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nova_twins

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Everything posted by nova_twins

  1. nova_twins
    Kinda weird imo to take two right hand hitting catchers with the first two selections. They do seem to have some kind of long term interest in a utility role that includes 3rd catcher along with other positions so maybe he's an upgraded version of Ricardo Olivar.
  2. nova_twins
    Letting Jeffers walk is totally fine, it's completely made up and inaccurate that grabbing a mediocre prospect or two actually matters at all.
  3. nova_twins
    I'm baffled by how eager some are, Gleeman being a media example, to get Jenkins to the big leagues before he's shown he's ready. Closest comparison to my memory is Brooks Lee, but at least in that case it made sense from an age perspective. Started very slow in his MLB career though.
  4. nova_twins
    The CBA looms large over the deadline. I don't think fans here or elsewhere are really factoring in how dramatically the proposed changes would impact roster construction. Overall I think clubs will be more cautious as a result, mostly sticking to deals around expiring contracts. I'm also way past the point of being interested in trading quality big leaguers for mediocre prospects. No one is going to offer enough for Ryan, for instance. Twins should trade Jeffers and add a couple relievers with low prospect cost and then see where MLB goes with the CBA.
  5. nova_twins
    Among qualifiers, Houston is ~21st offensively in the Midwest league and 25% above average, really not great for a college first rounder. Generally that production at age 22 would point towards a utility role at best, but there's belief Houston is a late bloomer with significant upside remaining and of course the SS defense as a foundation.
  6. nova_twins
    I don't think Houston has proven much offensively by doing OK at high A. He's maintained his prospect standing, which is good, and showing some positive signs, but there's no breakout yet and an MLB timeline is premature.
  7. nova_twins
    All prospects are risky. The main risk, which is the problem for 99% of prospects that don't make it, is that they aren't good enough to succeed in MLB. Rodriguez may or may not be able to overcome his injury issues but I don't see any reason to "panic," as this is unfortunately nothing new for him.
  8. nova_twins
    The bigger question with Lackey is whether he'll even be around at #3. If he is the Twins will take him. Not sure what happens if it's Emerson vs Flora, I'd assume Emerson would be more likely based on history.
  9. nova_twins
    It's interesting to me that Arcia had the highest tracked exit velocity of his career (110) recently at AAA, and yesterday the highest velocity infield throw for the Twins since good Correa. He might not be cooked.
  10. nova_twins
    Lee has long been seen as likely to play 2B or 3B, the Lewis situation gave them an easy way to make the transition. Just will come down to the bat.
  11. nova_twins
    Interesting that for today the Twins cloned Ty Langenberg, no offense to the guy but maybe cloning Quick would have made more sense!
  12. nova_twins
    It's happening across MLB, just gonna have to accept it.
  13. nova_twins
    Part of the issue with Ryan is probably that other clubs view him as risky and aren't offering premium returns. Having Ryan actually look good down the stretch for once would lift his value for the off-season market to help offset the reduced amount of remaining service time. So I'm fine with not trading him. And he's a great QO candidate -- keep in mind the resulting draft pick can effectively produce multiple players due to the impact on overall draft budget.
  14. nova_twins
    Yeah, we're sure. Rodriguez is a good defensive CF while Mendez is basically a DH. Also Mendez has severe launch angle issues that need to be corrected for him to succeed in the Majors. I actually love that the Twins are just letting Young play. If he already had everything figured out he would have been a top 10 pick and not available at #54.
  15. nova_twins
    I'd be surprised if Wallner plays another game for the Twins.
  16. nova_twins
    ZiPS projects him now as a solid backup, vs entering the year as replacement level. Whether he can settle in as a contributor remains to be seen but his batted ball data is interesting at least. Not really a big deal in the scheme of things but still.
  17. nova_twins
    This is not correct. There are virtually an unlimited number of players like Fedko, they are always available for minimal cost. The limitation is playing time. The Twins can only provide a certain number of plate appearances. It's not possible to give meaningful playing time to every good AAA player, it simply cannot be done. Clubs will always let guys like Rooker go that occasionally have a late break out. It's just part of the game and there's nothing you can do about it.
  18. nova_twins
    I must be missing something because I don't see how these moves support your conclusion, they all make sense if the team is looking forward to 2027 as well.
  19. nova_twins
    Silly thread tbh. AAAA guys have been a thing for all of MLB history. It's not really a knock on Fedko, he's one of the top couple thousand ballplayers in the world, it's just not quite MLB level, hence why no team wanted him as a minimum salary RH bench bat.
  20. nova_twins
    I don't think Houston is really close to a top 100 conversation. Lots of work to do offensively. Mercedes is under the radar because it's a small sample breakout, but he could be legit. As of today there's no question he's a top 20 Twins prospect, hopefully he keeps it up.
  21. nova_twins
    Prielipp's curveball would be near top of MLB in spin rate.
  22. nova_twins
    Based on draft position it would be a huge accomplishment if Matthews makes it even as a middle reliever. Lots of wacky comments in this thread like the Twins are botching some great talent, it's silly.
  23. nova_twins
    Ross's numbers have changed so much that arguably it's not too early to consider a breakout. Doubled and homered today. He has a very unusual background as a college player who faced marginal competition throughout his amateur career. Now, step one is getting into the picture as a 27th or 28th guy (i.e. in St Paul barring injury). That is very doable because he plays good defense -- it doesn't take much to be slightly better than Ryan Kriedler at the plate. I can imagine that pretty easily. Beyond that, I'd want to see it in AAA first, but I dunno, Willi Castro-ish? Less offense more defense.
  24. nova_twins
    Good article . . . I think the complaints about Twins roster construction are about more than the player count though. Realistically a lot of it is frustration with offensive inconsistency, esp. of course Larnach and Wallner over the years. Strongly disagree about Outman however, Roden is 26 and may as well play part time in the Majors.
  25. nova_twins
    Yes it's a small sample, but still, what Martin has done from a plate discipline perspective is pretty crazy. Below is the MLB leaderboard for everyone over 20 PAs. Martin is #1 by far and would be borderline top 5% if his chase rate *doubled*. Now, some of this is platoon advantage, along with sample size. But still, hard to ignore an outlier like this.
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