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jkcarew

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jkcarew last won the day on June 25

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  1.    mluebker reacted to a post in a topic: The 10 Biggest Questions the Twins Must Answer This Offseason
  2.    TopGunn#22 reacted to a post in a topic: The 10 Biggest Questions the Twins Must Answer This Offseason
  3.    chpettit19 reacted to a post in a topic: The Root Cause of This Year's Collapse Points to the Challenge Ahead for Twins
  4.    Mai.K reacted to a post in a topic: 3 Twins Prospects Took Steps Forward With 20-20 Seasons
  5.    Patzky reacted to a post in a topic: 3 Twins Prospects Took Steps Forward With 20-20 Seasons
  6.    FlyingFinn reacted to a post in a topic: 3 Twins Prospects Took Steps Forward With 20-20 Seasons
  7. jkcarew
    Yes. Winokur with a pretty decent under-the-radar intro to AA at age 21. The K% didn’t spike (at 26%, it was actually lower than his 2026 A+ sample). And the power ticked up a smidge. Still seems intriguing, although we still don’t know where he projects defensively.
  8.    Dave Lemke reacted to a post in a topic: The Root Cause of This Year's Collapse Points to the Challenge Ahead for Twins
  9.    LastOnePicked reacted to a post in a topic: The Root Cause of This Year's Collapse Points to the Challenge Ahead for Twins
  10.    Mike Sixel reacted to a post in a topic: The Root Cause of This Year's Collapse Points to the Challenge Ahead for Twins
  11. jkcarew
    Calling this a collapse completely ignores the fundamental facts… 1) the team didn’t figure to seriously contend to begin with 2) they were 32-40 after the first 72 games…with Buxton and Ryan hitting on all cylinders. They weren’t close, and they aren’t close. Again. They had a 5 week stretch of winning at a high rate, surrounded by 21 weeks of losing more often than winning. This would be completely expected for a mediocre-ish team. For plans to be influenced more by the 5 weeks than the 21 is insane. Any and all changes should be on the table.
  12. jkcarew
    Buxton's 2026 season ended with another hip injury and surgery. The Twins now have to build their offseason around the expectation that their star center fielder will return for 2027—but guard themselves against the risk that he's neither ready for Opening Day, nor able to stay on the field even after he returns. Yes. Similarly to the way one might guard themselves from the “risk” of getting wet when jumping into the ocean. The ocean could evaporate between the time you leave your feet and you land. So, why plan on getting wet?
  13.    Hunter4848 reacted to a post in a topic: Did the Twins Exceed Expectations This Year?
  14. jkcarew
    38-43 in the first 81 games 39-42 in the last 81 games. There was no second half collapse. That is a false narrative. 18-30 against the NL; 59-55 against the AL. About what I expected overall (although, I didn’t expect the AL to be historically awful relative to the NL). Some overachieving, some underachieving, as can always be expected. And Buxton breaking down and playing less than a half season at full health…as can also always be expected. Maybe a little better than I expected, but that’s probably explained by how awful the AL was. .
  15. jkcarew
    Tip of the cap to Ober, for sure. Remember when you could read here…almost daily (pun intended)…and as recently as last year…how great the Twins org is at developing pitching?
  16.    jkcarew reacted to a post in a topic: Bailey Ober is One of Twins’ Most Valuable Starters of Target Field Era
  17. jkcarew
    Buxton and his agent had huge influence on what went down. Obviously. There are big ($500k each) bonus steps tied to PA that were in play. They announced the surgery right after the first bonus became mathematically impossible. I don’t think this is a knock on Buxton. “Stars” and their agents are going to have some influence, and at the beginning at least, Buxton probably thought he could be productive through it, as well. Human nature. He should have been sent for surgery earlier, yes. But, it’s not an entirely simple and straightforward process to get the player there. There’s probably a parallel universe where management could have been more proactive and persuasive…but it ain’t this universe.
  18.    jkcarew reacted to a post in a topic: The Twins Made a Mistake Waiting on Byron Buxton’s Hip Surgery
  19.    jkcarew reacted to a post in a topic: Twins 3, Giants 2: Taj Bradley's 200th Strikeout, Young Core Spark Twins to Victory
  20. jkcarew
    The smile and energy, maybe. Although, it’s easier to always look like you’re having fun when you’re virtually slump-proof…as Puckett was. That ain’t gonna be Rodriguez’s MO, so we’ll see. Anyway, the two batting approaches couldn’t be more different, and Rodriguez has way, way more raw power. If he can turn 10% of the K’s into BB and BiP (25% K instead of 35%), he’s likely to be very, very good. Easier said than done. But it needs to be attempted at the MLB level, and the upside warrants some patience…so glad he’s finally here.
  21. jkcarew
    Such a fine line. The minor league profile won’t translate, IMO. There was never much of a chance it would…at least out of the gate. The hope is that he can be successful with a more aggressive approach earlier in the count as he had with the first dozen PA. If he can do damage with that, then the walks might come and lead to a good OBP. Also, hopefully the EVs will result in highish BABiP, because the K’s will always be a part of the package it seems. And yes, the redeeming defensive qualities help.
  22.    jkcarew reacted to a post in a topic: Emmanuel Rodriguez, Miguel Sano, and the Dangers of a Three True Outcomes Prospect
  23. jkcarew
    Hey! ADMIN! Someone needs to get ahold of DJL…his account has been hijacked by Tom Pohlad!! (btw, just poking fun at the Pohlads, not DJL. It’s a legitimate point, IMO.)
  24.    jkcarew reacted to a post in a topic: Angels 6, Twins 5: A Roller Coaster of a Game Ends in Defeat
  25. jkcarew
    1000% pushed out the door and his recent moves to sell at the previous deadline was what triggered everything…perceived bad PR, Tom coming in and making promises (that he had no chance of keeping). Pushed out or fired. Same thing.
  26. jkcarew
    Overall, Larnach was the very best version of himself in ‘26. Tip of the cap to him for that. After the failed trade went public, it had to be a bit of an exercise in mental toughness in the second half. If the top/high-side prospects were anything other than left-handed outfielders, you might keep him around. As it is, he moves on in all likelihood. But he’s done his best to keep his career in the MLB alive. Best of luck if/when he moves on. Meanwhile, the author gives the FO way too much credit by analyzing this as some sort of measured decision on the part of the Twins. But Larnach wasn’t moved in the offseason because Tom had just taken over and was running around like a chicken with it’s head cut off, screaming “we’re going to compete”, and firing the guy who had sold at the deadline. Nobody veteran-wise was going to get moved last offseason. Nobody. Everything was about counteracting the PR from the previous deadline. This was made all the more obvious at this season’s deadline, with the ‘mostly-buy’ approach under highly-questionable circumstances. Think about it…they moved neither Larnach nor Wallner. I’d honestly say that’s closer to malpractice than smart.
  27. jkcarew
    Reasonable take, IMO.
  28.    jkcarew reacted to a post in a topic: The Twins Don't Need a Full Rebuild. They Need a Direction.
  29.    jkcarew reacted to a post in a topic: The Twins Don't Need a Full Rebuild. They Need a Direction.
  30.    jkcarew reacted to a post in a topic: The Twins Don't Need a Full Rebuild. They Need a Direction.
  31. jkcarew
    Except that the very first thing Tom did was to fire the previous GM who had just begun an obvious rebuild. Followed up by a deliberate, highly visible campaign tour promising a commitment to “winning”. I don’t for a second believe Zoll had anywhere close to the autonomy you insinuate here. Conceivably, someday. Currently, no way.
  32.    jkcarew reacted to a post in a topic: The Twins Don't Need a Full Rebuild. They Need a Direction.
  33.    jkcarew reacted to a post in a topic: The Twins Don't Need a Full Rebuild. They Need a Direction.
  34. jkcarew
    If Jenkins is supposed to be so good, why didn’t he hit a THREE-run homer in the 9th?
  35. jkcarew
    In 2027 the Twins Have a Gaping Hole Behind Home Plate Sounds unacceptably dangerous. If the Pohlads truly can’t afford the shovels and rakes necessary to fill it…as they’re sure to claim, maybe MLB will force them to sell!!
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