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Posted
Image courtesy of © Thomas Shea-Imagn Images

Box Score
SP:
Zebby Matthews: 7 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 7 K, 1 BB
HR: Royce Lewis (8), Victor Caratini (7), Josh Bell (10)
Top 3 WPA: Matthews 0.25, Caratini 0.13, Bell 0.12
Win Probability Chart (via FanGraphs):
image.png

The Minnesota Twins entered Monday night's series opener in Houston knowing the competition was about to get much tougher. After taking a series from the Colorado Rockies, Minnesota kicked off a six-game road trip against an Astros club that had won nine of its previous 12 games, before heading to Yankee Stadium this weekend. The Twins were also without Byron Buxton, who was held out of the lineup after experiencing a recurrence of hip discomfort and undergoing imaging, according to MLB.com's Matthew Leach.

That didn't stop them from taking control of the game early, even if the finish ended up being far more dramatic than it needed to be.

The biggest reason was Zebby Matthews. After recording three quality starts in his previous four outings while pitching at least six innings in each, Matthews built on that momentum with arguably his best start of the 2026 season. The right-hander tossed seven innings of one-run ball, allowing just four hits while striking out seven and walking only one. His only mistake came in the fifth inning, when Cam Smith connected for a solo home run. Outside of that swing, Matthews was in complete control all night.

Matthews gave the Twins exactly the kind of start they needed, and the offense rewarded him with an early cushion. After being held hitless through the first three innings, Minnesota broke through in the fourth when Victor Caratini and Royce Lewis launched back-to-back home runs. Both hitters continued their outstanding months of June, and Josh Bell joined them two innings later. Bell, who entered the night with an .880 OPS this month after his miserable start to the season, crushed a two-run homer to extend the lead to 4-1. Kody Clemens added one more insurance run in the seventh with an RBI groundout, giving the Twins what looked like a comfortable 5-1 advantage.

Matthews's seven frames meant the bullpen only needed to notch the final six outs. Travis Adams looked poised to do just that, retiring the first five batters he faced before Taylor Trammell spoiled the effort with a two-out, full-count, two-run home run in the ninth inning to trim Minnesota's lead to 5-3.

That forced the Twins to turn to Yoendrys Gómez for the final out. Instead, the Astros made things even more interesting when Smith launched a solo homer to make it a one-run game. Gómez settled down, however, retiring the final batter of the night to earn his eighth save of the season as the Twins hung on for the 5-4 victory.

The Twins passed the first test of a challenging road trip. Matthews delivered the best outing of his season, while Lewis, Bell, and Caratini continued their hot stretches at the plate to provide enough offense. It got far more interesting than anyone expected over the final two outs, but the Twins ultimately did enough to open the road trip with a much-needed win.

What's Next
The Twins will look to lock up the series on Tuesday evening at 7:10 p.m. CT. Joe Ryan is scheduled to take the mound for Minnesota against Astros right-hander Mike Burrows, as the Twins try to string together some series victories and position themselves to buy (or at least not sell) at the trade deadline.

Bullpen Usage Chart

  THU FRI SAT SUN SUN P
Raya 0 0 40 0 0 40
Banda 0 11 0 14 0 25
Morris 0 6 0 12 0 18
Funderburk 0 20 25 0 0 45
Orze 0 14 0 0 0 14
Gómez 0 0 0 4 7 11
Rogers 0 0 9 0 0 9
Adams 0 0 0 0 35 35

 


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Posted

I’m looking forward to the third game when the Astros start Tatsuya Imai. Saw one of his starts during a rain delay, and oof.

Zebby did fantastically! Honestly, what I’ve found to be so hard about the state of the bullpen is that our starters have been playing so strong! How hard it must be for them to turn their leads over to the pen…

Once again the bullpen had me far more nervous than we needed to be! If we are buying at the trade deadline, it better be relievers! Though, I’m not confident the front office knows how to tell the difference between good and bad anymore…

And I wish we didn’t feel like we had to start Gray at shortstop… Kriedler is so much stronger there defensively. But, with Buxton hurt, I am glad that Kreidler can be just as competent out there as he is in the infield.

Let’s keep it going! Keep showing Texas what we’re about!

(Winning, guys. We’re about winning. Right?)

Posted

The final out to end the game was also a nifty little play from Clemens. I would like to see him stick with the Twins for next season as a utility guy. He has value for the Twins in playing pretty good defense wherever he is at. Ideally we long term get guys that would be starting in place of him but he definitely has value as a utility player for the team.

Verified Member
Posted

They get Jeffers and Ober back in a few weeks and Culpepper should get promoted soon (and maybe Jenkins?).

If Buxton can avoid a long term IL stint and the starting pitching continues to develop like it has been this team can stay in contention.

Just maybe Rojas, Abel, CJ Culpepper and Preillip find themselves in the pen and it becomes a strength later in the year. (Both Preillip and Abel are still long term starters, but used out of pen to manage injury risk later this year).

Too far fetched? Downside is Jeffers likely walks for nothing if you go for it this year so they may need to deal him anyway while still trying to contend. 

Verified Member
Posted

You can remove Banda from the bullpen chart and add Laweryson. If Ryan hands the lead over to the bullpen it looks like they won’t have Gomez available tonight.

Posted

" Travis Adams looked poised to do just that, retiring the first five batters he faced before Taylor Trammell spoiled the effort with a two-out, full-count, two-run home run in the ninth inning to trim Minnesota's lead to 5-3."

Travis Adams looked poised to blow this game from the moment he took the mound.

You said he retired the first five batters he faced? He walked two of the first five, not including a terrible call to prevent a walk to the sixth hitter..

8th inning

#8 batter: started with a wild pitch Caratini couldn't even touch. Second pitch was over 2" high (inexplicably called a strike, overturned on appeal). Third pitch was at least a foot outside. Fourth pitch was clearly outside, but called a strike. Fifth pitch was an actual strike. Sixth pitch was a foot outside. 

#9 batter: strike one, a hard-hit foul, a pitch several inches outside, then a line drive hit right to the first baseman for an easy double play. Well-hit ball, very fortunate outcome.

#1 batter: Altuve flies out on a high strike.

9th inning

#2 batter: strike one, strike two, bounced one a foot in front of the plate, Alvarez grounded out.

#3 batter: swung and missed at ball one, then three straight balls (two not close), then ball four.

#4 batter: got down 0-2, then a pitch way outside, fouled a pitch off, pitch in the dirt in front of and a foot outside the plate, another pitch just off the ground, then a foul, Then a pitch that was clearly high, but called strike three and no challenge allowed.

#5 batter: strike one, ball one, ball two nearly hit the batter in the foot, threw ball three a few inches off the ground, fouled back a 3-1 pitch down the middle, Then he gave up a rocket of a home run.

So in real life, he walked 3 of the first 6 hitters he faced, then he threw a gopher ball.

Posted
37 minutes ago, Bangkok Twins Fan said:

Zebby looking solid, but that bullpen remains a bit scary. 

Pretty much sums up the game in one sentence.

Waiting for someone to pop in and "explain" how Zebby's last 3 games are meaningless because he gave up 7 runs each in starts 4 & 6 "proving" that he's just another Twins prospect that all hype and will never be good in 3...2,,,1...

Could have used a few more baserunners in front of those homers, but any time you put up 5 runs you're giving your team a good chance to win.

Caratini having a scorching June after a poor May; while I don't expect him to keep raking like this it's been nice to see him work out of a real slump. Will definitely take his season average going forward...

Posted
7 hours ago, howeda7 said:

5-1 eh? We finally stopped the count!

Freudian slip...runs given up by this bullpen shouldn't count. 

Slight digression, but Varland is killing it with the Jays.  Still baffled by that trade deadline move.

Posted

The bullpen has obviously been playing with fire, but by my math, I think we've only one lost one game this month (knock on wood!!) when leading after 7 innings (the Saturday game against KC). Says more about our offense than anything (and the bullpen kept us out of some close games too), of course, but still, most teams not named the Dodgers would be satisfied with that. Win or lose tonight, we had a winning June. 

Posted
33 minutes ago, jmlease1 said:

Pretty much sums up the game in one sentence.

Waiting for someone to pop in and "explain" how Zebby's last 3 games are meaningless because he gave up 7 runs each in starts 4 & 6 "proving" that he's just another Twins prospect that all hype and will never be good in 3...2,,,1...

Could have used a few more baserunners in front of those homers, but any time you put up 5 runs you're giving your team a good chance to win.

Caratini having a scorching June after a poor May; while I don't expect him to keep raking like this it's been nice to see him work out of a real slump. Will definitely take his season average going forward...

Yep, Caratini has been hitting much better lately. Bell is still up and down, but he seems to get the hits and RBI when we need them. 

Verified Member
Posted
3 hours ago, TL said:

Just maybe Rojas, Abel, CJ Culpepper and Preillip find themselves in the pen and it becomes a strength later in the year. (Both Preillip and Abel are still long term starters, but used out of pen to manage injury risk later this year).

Abel is scheduling surgery on his elbow.

 

Verified Member
Posted
9 minutes ago, Parfigliano said:

Hard to believe they have no one to replace Adams.

I don’t know why he was kept on the roster this offseason. He was bad last season and has continued to be bad this season. Adding him to the roster to protect him from the Rule 5 draft looks like a bad decision in hindsight.

Posted
17 minutes ago, Bangkok Twins Fan said:

What is the timeline for recovery from this type of surgery?

Unknown yet. They'll announce a timeline after the surgery. Probably won't see him back this year though, is my guess. 

Posted
2 hours ago, big dog said:

 

So in real life, he walked 3 of the first 6 hitters he faced, then he threw a gopher ball.

10/10. Big Dog knows ball! 

Travis Adams was a luck merchant last night. Until the gopher ball, that is. 

Posted
24 minutes ago, USAFChief said:

Brooks Lee looks like a legit 3rd baseman so far. Hitting at an acceptable rate too.

He has turned into the high floor, low ceiling third baseman the scouts predicted at the draft. Score one for scouts.

Posted
1 hour ago, Parfigliano said:

Hard to believe they have no one to replace Adams.

Unfortunately, they do not.  In reality, the only pitchers left in St. Paul to call up would be CJ Culpepper, Rojas, and Klein.  Rojas was just sent back down and likely will be kept there to build up his arm after just coming off the IL.  Klein has had mixed results and likely isn't much of an improvement over Adams.  Culpepper is the last person.  Culpepper is currently not on the 40-man roster.  I know that is a simple procedure to move someone to the 60-day IL, but it is still a consideration.  I can see them not wanting to trip that wire until they absolutely have to (injury) rather than poor performance.  Especially now that it appears that Banda is done for the year, Rojas will probably be the next pitcher called up when they feel that he has built his arm back up.  That leaves Zoll and Company fighting the raccoons in the dumpster fire bin.  Sans Gomez, that has not turned out well for us this year.  When even our scrap heaps are being picked up (Lawrence by DC, SWR and Topa by Toronto), I'm not sure we want to fight the raccoons anymore.

 

Posted

A WIN that almost wasn't  ...

Matthew's 7 innings , Matthew's is improving and proving the spring doubters were wrong ...

Couple of nice starts from Prielipp and Matthew's  ( we just might have a future ) ...

Tom P. And Zoll , I hope you were watching cause Houston came roaring back against your competitive BULLPEN and we almost lost 

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