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weitz41

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Everything posted by weitz41

  1. weitz41
    Well, if Festa is being mentioned as a starter, Morris should be as well. I know he had a decent run in the BP. That doesn't mean it's permanent. (A little Johan Santana scenario) It's more like a situation then a "crisis" for 2028. Easy enough to fix. Sign a FA starter, extend one of the Vets or trade one or more of the Vets to give the young guys the opportunity to further establish themselves. Better yet, I saw a projection today for Skubal of 6 for $360. That'd solve some of this and put butts in the seats. Keep in mind it isn't my money. I'll happily spend TP's dough.
  2. weitz41
    1st off great article. It's an interesting situation. I don't see many soon-to-be free agents (who may get a QO) that make sense for the Twins to go after. But it's still a possibility. Looking at the Twins starting roster...Draft picks are a big thing to part with. The Jeffer situation though...$23.1 mil is pretty steep for a catcher if he accepts. There is a real need to upgrade catcher for 2027. Probably the next best FA catcher is Stephenson (Reds). I doubt the Twins can sign him without a multi-year commitment. I don't care for that because of Diaw, Lackey and even Olivar. It may end up that an overpay for Jeffer is the best possible outcome.
  3. weitz41
    I don't think they do. If a player is traded during their final year of control the cannot get a QO.
  4. weitz41
    I'm of course in on a bigger payroll. But when I look at the FA class and what the Twins have in place going forward say 3 or more seasons. Plus, where there are glaring holes. I really don't see any difference makers in free agency in 2027, not many in 2028 either. By that I'm saying someone you would sign for 4 years or more. Sure, Skubal is one. After that who? In 2028 Murakami? Then a ton of 40-year-old starters. By increasing payroll maybe, a pricey veteran or two from a team looking to go younger and cheaper may be the way to go.
  5. weitz41
    I'm going to root for the upside and say other than 1B the next 4 years or more of the infield looks very promising. The outfield does as well, just not as comfortable with thinking all of them will turn out as projected. Just need a younger 1st baseman who has some slug and plays at least average defense. Culpepper may or may not be the long-term SS for the Twins. But I believe he's a long-term member of the Twins.
  6. weitz41
    I think they need to keep him around and on the active roster. It they start the OF we're all expecting, there will be 90 games with at least one outfielder on the IL. The 1B idea makes sense until Houston is the starting SS and Clemens gets shifted there. But you cross that bridge when you get to it.
  7. weitz41
    He makes this off season a bit more complicated IMO. Do you invest in the IF? The OF, with all the prospects? Starting pitching? Probably the only safe place to invest is the BP. Was this his career year?....Like I said it's complicated.
  8. weitz41
    The down season definitely didn't help. But before that he's stuck in a system that is bursting with OF prospects. Not ideal for a guy teetering on mlb/AAAA. Similar to Mendez. I think there's room for a RH OF but not for a RH DH.
  9. weitz41
    Or this
  10. weitz41
    Sign 2 of Minter, Morejon, Abreu and Matsui. Leave room in the BP for 1 of Matthews, Rojas and Festa.
  11. weitz41
    There will likely be 31 other teams trying to move a few guys before Dec 1st. Tender and trade.
  12. weitz41
    True, but couldn't DFAing a bunch of guys without replacements end up being as bad or worse. I guess I'd rather have a floor of what's already here than no floor.
  13. weitz41
    I pointed out WAR just to show there's trade value there compared to the actual salary.
  14. weitz41
    I get what you're saying. Sure, there's a real chance you have a roster spot of two filled you weren't expecting. I don't see a 40-man crunch and August trade deadline can clean out the guys you don't move. WAR to me isn't the end all be all but it's a decent starting point when looking at your teams' roster. Just using Baseball reference as a neutral guide. Let say for Ober. in 2026 he managed 1.8 WAR over 130+ innings. 1.8 x 8 Mil/WAR. That's 14.4 Mil in value for 6.9 Mil projected (2027) salary. That doesn't seem like something most teams not called the Dodger or Yankees would pass on to quickly. 2026 Larnach 1.4 WAR, Lewis .9 WAR, Nance .7. Just pointing out there's value there you don't want to just discard to open a roster spot is all.
  15. weitz41
    I really like your predictions, Nick. I think they move one more of the starters listed. That's just too much turnover from 2027-2028 season IMO. Then the #5 spot is rotated between Matthews, Rojas, Abel, Gallagher, Bohorquez and maybe even Morris. Invest the $ saved into the BP, C, 1B or 2B.
  16. weitz41
    Tendering in November/December. Playing for the Twins in 2027 are two completely different things. I can't think of a good reason to cut them. When I could trade them for a guy in DSL and possibly end up with Fernado Tatis. I know .001% chance, but that's still better then .000.
  17. weitz41
    oops
  18. weitz41
    I guess I'd lean towards tendering all. I saw some responses about Banda injury with spring training return others with mid-season. If ST then I'd tender him. Most, if not all, of the projected salaries leave some value there. Not a ton though. Then I start shopping them. If the FO is going to invest in upgrades many of these players need to go to make room. Maybe a package of some of them get an upgrade at 1B, 2B, BP or catcher. The Reds are going to be looking for 2B/3B upgrade. Hey Lewis is available. The Cubs have almost no starters returning and only 1 OF returning...Are Ober and/or Ryan and Larnach available? Sure, what did you have in mind? Astro's call. about that Larnach trade we almost did... Only ones I'd be unwilling to move are Bradley, one of Kremer/Ober. Clemens, on the fence on Nance and depending on injury status Banda.
  19. weitz41
    I like Roden as a 4th-6th outfielder. We all know there will be injuries to the top 3 outfielder's. Not sure about the 1B idea. He hasn't shown the type of power you'd like to see for a 1st baseman. AB's wise it may be a bit early to make any real judgements, but age wise it's getting a little late to expect much more than what he has now. Square peg for round hole... In order to improve the Twins really need a 3+ WAR 1st basemen. I don't think Roden is that guy. A 1-2 WAR bench player? I'd buy that.
  20. weitz41
    I'm not ready to completely buy in on payroll going up all that much. There's a lot that needs to be sorted out before even thinking about free agents. 1st the team needs to scatter, around the league, some of the 26 corner outfielders on the roster. Then trade for a 1st baseman that will start most of the games. (Burleson?) Now figure out what you're going to do about starting pitchers in 2028. Is Jackson and Caratini really your catchers for 2027? Now...Thow in a lock out... Lock out ends and you have about 2 weeks to "spend"...I'm in the wait and see about that.
  21. weitz41
    Do players bulk up at 3B? I ask because Royce looks different (way more muscular) today then say 2022. If so, can we expect a little more power from Lee in 2027 and beyond?
  22. weitz41
    I'm not going to argue with you on any of this. Maybe you're 100 % right, maybe not. By April 1st, 2027, we'll know more.
  23. weitz41
    TY for your response if you can spare the time...look at my other posts you may fit into what I was talking about....
  24. weitz41
    I posted the same thing and then was told it's his fault because he didn't want to give up marketing responsibilities if I remember right? Now sure exactly. Nonetheless I agree Falvey would have wanted to finish the job.
  25. weitz41
    Maybe so...but it's been repeat, replace names and post on this type of article the last couple seasons. I don't remember anyone saying move on, so I did and maybe at a slightly unhinged level.
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