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Eris

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Eris last won the day on January 12 2021

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  1. “Too often, strong starts have unraveled late because the bullpen simply has not been able to protect leads with any consistency.” While I agree that the bullpen is bad. The Twins are 8th in MLB with the fewest blown saves (with 12 BS). The Dodgers have 11 BS. This suggests to me that the real problem is with the starting pitching losing games early. https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&lg=all&qual=y&type=0&season=2026&month=0&season1=2026&ind=0&stats=rel&team=0%2Cts&sortcol=12&sortdir=asc&pagenum=1
  2. “If the Twins do decide to buy, they'll undoubtedly lean on one of baseball's deepest farm systems to acquire immediate help.” I guess deepest can mean more than one thing—for example depth without excellence. FanGraphs has the Twins farm system ranked 13th which I will interpret as average.
  3. I understand your point, however the players voting for the agreement are the same ones who will benefit the most from an immediate increase in salary floor.
  4. Not sure that Roden should be the player to go go when Buxton returns. Based on performance it should be Gray. If needed, Lee could play short for a few games. He won’t do any worse than Gray. At one point there was also a discussion of Roden playing 1B. Also, other than his first day back, Roden has not done that great but he deserves an opportunity.
  5. A number of the players mentioned (Fedko, Outman, Keirsey) were rostered to have a viable backup in CF. In recent times they have tried Clemens, Kreidler, and now Keaschall. Not sure how Clemens and Keaschall rate in CF. Kreidler seems close to an average CF.
  6. One of the few players the Twins have who are above average defensively and Clemens can achieve this at multiple positions.
  7. One item that I find encouraging is that after rearranging the defensive chairs, the Twins might have a close to average defense instead of close to the leagues worst. As the team is currently positioned, only Larnach in LF, Gray at SS and possibly Lee at 3B are clearly below average defenders. Kreidler needs to be at SS and Gray needs to go. From the opening day roster, only Larnach, Buxton and Martin and the catchers are playing their expected positions. I don’t remember a Twins team with such a significant rearrangement in positioning.
  8. There is a difference between not willing (lack of effort or poor attitude) and not able (puts in effort but the results are just not enough).
  9. While I agree that the Varland trade looked bad at the time and looks worse now and also seemed unnecessary as he is not a free agent until 2031. Are the 2026 Twins W/L record worse because of the trade. The Twins staff has 55 holds (5th most, tied with Atlanta and the LA Dodgers). They have 24 saves (12th tied with the Athletics, Toronto has 28 which is 4th). Blown saves the Twins have 11 (14th in MLB, tied with Toronto). Cleveland has 8 BS (4th in MLB). To me these numbers don't jump out as bad and it seems unlikely that the Twins would be in first place in the Central with Varland. All data is from Fangraphs. In terms of the glut of left-handed hitting outfielders that we have been reading about for years on TD, that also needs qualifying. What the Twins do not have is left-handed hitting outfielders who have demonstrated that they can hit MLB pitching and play good defense and are durable. I am not sure if Alan Roden is a solution. He has also been hurt at a time when he most likely would have had an opportunity with the Twins.
  10. 1 for 12 with RISP and 14 K. Not going to win many games with those stats.
  11. Bell leads the team in RBIs despite having a 94 wRC+ and worth 0 WAR for the season.
  12. The selloff last year did not address a major issue with lineup construction in that the Twins have multiple players whose best position is DH. There is perhaps some organizational progress in that expectations around defense are changing—maybe. For example, Lee was moved off SS, Bell has <20 games at 1B, Keaschall started 1 game not at 2B. Nonetheless, the Twins have only a few position players who have been league average or better on defense(Jeffers, Clemens at1B, Martin in LF/RF and maybe Buxton and Kreidler). That is a lot of opportunity for improvement.
  13. As having a catcher who excels both offensively and defensively is such a rare attribute, I have a hard time seeing Tampa pass on Lackey. Edited to add. Tampa doesn’t have any top ranked SS in their system (MLB top 100). Daniel Pierce is their top SS prospect (5th ranked Tampa prospect) with a projected arrival of 2029. He was the 14th overall pick in last years draft. This may skew the decision towards drafting a SS.
  14. No. This is wishful thinking. Buxton is at best an average defensive CF (3 OAA) which ranks 12th in MLB so far this season. If there is any doubt the evaluators/voters will look at his 0 for 28 (24 AB as he had 4 BB) with 2 outs and RISP resulting in 0 RBIs. Although Buxton maybe the best player on the Twins team, these are just not MVP caliber stats.
  15. I don’t understand the fascination with Willi Castro. He was a well below average defender at every position except 3B and LF. In his career his DRS was 2B (-14) and SS (-24). I think Nick Punto should be the comparison.
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