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bean5302

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bean5302 last won the day on March 21

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  1. Most of the ranking falls within reason to me. Except Emma (who I wouldn't have in the top 10). Gabriel Gonzalez is probably not a top 20 prospect and Young is a non-prospect (not top 40), IMHO.
  2. Zebby seems to profile very similarly to Louie Varland, IMHO. His overall profile seems to suggest a bullpen conversion is in his best interest. Adding a little velo gives hitters less time to identify mistakes and can open the door to dropping his worst pitches or developing a plus pitch to use as a weapon. Doesn't miss enough bats as a starter Works in the zone too much because of a mediocre chase rate Too much hard contact Largely below average stuff across the board No plus pitches Mediocre command I'd disagree with the original article's assertion that Zebby was ever considered a master of command. I recall scouting reports saying he was more control than command.
  3. Lee will be out of baseball in a couple years. It's nice that he's having his very own Danny Santana one year breakthrough, but eventually, the regression will happen. The Twins certainly need all the help they can get so I'm glad Brooks is rolling a lot of doubles, but only a couple times in a row, and avoiding all the hotels on Boardwalk.
  4. Keaschall has always been scouted as a "DH" with no defensive home as far as I recall. The Twins decided defense doesn't matter. But, as a TD Hype Machine favorite, Keaschall is beyond reproach.
  5. Age is not nearly as relevant as years of experience in the minors at this point. This is Jenkins' 4th year in professional baseball. If he doesn't make it to the Twins this year, he'll officially be "slow" to get to MLB despite being the #5 overall pick. That's as pedestrian as his performance vs. other players in his league in the minors. Also, I'm not nearly as concerned with how old Walker Jenkins is vs. how will he perform as a professional baseball player in the future. Right now, today, if he were promoted to MLB, it's reasonable to expect Jenkins to perform similarly to how Austin Martin has over this year.
  6. Given the current CBA/history, and given Joe Ryan will hit free agency for his age 32+ seasons, I can't see any team going to 6 on him. I think 5 is probably a stretch. Snell only got 5 at age 32 after winning 2 Cy Youngs. That Snell contract has aged... very poorly so far.
  7. Mechanics, mechanics, mechanics. That's clearly Rojas' issue, and that's where poor command comes from. Until he has more command of his pitches, it's hard to tell how good his stuff really is.
  8. I would bet Ryan is in line for a Berrios-light contract due to his age. Shorter terms, similar AAV. Like 4-5 years $80-100MM.
  9. 1st half vs. 2nd half Joe Ryan ERA 2022 - 2.99 vs 4.14 2023 - 3.70 vs 6.09 2024 - 3.53 vs 3.98 (only 4 starts) 2025 - 2.72 vs 4.67 2026 - 2.85 vs 18.00 Signing Ryan based on his mid season form is nutso, IMHO. Ryan has never had a good 2nd half in his career.
  10. Yeah, 7 $210MM for a guy who is a 3 WAR starter still under team control and hitting 30 is absolute insanity. I haven't seen that, though?
  11. Oh, I think Zoll seems incompetent. That said, Tom is not qualified to make roster decisions and I don't want him making roster decisions because the track record on owners calling the shots is disastrous. I want the people who are supposed to do their jobs to do their jobs and be held accountable or rewarded. i.e. I don't want Tom Pohlad pitching out of a the bullpen because bullpen arms are bad, either.
  12. Tough to say what the Twins are expecting on Sands. He's sitting at 93-94mph instead of the 95-96mph from the previous 2 years. Kinda more like he was initially. If he's feeling good, the Twins are going to need to use an option to keep him in AAA or recall him in the relative near future. Pitchers max out at 30 days on the rehab list, but once a player is healthy, you can't keep them there for performance issues. He's made 4 appearances for 5 innings pitched in the past 11 days. I'd expect him to make one more appearance in a couple days after throwing 14 pitches yesterday, and if there aren't any health related issues, the Twins will need to make a call.
  13. Second year in professional baseball, at the lowest full season level, striking out nearly 45% of the time over 300 PA. There's no realistic path to improve to a projectable prospect. Pitchers don't hit any more, and haven't hit since like 1990 in any MiLB league, and pitcher would be the only position you could have that K rate at that level and be a prospect.
  14. Fly balls are literally bouncing off his glove in the outfield. That's beer league softball stuff for real. He has the wheels to get there, but knowing when to open and close a glove? You learn that on the sand lots and fields with a tennis ball and a little league bat as a kid. I've seen guys with a major case of the yips and throwing issues. I can't ever remember seeing the kind of glove Luke Keaschall has at the MLB level.
  15. Mauer was an average runner to his age 30 season, maybe a bit above average. He was 2nd on the Twins in 2005 swiping 13 bags. I think it's as much precautionary (hey, do you want to risk an injury to arguably the best catcher (or potentially player) in all of baseball to try and steal 2B?) as it is Mauer's athleticism. I would expect the Twins would be careful with Lackey on the base paths as well, even if he DOES have the athleticism. The writer is correct. Lackey's profile doesn't look anything like Mauer's. Mauer was a first ballot hall of famer and one of the greatest catchers of all time. Probably in the top 5 in his prime, and debatably one of the 3 greatest in MLB history given the context of eras behind Carter and Bench. In terms of peak production value, Mauer exceeds Yogi Berra and is just behind PED era players Piazza and Pudge. A 2-3 WAR Starting catcher would be an outstanding result for Lackey. Anything above that is gravy.
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