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Everything posted by weitz41

  1. How many payoff teams were starting players in August that are similar to Cave, Beckam, Contreas or Celestino consistently? Would the Phillies have made it to the series with Cave in left, Contreas in right and Celestino in center? IDC what team it is if you're starting you 50th-60th best prospect/player you're not going too far in the playoffs. To make the playoffs in 2022 the Twins would have needed 10 more wins. WAR 1 win = $8 mil. So, $80 mil to be the last playoff team. How does that make sense? Now IF this group (healthy) can get into the playoffs and by chance win a single series at $130 mil. That says 10 more wins ($80 Mil in payroll) will likely get you to at least the ALCS.
  2. It's probably about the window is just opening or closing when it comes to spending. The Padres are in a have to win in the next season or two rut. Machado can opt out after 2023 Davish and Snell are free agents after 2023 and Soto is a free agent the following season. By 2025 Xander and Tatis may be about all that's left of the team they will have this year. Most of our position players, bull pen and maybe 1/2 the people who start games this year will likely still be on the team at the start of 2025. Got a little off topic there... Can we spend like the Padres are. Of course. Did we just go to the league championship game? Not even close. Until we actually make some noise in the playoffs I wouldn't expect to many 11 year contracts just to spend like the Padres.
  3. From what I've read Vazquez fits what I believe the Twins are looking for better then probably all the other free agent catchers. I hope they get him signed. There are just as good or maybe better catchers out on the trade market, but the player/prospect cost would be steep. Spend the money Twins.
  4. No one we expected them to go after has signed yet. Lets not lit the torches just yet and put the pitch forks away. Technically it's only the third day of the offseason. As most say it doesn't start till the winter meetings. Boris Corp will drag this out as long as possible. So no matter how badly we want to open our presents under the tree. They will make us wait till it's Christmas day or later for that to happen. It's in their best interest. Clearing up the catcher situation and maybe a RH outfielder is what I had hoped they would tackle 1st. I don't expect much in the SP and reliever area until CC is settled.
  5. Now is not the time for pessimism. Plus both those things have been highly likely from the get go. They are going to do something substantial with or without Correa....I hope....
  6. Well I'm glad that is finally over. No more excuses for why CC hasn't signed with somebody.
  7. Trea to Phillies $300 mil over 11. I don't think a deadline helps. Just make your best offers to the remaining three..
  8. If this was settled by the end on the winter meetings I'd be thrilled. I'm on the fence on Correa. Is he the best shortstop I've seen play as a Twin. Yes, definitely. Is that worth 25% of the team's payroll..Is $40 mil of Correa win more games than $25 mil of Bogarts and $15 mil of Haniger? (the #'s are just guesses) I'd pass on Correa only if I had another one of the other 4 SS ready to sign. I don't want to rely of Lewis to be our SS till he earns it. The waiting till mid-January for an answer is the part that bothers me the most.
  9. The DeGrom deal is a pretty big gamble by the Rangers. If it goes south, they can afford it but IDK if they can have too many bad contracts and win it that division.
  10. If the FO had any plans to try and sign Rodon (IMO a big if) I'd guess the Mets would out bid them. IDK if they'll pivot to another pitcher. Maybe Bassit? I'd guess they'll spend more on the offense if they're priced out the pitching market.
  11. I don't think we have the prospects to get him. Seatle has an opening in left field and the Padres have been interested in acquiring him for years. I may take a three-team trade to meet the Pirates ask for him.
  12. You're clearly shooting at a soft spot saying, "is the best they can do". And here I am responding to it... so kudos to you. Heaney has maybe 5 starts that were good and 3 months on the IL total before and after that. My cat's asses have a better track record and probably more upside..There you made me do it. Kudos again...
  13. I get it. It's not a popular choice this time on the off season. C by the way is Myers numbers from rotowire. Try and here me out. The Twins have and excessive number of left-handed players. They could really use a right-handed outfielder that hits left-handed pitchers well and has power. Due to the Urshela trade (not a fan of) we can plan on Miranda/Arraez manning 3rd. So, a platoon at 1st is possible. Let's say Skubal is pitching for Detroit. Do you want Myers in RF or Keplar? Luis Arraez or Myers at 1st and Miranda at 3rd? Max Kepler MLB Split Stats (rotowire.com) Luis Arraez MLB Split Stats (rotowire.com) It's an improving on the fringe's addition not a Correa addition. You decide.
  14. I realize you're kidding here. I've been a Paddack fan for a while now. After his rookie season there was talk of him possibly being one. Him Being healthy for 2024 I wouldn't discount. He was good to really good before the last two seasons on elbow trouble. He could surprise all the Rogers trade haters...
  15. After last season....A starter gets injured by May..SWR makes 25 starts of 3.30 ERA 140 innings with 10/9K's for 3.5 WAR and a 125 ERA+ and wins AL ROY award. Hopefully I'm wrong no one gets injured that badly and he wins minor league pitcher of the year honors. Either outcome works for me.
  16. I don't know about an ace. Of the Twins pitchers that will be free agents after the 2023 season. He is the one I'd put a qualifying offer on. So maybe I'd call him the staff ace. Seems like a prime spring training extension candidate.
  17. MLBTR's Anthony Franco chat last night said Myers should be around 1 year for $5 mil as a platoon player. I like the fit even if others don't
  18. I'd rather keep Polanco around. If we want to move a 2nd baseman to make room for Julien then I'd wait till Aug 1st. 3-4 month at AAA for Julien should help decide if we have depth to trade from. Arraez would be my 1st choice to trade now. He's likely at his high point trade value wise. A 1b/.2b/3b with 8 homers in 550 ab's with bad knees. Even then it'd have to be a pretty decent return or I'd just hold onto all of them.
  19. Thanks for the response. Baseball reference says he played a little less then 1/2 his games at 1st in 2022. It fits the FO's MO of can play multiple positions but not a star anywhere. I want the FO to sign Correa, Rodon, Haniger and some decent BP arms. Will they...highly unlikely. I didn't dig into current Twins but Myers .800+ OPS against left-handed pitchers is valuable. On top of that he's way better away from Petco Park. Also 800+ with RISP and RISP/ with 2 out. All thing this team was not very good at last season.
  20. I really like Mitch Haniger but wanted to do a little searching for other options. After trading Urshela and putting Miranda at 3rd you could say we have a RH bat opening at 1st. So now I'm looking for an outfielder/1B who hits lefties that I can platoon with Kep/Arreaz/Kirlloff/Larnach/Gordon, start in a OF corner or at 1st base. Wil Myers: https://www.rotowire.com/baseball/player-splits.php?id=10972 Mitch Haniger: https://www.rotowire.com/baseball/player-splits.php?id=12491 I'm just looking at their offensive stats here from 2022. I don't believe either is a gold glover anywhere on the field and neither was fully healthy last season. Haniger is the better overall player but if I'm looking at just lefties and home/away splits. Myers makes a lot of sense, plays 1st base and likely could be signed on a one year deal. Just food for thought
  21. I'd rather get Bassitt for an extra year at the same total.
  22. I'd rather hold onto him and see how the upcoming season plays out. I don't think the player(s) you get back will be equal to his value in right and with the bat without the shift. Holding off till Aug 1st will probably get a similar return as what you can get now at his low value. A playoff team Keplar in right is an asset, a lottery draft team can trade him at the deadline for similar prospects and maybe even increase the return.
  23. I hope this is his year. With the new jerseys and Sano let go. I'm looking for a current player who's jersey I'll need to buy....What do yeah say Alex? It's you, Larnach or Lewis. Whichever plays the most games wins.
  24. I was looking at it on BTV as well. Those seem like the most likely packages. Maybe Ober, Enlow and Rodriguez with a lottery ticket or two coming back on the Twins side. Keep in mind Rodriguez has played all of 6 games in AAA ball and requires a 40-man spot.
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