Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

bean5302

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    6,507

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    35

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    Wonder what the "encouraging news" was? Given Falzol seems to treat injury news like players on the Twins are NFL quarterbacks where opposing teams change entire strategies around them, I'd say the encouraging news was a partial tear and the possibility Abel could avoid surgery exists. Rest and rehab never works.
  2. bean5302
    Even though I seriously question his ability to keep it up, Ober has delivered quality outcomes recently.
  3. bean5302
    I think it's obvious the Twins don't have faith in Culpepper's stuff at this point, but there's no reason not to have him in AAA. Batted ball type below AAA is pretty questionable, but Culpepper's got a 30% line drive rate against (absolutely terrible) and his xFIP down there is 4.28 suggesting he's due for a lot of home run regression, too. He could at least eat some innings at AAA, though.
  4. bean5302
    I agree with Richie. The concensus was the bullpen was an obvious need and Falzoll failed to address this obvious point of desperation despite the means to do so. The Twins needed a couple high ceiling/high floor guys. Reliable, better than adequate bullpen arms. They went dumpster diving for cast offs instead. Banda's track record was well established as poor quality in my honest opinion. It seemed like I was in the minority of expecting him to be a virtual guaranteed poor performer, but to me it seemed pretty predictable. Topa is fine as mid innings eater. Rogers has lost more velo and without a 4 seamer, he's unable to strike anybody out. Funderburk's having the same issue as always. Same issue as Marco Raya. Unable to hit the broad side of a barn with pitch. 7.00 BB/9? That's crazy. Morris is not a hard thrower by bullpen standards. 96mph is maybe average for a reliever? While the sparkly 10.29 K/9 looks good, the reality is a very pedestrian 23% K rate. His K/9 is propped up by the 1.86 WHIP. He's been awful in 2 of 3 games. 3.0 IP with 2.00 WHIP, 1.1 IP with 3.75 WHIP, 2.0 IP with 0.75 WHIP. Tiny sample size, though. Acton. He's a cast off, but maybe? The Athletics didn't want him. The Rays didn't want him. The Marlins didn't want him. Before the Brent Rooker comments... unlike Rooker, it's not like Acton did anything in AAA the past few years to inspire optimism. Sands is fine as a middle reliever. The fact he was looked at as a likely closer tells a grim story for the Twins bullpen. Orze. The regression to the xFIP feels destined to occur. He's got MLB hitters reeling a little, wondering at what is coming, but I just don't think it will be long before the scouting reports catch up.
  5. bean5302
    Remember when Royce Lewis played 2B while injured, trying to break out of a slump, during a playoff chase when he didn't prefer it? Remember when Royce Lewis played CF while recovering from ACL surgery only to promptly blow out his ACL crashing into the wall? Remember when Royce Lewis got moved off SS to 3B after being told he was going to be the starting shortstop for the Twins pre-season 2023 only to have Carlos Correa return? Feel free to look it up. Lewis would probably prefer to play shortstop, and if not SS, maybe 3B? I don't know. I haven't asked him. I think you'll find virtually every single player in MLB would prefer to play a static position.
  6. bean5302
    Lewis has 403 PA (last year) below replacement level. He had 325 PA of above replacement level wRC+ 106 performance in 2024. He was bad last year at the plate. He will be very, very bad this year at the plate if he doesn't stop hacking away at every single pitch a guy throws.
  7. bean5302
    Dude has 6 pitches and most of them were viewed as having legitimate MLB quality to them. Honestly, that's probably one of his biggest problems. Mastering 3-4 pitches is hard enough. Mastering 6? Nobody does that.
  8. bean5302
    If you throw in international signings, have to go with 2009. Gibson and Dozier draft-wise, Kepler, Sano, Polanco.
  9. bean5302
    Here's the critical hurdle in an image. See the bright glowing blue rectangle? That's the hurdle.
  10. bean5302
    I don't think Clemens is going to add much in the way of long term value and I wouldn't stress about it if the Twins DFA'd him, but in his whopping 50 PA this year his xwOBA is notably above league average at .336. Clemens is also traditionally a good fielder.
  11. bean5302
    Yes. He'll need a few weeks to build up, minimal anyway.
  12. bean5302
    Lopez and Ryan as a combo is going nowhere next year. Ryan will make $20MM in arb 3 now. Lopez is making $22MM. No way the Twins ownership is making $42MM available for 2 arms. Add to it Ober. He'll either keep stringing together results and earn $15MM next year as well or he's not worthy of a rotation spot anyway. We've got 3 starters on the way out and none of the top ceiling prospects in the farm will be available (Hill, Soto, Quick) will be MLB ready next year. With Rojas unable to throw strikes, Matthews wallowing in problems trying to develop a functional sinker and Morris questionable in regard to talent level, Festa is best tried back in the rotation.
  13. bean5302
    Roden out for at least a month, torn labrum in shoulder. I would DFA Outman, DFA Clemens Call up Rodriguez and Schobel.
  14. bean5302
    He got tasked with learning the curveball this very spring. It'd be shocking if the pitch was already under control.
  15. bean5302
    It was theoretically impossible for a human being standing where Wallner was standing the moment the ball went off the bat to catch the ball. Savant said this was a 10% of the time catch (for anybody, not just Buxton) and shows it on his fielding map https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/sporty-videos?playId=336f5c50-bf81-3d94-a06b-3bd5852988ad If you're saying Wallner made it look close, that just says Wallner truly made an elite effort to field that ball. Wallner apparently with an effort so great it makes Byron Buxton look like Brent Rooker.
  16. bean5302
    It was not even recorded as a possible attempt for any fielder in the game by Baseball Savant. It was so far out of the realm of possibility it's not even in consideration for the potential a fielder could have made a play on it.
  17. bean5302
    As I suspected. This hit doesn't even show up on Matt Wallner's potential grid of plays. There was no chance of catching the ball. Juan Soto's line out shows up at 22ft, 3.4 seconds on the grid so it's up to date.
  18. bean5302
    .750 expected batting average on that ball. I don't see Byron Buxton making a play on that if Buxton was in RF, but Savant will update with the expected catch percentage tomorrow. Then again, low hanging fruit. Wallner is going to take heat on any and every play he doesn't make at this point. Upper deck home run? Do you even jump, bruh? lol
  19. bean5302
    Blyleven - practically everything for a multi-year qualified Twins starter. All of these are practically untouchable.
  20. bean5302
    As of 2025, players on the active rosters (26 man) born outside the United States. United States excludes territories. The percentage of non-US states born players dropped to the lowest since 2014 this year down to 26%. https://www.mlb.com/press-release/press-release-opening-day-rosters-feature-265-internationally-born-players
  21. bean5302
    Scouting reports get out when pitchers add new pitches. Joe Ryan has seen a number of changes to his arsenal over the years which were initially successful and later got hit hard as scouting reports caught up. SWR's stuff doesn't grade out well in terms of Stuff+ or PitchingBot. It's not surprising hitters have figued it out now that they know what to look for.
  22. bean5302
    @tarheeltwinsfan@JADBP @JD-TWINS Across all outfielder who played MLB and had at least 600 plate appearances from 2023-2025, ranked by wRC+ (offensive runs created), but will also likely align closely with OPS+ in case you like that metric better.
  23. bean5302
    Jenkins is hitting balls pretty hard, but he's driving them into the ground. He's over a 50% grounder rate with low line drive rates which is why his production stats are rough. Like others, I'm hoping he starts getting a little more under the ball to generate some line drives and quality fly balls instead of the infield choppers.
  24. bean5302
    Super oversimplified: This is DRS, except there are 100s of lines instead of a few. So many lines that there are zero balls in play which land in areas in like a full season so it's prone to wild overcompensation. Especially if a fielder makes a play in an area well outside expected or misplays balls which should be easy. It's just like UZR except UZR has fewer lines and doesn't have "unlimited" multipliers like DRS. So if a player makes a great play with UZR, it doesn't influence their fielding score as wildly. This is OAA. No matter how bad the positioning of the fielder, it cares about how far away the ball was hit. A fielder who positions themselves well doesn't get credit for the plays they made because they didn't have to move.
  25. bean5302
    From 2023-2025 Wallner is the 7th best hitting outfielder in the entire game with 600+ PAs. Just behind Mookie Betts and a few spots ahead of Byron Buxton. Ditching him after 82 PA is too premature to be rational.
×
×
  • Create New...