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TL

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Everything posted by TL

  1. TL
    Odds are an injury sidelines 2 of those 8 in 2028 and another 2 will be headed for the bullpen. That leaves 4, meaning you need at least 3 additional arms to go 7 deep. Draft a college pitcher with their first pick this year and find 2 more in trades or free agency. Extend Pablo if you can. Plenty of time to work it out but definitely more unsettled than the position players.
  2. TL
    It’s a risk to take that approach but I’m not completely opposed. The risk is that they end up releasing him and instead of eating that $6mm they have a payroll that is $6mm less than it should be, which is a valuable reliever.
  3. TL
    The Twins have 5 guys who hit as well or better and play superior defense. The only question is whether you can trade him because he can’t be on the team next year given payroll constraints (even if it rises a decent amount). That $6.3MM is far far better used elsewhere.
  4. TL
    When you look at one year starting pitcher free agent contracts from last year you would do well to get what Ober can provide at 7mm. The problem is the twins have internal options that have higher upside at much less cost, and will anybody trade something of value for the privilege of paying that price? My lien is to not let him walk for nothing, but maybe there is a trade where he can be a piece of it as opposed to just getting back a C level prospect.
  5. TL
    It was a smart move, protect the player and pick up a lottery ticket. They’ll never admit it but you’re absolutely right and it was the right move.
  6. TL
    A best case scenario might be waiting to trade him ahead of next year’s deadline, like the Brewers and Tigers have done recently. You give the younger guys time to develop, Pablo and Abel more time to get back to full strength after injuries, and Ryan to put together a strong first half. At that point the front office can take stock and determine if there is enough SP depth to flip him for high upside prospects or a playoff need, assuming they are in contention. If out of contention then trade him for anything better than the QO pick.
  7. TL
    Not about having a reason to be angry, I’ll watch regardless and I can appreciate and even enjoy (within reason) trying to win without spending like a large market team. Just reading between the lines. He has to realize the reaction he would get from a lot of fans if payroll is less than 2024, let alone 2023. Or maybe he’s anticipating being forced to increase payroll because of a floor. Whatever it is, he is expecting to spend some money. And I don’t think this team is very far away so a ~20% increase can make a real difference.
  8. TL
    Based on his words I have to think he’s intending to add at least $25MM to payroll and maybe more. If not then credibility is burned and he knows that. They should also make the decision to free up money by parting with Lewis, Larnach, Ober, Bell, Caratini. Ideally through trades (except for Bell who is a FA). That frees up another ~$30MM. They can take that money and reinvest into the above outline (Jeffers + long term extensions for some young players) as well as acquire higher priced players through free agency or trades.
  9. TL
    Winokur being 3 years younger than avg age of competition at AA and “taking longer than expected” seem at odds. He was always going to 5 or 6 years given his age and size that he needs to develop into. He’s a guy I think they need to be careful to not give up on too early. Could be a beast by the time he’s 26 (and maybe finally solves the 1B problem).
  10. TL
    👏 well reasoned posts on both sides. Bravo. I want to believe in Zebby but he’s such an enigma.
  11. TL
    Showing he is healthy is huge for 2027. He either fronts the rotation or brings back a haul.
  12. TL
    Jenkins has “looked” good but the stats don’t yet back that up. If memory serves though he often starts off a new level a bit slow and then picks it up. Hopefully that holds true here for the stretch run.
  13. TL
    At risk of jinxing him, it has been very encouraging to see what he has done this year given how few innings he’s pitched since high school. They are definitely watching him for signs of fatigue and I think those extra days off and periodic skipping in the rotation has helped him hold up. His ERA doesn’t look great but strikeout and ground ball rates are good and he looks like a guy who has the tools to be a playoff starter as he gains experience and refines his command.
  14. TL
    Not too worried about next year’s bullpen. Morris, Hoffman, Gomez, Funderburk, Nance, Banda is a good start. Then hopefully Sands and Festa are back and you’ll also have one starter like Rojas in the pen waiting for a spot to open up.
  15. TL
    Interesting nobody has brought up trading Ryan. If he can come back for 3-4 strong starts he’ll rebuild his trade value (non arm injury causing ineffectiveness not a huge red flag perhaps). A creative front office could flip him for a middle of the order bat at 1B + prospect(s). Then re-sign Jeffers, either through QO or a 3 year deal. Also have to trade Lewis. I think he can continue to improve but at $5MM and all the baggage it may be time for a new start. Keaschall (DH, with some LF) Jenkins (RF) Buxton (CF) Jeffers (C) 1B Culpepper (SS) E-Rod (LF) Lee (3B) Clemons (2B) Rotation goes Lopez, Taj, Zebby, Abel, Kremer, Preillip, Rojas, Ober
  16. TL
    Jenkins and E-Rod for CF and RF. Keaschall should start learning LF, switching off with Larnach, and can play the occasional RF. Plenty of ABs to go around there. Any of Roden, Jackson and/or Martin can be sent down in addition to Buxton heading to the IL. No idea if these moves would have made a difference if done before the road trip, but hindsight won’t be kind to Zoll if it was his decision.
  17. TL
    The last reason for keeping Jenkins down (nowhere to play him) is now gone. Jenkins has gotten hot at the right time and unfortunately for Larnach the team has run out of time to wait for him to turn it around. If he played defense like Buxton, perhaps they could wait, but now he’s a liability on both sides.
  18. TL
    I would not call the hole in the lineup Bell would leave "gigantic" (though Jeffers is). No denying he's been a useful bat, but that's what a DH is supposed to bring. I'd be content next year to not have a traditional DH and let your position players cycle through. May need that with the glut of outfielders who will need at bats. If Bell comes back cheaper as a bench bat (not everyday DH) I'd take it, but I could see him falling off a cliff too.
  19. TL
    I’d like to see the catch probability on that single to left
  20. TL
    What is going on with Nance? He hasn’t pitched in at least 5 days but was effective before that. Good to see Ryan was throwing off a mound before the game too.
  21. TL
    I think his position is LF because of the arm - I trust he will get better in the OF with work to at least be average. I hope he ends up as a “4th outfielder” that gets as many at bats as an everyday player by cycling through DH and the occasional RF/CF (and injuries always occur). That would mean Jenkins and E-Rod/Mendez are thriving. I even wonder if he could be tried at 1B depending on what happens with Lewis over the next few years.
  22. TL
    It’s a very good point about preserving his option. I suspect that will carry the day and I agree with that. He’s valuable enough to keep up and not burn it. Unfortunately he looks like more of a 5th outfielder long term who can help keep the wheels from coming off in case of injury but he’s not a regular or even platoon in my mind. Worth keeping over Roden right now because he’s right handed but one of them needs to go tomorrow for Jenkins!
  23. TL
    Totally agree. It’s after August 14 so he’ll still be a rookie next year. It’s past time to put your best team on the field.
  24. TL
    I had to believe his home will be LF next year; he needs to go to the Alex Gordon school of infielders learning to play the outfield this offseason. It would be impossible to take his .400 OBP completely out of the lineup the remainder of this year, but I do think protecting him more with defensive replacements and a good dose of Jenkins in against righties or playing center periodically for Buxton (instead of Kreidler or Keaschall) would be valuable.
  25. TL
    That “hit” to Keaschall in center ahead of the HR needs to be caught and could have really cost us. Also made another awkward catch. I hope they left Jenkins in Iowa to hook up with the big club and play CF. Keaschall needs an offseason of working in the outfield before he’s ready. He’d make a good 4th OF and pinch hitter/runner the remainder of this year. Still believe in him but we have better defensive options at the moment.
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