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Road trip

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Everything posted by Road trip

  1. I'd wager we will see Buxton play a game sooner than Ryan. Just hope at least one of them is fit before September.
  2. That's a good analysis. I generally have resided in the "demoralized" camp, given the array of factors stacked against the Twins. There are so many structural disadvantages facing the Twins that it is hard to envision a world where they will ever be among the favorites. Stars can align though, in a variety of ways. See the Royals in 2014-15. Flawed team, but young, built on speed and a bullpen, and the stars aligned. Or the Rangers in 2023. They had subpar starting pitching (by contender standards) and yet got hot and won it all anyway. It is really unlikely that the stars will align for the Twins this year. Or next year. Really the only structural thing they have going for them is that the rest of the AL happens to be pretty bad right now compared to normal standards. If you are going to pin hope on something, pin your hope on this. The year is ripe for upsets in the AL pennant chase.
  3. Easily the best stadium of it's era, and virtually all of the others are gone. I recall reading that the Royals want a new park, which is kind of a shame. Not enough luxury boxes, of course.
  4. Of course Keaschall looks lost. 20 games played in the outfield in his entire life prior to this year (counting minors and college... perhaps he played there a bit in high school, but I kinda doubt it). Maybe add in a few more in spring training this year...those stats weren't handy. Sizemore is likely a good coach, but he isn't a miracle worker. It's unlikely there is anybody in MLB getting regular outfield playing time that has less experience than Keaschall. He *should* get better after playing about a thousand innings in center field. Time will tell.
  5. Having a Goliath has little to do with financial disparity. In the NFL it was the Steelers in the 70s, then the Cowboys in the 90s, then the Patriots during Belichek's era, now the Chiefs and/or Eagles. There is always a Goliath to hate, even in a league where 100% of the revenues are shared. I'm not much of a NFL fan, but have absolutely no doubt that their business model is far superior. It is part of the reason the NFL is hugely popular nation-wide, as every city believes they have a realistic chance at a Super Bowl in the coming decade. The NBA learned, and moved towards a cap, floor, and greater revenue sharing this century. They still have Goliaths as well. Baseball could learn, but probably won't.
  6. This is the crux of the problem. The Twins have a better roster than they did a week ago. However Cleveland had a very productive deadline. Adding Foster Griffin, a solid #2 starter, along with Nathaniel Lowe as a clear upgrade at 1B really improves them. Chicago also made moves, although I'm a little less impressed with what they brought in, and still trying to wrap my brain around the overall level of improvement they have shown after losing 100+ games for multiple years in a row. I'm not certain it was "Go big or go home". At least it wasn't "Hold my beer...". The Twins didn't pull off a blockbuster, but in my mind they also didn't do something profoundly stupid (see: Ramos for Capps).
  7. That's possible I suppose. But if that's the case the Yankees have to be kicking themselves right now, because they ended the day without addressing their biggest need on the same day the Red Sox got Rutschman. "Calling the bluff" just leaves them with no answer behind the plate. It was pretty clear the Twins were looking to buy, not sell this year. Knowing that, the Yankees should have upped the ante if they expected to pry Jeffers away. Not a good deadline for NY. My Yankee fan friends are pissed. 3rd place in the East is suddenly a very real possibility for them.
  8. RE: Jackson... wonder if they could stash him on the 10-day IL with a nagging injury? Every catcher has something bugging them by this time of year. Surely his legs feel bilaterally weak or something? 😆 Then just leave him there until needed, if that day comes. Teams play these IL games with pitchers all the time, why not a catcher?
  9. Ouch, that could be a big improvement for them. Hopefully the Guardians gave up a lot.
  10. The return for him was...not even that much. Amazed to see them give up on such a high prospect after only 350 MLB plate appearances. I guess the Red Sox really are in "Win this year" mode now. Giants are certainly acquiring assets.
  11. This. I can't imagine going the duration of the season carrying 3 catchers on the active roster. And they still have too many corner OF/DH types between MLB and AAA. Trade from surplus, even if it just brings back some other team's surplus.
  12. Almost feels like a 2027 move for the Dodgers. Entirely possible Bubic may not throw another pitch this year as his initial rehab got shut down a couple of weeks ago. I suppose the Dodgers might as well fill the pitching warehouse now since they have slightly less revenue than Elon Musk.
  13. Jax, for all of his absolutely filthy stuff, had frequent meltdowns. Sometimes it was perhaps bad luck, but bad luck sure did find him. He was quite good in 2024, but frankly just average in 2025 and a mix of bad and good in 2022 and 2023. Such is the nature of relievers. Matching his actual production is something Morris may achieve, even if he never makes opposing batter look as foolish as Jax did on the nights when his stuff was working. I didn't mind when Jax was traded, and frankly the exchange for Taj Bradley is starting to look like a steal.
  14. Seriously? Worthless fake-hustle play. Should be an automatic fine for any player that attempts it, but especially a player with a history of hand injuries.
  15. Robbie Ray would be a good test of ownership's willingness to spend. He's owed roughly 8 million more dollars. He probably could get about 10 more starts this year? If he costs next to nothing in prospects due to his salary, surely they would spend 800k per start? 😁
  16. Yes, Jeffers every game until the wheels fall off, please. If that means frequently DH-ing him or occasional games at 1B so be it. With Buxton out there aren't enough reliable bats.
  17. Well, his fastball averages a mere 90mph. That is Bailey Ober-level-slow, but he isn't a starter. For a non-lefty, non-submarine-throwing reliever, it is almost so slow as to be without a comp in 2026 MLB baseball. That doesn't mean that Anderson can't be effective, but it's somewhat unlikely over the long term. He would be an extreme outlier.
  18. Things I did not expect to see in 2026: Randy Dobnak accumulating more WAR in 5 games (1.4) than all but two members of the Twins pitching staff. I'm not certain if I should laugh or cry.
  19. To a fairly large extent runs scored require contributions from your teammates, much like RBI's, right? San Francisco's offense is terrible. Gotta think Arraez would score a few more runs hitting near the top of the Twins lineup. Having said that, I don't know that I see a great fit this year. Arraez may be my favorite Twin player of the past decade, but Clemens has performed surprisingly well at 2B and I'd prefer the Twins spend any prospect capital on pitching.
  20. This realization is what caused me to come around to adding, rather than selling this trade deadline. The Twins aren't particularly good, and have suffered injuries to key players they were counting on. They could well lose 85 games or more if things go wrong. But, the AL is historically bad this year. The best four teams in MLB are pretty clearly the Dodgers, Brewers, Braves, and Cubs in whatever order you want to rank them. Tampa is good, but not dominant. The Yankees are very talented but very, very injured. Everyone else in the AL has flawed rosters, just like the Twins. It's not at all inconceivable that the Twins sneak into the playoffs with 84 or so wins. If they get there, nobody particularly scares me for the first round. The AL path will be wide open for some mediocre team. Somebody has to advance. So yes, add to the pitching staff. This article was a good list of possibilities. Trade a low level prospect for one of them. Take on salary if you need to. The Twins may have to survive on the hitters they have unless a good deal falls into their lap, or the front office deems one of the AAA prospects ready to step up.
  21. In my mind that kind of misses the point. Barring an epic collapse the Yankees are almost certain to get a playoff spot. They aren't looking to improve to make the playoffs. They are looking to improve so they win the pennant. Anything less is viewed as a failed season for that franchise. Jeffers would likely start every playoff game, and NY expects to play a lot of those. IF the Twins want to trade Jeffers, encouraging a bidding war between NY and Tampa will help increase the price. Those are the two clear favorites from the AL. And I really hate the idea of Jeffers in pinstripes... ouch. I'm still traumatized from trading them Butch Wynegar for absolutely nobody that worked out.
  22. I'd happily take Foster Griffin for the players you listed. I believe Washington will want more, likely far more. Maybe his underlying metrics aren't there, but he's going to command no worse than a #3 starter price. Add in the fact that Washington is in roughly the same spot as the Twins (1 game out of the wildcard), I'm not even sure they will sell him unless they are made a very good offer.
  23. If Larnach is improving his defense this year it must be a very small improvement. He's ranked 36th out of 39 left fielders that have played enough innings to qualify. At 82%, he is DEAD LAST among qualified left fielders in converting percentage of fly balls in his zone to outs. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/outs_above_average?type=Fielder&startYear=2026&endYear=2026&split=yes&team=&range=year&min=q&pos=7&roles=&viz=show He isn't an indifferent defender (see Delmon Young). He doesn't make wild throws, and generally throws to the correct base (see Eddie Rosario). I'm sure he's doing the best he can. He's just too slow in his reads and/or sprint speed to bring any fielding value. Good thing he's hitting well this year.
  24. Agree he's not been great lately, but on the year his OPS+ is better than the following guys who play lower on the defensive spectrum: Bell (who, as we know, has no position) Keaschall Martin Lewis ...and he's only a point behind Brooks Lee. Since the All Star break the lineup is a vegetable stand of pumpkins in the batter's box. Until Culpepper or someone else is ready though, I'll take Kreidler at SS.
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