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Eris

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Eris last won the day on January 12 2021

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  1.    Eris reacted to a post in a topic: Brewers 2, Twins 1: No Strike Back, Only Strike Outs for Twins
  2.    Eris reacted to a post in a topic: Brewers 2, Twins 1: No Strike Back, Only Strike Outs for Twins
  3. Eris
    I have always struggled with this aspect of sabermetrics. As for fWAR and bWAR calculations a HR with the bases empty is the same fWAR or bWAR contribution as a player hitting a 3 run HR.
  4.    Eris reacted to a post in a topic: Brewers 3, Twins 2: Close Calls Sink Twins in Border Battle
  5.    Eris reacted to a post in a topic: Incredible Facts From Bailey Ober’s Historic Maddux Shutout
  6.    Eris reacted to a post in a topic: A Hard Reckoning: Twins Option Matt Wallner to Triple-A St. Paul Amid Shift Toward New Faces
  7.    Eris reacted to a post in a topic: Royce Lewis and the Fastball Problem the Twins Can No Longer Ignore
  8.    krink reacted to a post in a topic: The Twins Media Crunch Is Already Here
  9.    Patzky reacted to a post in a topic: The Twins Media Crunch Is Already Here
  10. Eris
    Thanks for the interesting article. I would add one other item. Currently (meaning today) AI searches are heavily subsidized. Small organizations that need to make money to pay employees will generally have a hard time competing against much larger corporations willing to incur a loss for multiple years. At some point in the future these AI entities will need to make money to justify their investments. Then the free AI ride will end but by that time the smaller entities will be damaged or put out of business.
  11. Eris
    Gut reaction. He looks slow in the field and lost at the plate. If he is not playing through an Injury his days as a professional ball player are numbered. Of course players can turn it around (eg Larnach). One other item is that a couple of years ago I did a search and at the time there were only 5 MLB ball players with 2 ACL repairs on the same knee but none were on the plant leg (except Lewis).
  12.    Eris reacted to a post in a topic: Brooks Lee Might Be Part of the Next Good Twins Team After All
  13. Eris
    A win is a win. The Twins had 4 straight hitters at the bottom of the order with a BA of 0.200 or less. Not sure why they were not willing to PH Jeffers or Gray in the 10th.
  14.    Eris reacted to a post in a topic: Twins Lean Into Innovation With Pitching Development Overhaul
  15.    Western SD Fan reacted to a post in a topic: Twins Lean Into Innovation With Pitching Development Overhaul
  16.    Rod Carews Birthday reacted to a post in a topic: Twins Lean Into Innovation With Pitching Development Overhaul
  17.    Eris reacted to a post in a topic: Twins Lean Into Innovation With Pitching Development Overhaul
  18.    Doctor Gast reacted to a post in a topic: Twins Lean Into Innovation With Pitching Development Overhaul
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  20.    roger reacted to a post in a topic: Twins Lean Into Innovation With Pitching Development Overhaul
  21. Eris
    This makes a lot of sense. A team would need 8 effective pitchers to make it through the rotation with 5 for relief type roles. The challenge will be finding 8 effective pitchers who can go 2X through the order.
  22.    Eris reacted to a post in a topic: Twins Lean Into Innovation With Pitching Development Overhaul
  23. Eris
    I was watching the game the other day (I don’t remember which one). There was a line drive hit to Lewis’s left. It appears that he did not move until the ball was almost past him. Either his reaction time or his lateral explosiveness is gone. With Lee and Lewis on the left side of the infield, the Twins are giving away multiple outs a game.
  24. Eris
    I am not sure Rod Carew qualifies as an international signee. Although born in Panama, he was attending high school in New York City when identified by a Twins scout.
  25.    TopGunn#22 reacted to a post in a topic: Matt Wallner Has Made the Right Adjustment
  26.    Met Stadium Usher reacted to a post in a topic: Matt Wallner Has Made the Right Adjustment
  27.    Nshore reacted to a post in a topic: Matt Wallner Has Made the Right Adjustment
  28. Eris
    Harmon Killebrew had a 17% K rate for his career. While I certainly hope that Wallner has a successful career, it becomes difficult to sustain success when striking out 30% of the time.
  29. Eris
    “Lewis’s improved role at 3B” I am trying to figure out exactly what has been improved. Lewis is hitting just .091 (3-for-33) with two home runs this spring. He has two walks and 11 strikeouts. Cutting Urshela is the correct move.
  30. Eris
    One of the components of this poor roster construction is that both Jeffers and Caratini are below average defensively. This is not ideal for getting the maximum out of a pitching staff.
  31. Eris
    Rooker has been able to reduce his K% from 33% with the Twins and his first year with Oakland to 22% last season. By fWAR his best season was at 28%K in 2024. https://www.fangraphs.com/players/brent-rooker/19627/stats/batting
  32. Eris
    “The strikeouts may never disappear. That's the cost of doing business with a swing designed to lift and drive the baseball. But in an era in which teams are increasingly comfortable trading some contact for impact,“ if you look at the top 30 HR hitters from the 2025 season, only 2 players, Riley Greene and James Wood had a 30% K rate. The results are same when viewed by ISO. Similarly, looking at K% of qualified hitters from the 2025 season these max out at around 32% (Ryan McMahon and James Wood). My translation of this is that strikeouts matter and it is difficult being a productive and regular MLB player with a K% greater than the low 30s%. As this Thread relates to James Outman, as he doesn’t provide elite defense I don’t see how there is a future for him in MLB unless he can substantially reduce his strike outs. Data is from FanGraphs. https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=8&season=2025&month=0&season1=2025&ind=0&sortcol=10&sortdir=default&pagenum=1
  33. Eris
    Baseball Salvants fielding run value for catchers aligns very well with the qualitative description of all 3 catchers defensive capabilities. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/fielding-run-value?gameType=Regular&seasonStart=2025&seasonEnd=2025&type=fielder&position=2&minInnings=200&minResults=1
  34. Eris

    Intro: The Plan

    Eris commented on chpettit19's blog entry in Summer of Baseball

    Cleveland is quite close to Pittsburgh. If the schedule works I would do Pittsburgh, Cleveland, Toronto, Detroit, WhiteSox, Cubs then Brewers. The negative of my suggestion is you would be watching Mariners play both Pittsburgh and Cleveland on successive days.
  35. Eris
    The rule changes in 2023 (bigger bases, pitch clock, limit on the number of pick off attempts) led to an upsurge in stolen bases. It is about time the Twins hop on the trend. Limiting the effort is the Twins ranked near the bottom in team speed last year. In terms of speed they are adding a full season of Martin and subtracting Willie Castro and Harrison Bader. Martin has not been a particularly effective base stealer in his career (18 of 25 for the past 2 seasons).
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