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bean5302 last won the day on February 20

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  1. I have a season ticket package and I've been disappointed with attendance as well. Attendance across MLB has been pretty poor this year, and I'm sure that has been fueled by season ticket holders letting their tickets go. The Twins actually have an automatic renewal system for season tickets now. The weather in April really was horrible. I mean that. Horrible. It was one of the coldest and windiest Aprils in Minnesota history. That's a fact. What's also true is it was universally terrible. Almost every single day in April was cold and windy and that is really unusual. Normally, "coldest April in <insert span of time>" has to do with 2 weeks of brutal cold and snow followed by two weeks of normal to above. That wasn't the case this year. It's been just a nasty experience. That said, my seasons have seen multiple days where the weather was good and attendance has been universally awful regardless of whether or not it was nice out or even a weekend. MLB attendance looks to be down about 10-20% from 2019 so far. Concessions... I don't think this is really a big issue. A (big) burger and fries basket from Hennepin Grill is $15. $13.50 with the season ticket holder discount. Not sure if anybody has been to a restaurant lately, but that's not terrible. A burger and fries at Five Guys is more. Is Five Guys better? Sure, but the Hennepin Grill burger is solid. For real. I've had a lot of other food items as well. It's just not that much more than other places. Big Dog with chips? $7.50 ($6.75 for season ticket holders). A craft draft beer like Bent Paddle's Cold Press Black Ale is $13 ($11.80 for season ticket holders). In a pub, near Target Field, expect it to set you back $9-10+. Concessions have always been more at games than in breweries. I think prices for concessions this year are closer to other establishments than they have been. Side note, Twins Pay was a colossal failure out of the gate. The menu system and scanners were largely non-functional, though things have gotten much better. That said, lots of people were severely PO'ed. There are special discounts like the family 4 pack as well. Transportation/Parking... I think it's actually cheaper than it used to be? $12 for the ABC ramps. Unfortunately, there are fewer good mass transit options than there used to be. Some of that has to do with the delayed/questionable season start and honestly, a lot of people don't want to wear masks, etc so no metro transit for them for the first 3 weeks of the season. There is NO Northstar this year. There is NO MTC Twins Express Bus this year. I remember taking packed Twins express busses in years past and I think the Northstar was pretty packed as well for Twins games? Ticket prices. I didn't look around at prices too much because I knew what seats I wanted. Ticket prices are up about 20% since 2012 or so (2.2% annually). I think it would have been smart for MLB clubs (like the Twins) to make tickets cheaper in general considering the fanbase's cold feelings at the moment, but I've noticed a lot of spam regarding steeply discounted tickets for games in my email. Honestly, I don't think ticket prices themselves are exclusionary to attendance this year... but I expect the fees on top of fees on top of fees from service partners like Ticketmaster and Stubhub might be pushing people away. The fees are the biggest reason which pushed me into seasons for sure. After all, even if my tickets were like 20% under face, I'd pay more after checkout anyway. I see above 4 "Lower Level" seats cost $300. Single game tickets in lower level seats can be picked up below $40, even for premium games. Next game vs. Detroit? $19/ea+ fees for lower level seats in the Left Field Bleachers through Ticketmaster, $13/ea+ fees (row 2). Location. Yes. I do think this matters. People don't want to get shot. Minneapolis' reputation is utter and complete TRASH. People are scared of Minneapolis, and for good reason. I've been friends with people who've been event and service industry workers for many years and even they don't want to be in Minneapolis for work, including close to Target Field. They've been harassed, their co-workers held up at gunpoint, they've watched police presence vanish, it's much worse than it used to be. I have not personally witnessed anything untoward at Target Field or the immediate area, but the reputation and fallout from the last couple years is real. Apathy. I believe this is real. I think the season ticket holders and long time fans are the ones who are truly apathetic at this point. I think the lockout, the initial announcement of lost games, etc, had a powerful impact on the core fanbase. Maybe stronger than I thought it would. Furthermore, young adults DGAF about baseball and while MLB markets heavily, oh so heavily at children trying to grow the fanbase from a young age, children do not pay the bills. MLB has failed to turn those 5 year old fans getting a ball tossed to them or running the bases into a 15 or 25 year old fan willing to pay for a game. I see Cowboy Jack's rooftop spilling over before,, during, and after every single game and yet at least 1/2 the stadium remains totally empty... even on nice days... even on the weekends. I must admit... even I haven't been "following" the Twins or MLB as closely this year even though I'm a season ticket holder. There isn't a lot of excitement with my friends. There isn't any buzz around the sport. Somehow, that ramp up of Spring Training, etc, was probably far more important than I figured it would be. it all adds up to empty seats and a real issue for MLB. Saw somebody comment on "why does it matter?" No fans in the seats = dead sport at or away from the stadium with no team salary budget leading to uncompetitive or even no play. There were a group of Astros fans behind me at one of the Astros series games. I was a little embarrassed at how poor attendance was despite it being a beautiful night. The game day experience is impacted greatly based on attendance. For the opening few weeks, at least 1/2 of the vendors were closed. There are still quite a few stalls with metal doors down. It looks bad and feels gloomy which contributes to people being less enthusiastic to come back. A big crowd provides a lot of energy to the event and excites itself. My friend shared a photo of the Coliseum during the 7th inning out in Oakland the other night. It was seriously deflating. You could literally count the fans. If you want the best seat for the plays, watch it on TV. If you want the best seat for the game along with a memorable experience and excitement, you need to go to the stadium.
  2. In regard to this front office, previous front offices are obviously having an impact still, though it's waning quickly as we've now entered year 6 of the Falvey regime. We're starting to enter into the phase where previous regime draft picks have either made it to the big show or won't ever make it and contracts signed under previous regimes have long played out.
  3. Terrible free agent signings? Smith did a good job with a limited budget. A budget he elevated through the retention of key players who didn't make it to free agency like Mauer, Morneau, Cuddyer and Nathan. Smith brought in Orlando Hudson, Joe Crede, Jim Thome and Carl Pavano and all wound up being good free agent signings. The waterfall of trades wound up being pretty poor as Smith continued to lose ground with each step. It's not like all his trades were bad, though, or super impactful. Smith brought in Orlando Cabrera in 2009 which was a good move. Gomez for Hardy was a good trade. It was the Hardy for Hoey trade which was terrible, but as I recall, Gardy was a driving force on getting rid of Hardy. Capps for Ramos got the most vitriol, but Ramos never really amounted to anything due to injuries and Capps was very good down the stretch for the Twins in 2010 who were relying on the very shaky Jon Rauch to close games at the time. Honestly, the Capps for Ramos trade and the singular bad season in 2011 seemed to cement Twins fans' opinions on Smith who became the scapegoat for poor decisions by Ryan in 2012 and later.
  4. 27 plate appearances this season at MLB. Only 35 plate appearances at AAA and 258 plate appearances in his entire MLB career. I don't see Kirilloff as any more of a question mark now than he was at the beginning of last year. It is pretty clear he's struggling (pressing?). I feel like it would be worthwhile for him to spend a couple months in AAA to get things ironed out and build some confidence and the Twins certainly have the depth to move him there.
  5. I think it's unfair to make the assessment based on the "80+" grade power and annual 40-50 HR expectations baseball fans had of Sano in 2015. It's obvious he's a huge bust from that standpoint. Sano made it to MLB and posted a little positive value as an every day starter and even made an All Star Game in 2017. I certainly won't call that a bust. Apart from his rookie breakout in 2015, he's never posted better than scrub level WPA's though. I'd stand by Sano being an easy out when a team needs to get that out and I wouldn't consider Sano to be a boom, either. He's just a fringey MLB caliber guy.
  6. Celestino reminds me a bit of the veteran version of Denard Span after he lost a step. Quite frankly, I believe Celestino will be good enough to start every day and he may be able to cover center field more adequately than Kepler at this point. All that said, sample sizes this year are way too small to draw conclusions on whether or not Celestino and Larnach have adapted.
  7. Ryan wasn't hitting his spots and the Astros were patient enough at the plate. It was obvious to me (in attendance) the Astros had Ryan's number well enough. Verlander just seemed to know what the batter would struggle against all night. In the end, the Twins lost by 5 runs and didn't put a single hit on the board until the 8th inning. A handful of ball/strikes calls had little or nothing to do with the Twins losing.
  8. Gordon has 51 plate appearances this year and he's slumped a bit in the last few. His batted ball data shows his average exit velocity is solid and he's been very unlucky overall. Honestly, he just needs a much bigger sample size to judge. Gordon's ceiling at this point is probably MLB average hitter with a more likely expectation of well below average, but he provides the aforementioned defensive versatility. He's the prototypical utility player. A guy you can play every day for a couple weeks if you need to while another player is on the 10 day IL, but not somebody you'd want as a starter. There's a lot of value in those kinds of players because they're inexpensive, but don't come with the risk of an untested AAA replacement player. With Lewis off to such an inspiring start and the addition of Correa and Urshela this offseason, it's awfully crowded, but Gordon is a better fit in the traditional utility role than pretty much anybody else because of what he does (and doesn't) bring to the table.
  9. Winder has been everything I'd hoped he might be flashing the potential to be a top of the rotation arm, though he's been surprisingly more like a better version of Kyle Gibson than I expected, generating a lot of weak contact and tons of ground balls. Ryan and Ober (aside from the groin) have also had nice starts to the season. Ryan's results are fueled by luck so far with that .212 BABIP, 6.1% HR/FB rate and ridiculous 91% strand rate, but the xFIP still looks really nice at 3.70. Here's hoping no cracks in the armor will be exposed as the scouting reports grow. Ryan may well be better than I thought he could be. The biggest surprise for me, without a doubt though, is Jhoan Duran. After struggling greatly with granting the free pass in 3 of his past 4 stops in the minors and being hit hard in AAA last year, his results have been very stingy on walks so far. I honestly expected he'd be mashed like Thanksgiving taters. The underlying strike percent and first pitch strike rate suggest there's going to be some correction, but still a huge step forward imho. Glad to see the other prospects getting healthy and getting innings in.
  10. I feel pretty strongly you did not read the Judge's findings when she threw out the temporary restraining order against Bauer. In no uncertain terms the judge's findings vindicated Bauer while harshly criticizing the petitioner over and over. Those findings are not technically binding on a criminal investigation because the judge's findings in regard to a motion for protection are to establish whether or not the respondent represents an imminent threat to the petitioner, not necessarily to the validity of the all alleged criminal conduct outlined petitioner's complaint. Hearings for a motion for protection can enable a judge to grant nearly immediate protection to a potential victim while evidence is gathered during a criminal investigation. That said, again, the judge went out of her way to chastise the petitioner in the findings. A criminal investigation can continue while a search for more evidence continues and the police and DA undoubtedly turned over every rock like following up on the other case in Ohio, et cetera. Witness interviews and things like DNA testing can take several months after motions for protection might be heard. Likely the only chance for successful charging would have been to establish a credible witness who could establish a clear pattern of conduct to lend credibility to the accuser in San Diego because the woman in San Diego had no credibility left. It seems the DA was unable to establish such a witness. When DA's decline to charge, they do not say "so and so was clearly innocent" for legal reasons. Desperately clinging to the DA not going to extraordinary lengths to proclaim Bauer's innocence as a sign Bauer is actually guilty and should be punished anyway and despite a civil court's findings his accuser was not credible and the relationship was purely consensual is disgustingly vengeful and unreasonable.
  11. This is absolutely true. Just because something isn't illegal or there isn't any civil misconduct doesn't mean it's not prohibited or a problem for MLB. A player calling an umpire names on social media or in a post game presser is a good example. Bauer's unwillingness to mitigate business risk (for lack of a better term) and accept responsibility for his own brand and the MLB brand wound up being detrimental to MLB. I think the issue at play is whether or not the punishment is applied fairly and consistent with other players with similar situations. The following is a list of suspensions for domestic violence where the allegations were fully substantiated and players were convicted or admitted guilt. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Major_League_Baseball_players_suspended_for_domestic_violence Sam Dyson is possibly the most applicable here from MLB's perspective with his 162 game suspension before there were any finished civil or criminal findings against him; however, investigations into Dyson did lead to multiple extremely serious and varying charges last year. The evidence against Dyson is obviously far stronger than Bauer. The next longest suspension was Jose Torres who received a 100 game suspension. He plead guilty to assault in order to have 4 other charges dropped including assault with a deadly weapon. Obviously, a night and day difference from Bauer's case because there's a confirmed conviction here. Bauer's strongest argument could be Miguel Sano's lack of any suspension despite allegations of sexual assault, though that investigation was kept much quieter and out of the news than Bauer's situation where being in Los Angeles and his inability to keep his mouth shut clearly made everything a much worse from an MLB optics standpoint. Considering thorough civil and criminal investigations and legal processes have found no misconduct on Bauer's part, it's hard to see how MLB came up with 2 years... other than the fact it gets the Dodgers out of paying for the contract... which reeks of collusion. Comments which boil down to "Bauer's not very nice so why should anybody care if he's treated fairly or if powerful entities gather together to ruin his life for their convenience" don't sit well with me. They're the same type of arguments police often make when allegations of police brutality are brought against officers. "So and so wasn't a good guy, they have a conviction for such and such a crime" alluding to it being okay to beat them with a tire iron for an allegedly burned out license plate light. The biggest reason to care is the precedent it sets for when a powerful entity decides they don't like you or somebody you care about.
  12. Just a nitpick. Bauer was cleared of wrongdoing in a CIVIL COURT where the evidentiary requirement is preponderance of the evidence, not beyond a reasonable doubt. Motions for protection (restraining orders) are civil in nature, not criminal, but the judge in that case stepped well outside of the required ruling and made remarkable statements in her findings that the acts were consensual in nature, that the woman's claims of injury did not match the findings of medical doctors and that the woman pursued Bauer, not vice versa. https://thesource.com/2021/08/26/source-sports-trevor-bauers-sexual-assault-accuser-denied-restraining-order-judge-finds-encounters-consensual/ The outcome of the LA district attorney's office not filing charges was virtually guaranteed unless they were unable to uncover credible evidence, and after months of investigating there was apparently no new evidence warranting charges. If you believe the DA's office didn't turn over every rock and shine a light into any closet they could find, especially other accusations, you're naive. Nothing would be more powerful in court than accounts from multiple women, regardless of truth and the DA's office undoubtedly scrutinized the Ohio temporary restraining order in addition to requesting to interview the petitioner in that case as well. I believe the only reason the DA's office wouldn't pursue a high profile case like this one where there were at least two multi-billion dollar corporations (Los Angeles Dodgers and MLB) pushing for charges, regardless of whether or not it could prove guilt, is there was so little evidence they couldn't survive a motion to dismiss before trial. MLB has a lot of protections against being sued. The Los Angeles District Attorney's office isn't so lucky. The accusations against Bauer have proven utterly baseless in both civil (preponderance of evidence) and criminal court. That should mean something. The kind of acts alluded to suggest Bauer and the women he "dates" may have a couple screws loose, making the false accusations all the more likely in my opinion. Then again, I know utterly nothing about that world even if I understand it exists. Haven't read them, but I have heard of the "red room of pain" (which does make me laugh at the stupidity of the concept) and 50 Shades of Grey series sold 35 million copies. Mind boggling to me. To each their own.
  13. I'd be surprised if the Twins weren't shopping Larnach, Rooker and Sano. As far as pitching is concerned, I'd be more inclined to believe the Twins expect to be able to make a waiver claim yet this spring.
  14. Yes. It's exactly the same general concept as fans cheering for fights in hockey, which I dislike... yet it's extremely popular. Though there is an enormous difference between a physical fist fight which can end careers and cause serious injury or death and a manager kicking dirt over a plate or offering to buy an umpire a lifetime subscription to Lens Crafters. A manager arguing balls and strikes amps up the crowd and the team. It's a fact and it's often considered an endearing trait for a manager. Fan and crowd engagement is important. Regardless of what a few people on this board like, the manager getting tossed or the crowd commiserating together over a bad call is fan engagement and baseball desperately needs more fan engagement.
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