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Posted
Image courtesy of Matt Marton-Imagn Images

Box Score:
Starting Pitcher:
Bailey Ober: 4 ⅓ IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 6 K (84 Pitches, 50 Strikes, 59.5%)
Home Runs: Brooks Lee (23)
Bottom 3 WPA: Andrew Morris (-0.14), Josh Bell (-0.08), Kody Clemens (-0.08)
Win Probability Chart (Via BaseballSavant):
image.png

Here we are again, with the Twins somehow still playing for their playoff lives despite not being able to sustain any level of consistent success. They turned to Bailey Ober Sunday night with the division-leading White Sox relying on a bullpen game.

Ober was in trouble immediately, allowing a leadoff double to Sam Antonocci. But he bore down, striking out the dangerous Miguel Vargas before retiring Munetaka Murakami and Andrew Benintendi to end the threat.

The second inning began with a strikeout to Colson Montgomery, but he would reach on a wild pitch. Braden Montgomery walked, then Ober went to work. He got Tristan Peters on a groundout, then got ahead of Chase Meidroth before getting five consecutive whiffs (one was a foul tip, to be fair) to pitch out of his second jam.

The Twins, meanwhile, were flailing away at opener Bryan Hudson’s Ober impression (He stands 6’8” with minimal velocity). Hudson faced the minimum through 1 ⅔ innings, then gave way to hard-throwing Jordan Hicks, who struck out three of the four hitters he faced.

The Sox got two men on in the third, but again, Ober pitched his best when he needed to, striking out Colson Montgomery on a nasty slider below the zone, moving his total number of stranded runners to five, with the White Sox 0-7 with runners in scoring position.

Sox lefty Hagen Smith took over for the fourth and was nails, striking out four in three perfect innings. He doesn’t throw that hard but has some great ride on his fastball at the top of the zone- you can see why the Sox called him up for the stretch run.

After an uneventful fourth, Ober allowed a second leadoff double to Antonocci in the fifth. This time, Murakami was able to scald a single into right field for the game’s first run, chasing Ober from the game. Kody Funderburk came on and quelled the threat.

He would not be so fortunate in the sixth. Peters, who has killed the Twins, delivered a left-on-left double down the line, prompting Derek Shelton to insert Andrew Morris. Morris walked Meidroth before retiring Teel on a grounder. But Antonocci grounded a ball through the drawn-in infield to score two. He would be credited with his third double, as the ball deflected slowly into center field. The Twins put Murakami on, and lefty-masher Randal Grichuk (who had pinch-hit for Benintendi earlier against Funderburk) managed to rope a single into left field to extend the lead to four.

Brooks Lee did deliver a long home run in the seventh off occasional closer Grant Taylor. Jeffers then walked, but the Twins wouldn’t be able to add any more traffic.

The White Sox had no such issues against Taylor Rogers. They loaded the bases on a single, hit-by-pitch and a walk, then Shelton went to Garrett Acton to clean up the mess. He did not, walking Vargas on four pitches to force in the fifth Sox run.

Acton has decent stuff, but he had no answers for the Sox lineup in the eighth. He allowed a leadoff homer to Grichuk (who went 2-2 with said homer and a walk), then walked both Montgomeries before Peters hit a ground-rule double to truly ice the game. Kyle Teel would later hit a three-run home run, in case anyone had any doubts.

Stuff I’m Tracking:

  • Ober’s evolution into the second coming of Paul Byrd is going pretty good. His ability to command the baseball is well known, but being able to frustrate hitters by never throwing what the batter expects is the next level. Pitching against the American League’s best offense in a hitter’s park, I’ll take his performance today.
  • Walker Jenkins sure has a lot more swing-and-miss in his game than anticipated. It probably is too soon to bench him, but it sure would be nice if he could make some good contact ahead in the count.
  • Morris should be a big part of the bullpen next year. This year, he’s cooked, mentally.
  • Eric Hosmer gets to work national TV broadcasts now? I was under the impression that nobody liked him after he wore out his welcome in San Diego.

What’s Next: The Twins head to Detroit for a three-game series with the Tigers. The Twins have not announced a starter, but it would figure to be Connor Prielipp’s turn—although his last start followed an opener with good success. They will have a rematch against the de facto ace of the Tigers, Troy Melton (7-4, 2.20 ERA), who they punished last week for five runs, including two home runs.

Postgame Interviews: Coming soon

Bullpen Usage Chart:

  WED THU FRI SAT SUN TOT
Funderburk 29 0 0 11 15 55
Nance 33 0 0 0 20 53
Acton 0 0 18 0 31 49
Gomez 15 0 0 7 20 42
Rogers 7 0 19 0 15 41
Minter 17 0 0 18 0 35
Hoffman 12 0 0 17 0 29
Morris 0 0 0 0 23 23
Adams 3 0 0 0 0 3

View full article

Posted
14 minutes ago, thelanges5 said:

12-20 since Aug 1, three straight seasons with a 2nd half collapse. Ugly 

Are they going to get passed up by the Tigers and Royals?

we can only hope!

 

Old-Timey Member
Posted

The Twins head to Detroit for a three-game series with the Tigers. The Twins have not announced a starter, but it would figure to be Connor Prielipp’s turn”

Joe Ryan is pitching on Monday. Just a hunch, but Acton likely loses his spot on the big league roster.

Old-Timey Member
Posted

19 games left and they’re 7 games under .500. They need to go 13-6 just to get back to .500 and that won’t get them in the playoffs. Playoffs will probably require 15-4.

My guess is they go 8-11 to finish 76-86.

Old-Timey Member
Posted

Walker Jenkins sure has a lot more swing-and-miss in his game than anticipated. It probably is too soon to bench him, but it sure would be nice if he could make some good contact ahead in the count.”

This is a great time for Jenkins to fail - in games that seem to matter but actually don’t matter. Keep exposing his flaws to give him something tangible to work on over the winter.

Posted

"Walker Jenkins sure has a lot more swing-and-miss in his game than anticipated. It probably is too soon to bench him, but it sure would be nice if he could make some good contact ahead in the count."

This was also his issue when he first got to AAA last year. The thought that he could come up to the majors and immediately be a star without an adjustment period was always based on hope and not reality. This doesn't mean that he's bad, but it does suggest that keeping him in AAA would have been a good idea.

Posted

Well, it's Ober.

Kidding. It's been over for weeks. And it's not Bailey's fault. If anything, he gave more than I thought he could give.

Every team has tough decisions to make in an offseason, but the Twins probably have tougher decisions. Does Tom P. still feel he owes some hope to the fans? Does he bring it all back and hope for better health? Or does he tell Zoll to start the demolition process, which would mean selling low on Lopez and Ryan.

And do you even keep Zoll? Is it time for a new executive - one with a fresh vision for building a winner? But would a new person know enough about available free agents and/or trade targets to hit the ground running when the frenetic, post labor dispute transaction period finally begins?

The Twins could have been emerging from the 2026 season with an excellent grasp of their entire system and likely excellent draft position for '27. Instead, they're almost forced to be pretend contenders again - crossing their fingers once more for healthy seasons from an injury-prone roster - when and if next season gets underway.

I don't think it will happen, but if they were somehow in for a penny this year, they ought to be in for a pound come Spring.

 

Old-Timey Member
Posted
4 minutes ago, MeleMouth said:

This was also his issue when he first got to AAA last year. The thought that he could come up to the majors and immediately be a star without an adjustment period was always based on hope and not reality. This doesn't mean that he's bad, but it does suggest that keeping him in AAA would have been a good idea.

He had nothing left to accomplish in AAA. It was time to bring him up. Failure is part of learning.

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