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jkcarew

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jkcarew last won the day on June 25

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  1. jkcarew
    He’s going to coach the fielders as well?? And/or the pitchers on how to get lucky with sequencing and LOB? This guy must really be good.
  2.    jkcarew reacted to a post in a topic: New Pitching Coach Brian Reith's Remit: Get Twins Pitchers to Beat Their FIPs
  3.    Over The Hill Again reacted to a post in a topic: My Twins Offseason Blueprint: A Badly-Needed Major Change
  4.    SE23 reacted to a post in a topic: My Twins Offseason Blueprint: A Badly-Needed Major Change
  5. jkcarew
    Tying up $18M of this orgs payroll on Jake Bauers for 4 years?? Yuk. I get the desire to upgrade the offense at 1B. But that’s an instant-gratification move…and for a 31 year old guy that has been flat out bad for most of his career. It’s not a year to be making that type of move on that player profile. Better to be a little more patient for now and trust that better options emerge than reaching for Jake Bauers at $18M+ per year. If not, then grab the next incarnation of Bauers when the extra 2 wins means something…which isn’t now. On the other hand, it’s the exact type of silly move I’m fearing from Tom in his desire to send the ‘competing now’ signal. The Pohlad’s had a window a few years ago and choked it off. The fix is NOT to throw some random money at 2027/28. First you have to build smartly to create the next window. Bauers at this point in time is a 2 more wins in 2027 move, and quite possibly an albatross by the time the next real window opens
  6.    jkcarew reacted to a post in a topic: Can The Twins Trust Their Three Rookies In 2027?
  7.    Permanent Twins Fan reacted to a post in a topic: Roster News: 3 Twins Clear Waivers, Will Become Free Agents
  8.    DannySD reacted to a post in a topic: Roster News: 3 Twins Clear Waivers, Will Become Free Agents
  9. jkcarew
    If there was ever a go-big or go home off-season, this is it. You’re not “close”. Either go for a top needle-mover for the middle of the lineup, or resign yourself to using the season to see what you have with all the ready/near ready prospects. If they spectacularly overachieve, you have the deadline. Exception…you have to have another competent catcher. And YES to using trades from organizational glut (high minors and MLB) of middle infielders and left-handed hitting outfielders to at least partially address current MLB holes at C, RP, SP, and/or to upgrade the infield corners, etc.
  10.    jkcarew reacted to a post in a topic: Who Will Be the Highest Ranked Free Agent Signed By the Twins?
  11. jkcarew
    NO!!!!
  12.    ashbury reacted to a post in a topic: Why Breakout Turned to Bust for Victor Caratini and Ryan Kreidler
  13.    Richie the Rally Goat reacted to a post in a topic: Why Breakout Turned to Bust for Victor Caratini and Ryan Kreidler
  14.    Parfigliano reacted to a post in a topic: Why Breakout Turned to Bust for Victor Caratini and Ryan Kreidler
  15. jkcarew
    Large sample sizes are the greatest enemy of poor players.
  16.    jkcarew reacted to a post in a topic: The Twins Have Ground to Make Up in Baseball Analytics
  17.    jkcarew reacted to a post in a topic: Twins Arizona Fall League Report (Week 3): DeBarge Has Big Week, Pitching Falters
  18.    CarpetGuy reacted to a comment: Here are the Twins Prospects Heading to the 2026 Arizona Fall League
  19.    mluebker reacted to a post in a topic: The 10 Biggest Questions the Twins Must Answer This Offseason
  20.    TopGunn#22 reacted to a post in a topic: The 10 Biggest Questions the Twins Must Answer This Offseason
  21. jkcarew
    Yes. Winokur with a pretty decent under-the-radar intro to AA at age 21. The K% didn’t spike (at 26%, it was actually lower than his 2026 A+ sample). And the power ticked up a smidge. Still seems intriguing, although we still don’t know where he projects defensively.
  22. jkcarew
    Calling this a collapse completely ignores the fundamental facts… 1) the team didn’t figure to seriously contend to begin with 2) they were 32-40 after the first 72 games…with Buxton and Ryan hitting on all cylinders. They weren’t close, and they aren’t close. Again. They had a 5 week stretch of winning at a high rate, surrounded by 21 weeks of losing more often than winning. This would be completely expected for a mediocre-ish team. For plans to be influenced more by the 5 weeks than the 21 is insane. Any and all changes should be on the table.
  23. jkcarew
    Buxton's 2026 season ended with another hip injury and surgery. The Twins now have to build their offseason around the expectation that their star center fielder will return for 2027—but guard themselves against the risk that he's neither ready for Opening Day, nor able to stay on the field even after he returns. Yes. Similarly to the way one might guard themselves from the “risk” of getting wet when jumping into the ocean. The ocean could evaporate between the time you leave your feet and you land. So, why plan on getting wet?
  24. jkcarew
    38-43 in the first 81 games 39-42 in the last 81 games. There was no second half collapse. That is a false narrative. 18-30 against the NL; 59-55 against the AL. About what I expected overall (although, I didn’t expect the AL to be historically awful relative to the NL). Some overachieving, some underachieving, as can always be expected. And Buxton breaking down and playing less than a half season at full health…as can also always be expected. Maybe a little better than I expected, but that’s probably explained by how awful the AL was. .
  25. jkcarew
    Tip of the cap to Ober, for sure. Remember when you could read here…almost daily (pun intended)…and as recently as last year…how great the Twins org is at developing pitching?
  26.    jkcarew reacted to a post in a topic: Bailey Ober is One of Twins’ Most Valuable Starters of Target Field Era
  27. jkcarew
    Buxton and his agent had huge influence on what went down. Obviously. There are big ($500k each) bonus steps tied to PA that were in play. They announced the surgery right after the first bonus became mathematically impossible. I don’t think this is a knock on Buxton. “Stars” and their agents are going to have some influence, and at the beginning at least, Buxton probably thought he could be productive through it, as well. Human nature. He should have been sent for surgery earlier, yes. But, it’s not an entirely simple and straightforward process to get the player there. There’s probably a parallel universe where management could have been more proactive and persuasive…but it ain’t this universe.
  28.    jkcarew reacted to a post in a topic: The Twins Made a Mistake Waiting on Byron Buxton’s Hip Surgery
  29.    jkcarew reacted to a post in a topic: Twins 3, Giants 2: Taj Bradley's 200th Strikeout, Young Core Spark Twins to Victory
  30. jkcarew
    The smile and energy, maybe. Although, it’s easier to always look like you’re having fun when you’re virtually slump-proof…as Puckett was. That ain’t gonna be Rodriguez’s MO, so we’ll see. Anyway, the two batting approaches couldn’t be more different, and Rodriguez has way, way more raw power. If he can turn 10% of the K’s into BB and BiP (25% K instead of 35%), he’s likely to be very, very good. Easier said than done. But it needs to be attempted at the MLB level, and the upside warrants some patience…so glad he’s finally here.
  31. jkcarew
    Such a fine line. The minor league profile won’t translate, IMO. There was never much of a chance it would…at least out of the gate. The hope is that he can be successful with a more aggressive approach earlier in the count as he had with the first dozen PA. If he can do damage with that, then the walks might come and lead to a good OBP. Also, hopefully the EVs will result in highish BABiP, because the K’s will always be a part of the package it seems. And yes, the redeeming defensive qualities help.
  32.    jkcarew reacted to a post in a topic: Emmanuel Rodriguez, Miguel Sano, and the Dangers of a Three True Outcomes Prospect
  33. jkcarew
    Hey! ADMIN! Someone needs to get ahold of DJL…his account has been hijacked by Tom Pohlad!! (btw, just poking fun at the Pohlads, not DJL. It’s a legitimate point, IMO.)
  34.    jkcarew reacted to a post in a topic: Angels 6, Twins 5: A Roller Coaster of a Game Ends in Defeat
  35. jkcarew
    1000% pushed out the door and his recent moves to sell at the previous deadline was what triggered everything…perceived bad PR, Tom coming in and making promises (that he had no chance of keeping). Pushed out or fired. Same thing.
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