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Road trip

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Everything posted by Road trip

  1. Road trip
    Ouch, that could be a big improvement for them. Hopefully the Guardians gave up a lot.
  2. Road trip
    The return for him was...not even that much. Amazed to see them give up on such a high prospect after only 350 MLB plate appearances. I guess the Red Sox really are in "Win this year" mode now. Giants are certainly acquiring assets.
  3. Road trip
    This. I can't imagine going the duration of the season carrying 3 catchers on the active roster. And they still have too many corner OF/DH types between MLB and AAA. Trade from surplus, even if it just brings back some other team's surplus.
  4. Road trip
    Almost feels like a 2027 move for the Dodgers. Entirely possible Bubic may not throw another pitch this year as his initial rehab got shut down a couple of weeks ago. I suppose the Dodgers might as well fill the pitching warehouse now since they have slightly less revenue than Elon Musk.
  5. Road trip
    Jax, for all of his absolutely filthy stuff, had frequent meltdowns. Sometimes it was perhaps bad luck, but bad luck sure did find him. He was quite good in 2024, but frankly just average in 2025 and a mix of bad and good in 2022 and 2023. Such is the nature of relievers. Matching his actual production is something Morris may achieve, even if he never makes opposing batter look as foolish as Jax did on the nights when his stuff was working. I didn't mind when Jax was traded, and frankly the exchange for Taj Bradley is starting to look like a steal.
  6. Road trip
    Seriously? Worthless fake-hustle play. Should be an automatic fine for any player that attempts it, but especially a player with a history of hand injuries.
  7. Road trip
    Robbie Ray would be a good test of ownership's willingness to spend. He's owed roughly 8 million more dollars. He probably could get about 10 more starts this year? If he costs next to nothing in prospects due to his salary, surely they would spend 800k per start? 😁
  8. Road trip
    Yes, Jeffers every game until the wheels fall off, please. If that means frequently DH-ing him or occasional games at 1B so be it. With Buxton out there aren't enough reliable bats.
  9. Road trip
    Well, his fastball averages a mere 90mph. That is Bailey Ober-level-slow, but he isn't a starter. For a non-lefty, non-submarine-throwing reliever, it is almost so slow as to be without a comp in 2026 MLB baseball. That doesn't mean that Anderson can't be effective, but it's somewhat unlikely over the long term. He would be an extreme outlier.
  10. Road trip
    Things I did not expect to see in 2026: Randy Dobnak accumulating more WAR in 5 games (1.4) than all but two members of the Twins pitching staff. I'm not certain if I should laugh or cry.
  11. Road trip
    To a fairly large extent runs scored require contributions from your teammates, much like RBI's, right? San Francisco's offense is terrible. Gotta think Arraez would score a few more runs hitting near the top of the Twins lineup. Having said that, I don't know that I see a great fit this year. Arraez may be my favorite Twin player of the past decade, but Clemens has performed surprisingly well at 2B and I'd prefer the Twins spend any prospect capital on pitching.
  12. Road trip
    This realization is what caused me to come around to adding, rather than selling this trade deadline. The Twins aren't particularly good, and have suffered injuries to key players they were counting on. They could well lose 85 games or more if things go wrong. But, the AL is historically bad this year. The best four teams in MLB are pretty clearly the Dodgers, Brewers, Braves, and Cubs in whatever order you want to rank them. Tampa is good, but not dominant. The Yankees are very talented but very, very injured. Everyone else in the AL has flawed rosters, just like the Twins. It's not at all inconceivable that the Twins sneak into the playoffs with 84 or so wins. If they get there, nobody particularly scares me for the first round. The AL path will be wide open for some mediocre team. Somebody has to advance. So yes, add to the pitching staff. This article was a good list of possibilities. Trade a low level prospect for one of them. Take on salary if you need to. The Twins may have to survive on the hitters they have unless a good deal falls into their lap, or the front office deems one of the AAA prospects ready to step up.
  13. Road trip
    In my mind that kind of misses the point. Barring an epic collapse the Yankees are almost certain to get a playoff spot. They aren't looking to improve to make the playoffs. They are looking to improve so they win the pennant. Anything less is viewed as a failed season for that franchise. Jeffers would likely start every playoff game, and NY expects to play a lot of those. IF the Twins want to trade Jeffers, encouraging a bidding war between NY and Tampa will help increase the price. Those are the two clear favorites from the AL. And I really hate the idea of Jeffers in pinstripes... ouch. I'm still traumatized from trading them Butch Wynegar for absolutely nobody that worked out.
  14. Road trip
    I'd happily take Foster Griffin for the players you listed. I believe Washington will want more, likely far more. Maybe his underlying metrics aren't there, but he's going to command no worse than a #3 starter price. Add in the fact that Washington is in roughly the same spot as the Twins (1 game out of the wildcard), I'm not even sure they will sell him unless they are made a very good offer.
  15. Road trip
    If Larnach is improving his defense this year it must be a very small improvement. He's ranked 36th out of 39 left fielders that have played enough innings to qualify. At 82%, he is DEAD LAST among qualified left fielders in converting percentage of fly balls in his zone to outs. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/outs_above_average?type=Fielder&startYear=2026&endYear=2026&split=yes&team=&range=year&min=q&pos=7&roles=&viz=show He isn't an indifferent defender (see Delmon Young). He doesn't make wild throws, and generally throws to the correct base (see Eddie Rosario). I'm sure he's doing the best he can. He's just too slow in his reads and/or sprint speed to bring any fielding value. Good thing he's hitting well this year.
  16. Road trip
    Agree he's not been great lately, but on the year his OPS+ is better than the following guys who play lower on the defensive spectrum: Bell (who, as we know, has no position) Keaschall Martin Lewis ...and he's only a point behind Brooks Lee. Since the All Star break the lineup is a vegetable stand of pumpkins in the batter's box. Until Culpepper or someone else is ready though, I'll take Kreidler at SS.
  17. Road trip
    Philosophically I agree with the article. The Twins are too close in the race to give up this year. It may just be a "chip and a chair" approach, but baseball is weird in small samples, and with two months left this is pretty much a small sample. Trading from excess for immediate pitching help is fine by me. They can't realistically carry 3 catchers for the duration of the season, so trade one. They have an excess of corner outfielder/dh types, so trade one if there is any market demand for them. Build up that bullpen, maybe get a possible 4th starter, roll the dice. Tampa seems a good fit for this type of trade due to their own needs, motivations, and pitching depth.
  18. Road trip
    Both are bad fielders. Larnach should also really be a DH at this point. If you look up Larnach on Baseball Savant you won't find a meaningful statistical difference between him and Wallner, unfortunately. If Larnach is traded, next man up in LF is likely dealer's choice of Roden/Martin/Keaschall/Jenkins/Clemens/Mendez/Gonzalez/ERod. Good grief, that is an excess of possibilities.
  19. Road trip
    I was skeptical about Houston's bat. I may have been wrong. Higher OPS now at Wichita than he had at A ball. I haven't watched him other than highlights, but his stats say St Paul next year, and then maybe it won't be long until the big squad? By all accounts his glove work is already top quality.
  20. Road trip
    Well, he's a starter the rest of the year due to rotation attrition. I suspect, assuming he is healthy, that he will still be a starter in 2027 due to rotation attrition. Such is the nature of MLB pitching...guys get hurt, and every MLB team needs about 8 or 9 possible starters. I think he will be out of option years though, which may complicate a decision about his place in the rotation in April. In his favor, he has some length. He has shown an ability to go 6 or even 7 innings in a start (9 out of 12 starts this year). Compared to many of the starting pitchers the Twins have used this year he is a real innings-eater. This helps take some load of an always-overworked bullpen. That's actually really valuable for a #4 or #5 starter, which might be his ceiling. This length is also a dramatic improvement over last year, where he hit the 6 inning mark only 5 times in 16 starts. That's encouraging. Would he perform better as a reliever? Probably. You could also say that about almost every MLB starting pitcher. It's simply an easier job.
  21. Road trip
    Agree, he's not good at this point, but that's a tall standard for a team that recently rostered Edouard Julien. And Sano. And tried to hide La Tortuga on defense. And Delmon Young. And (unfortunately) I could go on... back to Todd Walker and Willie Norwood and the immortal Bombo Rivera... so it isn't just a recent Twins thing.
  22. Road trip
    I'd keep Ryan until the offseason when I'd either try to sign him or trade him, but.... IF and only if the Twins want to trade Ryan, I'd be calling up Milwaukee. The Brewers need a starter with Woodruff now out for the year. They are in their World Series contention window, but they don't project to have a very good chance against the Dodgers in the playoffs unless they upgrade their rotation. Their minor league system is loaded. Could the Twins work out a deal involving Ryan for Jesus Made? Maybe throw in another player as needed? As good as they are, the Brewers have some holes in both their lineup and starting rotation and they really should be in "win now" mode.
  23. Road trip
    IDK... Arraez is on a pace for a 5-6 WAR season and is owed less than 6 million for the rest of the year. That contract is a bargain. Getting out of PETCO seemingly resurrected his career. He will bring a decent haul from some contender that needs a 2nd basemen and some offensive help (which, at the moment, isn't really the Twins).
  24. Road trip
    Yup...typo on my part :)
  25. Road trip
    Young prospects remind me of seed corn, if you will bear with a farming analogy. My neighbor likes to say that seed corn is all 300 bushel an acre potential when it is still in the bag. You plant it, and perhaps conditions aren't ideal in April, chip away 10 bushels. You have some soil fertility issues apparent in May, chip away 15 bushels. Weeds in June, -20 bushels. Doesn't rain in July, -30 bushels. Pretty soon that 300 bushel an acre potential dwindles down to 220 or less. Same thing happens in the minors. Young or newly drafted players haven't seen much adversity yet. They look great "in the bag". Tait isn't "in the bag" anymore, and has struggled with some adversity. Next year it will be apparent that Tinney has some weaknesses as well, as all players do. It doesn't mean that Tait, Tinney, or any other prospect won't eventually yield well, but many of them won't look as good a year or two after the Twins acquire them. Like you I cringe a little when brand new guys are ranked well above players who have already performed well in the low to mid minors. I'm excited about Tinney like everyone else, but ranking him near or equal to a guy like Jenkins who has already made it to AAA seems premature.
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