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GNess

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Everything posted by GNess

  1. GNess
    Roden doesn't appear to be better than the 4 outfielders that are ahead of him. Buxton, Jenkins, Keaschall and Rodriguez. (Perhaps Gonzalez and Martin as well?.) This leaves him in a tough spot for playing time/ AB's to. prove he should be higher in the Twins OF pecking order. Spring training success would certainly help his cause. But a surplus of players is not a bad thing for the Twins - they don't have too many positional surpluses so to speak on the roster as things stand. How might the Twins benefit? Trade or insurance policy/depth or Roden elevates his game to the point he has earned more AB's.
  2. GNess
    Since here on TD there is awareness of Gonzalez's underlying metrics are cause for concern, but somehow other MLB teams aren't aware of this and will value him enough to trade for him?
  3. GNess
    Agreed. Quality young pitchers rising in the system seems to be lacking.
  4. GNess
    The question to tender or non tender Ober seems secondary. Do the Twins have enough SP quality to contend? Likely not, consider Lopez and Ryan at the top of the rotation. Both have major qiuestion marks - Lopez coming off another surgery and Ryan yet another disappointing second half. Bradley seems set as the # 3 without any significant addition or movement on Lopez or Ryan. The 4 / 5 Spots would be held down by Kremer and Matthews/Prielipp/Rojas. Thst's a surplus of two SP. The Twins need to add a dependable starter that raises the level of the overall rotation if possible. Having Ober in the rotation doesn''t move the needle much in either direction, But if Ober cracks the top 5 on opening day - it means a number of other pitchers likely failed. ( e.g. Matthews, Prielipp, Rojas, Kremer)
  5. GNess
    8 of the top 10 in mlb payroll qualified for the post season in 2026
  6. GNess
    8 of the top 10 in MLB payroll qualified for the 2026 post season.
  7. GNess
    Given the Twins SP depth despite being unproven trading Ryan seems to make sense. It is unknown if Ryan would be willing to sign with the Twins on a fair market contract. (Depth = Lopez, Bradley, Prielipp, Kremer, Ober, Matthews, Rojas, Abel etc.) If he isn't going to sign an extension then trading him makes sense. Yes, he is coming off yet another poor second half, but there is no way to rehabilitate that feature because he has to be traded by the deadline in 2027. Seems. pretty straight forward needs to be done.
  8. GNess
    While I don't agree that a culture of scarcity will likely remain dominant for the Twins as many seem to insist to be the case expecting the Twins to outbid the Yankees for Bednar seems even from an optimistic viewpoint a bridge too far.
  9. GNess
    The Twins FO and ownership are naturally going to attempt to put their best foot forward when engaging with the press and/or community because they are promoting their business. I understand their posturing in this manner. The reality is the third wildcard and division championship typically require 88+ wins to earn a berth in the playoffs.. So the simple truth is the Twins are about 12+ wins away from a postseason type record in 2027 - assuming there is a full season. The best path to that level of improvement in the short term is to identify a core group of players, and add to that with winning games as the focal point rather than just filling spots. Certainly, this is not tough to grasp and it will require some strategic spending and perhaps a key trade or two to accomplish. Pohlad says the Twins will spend in pursuit of qualifying for the playoffs. A. What else is he supposed to say? B. What choice do they have at this point of declining trust in the franchise?
  10. GNess
    Given that Jenkins was playing in actual MLB games at 21 speak to his obvious potential and talent. I suspect he has also worked really hard to reach this point. My take is he will spend the off season further developing his game and during Spring Training he will earn his spot on the opening day roster/lineup as a result.
  11. GNess
    Seems like the 20+ homerun power with a touch of speed earns praise and promotion despite averages like the .203 and ..226 which one would see as potential concerns
  12. GNess
    The Twins should put less value on positional flexibility and more on positional excellence. Players need to more fully develop the fundamental skills, understanding of the position and confidence on task - these require more players focused on one position.. (Certainly there is value in having a few utility players that can handle moving around such as Clemens.)
  13. GNess
    Rebuilding like any other approach requires adept player evaluation and development. prowess for it to be successful. Promising young players in the system are not projecting as elite or even all star MLB players at this juncture. Perhaps a few may rise above their current projection based on their actual performance in the minors. Culpepper, Jenkins, Rodriguez etc.) The. team the Twins regularly put on the field in 2025 were gritty and battled, but ultimately proved to be middling at best. While it's still early the great sell-off of 2025 has brought to the Twins one player having an impact (Bradley). A few have shown promise (Rojas, Abel, Mendez) but are not certain to be significant contributors going forward. In Duran and Varland alone the Twins gave up two of the better RP in the game in the sell-off as the Twins BP dragged the team down in the first few months of the 2026 season. The FO has yet to prove they can execute trades in a way that truly moves the needle. I acknowledge a rebuild might be the prudent path for a franchise with the limited collection of star potential. The assets most suggest need to be moved this offseason include two SP one with an injury concern (Lopez) and another with a 2nd half issue (Ryan), a meh corner OF (Larnach) and who else? Ober? So the hope for the future is that a FO leader (GM) and. ownership with an unproven track record are going to turn those three-plus assets into something special. Yikes. It appears to me no matter where you stand on. rebuild vs direction hope is really the best Twins' fans have right now. It's a tough assessment but fair imho.
  14. GNess
    In the up to the moment futile search for "elite" performers why basically undervalue 1B as the Twins have since the days of Mauer/Morneau? Consider the following off the top of my head, list of current !B providing impact offense for their respective teams: Matt Olson, Vlad Guerrero, Rafael Devers, Freddie Freeman, Pete Alonso, Bryce Harper, Yandy Diaz, Spencer Torkelson, (Others?) Are there any promising internal or external plausible options for hitters like this to place in the middle of the Twins batting order?
  15. GNess
    Fans are not partners with ownership they are brand loyal consumers. Lack of star quality players has been a product recently of suspect drafts, development failures especially on defense, poor trades and lack of purposeful participation in free agency. That's a formula for sustained mediocrity or worse. It isn't what the Twins FO does so much as it is mostly how they do it. Optimistically, the Twins need some of the current crop of youngsters Jenkins, Rodriguez, Culpepper, Lackey et al to emerge as above average and the Twins will have to get better at things listed above that successful teams do. Realistically, not confident. they can draw to an inside straight like will be needed for short term success. Not sure if Ryan and Lopez are up to carrying the club. One caution. - the Chisox have been held up as a rebuilding model once in a while here on TD. They are now just 1 or 2 games above .500 and the Guardians (ugh) have passed them in the division. The Guardians seem like the most consistent winner in the division for quite some time now. They have figured it out - hopefully the Twins can and will.
  16. GNess
    A lot of comments which put Jenkins as the starting CF next season. So far he is not hitting at all - I would think he would need to show some improvement in the final games of this season and have a decent spring training for him to start the year in MLB..
  17. GNess
    There are some similarities in the question around a position for Keaschall like there were for Arraez. Arraez was as a Twin and is now a better hitter than Luke. Of course, the Twins traded away Arraez despite his obvious prowess at the plate for Pablo Lopez. Players who are all hit no field become problematic in finding them a defensive position - perhaps it makes them seem more expendable as well.
  18. GNess
    Emma's enthusiasm was a highlight!
  19. GNess
    Better late than never applies here. It's only going to be a glimpse of ERod vs MLB pitching as a very limited data point.
  20. GNess
    It's indicative of the issue that in two of the three collapses noted were teams below .500 at the break. The Twins at this time, simply don't have much of a winning/championship mindset - that is at the base of Twins' franchise culture..
  21. GNess
    Hard to assess this list unless we could see how other teams' lists of top picks for context. But on the surface this list doesn't look very good.
  22. GNess
    Yes, five of those seasons they won 90+ games, but it didn't translate to postseason success as they only made to the ALCS one time. But I agree those were some pretty good years and the Twins had some real talent.
  23. GNess
    The last two seasons weren't surprising results for a Twins franchise that lacks a good enough organizational approach to drafting/developing talent, making smart/productive trades, participating in free agency and being fundamentally sound. The facts are clear - the Twins haven't been good enough for most seasons for the last three+ decades. Having shared that view - the Twins are not alone. It is really hard to advance to the world series which is the ultimate litmus test for MLB. The Twins last world series appearance was 35 years ago - 10 other clubs are riding 20+ year streaks and another 6 are between 10-19 years. That's over half of the membership in MLB. The margin of error for most teams is thin. So who is to blame? The entire franchise has been unable to develop and execute on any plan that puts a highly talented, sound team on the field most years.
  24. GNess
    I agree with both of you - super old guy not awesome. But the Twins have had some success over the years with the super old guys - Davis, Thome, Cruz in addition to Baylor all come to mind.
  25. GNess
    Outlook for the position players: The short and medium term success of the team at this point rests with the young core who look like they have some upside to grow in to: Lee. Keaschall, Jenkins, Culpepper and one-two from the minors - ERod, Gonzalez, Houston (?). Lewis, Clemens, Caratini, Buxton all seem pretty much what they are already. This leaves a need for at least one big bat to be sure. Will they pay for such - seems possible Plus SS and C need to be addressed. I suspect they will deal Larnach for whatever he can fetch. Jeffers - can they resign him? Lackey and/or Tinney almost certainly will not be ready. Would Houston be ready out of Spring Training - possible, but not likely.
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