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bean5302

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Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    It's a pretty direct analogy to your argument that the objective of the trade should not be taken into context.
  2. bean5302
    What you're advocating is trading for things which add no value and fill no need. You need to get to the airport to catch your flight. Instead of calling an Uber to bring you to the airport, you request an Uber to bring you a sandwich. The sandwich was tasty. You miss your flight. In your world, the sandwich was a good trade.
  3. bean5302
    I honestly see no point to this. When the first guy on the list is a 95% or better to not do what you're proposing, it makes it even less valuable. But, sure, if you're Derek Falvey, this is a pretty reasonable roster.
  4. bean5302
    Can't grade the individual components without the objective. At the time I was convinced the Twins needed to acquire a playoff caliber rotation arm, and probably needed a RH bat. Got neither. It was a half effort and the Twins didn't make the playoffs. Is what it is. An F. Either go all in or don't waste resources. Tom Pohlad said he's a decisive owner. Zoll's changes were not decisive, they were fairly leveraged.
  5. bean5302
    First at bat of the game he struck out. 50% Chase rate. Belt high fastball down the middle. Stared at a near middle-middle fastball, then fouled off a meatball and GIDP on a curve left hanging.
  6. bean5302
    Productive? He got RBIs when games were already decided so I guess there's that. Otherwise, he was a league average hitting position player signed to play 1B, but he was unsurprisingly so poor at covering the position he was moved to DH. A lot of fans argue the RBI. Okay. Then we're on the WPA train (Win Probability Added) which determines, over the course of the year, how much of the time Bell's production added directly to a win or detracted from it. -0.70 on the year. An average hitter would have netted the Twins 1 more "W" in the column vs. Bell. Otherwise, you can argue the overall stat line which ended in a little above league average wRC+ 108.
  7. bean5302
    Absolutely zero chance either passes through waivers if the Twins DFA/release them.
  8. bean5302
    Neither player has any leverage. Neither player has a good fit on the team next year.
  9. bean5302
    Lewis has been very bad. I think folks are right that Lewis is totally checked out. I'd be surprised to see him on the Twins next year. Both Lewis and Wallner are likely to ask for a trade I'd imagine. .190/.225/.256 OPS .481 wRC+ 31.
  10. bean5302
    I guess this is an opportunity to give guys a chance to step up to the plate in the big show for the sake of memories or something.
  11. bean5302
    Gomez is middle reliever innings eater. A guy who fills out your bullpen. Not a guy who is expected to have a lead role. Career 4.68 ERA, 4.91 FIP, 5.07 xFIP. 2026 4.48 ERA, 4.54 FIP, 5.22 xFIP. Passable K rate, exceptionally high walk rate, no ground balls. It's possible Gomez could learn how to throw strikes at age 27 next year, and Stuff+ says his offerings are good. Some of the worst control in MLB.
  12. bean5302
  13. bean5302
    Sano reported to camp over 300lbs in 2018. Then they had a point where they had to sent him to Ft. Myers in 2022 because he'd sat on the sofa eating during an extended IL stint in and he wasn't in game ready shape. I believe he was 280lbs when he was playing RF, and that's when his legs broke (stress reaction is microfractures in the tibia) from running on them. At one point, it looks like he'd ballooned up to 330lbs. https://www.minnesotasportsfan.com/minnesota-twins/miguel-sano-claims-he-lost-58-pounds-current-weight-is-272/ Honestly, his ideal playing weight was probably 225ish, but he was very solid at 3B early when he was 235. Keep in mind, Sano was something like 185 at like 18.
  14. bean5302
    Larnach coming back turned out okay on paper, but it created problems with roster logjams that negatively impacted the team. Bringing Larnach back and signing Bell were both bad decisions. Neither was needed and neither was a significant contributor to the future. Results-wise, Larnach was fine. Fangraphs and Baseball Reference have a wildly different view of Larnach this year despite both of them calculating him as a terrible defender. Fangraphs at 2.2 and BRef at 1.4.
  15. bean5302
    You mean the middle reliever who couldn't make it as a starter because he got hit hard and often? He changed this approach, increased his velocity and had a new team and pitching coach. 2026 Varland is not 2025 Varland. Aside from that, this 2026 Varland probably never exists if he stayed with the Twins. At the time Varland was traded, he wasn't that good. He owned a 4.94 ERA as a reliever for Toronto last year.
  16. bean5302
    Rodriguez only has 28 PA under his belt. Definitely need to grow those as fast as possible to get any meaningful sample size. If Rodriguez can get up close to 100 PA, I'd really like to see the BB rate at 10%+ and the K rate at less than 35%, the O-swing rate at less than 30% and the swinging strike rate at 15% or under. We're not going to get truly meaningful data on him, but I'd like at least a hint. Emma is very similar to Sano in a lot of ways. Historically, he's pretty patient and has some knowledge of the strike zone, but his swing is extremely fast and he has limited ability to adjust which means his contact rates are poor. Swinging at too many pitches outside the zone will be a career ender for him because it's already hard to make contact on pitches like that.
  17. bean5302
    Sano ate his way off the field. If he had stayed a reasonable weight, he would have been a high value 3B not entirely dependent on his bat.
  18. bean5302
    I feel like you have no idea what a rebuild or fire sale looks like. The only significant asset the Twins moved was Duran. Twins fans have been coddled in this market featuring the only team in the AL Central which has never walked out a sub-$100MM payroll during the Falvey era.
  19. bean5302
    It's 5 starts. The sample size is significant enough to warrant optimism. How about we go over his past 11 starts where he owns a 3.78 xERA, 3.84 FIP and 3.51 xFIP on the back of a 25.7% K rate and 7.1% BB rate?
  20. bean5302
    Probably a good opportunity for Rogers to try and bring back his curve. His stuff is grading out well enough, though. It's his location which stinks. Maybe he's got a mechanical issue or something he's been ignoring as a vet?
  21. bean5302
    Gomez's inability to throw strikes or get grounds balls is finally catching up to him. Think I saw an article here just the other day talking about him anchoring next year's late inning bullpen, but I sure hope not.
  22. bean5302
    My point is Tom Pohlad has his own responsibilities, but choosing which players are on the roster isn't one of them unless his direct comments in regard to making roster decisions are to be ignored. Pohlad may not have provided an expansive budget the moment he walked into the job; however, the front office is free to use that budget any way they see fit. While Tom Pohlad may have set the expectation the team would compete, that did not preclude trading Ryan and or Lopez if the front office could justify the moves through free agent signings and trading for other assets.
  23. bean5302
    I think the Twins are in the middle of a total rebuild and haven't even recognized it.
  24. bean5302
    Why there should be some concerns about Lopez. K rate is rapidly declining which, in combination with his waning ability to generate ground balls means his xFIP is increasing. Furthermore, his xERA is skyrocketing because he's being hit harder and squarer than he was. On top of that, he's now going to be age 31 coming off a major elbow surgery, and 2025 was a season where he had a shoulder muscle strain along with missed time for a hamstring and then the forearm issue that ended his season 2025. Lopez looks like a pitcher who is in significant decline both in terms of stuff and health.
  25. bean5302
    Yeah, he's doing a terrible job cleaning the bathrooms in Target Field, too. Also, I'm shocked he approved Byron Buxton's surgery and IL placement. Guess his last examination must have really been rough.
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