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TL

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Everything posted by TL

  1. TL
    This is the way. Festa, Preillip, Bradley, Ohl (and maybe Raya) is a good start on rebuilding the bullpen. And you still go 8 deep with MLB ready starters. Just don’t trade Ryan or Lopez!
  2. TL
    Roden always seemed like a replacement level player, maybe slightly above. Think Larnach but for < $1mm instead of $5mm next year. Rojas is the one that needs to be a mid rotation guy and this trade will be a win for the Twins even though on a personal level I’d rather they hadn’t made it.
  3. TL
    There has to be new ownership. New ownership would keep Pablo and Ryan and add a bat, perhaps even trading some of our wealth of prospects for a big bat to play 1B, which would really balance out the lineup. There is potential for 2026 with new ownership in place.
  4. TL
    Plugging Jenkins and Culpepper into a lineup with Buxton, Keaschall, Wallner, Jeffers (& Lewis?) by mid 2026 looks like it could be dangerous. And there are so many pitchers close to being ready for the majors they are going to need to start moving some to the bullpen to rebuild that in a hurry (Festa, Preillip, Raya, Bradley are my initial choices)
  5. TL
    I was big believer in Lewis to 1B but have to admit he has done well at 3B defensively this year. To me Lee is either a SS or Utility player. Even at his best he’ll have a questionable bat for a corner position. Looking out to 2nd half of next year or ‘27 best case is Culpepper supplants Lee, who becomes utility guy, Lewis at 3B and Keaschall at 2B. Then getting a slugging 1B internally or externally.
  6. TL
    Ownership situation and the CBA being set to expire after 2026 complicates everything. It may be that the Twins are set up well to see how it plays out with few large contacts on the books. But if there is a significant work stoppage or even a canceled season, key questions include, what happens to contracts that run through 2027 (Pablo) and how is service time handled, especially for players set to be free agents after 2027 (Ryan, Ober).
  7. TL
    If we really do need to fish or cut bait on Outman this year it makes that Stewart trade even weirder. I get that his arm may be a ticking time bomb and it’s highly unlikely the Twins make a push this year… but man he would look good in the pen right now. For now I’d bring up Preillip and move Festa to the bullpen for remainder of the year. Maybe along with Sands and Topa we can piece together 3 innings.
  8. TL
    If he becomes a #3 or 4 starter for 4-5 years the Twins will have won this trade handily without even considering what Tait may bring. He’s a good starter prospect who was available because we were offering a stud reliever and he has some question marks. Getting an upside guy to slot into the rotation soon + a catcher with above average starter potential is good work.
  9. TL
  10. TL
    While I agree with the sentiment that this was in part due to future payroll, it was also a recognition that there was something about this team not adding up (the “vibes”). The sum of the parts was greater than the whole and instead of running it back and hoping for better results they are resetting. The Varland deal is the biggest head-scratcher. He seemed to settle in well to the bullpen but I wonder if the history of him resisting that move played a part in trading him now. I also wonder what was going on with Jax given the scene from the other day. Beyond that I’m fine with the value received for Duran, and with Stewart’s injury history I understand the desire to cash in now - though the return is questionable. Moving Correa frees payroll and enables Lee to get a real shot at short, with Culpepper and Houston lurking if he doesn’t come through. And moving the impending free agents had to be done. So at the end of the day I’m fine with the moves, but like everyone I question the returns. I wonder where our farm system will be ranked overall after yesterday.
  11. TL
    Agree with everything in this article. Would love to keep both but feels like that would be front office malpractice if you have a chance to flip a reliever for two top 100s and pass.
  12. TL
    In general if they get blown away with an offer they need to consider it. A top 3 overall prospect? Hard to pass up. Once you get past the top 5 overall prospects it would take more for me and would need to include a pitcher. Tong (P), Jett Williams (SS), Benge (OF) from the Mets and we also throw in Columbe? An overpay from Mets but Cohen doesn’t seem to care.
  13. TL
    Wallner is streaky and he’s due for a hot one. Lewis may have found something and Correa is no longer a liability. Keaschall and Lopez come back and we are cooking. Would still trade Castro, Bader, Columbe for good value, if it’s there, and DFA France (Keaschall can play first remainder of this year).
  14. TL
    Walker JenkinsLuke KeaschallKaelen CulpepperConnor PrielippDasan HillMarek HoustonEmmanuel RodriguezGabriel GonzalezCharlee SotoBrandon WinokurMarco RayaAndrew MorrisAaron SabatoKyle DeBargeRiley QuickCJ CulpepperBilly AmickKhadim DiawPayton EelesQuentin Young E-Rod has to be the most disappointing. He just can’t stay healthy. Combined with questions whether his approach will play the same way in the majors I have to move him down a number of spots. Excited about Culpepper and Preillip and the seasons they are having. And Sabato = Rooker?
  15. TL
    This may be a pipe dream but I really hope the new ownership situation becomes clear in the next two weeks and that group can have informal discussions with Falvey about the future payroll so he has some idea of what flexibility he has. Any new ownership group is going to want to do what it can to win over the fan base in their first year and lord knows this fan base needs that more than any. But I think that also means that new ownership really won’t be invested in the 2025 team (that’s Pohlad’s team) and would want the front office to focus on 2026. To me that means there should be money to keep (and even extend) Joe Ryan and Lopez, but everybody else should be fair game to try and improve next year. That means expiring contracts, all bullpen arms and anyone else for whom we can get excess value should be considered.
  16. TL
    The organization is in such a tough spot figuring out what to do with him. On the one hand: (1) Great guy and tremendous clubhouse presence - face of the franchise potential (2) Huge upside if he can figure it out and get back to 80% of what he was when he first came up (3) 3 years of team control after this one (4) FOMO if you were to trade him now On the other hand: (1) Pitching staff, both starters and bullpen, built to win at least through 2027 (2) Keashall, Culpepper, Lee all appear ready now or by early next year in Culpepper’s case (3) Royce does not seem like a bench bat where you can start him 3 days a week all over the infield. He needs a home. It’s so tough to give up on the upside but it is really putting the team in a bind because they, like all of us, want him to succeed so badly.
  17. TL
    Likely not during the season but in the offseason I think moving Larnach will make sense. He has become a valuable player and will have 2 more years of control at reasonable salaries, albeit at amounts the Twins may not want to pay if they have cheaper in-house options with higher ceilings. But, if Keaschall comes back strong in a few weeks it could make moving Larnach at the deadline more palatable.
  18. TL
    It’s time for the offense to carry the load for a while. It looks like several players are starting to get hot which is a good sign. Getting Keaschall back will be a big boost. On the pitching side it’s hard to DFA Alcala with 2 guys already out, but they likely are going to need some innings eaters until they get healthy so I think you have to look at that. And I’m about ready for Prielipp to get to AAA in preparation for a late July call-up to the bullpen.
  19. TL
    With an avg to below avg payroll the way to compete is making smart trades. That’s not going to include trading your unwanted, overpaid guys for top 30 prospects unfortunately. I don’t like trading Ryan but he’s at top of his value right now with 2.5 years control remaining. pitching pipeline is built for this type of opportunity. I’d explore it.
  20. TL
    Matthews has not pitched more than 105 innings in a season. Probably figure they need him strong for the major league club later this year.
  21. TL
    Walker JenkinsLuke KeaschallEmmanuel RodriguezCharlee SotoAndrew MorrisConnor PrielippMarco RayaBrandon WinokurKaelen CulpepperDasan HillCJ CulpepperGabriel GonzalezTanner SchobelKala'i RosarioCory LewisDanny De AndradeYasser MercedesYunior SeverinoJose RodriguezDaShawn Keirsey Jr
  22. TL
    It’s not over. Only 4 back in April with a lot of pitching depth and a weak division. But agree on building for the future and love getting Keaschall a (hopefully) quick taste of the majors before he spends a few months in St Paul and then back for the stretch. Future is still very bright!
  23. TL
    I get the skepticism about the lineup based on the second half last year. But there is also big potential upside that could put us inside the top 5 if a few guys break out and the rest just don’t massively slump. France producing like even 75% of what he’s shown in the spring increases those odds.
  24. TL
    Keaschall is an excellent insurance policy for 2B or 3B, and if all goes well he ends up at 1B and plays excellent defense with good speed and power. Starting in 2026 unless things go off the rails with the current MLB roster.
  25. TL
    Realistically, injuries happen. Hopefully everyone stays healthy and is effective - so Raya (and one of Festa/SWR) don’t have a MLB spot - but I would bet a lot of money they’ll need to dip into their depth before end of April.
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