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Posted
Image courtesy of Jesse Johnson-Imagn Images

"I just follow the card," Luke Keaschall said last week, standing in the home dugout at Target Field. "I take the card Grady makes for me and go where he tells me."

Keaschall has been an outfielder for just over a month now and racked up 246 innings there so far, with 137 of those innings coming in center field. He's doing his best to sand off the rough edges, but he's a confident athlete who wants to trust his instincts and play without fear. He's highly complimentary of Sizemore, who wants the same things.

"He just tells us to be free, be relaxed and ready out there," Keaschall said. "He wants us to be comfortable and go get the ball; pretty simple."

It is. It also isn't, and there seems to be a key detail Keaschall, Sizemore and the Twins have overlooked. As Cody Schoenmann wrote last month, Keaschall has been playing deeper in center field than almost anyone else in the sport, often to the detriment of his ability to catch lazy fly balls. After Keaschall noted that the positioning card with which the team furnishes him indicates in which direction and by how much to shade each batter, I asked how he and Sizemore set his initial position. Therein, as it turns out, lies the rub: It's all Keaschall. Trying to preserve his comfort, the Twins have been hands-off when it comes to setting the default starting spot for Keaschall in center. He adjusts based on information from batter to batter, but his anchor—his starting point, taking the batter's tendencies out of the equation—is his own to drop.

That's a mistake, and it's become a glaring one. When a ball falls in front of Keaschall because of a poor read or a mistaken last-second adjustment—two things we've seen happen to him multiple times already—that's understandable. Even great athletes need time to learn the nuances and to get accustomed to the specific skills of playing a new position. Over the weekend, we saw the latest instance of that, when Keaschall was unable to catch a ball that had a 90% catch probability, based on his starting position, the landing point of the ball and the hang time on the ball. He took a bad route, and when he did bend his run in toward the sinking liner, he did so too hesitantly.

However, just as often, we're seeing Keaschall prove unable to catch balls that should have been not only catchable, but easy. They're not even counting against him in some defensive metrics, because based on his starting position, they were uncatchable—but that's an indictment of his starting position, which he and the Twins say is his own to determine right now. This ball, which Keaschall misplayed into a triple, counts against him almost only because of the extra bases he allowed by mishandling the ball, according to Statcast. It gives the liner a 5% catch probability. But if Keaschall had been playing 10 feet shallower (as he unequivocally should have been, against low-power Nico Hoerner), that expected catch rate would be much, much higher. Whether Keaschall himself would have gotten to the ball is a fair question, but by starting so deep, he gave himself no chance.

One reason for the Twins' willingness to let Keaschall play so deep, manager Derek Shelton indicated, is so he can feel less fear and be at less risk when going back toward the wall. That benefit hasn't materialized, though. More than once, Keaschall has gotten too close to the wall and had the ball carom past him. More than once, he's short-armed possible catches as he nears the wall, bracing for impact rather than making the play. Meanwhile, he's been forced to charge in an out-of-control way on liners in front of him, often with disastrous results. 

The coaching staff needs to intervene, rather than passively waiting for Keaschall to get more comfortable and move in a few steps. They need to address this issue immediately, to clean up their defense at a vital spot while Byron Buxton remains on the injured list. Unless and until they do, Sizemore's capacity to influence his pupils will go to waste where Keaschall is concerned.


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Posted

I'm not convinced that Sizemore is an OF whisperer. The start of the season we kept on hearing how Larnach was improved defensively but that just has not been the case at all. It's painful watching him chase fly balls sometimes.

Posted

I agree that it can be painful to watch Larnach chase fly balls but I don't think that's Sizemore's fault. I think that's because Larnach simply can't run for crap. The guy has a great skill in putting the bat to the ball but he is not a great athlete by any stretch of the imagination. To call him lumbering is actually a compliment. Still, he runs better than Wallner, who I would describe as more glacial in approach. I'm not sure whose idea it was to put Buxton in center, flank him with those two guys, and expect to have a competent defensive outfield. I hope whoever that was is no longer in a position of authority. 

Posted
3 minutes ago, RpR said:

Yeah, he is SO good at Second Base.

image.png.a95c7eedee57bfe5a305db5e78cdcdd3.png

I see him as a more athletic Dozier that will improve with more time in the position.  

Standard Total Zone DRS Range Factor Baserunners  
Season Age Team Lg Pos G GS CG Inn Ch PO A E DP Fld% lgFld% Rtot Rtot/yr Rdrs Rdrs/yr RF/9 lgRF9 RF/G lgRFG SB CS Pick Awards
9 Yrs   1122 1094 1024 9665.0 5039 1864 3100 7
2012 25 MIN AL SS 83 81 81 732.1 413 111 287 15 70 .964 .977 -5 -8 1 2 4.89 4.43 4.80 4.40        
2013 26 MIN AL 2B 146 141 135 1255.1 734 267 461 6 110 .992 .985 -1 -1 -3 -3 5.22 4.64 4.99 4.62        
2014 27 MIN AL 2B 156 155 150 1361.0 751 261 475 15 98 .980 .984 -11 -10 3 3 4.87 4.61 4.72 4.60        
2015 28 MIN AL 2B 157 157 148 1383.0 767 303 456 8 111 .990 .983 -7 -6 0 0 4.94 4.58 4.83 4.55       AS,MVP-28
2016 29 MIN AL 2B 151 151 143 1331.0 713 286 419 8 118 .989 .983 -5 -5 -2 -2 4.77 4.49 4.67 4.44       MVP-13
2016 29 MIN AL DH 2 2                               0.00         MVP-13
2017 30 MIN AL 2B 152 151 138 1311.0 674 264 405 5 109 .993 .983 2 2 1 1 4.59 4.35 4.40 4.30       MVP-11,GG
2018 31 2TM 2LG 2B 148 141 125 1253.0 572 218 342 12 79 .979 .982 -3 -3 -5 -5 4.02 4.17 3.78 4.14        
2018 31 MIN AL 2B 103 101 98 906.1 418 150 260 8 60 .981 .982 -3 -5 -7 -9 4.07 4.12 3.98 4.08        
2018 31 LAD NL 2B 45 40 27 346.2 154 68 82 4 19 .974 .982 0 1 2 7 3.89 4.31 3.33 4.29        
2019 32 WSN NL 2B 123 114 103 1009.0 398 145 248 5 61 .987 .983 -5 -6 0 0 3.51 4.15 3.20 4.13        
2019 32 WSN NL P 1 0 0 1.0 0 0 0 0 0         0 0 0.00 1.80 0.00 1.60 0 0 0  
2020 33 NYM NL 2B 5 3 1 28.1 17 9 7 1 3 .941 .978 0 -17 -2 -85 5.08 3.97 3.20 3.80        
2020 33 NYM NL DH 1 1                               0.00          
Posted
13 minutes ago, farmerguychris said:

I get it, but man thats tough.  He's learning a new position on the fly, appears to not be complaining about it and he's playing deep so nothing goes over his head..

What did they think would happen when you put a 2nd basemen in CF.  Let him gain confidence in right for a year before moving him to the big space of CF - IMO.

Indeed. Playing out of position has its consequences; see Royce Lewis, 1B.

Posted
1 hour ago, Hawkeye Bean Counter said:

I see him as a more athletic Dozier that will improve with more time in the position.  

Standard Total Zone DRS Range Factor Baserunners  
Season Age Team Lg Pos G GS CG Inn Ch PO A E DP Fld% lgFld% Rtot Rtot/yr Rdrs Rdrs/yr RF/9 lgRF9 RF/G lgRFG SB CS Pick Awards
9 YDrs   1122 1094 1024 9665.0 5039 1864 3100 7
2012 25 MIN AL SS 83 81 81 732.1 413 111 287 15 70 .964 .977 -5 -8 1 2 4.89 4.43 4.80 4.40        
2013 26 MIN AL 2B 146 141 135 1255.1 734 267 461 6 110 .992 .985 -1 -1 -3 -3 5.22 4.64 4.99 4.62        
2014 27 MIN AL 2B 156 155 150 1361.0 751 261 475 15 98 .980 .984 -11 -10 3 3 4.87 4.61 4.72 4.60        
2015 28 MIN AL 2B 157 157 148 1383.0 767 303 456 8 111 .990 .983 -7 -6 0 0 4.94 4.58 4.83 4.55       AS,MVP-28
2016 29 MIN AL 2B 151 151 143 1331.0 713 286 419 8 118 .989 .983 -5 -5 -2 -2 4.77 4.49 4.67 4.44       MVP-13
2016 29 MIN AL DH 2 2                               0.00         MVP-13
2017 30 MIN AL 2B 152 151 138 1311.0 674 264 405 5 109 .993 .983 2 2 1 1 4.59 4.35 4.40 4.30       MVP-11,GG
2018 31 2TM 2LG 2B 148 141 125 1253.0 572 218 342 12 79 .979 .982 -3 -3 -5 -5 4.02 4.17 3.78 4.14        
2018 31 MIN AL 2B 103 101 98 906.1 418 150 260 8 60 .981 .982 -3 -5 -7 -9 4.07 4.12 3.98 4.08        
2018 31 LAD NL 2B 45 40 27 346.2 154 68 82 4 19 .974 .982 0 1 2 7 3.89 4.31 3.33 4.29        
2019 32 WSN NL 2B 123 114 103 1009.0 398 145 248 5 61 .987 .983 -5 -6 0 0 3.51 4.15 3.20 4.13        
2019 32 WSN NL P 1 0 0 1.0 0 0 0 0 0         0 0 0.00 1.80 0.00 1.60 0 0 0  
2020 33 NYM NL 2B 5 3 1 28.1 17 9 7 1 3 .941 .978 0 -17 -2 -85 5.08 3.97 3.20 3.80        
2020 33 NYM NL DH 1 1                               0.00          

Dozier was never that bad and Keaschall is getting worse.

He looks too much like Julien at 2nd base, he Never got better.

Posted

Of course Keaschall looks lost.  20 games played in the outfield in his entire life prior to this year (counting minors and college... perhaps he played there a bit in high school, but I kinda doubt it).  Maybe add in a few more in spring training this year...those stats weren't handy.  Sizemore is likely a good coach, but he isn't a miracle worker.  It's unlikely there is anybody in MLB getting regular outfield playing time that has less experience than Keaschall.  He *should* get better after playing about a thousand innings in center field.  Time will tell.

Posted

I do hope this offseason Keaschall can throw a LOT of focus on a defensive position that he will play ongoing. If it is outfield, great. If it is 2b, great. It is hard to learn on the fly, and he is athletic enough to handle any number of positions, Corey Koskie and Justin Morneau were just as bad at their respective positions when they initially debuted, and Keaschall appears to be someone who is a "gym rat" of sorts that will try and learn and become better. With good coaching and a focus this offseason, I do think he can become better at a spot that he can focus on. We'll see if that ultimately is more outfield or more in the dirt.

Beyond all else, I hope they do extend Keaschall ongoing. He feels like someone (along with Jenkins and Lackey, and maybe a few others) who you want for the long haul. 

Posted
8 minutes ago, Cory Engelhardt said:

I do hope this offseason Keaschall can throw a LOT of focus on a defensive position that he will play ongoing. If it is outfield, great. If it is 2b, great. It is hard to learn on the fly, and he is athletic enough to handle any number of positions, Corey Koskie and Justin Morneau were just as bad at their respective positions when they initially debuted, and Keaschall appears to be someone who is a "gym rat" of sorts that will try and learn and become better. With good coaching and a focus this offseason, I do think he can become better at a spot that he can focus on. We'll see if that ultimately is more outfield or more in the dirt.

Beyond all else, I hope they do extend Keaschall ongoing. He feels like someone (along with Jenkins and Lackey, and maybe a few others) who you want for the long haul. 

Keaschall is a former wrestler who will grind until he figures it out.  He doesn't get frustrated,  he just keeps pounding away until he gets better.   Offense is still his bread and butter,  but pitchers adjusted to him earlier this year,  started pitching him differently.  Guess what - he adjusted continued to grind is again having good success with the bat again.   I have little doubt that he will get better at a defensive position that he is truly dedicated to.   

Posted

Eddie Julien  mr  strikeout                                                                                                                           

Edouard Julien's major league strikeout rate (K%) has fluctuated year-to-year, standing at 31.4% in 2023, peaking at 33.9% in 2024, and moving to 29.3% in 2025. [1]
Year-to-Year MLB Strikeout Breakdown
  • 2023 (Minnesota Twins): 31.4% strikeout percentage (128 strikeouts in 408 plate appearances)
  • 2024 (Minnesota Twins): 33.9% strikeout percentage (102 strikeouts in 301 plate appearances)
  • 2025 (Minnesota Twins): 29.3% strikeout percentage (61 strikeouts in 208 plate appearances) [1]
  • Luke kueschell strikeout rate                                                                                                                
Luke Keaschall has kept a very steady and low strikeout rate from his rookie year to his sophomore season, hovering around 14%. [1]
Year-to-Year MLB Strikeout Data
  • 2025 Season (Rookie with Minnesota Twins):
    • Plate Appearances (PA): 207
    • At Bats (AB): 182
    • Strikeouts (SO): 29
    • Strikeout Percentage (K%): 14.0% [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]
  • 2026 Season (Sophomore with Minnesota Twins, through August 2):
    • Plate Appearances (PA): 410
    • At Bats (AB): 350
    •  

   Fact--      your boy eddie  30+%   Luke  14%

Posted

First off, Luke Keaschall is doing the best he can. He had to be moved out of the infield. The arm is not playable for starters. Luke takes a second before he reacts to a batted ball. In the infield that just doesn't work. The ball is either by you or you are surprised by the ball and it handcuffs you. Instinctual first step quickness is necessary for an infielder. Keaschall doesn't have it. The outfield is proving to be pretty difficult as well but he does have closing speed to make some, plays/ catch the ball. His best position is DH. It would be a good idea for Keaschall to play shallower. He is too deep. To be fair, which current Twins is a good outfielder? Buxton could be out the remainder of the year and so Keaschall will get some time out there.

Posted
15 minutes ago, tony&rodney said:

First off, Luke Keaschall is doing the best he can. He had to be moved out of the infield. The arm is not playable for starters. Luke takes a second before he reacts to a batted ball. In the infield that just doesn't work. The ball is either by you or you are surprised by the ball and it handcuffs you. Instinctual first step quickness is necessary for an infielder. Keaschall doesn't have it. The outfield is proving to be pretty difficult as well but he does have closing speed to make some, plays/ catch the ball. His best position is DH. It would be a good idea for Keaschall to play shallower. He is too deep. To be fair, which current Twins is a good outfielder? Buxton could be out the remainder of the year and so Keaschall will get some time out there.

Too bad really; his spunk reminds me of Jake Cave  with a bit more natural talent.

Posted
1 hour ago, TheLeviathan said:

I don't understand how we're serious contenders AND playing a guy who has never played CF.....in CF.  

He's a LF or he's not on this team in the future, it's that simple from where I sit.

We aren't serious. It's really that simple..

Posted

I don't want to rule Keaschall out completely in the infield, but I believe his defensive struggles got in his head as a second baseman. If the Twins are in the race for postseason, I don't think he should play second base any more this season.

As for his outfield play, Keaschall looks like he's trying to play a new position and it hasn't been without mistakes, but he doesn't look dreadful to me. Austin Martin had more experience as an outfielder and when he came up, he struggled mightily. Two seasons later, he is the best the Twins have at the corner outfield spots by a lot. If Keaschall can equal Martin's learning curve as an outfielder, he'll be fine in 2027 and perhaps better than that. Incidentally, Keaschall's throwing has not really been a problem contrary to what many had predicted. He's at the 50th percentile according to his Savant page after checking out well below that when he exclusively played second. 

Regarding Larnach, he looked improved early in the season, but probably from the wear and tear of over 100 games, he looks much less athletic in the second half of the season and the defensive metrics bear this out.

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