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bean5302

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Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    Bradley needed a wake up call. He wasn't coachable in Tampa. Getting traded to the Twins opened his eyes on his future in a hurry. It wasn't that Bradley's stuff needed unlocking, his attention to detail and planning needed effort. SWR is another example. He didn't start really working at it until it looked like his career was coming to an end after 2023.
  2. bean5302
    Festa, Canterino and Soto will all win the Cy Young next year.
  3. bean5302
    We have Kremer under team control. He's arbitration eligible. Same situation as Ober. I think one of the two is fine for the back end of the rotation, but I definitely don't want both. Some on the board feel like Ober should move to the bullpen, but I don't think he's worth $7MM in the 'pen. Bottom line is both Kremer and Ober are teetering on the edge of serviceable at this point. One small step backwards and they're guys you don't want pitching for you. They don't have options. They're not cheap (average MLB salary is $5MM), and both Kremer and Ober are over that figure for next year at about $7MM each.
  4. bean5302
    Well, yeah. Lee was absolutely terrible at shortstop. Jenkins can't cover CF adequately with his speed, but it's not like he'll be the worst center fielder in the game because his range is poor for the position. If you didn't like Manny Margot's performance in center (no, Twins Daily, it's not spelled "centre" we don't live in England) field for the Twins, you won't like Jenkins' performance there, either. They'll play about the same.
  5. bean5302
    Jenkins is a 50 grade runner. He can't cover CF effectively. It's like Brooks Lee at SS. Rodriguez is a 60 grade runner. He might be able to cover CF. Lee can't cover SS to save his life.
  6. bean5302
    I think he's "likely" to turn it down. Jeffers will probably get 3-4 years (probably 4) at a similar AAV to Contreras. 3/50 to 4/65 or something. 1yr $23MM will look good, but he's a 30 year old catcher. Tons of risk in that for him to accept a 1 year contract. He's one bad year away from a 1-2 year deal at $8-10MM per year or one nasty injury away from getting nothing.
  7. bean5302
    Exactly what I was going to comment, though we'll probably do this now, right? Pick up Bells' option and add another medium/high floor guy with no ceiling to further the logjam.
  8. bean5302
    The moment the team extends the qualifying offer, the player has to choose to accept or decline it. They player has 15 days to decide, but there is no option to ignore it and sign elsewhere. The player can negotiate with other teams during the 15 days while the player decides to gauge their market value, but in order to sign elsewhere, the player must decline the qualifying offer.
  9. bean5302
    Grand total 0.86 WAR for the entire team. Tells me that umpires are a heck of a lot better than what they get credit for, and over the course of a season, even the best teams at challenging can't turn it into a single extra win. Still, I like the current challenge system. It adds a good layer to the game and keeps fans entertained without being too oppressive.
  10. bean5302
    Asking me to read the comments as if repeating your exact position without reading mine has value. Version 1) Tom Pohlad calls the shots at the deadline and Jeremy Zoll is just getting the coffee. Result. Zoll is a terrible GM because he was unable to present a vision or strategy or in any meaningful way contribute to the ownership strategy. i.e. why didn't Zoll get the guys that were truly needed to carry out an attempt to be competitive in the playoffs? Why did Zoll stand pat after being given the reins in January? The Twins needed more than just bullpen reinforcements and a #5-6 starter you definitely wouldn't want on the mound come playoff time. Version 2) Jeremy Zoll called the shots. Result. Zoll is a terrible GM because he didn't make good decisions all year long. It doesn't matter if Tom told Zoll his job was scrubbing toilets and that every single significant decision being made was going to be made by Tom.
  11. bean5302
    I agree with Prielipp. Culpepper still has his rookie status.
  12. bean5302
    Oh, so you're implying Tom Pohlad was possibly making all the roster decisions? I don't care. It's STILL Zoll's responsibility. If Zoll is unable to do his job because he's too meek or Pohlad is too overbearing, it doesn't change anything. Zoll is still not a good GM. The end result is the same. Perhaps that's something you don't understand? It doesn't matter what scenario you're handed by executive leadership. A GM is an executive role, and if the GM is unable to sell a vision or plan to the owners, then the GM is not going to be successful. All the more reason to fire Zoll and put you or me or some homeless guy off the street in charge and save some money.
  13. bean5302
    Yep. The Twins are wasting their resources as per standard. Either he's a starter or he's not. Twins... "let me take 10 years to figure that out."
  14. bean5302
    The QO, if we make it to Ryan Jeffers, will "probably" be declined by Jeffers. It's certainly an overpay for 1 year of his service. The Twins would be better off giving Jeffers a 3-4 year deal if it came without a NTC.
  15. bean5302
    You should definitely apply to Fangraphs and ESPN. You're clearly more knowledgeable than their entire staff of professionals. Maybe throw your hat into any open GM positions around the league. I'm sure you'd solve their problems.
  16. bean5302
    Year 3 in MiLB. 60 innings. College pitchers throw way, way more than that. There are reasons to be optimistic about Bohorquez, but he's not underrated.
  17. bean5302
    Agreed that Bradley is the winner hands down. Joe Ryan - Yeah, except how every single year after the All Star Break he's barely adequate as a rotation option. He was healthy and he pitched pretty poorly. After the All Star Break. 2022 - 4.14 ERA, 2023 - 6.09 ERA, 2024 - 3.98 ERA, 2025 - 4.67 ERA, 2026 - 6.82 ERA
  18. bean5302
    The GM is responsible for roster decisions. PERIOD. I know who is responsible. Here's a job description for the role. https://jobdescription.org/jobs/sports/mlb-general-manager The GM can solicit the homeless guy on the corner for advice if he wants, but the GM is accountable for the decision and the input he solicits and values. Passing the buck along isn't going to fly with me.
  19. bean5302
    So after 5 years of being an assistant GM, 1.5 years of being the actual GM, Zoll had no opinions of his own because Falvey made the final calls? Zoll wasn't a scout or an administrative assistant who was handed the GM keys out of the blue. He had nearly 7 years to prepare for the role.
  20. bean5302
    Worst division winner 2017+ 2017 - NL Central - Chicago Cubs 92 wins 2018* - NL East - Atlanta Braves 90 wins 2019 - NL Central - St. Louis Cardinals 91 wins 2020 2021* - NL East - Atlanta Braves 88 wins 2022 - AL Central - Cleveland Guardians 92 wins 2023 - AL Central - Minnesota Twins 87 wins 2024* - AL West - Houston Astros 88 wins 2025 - AL Central - Cleveland Guardians 88 wins 2026* - AL West - Houston Astros 81 wins *AL Central was 2nd worst in MLB. For 6 consecutive years, the AL Central featured the weakest division winner or 2nd weakest division winner in baseball. The Twins would be losing 100 games a year in a good division.
  21. bean5302
    The team won 77 games. 2021 = 73 wins (missed playoffs) 2022 = 78 wins (missed playoffs) 2023 = 87 wins 2024 = 82 wins (missed playoffs) 2025 = 70 wins (missed playoffs) 2026 = 77 wins (missed playoffs) But good news, if Falzoll history is any indication, you'll get your wish to roll the same team out and stand pat. Seems like the strategy is working well in the worst division in baseball over the past decade.
  22. bean5302
    Honestly, Culpepper had a much more impressive season than Jenkins as well. This is really a Culpepper vs. Houston argument.
  23. bean5302
    Zoll took over with a directive from ownership to be competitive. Zoll did.... nothing before the start of the year. The fact Zoll rolled the same roster out and made no moves is on him. Opening day 2026 for the Twins was a projected 78 win team, not 73 wins. He had months to make changes before the start of the season to turn that 73 win projection into a better situation. Not addressing the bullpen before the beginning of the season is on him. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/fangraphs-power-rankings-opening-day-2026-no-1-18/ ESPN, same thing. https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/48287373/opening-day-2026-mlb-season-preview-rankings-every-team-playoff-odds-world-series-chances#min So no... the Twins didn't outperform. Beyond that... Carrying James Outman half the year is on him. Bizarre Alex Jackson roster moves is on him. Not committing to an approach at the deadline? Not addressing the rotation needs? It's on Zoll. Redundant roster issues after the deadline? Still present because Zoll apparently couldn't juggle his responsibilities and forgot about those. He needs more experience? Guess 6 years learning the role isn't enough. Zoll's been assistant GM since being promoted after the 2019 season. He's Falvey 2.0, only probably even more passive (worse).
  24. bean5302
    OPS is nonsense? Added OPS to dashboard. YES. MLB has a problem with reliable players in general. These guys are constantly hurt now. 150 games is like epic... 1B isn't an exception. Platoon garbage is impacting the plate appearances too. It used to be 90 wins gets you to the playoffs, but now it's more like 88ish. A AAA replacement level team is expected to win about 45 games which means a playoff caliber team needs to find 43 wins or 43 WAR. Starting position players = 2.5+ Starting pitchers = 2.5+ Bench position players = 1.0+ Bullpen arms = 0.5+ That gets you 43 wins. If your starting position player isn't going to get you at least 2.0 WAR, and you're a competent GM, you're absolutely looking to upgrade. Take a look at WAR last year. Notice that every single 1B with enough production that their current team wouldn't be looking to improve has an OPS of .797 (800) or higher. An OPS of .742 (750) with elite defense can get you close enough-ish. Any starting position player who isn't contributing at least 2.0 WAR, preferably 2.5 is a boat anchor on your team making the playoffs.
  25. bean5302
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