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nova_twins

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  1. I would just add to the pitching staff and not deal away anyone, unless an org made a crazy offer for Jeffers. The value of prospects is not a big mystery, it can be put in financial terms. Fangraphs just had a big article with the latest numbers. Maybe $15-20 million for Jeffers, that's two solid but not elite prospects. Can someone explain to me like I'm 5 why saving the Pohlads $15-20 million that otherwise they have to sign in free agency someday is important? Like why do I need to support that instead of preferring to try to win?
  2. Kinda weird imo to take two right hand hitting catchers with the first two selections. They do seem to have some kind of long term interest in a utility role that includes 3rd catcher along with other positions so maybe he's an upgraded version of Ricardo Olivar.
  3. Letting Jeffers walk is totally fine, it's completely made up and inaccurate that grabbing a mediocre prospect or two actually matters at all.
  4. I'm baffled by how eager some are, Gleeman being a media example, to get Jenkins to the big leagues before he's shown he's ready. Closest comparison to my memory is Brooks Lee, but at least in that case it made sense from an age perspective. Started very slow in his MLB career though.
  5. The CBA looms large over the deadline. I don't think fans here or elsewhere are really factoring in how dramatically the proposed changes would impact roster construction. Overall I think clubs will be more cautious as a result, mostly sticking to deals around expiring contracts. I'm also way past the point of being interested in trading quality big leaguers for mediocre prospects. No one is going to offer enough for Ryan, for instance. Twins should trade Jeffers and add a couple relievers with low prospect cost and then see where MLB goes with the CBA.
  6. Among qualifiers, Houston is ~21st offensively in the Midwest league and 25% above average, really not great for a college first rounder. Generally that production at age 22 would point towards a utility role at best, but there's belief Houston is a late bloomer with significant upside remaining and of course the SS defense as a foundation.
  7. I don't think Houston has proven much offensively by doing OK at high A. He's maintained his prospect standing, which is good, and showing some positive signs, but there's no breakout yet and an MLB timeline is premature.
  8. All prospects are risky. The main risk, which is the problem for 99% of prospects that don't make it, is that they aren't good enough to succeed in MLB. Rodriguez may or may not be able to overcome his injury issues but I don't see any reason to "panic," as this is unfortunately nothing new for him.
  9. The bigger question with Lackey is whether he'll even be around at #3. If he is the Twins will take him. Not sure what happens if it's Emerson vs Flora, I'd assume Emerson would be more likely based on history.
  10. It's interesting to me that Arcia had the highest tracked exit velocity of his career (110) recently at AAA, and yesterday the highest velocity infield throw for the Twins since good Correa. He might not be cooked.
  11. Lee has long been seen as likely to play 2B or 3B, the Lewis situation gave them an easy way to make the transition. Just will come down to the bat.
  12. Part of the issue with Ryan is probably that other clubs view him as risky and aren't offering premium returns. Having Ryan actually look good down the stretch for once would lift his value for the off-season market to help offset the reduced amount of remaining service time. So I'm fine with not trading him. And he's a great QO candidate -- keep in mind the resulting draft pick can effectively produce multiple players due to the impact on overall draft budget.
  13. Yeah, we're sure. Rodriguez is a good defensive CF while Mendez is basically a DH. Also Mendez has severe launch angle issues that need to be corrected for him to succeed in the Majors. I actually love that the Twins are just letting Young play. If he already had everything figured out he would have been a top 10 pick and not available at #54.
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