Twins Video
Box Score
SP: Bailey Ober: 6 IP, 8 H, 3 ER, 0 BB, 4 K ( 95 pitches, 63 strikes (66%)
Home Runs: Byron Buxton (11), Royce Lewis (4), Max Kepler (8)
Bottom 3 WPA: Edouard Julien (-0.130), Max Kepler (-0.113), Brent Headrick (-0.092)
Win Probability Chart (via FanGraphs)
The Twins began the night with a losing record again, still nursing a two-game lead over Cleveland in the AL Central. The last time this happened, the Twins were able to win four of their next five against Toronto and Milwaukee to create some separation, only to come crashing back to earth against the Tigers and Red Sox. Many storylines surrounded the game tonight, and most of them contained some element of desperation and exasperation.
Storyline #1 - Twins Starting Pitching Had a Rough Week
After carrying the team for the bulk of the season, the Twins starting staff had taken their lumps this past week, with only Bailey Ober and the bullpen game bringing home victories. As the Twins sent down Louie Varland in anticipation of Kenta Maeda's return this week, stalwarts Sonny Gray, Joe Ryan, and Pablo Lopez all got rocked and caused the bullpen to overexert themselves last week.
Luckily, Ober was the man on the mound tonight, and he started the game on cruise control blanking the Red Sox through the first three innings with four strike outs. Then Adam Duvall happened in the top of the fourth, and he crushed a home run to dead center to put the Red Sox ahead 1-0. Then one out later, Christian Arroyo homered to left to make the score 2-0.
After a redemptive fifth inning, Ober came back out for the sixth. The Red Sox did more of what the Red Sox have done lately, they hit the ball all over the place with two outs. Three singles equals one more run, and it was now 3-0. Ober's night ended, and when your teammates can't score a run to save their lives, giving up three runs usually is going to end in a loss.
Storyline #2 - Byron Buxton Riding an 0-for-24 Streak
Skipper Rocco Baldelli grows more and more impatient with the question, but its going to keep getting asked. When will Buxton be roaming the outfield again? The life of a DH that can't hit the ball isn't a sustainable one, especially for someone tabbed as the superstar of the organization. Buxton clearly is struggling in the role, and the pressure from all sides continues to build.
In his first plate appearance of the evening, some of that pressure got released...albeit for a single. But the smile on Buxton's face said it all. It felt like a step towards something not quite so miserable.
Buxton popped up to start the fourth inning. He walked in the sixth, and didn't try to steal yet again, eventually being stranded at first base while watching Joey Gallo strike out again. Still, Buxton on base is better than Buxton non-on-base.
More on Buxton later...
Storyline #3 - The Rest of the Twins Offense Feels Like They are Riding an 0-for-2023
The Twins found a way to string together a couple of singles in the second and in the third off of Kutter Crawford. Max Kepler took care of the first threat with a five foot dribbler towards the pitcher that the Red Sox turned into a slick double play. Alex Kirilloff, sitting in the third spot in the lineup between Carlos Correa and Buxton, grounded out weakly to the shortstop to end the threat in the third.
With the Twins sonly down 2-0 in the bottom of the fifth, Ryan Jeffers led off with a double. Willi Castro advanced him to third on a groundout, and here was a moment for the Twins to deliver a run to close the gap and to stay in the game. Edouard Julien struck out. Correa struck out. Sigh. Crawford thanked the Twins for helping his stat line immensely, and left the game as the eventual winner after five scoreless innings.
I would like to add some more information from the sixth and seventh innings but nothing of consequence happened for the Twins besides weak contact and more strike outs.
Storyline #4 - The Twins Bullpen Has Started a Bad Habit of Turning a Close Game Into a Laugher
If you watched Monday nights game, tonight's seventh inning didn't surprise you. Brent Headrick came in to keep the game close, and instead he helped Boston become so confident in their winning probability that they put in Corey Kluber to finish the game. Five hits, one walk, and five runs later the Twins were down 8-0, and Twins Daily co-writers were sending me condolence texts.
Oliver Ortega made his Twins debut in the eighth inning, and Masataka Yoshida hit a 447 foot homerun to the upper deck in left center, 108.8 mph, launch angle 24 degrees, to make Boston's win probability 100 percent in the eighth. The Twins still had two full innings of at bats left in the game, and mlb.com was already calling it! Good grief! Target Field tried to boo, but they just didn't care anymore really, and it didn't last as long as the wave in the sixth. (Truth in journalism act - I was sitting in my basement, but just assume the Red Sox fans were able to get a wave going in the sixth, because they can do anything they want to us right now.)
Storyline #5 - Unwatchable Baseball and No Repercussions
Twins fans know that a plan is in place, the same lineup will get trotted out tomorrow, and baseball is a long season with many ups and downs. At least that's the narrative that keeps on coming through the airwaves and interviews. Tonight was the first night that I remember Dick Bremer and Justin Morneau not even buying the narrative during the broadcast. They are tired of filling time like the booth had to do in the early 2010's, and so are those who are being asked to pay for tickets.
Which game will be the game that stops the narrative, and changes the tide? Will that game be in 2023? Most of us will keep watching this series either way, because we love the Minnesota Twins and we love baseball. This brand of baseball is becoming almost impossible to follow.
Storyline #6 - Neverending Hope and Why We Keep Watching
I know it was Kluber pitching in a mercy rule type of role, but Buxton hit a home run to the upper deck in the eighth inning and it was awesome. The scoreboard showed 10-2, but watching Buxton trot around the bases felt like the correct end to a vibe that had grown throughout the game for him. In the bottom of the ninth, with mlb.com sticking strongly to its 100 percent winning probability prediction, Royce Lewis and Kepler started off the inning with back-to-back jacks. The score was 10-4, and those Red Sox runs in the seventh and Baldelli's decision to ride it out with Headrick for the entire inning began to sting again.
Is the offense waking up? Or was that a mirage in the midst of the desert called "Twins baseball in June?" Baldelli promised in his post-game interview that "hope isn't a good plan in professional sports," but "it's going to get better" for the Twins. Here's to hoping that he's right.
What’s Next?
The first place Minnesota Twins will try to claw their way back towards .500 by sending RHP Sonny Gray (4-1, 2.37 ERA) back out on the mound in his first start post-Baldelli meltdown. The Red Sox counter with RHP Garrett Whitlock (4-2, 4.38 ERA) and his 1.23 WHIP in seven appearances. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm CDT.
Postgame Interviews
Bullpen Usage Spreadsheet
(I refuse to do the work of adding Willi Castro to the chart, but he allowed zero runs on nine pitches.)
| FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | MON | TOT | |
| Headrick | 0 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 76 |
| De León | 0 | 24 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 49 |
| Balazovic | 0 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 40 |
| Pagán | 0 | 21 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 38 |
| Morán | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | 0 | 24 |
| Jax | 0 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
| Ortega | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 16 |
| Durán | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| Stewart | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |







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