakes happen learn from them and press on.

[Mike Sixel]

19 minutes ago, CRF said:

It's a guy playing out of position/learning a position, who had a brain freeze. It happens. We lost the game. Time to move on to today's game. 

Except he did it at third also. This isn't an isolated incident. I don't get why people are so quick to make excuses for this guy. 

[twinstalker]

36 minutes ago, Mike Sixel said:

Except he did it at third also. This isn't an isolated incident. I don't get why people are so quick to make excuses for this guy. 

Yeah, he actually had two acceptable plays.  Step on first and throw home or go to second knowing there was time to get a slow runner like Raleigh doubled up.  He chose the only bad option, and it's not the amount of 1B you've played, it's the amount of infield you've played.  Royce has played infield for 20 years.

Or maybe it's not his fault because of the time he spent in the OF in the Arizona Fall League in 2019.

[Mike Sixel]

43 minutes ago, Mike Sixel said:

Except he did it at third also. This isn't an isolated incident. I don't get why people are so quick to make excuses for this guy. 

To be clear, people make mistakes. It's not the end of the world. But people here keep excusing his awful hitting, and mediocre fielding. 

[TNtwins85]

1 hour ago, HarmonK03 said:

Another bang on Lewis OP.  You even disagree with what Shelton said he should have done.  Some of these plays are instinct and that comes from playing the position.  At some point lets see an article about the benefits and downsides to the team constantly playing musical chairs on defense.

Lewis was playing 3B at an acceptable level and it was not his play that moved him, they were preparing for Culpepper at SS so they shuffled the infield.  His throwing was improved from last year when he had leg injuries and the question needs to be asked was that affecting him.

 

 

Acceptable is the key. Yet he was demoted because he was hitting .180 and looking overmatched every at bat. Him getting demoted allowed them to shift Lee to third who was overmatched at SS. It also allowed them to install Kreidler and Grey at SS. It wasn’t Lewis’ defense and it wasn’t clearing a path for Culpepper. It was Lewis’ bat, Lee’s terrible D. 

[Heiny]

1 hour ago, CRF said:

It's a guy playing out of position/learning a position, who had a brain freeze. It happens. We lost the game. Time to move on to today's game. 

I disagree.  Playing out of position had nothing to do with it.  All 5 infielders and the pitcher should have known before the pitch was even thrown, that the only runner that matters was on third base.  Get the force at home first and foremost.  If you can still get the double play great.  If the game is on the line, end that threat and go on from there.

[HarmonK03]

9 minutes ago, TNtwins85 said:

Acceptable is the key. Yet he was demoted because he was hitting .180 and looking overmatched every at bat. Him getting demoted allowed them to shift Lee to third who was overmatched at SS. It also allowed them to install Kreidler and Grey at SS. It wasn’t Lewis’ defense and it wasn’t clearing a path for Culpepper. It was Lewis’ bat, Lee’s terrible D. 

Actually at the time of the move it was reported the move was in anticipation for when Culpeper came up.

Any organization making moves to make room for Gray or Kreidler should get the leader fired.

[saviking]

I agree it was a bone head play but saying that this might be the play that keeps us out of the playoffs is a leap at best. 

Had Royce thrown the player out at the plate after touching first we still would have gone into extra innings. You can't treat this like we would have won. 

[ashbury]

1 hour ago, Heiny said:

Get the force at home

It was first and third, one out.  No force there.

[ashbury]

5 minutes ago, saviking said:

I agree it was a bone head play but saying that this might be the play that keeps us out of the playoffs is a leap at best. 

Had Royce thrown the player out at the plate after touching first we still would have gone into extra innings. You can't treat this like we would have won. 

Agreed about the season significance.

The significance for me is whether Royce is edging toward the Not A Ballplayer category.

/ yes, that's a hawt taek that I hope cools down for me with time

[laloesch]

1 hour ago, TNtwins85 said:

Acceptable is the key. Yet he was demoted because he was hitting .180 and looking overmatched every at bat. Him getting demoted allowed them to shift Lee to third who was overmatched at SS. It also allowed them to install Kreidler and Grey at SS. It wasn’t Lewis’ defense and it wasn’t clearing a path for Culpepper. It was Lewis’ bat, Lee’s terrible D. 

Lee and Lewis have been mediocre at best. Lewis has slumped again since his surge after coming back up which I think nobody is surprised by.  The Twins are stalling for time. Culpepper and Houston are coming but I also think they are waiting until mid August for Culpepper.  Houston is probably coming up sometime mid next season (if there is one, Skubal trade, strike incoming thanks Dodgers, cough, cough).  Lewis and Lee are expendable at this point 

[HarmonK03]

1 hour ago, Mike Sixel said:

To be clear, people make mistakes. It's not the end of the world. But people here keep excusing his awful hitting, and mediocre fielding. 

The counter argument is many will not acknowledge when he is hitting better or that overall he has not been mediocre at 1B.  He is hitting over .250 with an OPS.810 over the last two months since coming back.  And yes his overall average stinks because he sucked the first month and a half.  But he made adjustments and is hitting and is contributing to wins.  Three wins in the later innings this week and he played a part in all of those comebacks.  But we don't hear about that unless he hits the walk off.  Kody deserves the credit for his hit on Thursday but it doesn't happen without the Bell and Lewis at bats.

As for fielding let him play one position for a full year and see what happens.  As someone said in a different post it took Mauer almost two years to be good at 1B.  But people want instant results from Royce at least try and be a little objective.

[Coach]

The worst decision is indecision.  Learn from mistakes and move on.

[Heiny]

1 hour ago, ashbury said:

It was first and third, one out.  No force there.

OHHHHH.  My mistake.  I thought they intentionally walked the bases loaded.  Well, that changes everything.

 

[ashbury]

22 minutes ago, Heiny said:

OHHHHH.  My mistake.  I thought they intentionally walked the bases loaded.  Well, that changes everything.

   "Never mind."  😄

[tony&rodney]

4 hours ago, Muppet said:

It was Shelty’s fault. He should have shouted “the play is at the plate” before the pitch so all the infielders would know wheee to throw the ball. 

You totally missed it. Shelton went to the mound, used five infielders, and told everyone they were looking for a ground ball double play with Raleigh being a very slow runner. The play is second base. The manager could not have been any more predictive or instructive.

Royce made a mistake, it happens. You just did too. It's all good. They need to keep playing hard because there is plenty of season left.

Or ..... you were being sarcastic. 

[alexlegge]

It was a poor baseball play, but excellent ballet footwork as the title of this article alludes to. There's gotta be a trade partner out there who values that. How about a three-way trade between the Twins, Alvin Ailey, and some rebuilding team looking to get creative (lookin' at you, Angels)?

[terrydactyls]

To me it .looked like Caratini wasn't in great position to make a play.  I give him a little of the blame also.

[Hunter4848]

5 hours ago, Mike Sixel said:

Except he did it at third also. This isn't an isolated incident. I don't get why people are so quick to make excuses for this guy. 

People want to make excuses for him because he's the classic overhyped Twins prospect...

In reality he's mediocre but the organization loves pretending players like that are stars.

[Mike Sixel]

5 hours ago, Mike Sixel said:

Except he did it at third also. This isn't an isolated incident. I don't get why people are so quick to make excuses for this guy. 

Out of position again today. 

[Matthew Trueblood]

3 hours ago, saviking said:

I agree it was a bone head play but saying that this might be the play that keeps us out of the playoffs is a leap at best. 

Had Royce thrown the player out at the plate after touching first we still would have gone into extra innings. You can't treat this like we would have won. 

You're certainly right that making that play doesn't guarantee winning the game. But you saw the state of Seattle's bullpen, today. They'd have had a good shot.

I WILL guess that, one way or another, this season will come down to one game. If they make the playoffs, we can say it was because of any one of several games where they seemed to have lost and then won, like Royce's own walkoff this past week. If they MISS by one game, though, I think we should remember this one. It was winnable. It was there. And the underlying lesson about who can and can't be trusted on the infield and the costs of accepting the unacceptable seems important to me, even beyond this year.

[Vanimal46]

5 minutes ago, Matthew Trueblood said:

I WILL guess that, one way or another, this season will come down to one game.

You’re going to be blown away from this. The 2024 Chicago White Sox season came down to one game before they were eliminated from the playoffs. This sentence is incredibly bold and brave to say. 

[TNtwins85]

5 hours ago, HarmonK03 said:

Actually at the time of the move it was reported the move was in anticipation for when Culpeper came up.

Any organization making moves to make room for Gray or Kreidler should get the leader fired.

Not when Royce Lewis is lost at the plate, Brooks Lee can’t field an average SS and you have 2 guys in Grey and Kreidler who solidify your team defensively at SS. These moves were not made to clear an immediate path for Culpepper. These moves made room for him but didn’t happen for him.  On May 19th the Twins optioned Lewis. Lee moved to 3rd full time 2 days later. Culpepper was put on the 7 day IL on June 16th. So if these moves were to clear the way for Culpepper then where was he for the almost month after Lewis was sent down?

[HarmonK03]

I do find it a little ironic that many on here criticized Lewis about his comments when they wanted him to move to 2B two years ago.  And one of his concerns was he didn't want to make a mistake at a new position while the team was chasing a pennant.

So now he has willingly moved around the infield like a utility infielder without saying a word, but then when the learning curve shows he still has a ways to go, everyone is quick to criticize.  Not sure you can have it both ways.