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bean5302

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Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    He totally gave away the pitches, but there was no evidence he was trying to "fix" the game is basically what this amounts to. From an umpire's perspective, it may have been psychological. I wonder how often a catcher says something similar to Bull Durham "hey, how about we try something different like a fastball?" when they know a curve is coming? That said, the combination of what he did, his attitude, other comments, and the pitches which were actually thrown compelled opposing players to believe he was absolutely giving away pitches. Curveball next -> curveball Fastball next -> fastball Slider next -> slider Fastball next -> fastball is very different than Curveball next -> fastball Fastball next -> slider Fastball next -> fastball Slider next -> curveball
  2. bean5302
    Multiple players on the opposing team said he was giving the pitches away and Detroit's coaches informed Minnesota's coaches. The Twins felt there was enough to cut him almost immediately. The MLBPA front-ran the impending punishment and findings and cut a deal for a 1 year suspension.https://heavy.com/sports/mlb/chicago-cubs/joe-ryan-matt-shaw-trade-pitch/ https://www.baseballbiographies.com/prospect-derek-bender-reinstated-after-pitch-tipping-allegations/
  3. bean5302
    Because Parades isn't an MLB caliber pitcher. Not by a LONG shot.
  4. bean5302
    Yeah... Parades had a 4.87 K/9 last year. That's not playable. A 12.3% K rate and an 8.4% BB rate. He's MiLB roster filler. Unlikely he'd get claimed, and if he did, no loss. 5.26 xERA, 5.66 FIP, 5.46 xFIP, a 5.32 SIERA. Well below average stuff, mediocre location. But like every try hard nobody in the system, he has ardent fans convinced he's MLB material.
  5. bean5302
    46 guys on the 40 man right now. 4 potential free agents, but Zoll will bring back Bell so need to clear 3 spots. I would drop all 4 pending free agents. I would drop Banda, Parades and Sabato in a heartbeat. That would put Minnesota at 39.
  6. bean5302
    Random dude proposes ridiculous trade which the Twins would fall over themselves to accept. https://heavy.com/sports/mlb/chicago-cubs/joe-ryan-matt-shaw-trade-pitch/
  7. bean5302
    Ryan is worth what Simeon Woods Richardson, Zebby Matthews or Matt Wallner was last offseason. Are the Giants suitors? I'm sure they'd be interested in Ryan, but for the right price. I'd imagine we would get Jacob Bresnahan. Or a Joe Whitman + Matt Wilkinson or something like that. People thinking Joe Ryan is bringing back a top 100 prospect are in la-la land.
  8. bean5302
    Johan Santana's case is similar to Frank Viola's. Plenty of pitchers have been snubbed on a Cy Young or two. Especially pre 2000 where "win" totals were increasingly important. Perceived character flaws has also snubbed players, increasingly in modern times, where sound bites and clipped quotes from the internet are treated like the core character and principles for people. The comment about needing to know more on the allegation against Santana by Dave Brown disgusts me. Guilty until proven innocent in a manner accepted by everybody is disgusting because people want accusations to be true so they'll search for any reason to substantiate them. It's human nature and why the Constitution was designed to help people not be allowed to do that. Schilling is 100% politics. Turn around the subject of his statements to be similar to those made by more liberal folks and suddenly Schilling isn't scum, he's a moral beacon. i.e. Hillary should be buried under a jail vs. Trump should be buried under a jail. https://baseballhall.org/hall-of-fame/voting-rules-history CHARACTER, INTEGRITY AND SPORTSMANSHIP Implemented in 1945. Rule applies to how the game was played on the field, more so than character off the field.
  9. bean5302
    Probably no rule 5, and it's questionable to protect him, but honestly, Mercedes (#17 Twins MLB.com) is pretty similar to Akil Baddoo (#12 Twins MLB.com). Despite a long look in Cedar Rapids, Mercedes was below league average at the plate. It sure seems like Mercedes is far from MLB ready. Unlike Baddoo, who missed a ton of time with injury, Mercedes had a full season to perform and didn't set himself apart from the rest of the league and Mercedes is a year older. That said, the craptastic MiLB pitching and lousy pitcher development in baseball in general is pretty striking. Modern pitching development is just plain bad. These young prospects can't throw strikes to save their life. They're just throwers, and that's what teams are looking for. Throwers. 2019's a20 Baddoo line .214/.290/.393 OPS .683 was wRC+ 102. 2026's a21 Mercedes line .232/.320/.409 OPS .729 was wRC+ 88 2026 Yasser Mercedes a21 A+ vs. 2019 Akil Baddoo a20 A+
  10. bean5302
    I think everybody is banking on Houston being a very good shortstop, and he could provide value down the stretch. Do you think he'll. 1) be good enough at AAA to warrant a call up in 2 months. 2) hit well enough at MLB to provide that 3+ WAR full season value. 3) be so good, it's worth having a hole in the team's roster for 1/3 of the season?
  11. bean5302
    Sounds like results don't matter at all to a significant number of coaches. I think this is a major flaw in today's game. https://x.com/PitchingNinja/status/2077122540212793496/video/1
  12. bean5302
    people should just stop using bWAR for modern pitchers. It's an absolute garbage stat.
  13. bean5302
    I don't think it's reasonable to have Marek Houston in the plan at all for 2027. He performed okay at the plate in AA. wRC+ of 113 is barely good enough for a top prospect. I think he'll start 2027 at AAA, but expecting him being ready after 100-200 PA feels premature to me. I expect Houston will push Culpepper off SS if the Twins are ready to call Houston's number. If the Twins want to be competitive, they can't be playing with a handicap for two months out of the gate thinking Houston is going to "save" them. He's not likely going to be good enough to make that kind of impact. 2.5 WAR is treading water as a position player for a playoff team.
  14. bean5302
    Morris had a terrible time stranding runners last year, and while he was pretty average on getting hitters to chase outside the zone, there was too much contact outside that strike zone. Stuff+ suggests Morris has very good stuff with two plus pitches. The cutter a 55 grade and a 65 grade slider. Coupled with a solid fastball, and two other 50 grade offerings, on paper, Morris "should" be a stud. Thing is, he's never been a stud at AAA, either. In addition, it's not the sinker which saw poor results. It was the aforementioned slider, and his changeup got pounded. This may be the exact scenario Justin Verlander talked about when it comes to grading pitches. Coaches and Scouts getting way too confident in movement on paper rather than effectiveness in the field. Morris "should" have been better. Just like Ricky Nolasco "should" have been better. Time will tell if there's some opportunity for the results to start panning out.
  15. bean5302
    That's worth $7MM according to the guys supporting Bailey Ober in the bullpen, haha. Honestly, Rogers had a significant change in results last year. He went from a GB pitcher to a FB pitcher and the pop up rate dropped as a percentage of those fly balls. That's because of a new cutter he was throwing instead of the sinker. He was effective enough, but he wasn't getting nearly enough swing and miss outside the zone. I think he did enough to get himself another $2MM one year deal, and the Twins certainly need the depth, but it's tough to say.
  16. bean5302
    Shaw is coming off back to back productive seasons, and last year his bat improved to wRC+ 106 OPS .737. He didn't have a good spot in the lineup last year with Swanson and Hoerner both hitting nearly 700 PA (note to Twins, you don't need 2-3 days off a week to remain productive). Shaw is probably a 3 WAR full season player at 2B at this point and he's pre-arb. That's going to be a very expensive target. I don't know what the Twins can dangle on that that the Cubs want. Maybe Marek Houston.
  17. bean5302
    The main problem for the Twins persists. Falvey and his legacy. The front office has been an utter failure in terms of results. The fact Zoll is here makes my hope for the Twins drop by at least 75%.
  18. bean5302
    Yeah, since Prielipp had a UCL tear 3.5 years ago, he's super question mark. Meanwhile, he just pitched as many innings as Joe Ryan and hasn't had any significant injury since his UCL tear to start 2023. Abel is definitely an injury risk. Can't seem to get over 80-110 innings or so, year after year.
  19. bean5302
    Royce Lewis can't be expected to contribute any more than Matt Wallner can at this point, but Lewis' point from 2024 stands true today as it did then. The guys making the money need to step up, not the pre-arbs or rookies. Byron Buxton. Joe Ryan. Pablo Lopez. Bailey Ober. Dean Kremer. Victor Caratini. If the Twins don't get good production from the bigger paycheck guys, they're not going anywhere. Oh, and some free agents or trade guys.
  20. bean5302
    That's called Americans getting fat and justifying it. Any significant weight gain due to "filling out" as they age is a myth after 20. Jenkins probably gained 10+ pounds just by not being a competitive swimmer already. He doesn't need to fill out and he shouldn't fill out.
  21. bean5302
    Why would he add muscle? He was an elite athlete in high school swimming. Is it his duty to get "bulk"? I mean, it seems to be the going philosophy in baseball where these younger guys are trying to be all BEEFCAKE!!!!! But the mass doesn't help in any way for a baseball player. In football or hockey? Sure. You need to be able to absorb impact and push people around. In baseball, totally worthless. Just adds mass to move, not strength. Jenkins should be more than familiar with that concept as a swimmer. The goal is strength and endurance, not empty bulk. Aside from that, I think you're totally right about his limitations for CF. Unless Jenkins devotes himself to improving his sprinting speed, he's not fast enough to be good in CF. Given his lengthy history of losing half the season with hamstrings and twisted ankles out of the gate, I can't imagine the Twins are encouraging that.
  22. bean5302
    Not sure how he'll pace himself when the Twins need a guy to make 10 starts in a row at 3 innings before they'll let the pitcher go more than 60 pitches. The Twins absolutely ruin their prospects with their outdated, demented use theories. Rojas' highest pitch totals of the year was 65 pitches (maximum eye roll possible... so hard my optic nerves are shrieking). Beyond the the danger of a pitcher suddenly going from throwing 50 pitches to 90 pitches, the Twins are severely hampering Rojas' opportunity get more command by limiting his experience. He's going to need to throw strikes to be successful. Artificially reducing his pitch count by 30-40% doesn't help him learn.
  23. bean5302
    Margot 27.5ft/sec Jenkins 27.7ft/sec You're wrong.
  24. bean5302
    Really tough to imagine a way he can get back on track with almost nothing to build on. He tries to throw 4 pitches, but more BBs than Ks at this stage of development while simultaneously getting hit hard says a lot. He'll be 24 next year and it looks like the Twins converted him to a bullpen role at the end of the season. The scouting on his stuff is a little mixed, and fastballs seem to be dramatically overrated based purely on velo. The rest of the arsenal doesn't grade as well. Unfortunately, more talented and seasoned hitters aren't fooled at all. High K's and high BB's are one thing. That says there's hope it's just location. Low K's and high BB's says the pitches are easy to read, and that's doubly the case when hitters are teeing off on the stuff he leaves in the zone with 46 hits allowed in just 40.2 innings. Maybe dropping a pitch or two and leaning into even more velo in 1.0 inning outings will see improvement.
  25. bean5302
    Rays rotation leaders 2020+ Shane McClanahan - drafted/developed Blake Snell - drafted/developed Taj Bradley - drafted/developed Shane Baz - trade/developed from rookie ball Ryan Pepiot - trade Zach Eflin - trade Drew Rasmussen - trade Tyler Glasnow - trade Jeffrey Springs - trade Zack Littell - waiver claim Nick Martinez - free agent Corey Kluber - free agent Michael Wacha - free agent
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