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Posted
Image courtesy of Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images

I'm not sure if the Twins will be strong in left field this year. I do feel confident they will be interesting. You've got Trevor Larnach trying to make his last stand, with his presence on the roster feeling almost obstructive at this point. You've got Austin Martin trying to build off his solid finish in 2025 and resurrect a career that's been veering off track. Minnesota invested heavily in acquiring and developing these two former first-rounders, and would surely love to see an eventual payoff.

But the front office is already prepared to chart a new course if needed. They acquired Alan Roden in the controversial Louie Varland trade last year, and James Outman in the less controversial (but odd) Brock Stewart trade. Neither has any business going to Triple-A, and in fact Outman is out of options. Meanwhile, Emmanuel Rodriguez is dazzling everyone this spring with his exciting skill set, and left field appears to be his most viable entry point to the majors. 

Much like at first base, I have a hard time predicting exactly how the playing time share is going to shake out in left with all these moving parts. But below I'll do my best to touch on different scenarios while sizing up the good and bad.

TWINS LEFT FIELDERS AT A GLANCE

Starter: Trevor Larnach
Backup: James Outman
Depth: Alan Roden, Austin Martin, Luke Keaschall
Prospects: Emmanuel Rodriguez, Gabriel Gonzalez, Kala'i Rosario

Twins fWAR Ranking Last Year: 6th out of 30
Twins fWAR Projection This Year: 20th out of 30

THE GOOD
Larnach is a nice floor-setting bat. That's what the Twins value in him, and why they ponied up $4.5 million to keep him around via arbitration rather than non-tendering as some expected. He's a reliably good hitter against right-handed pitching, and has earned trust in that regard — no Twins player appeared more often in the top four lineup spots last year. 

He's not alone in this boat, but Larnach surely recognizes the personal stakes coming off a disappointing season that puts his future with the Twins in doubt. He might be making his case for other teams, given the crowding of the outfield as he enters his second-to-last year of team control, but he's making his case nonetheless. He'll be plenty motivated to leave it all on the field this year.

 

Will he be actually playing in the field, though? That's a big unknown that makes it difficult to analyze this position. The Twins heavily preferred to use Larnach at designated hitter last year, both to preserve his health and limit the impact of his below-average defense. Derek Shelton might have the same preference this year, but Josh Bell and Victor Caratini will also demand DH at-bats so the path to getting Larnach a majority of starts there isn't quite as straightforward. 

If Larnach does end up at DH regularly, or he gets traded before Opening Day (still plausible), then one of Roden or Outman could step into the starting LF role against righties. Otherwise, those two are contending for a part-time, pseudo-bench role on a roster that already would have three lefty corner bats in Larnach, Matt Wallner and Kody Clemens

If elevated to a starting role, there are things to like about both of the 2026 deadline acquisitions. Roden has dominated at Triple-A and is on fire this spring. Outman brings outstanding athleticism and is (ostensibly) a true backup center fielder, which the Twins otherwise lack. Either one would offer a substantial defensive upgrade over Larnach in left. 

 

One thing's for sure: none of these three should be getting at-bats against left-handed pitching if the Twins can help it. That's where Martin comes in. He's the team's best bet for a righty-hitting platoon partner, and really the only good option at this point, which is the main reason he feels like a safe bet to make the roster. Martin batted .282 with a .374 OBP and 11 steals after his post-deadline call-up last year, and has the skills to claim more playing time in left field if he's bringing that same energy.

Each of the short-term candidates has something to potentially offer, but the biggest cause for enthusiasm here is Rodriguez. The 23-year-old top prospect is on the doorstep of the majors, having spent most of last season in Triple-A, and he's been showcasing his game this spring: big home runs, stolen bases, slick plays in the outfield. 

Rodriguez would be a viable pick to sneak his way onto the Opening Day roster if not for the crowded state of the LF depth chart. Only a matter of time, though.

 

THE BAD
All of the aforementioned upside within the group of Larnach, Roden, Outman and Martin is really more theoretical than proven, and none of these guys are all that young anymore. 

Larnach, who just turned 29, has a 101 career OPS+ and has been a net-negative when playing the field regularly. Roden has been great this spring but he was great last spring too, and flopped in his major-league debut (.556 OPS in 156 PA). Martin's non-existent power will inherently cap his value at an offense-driven position.

I struggle to summon any real optimism around Outman, who's been one of the worst hitters in the majors over the past two years and — to my eye at least — hasn't been impressive in the field. If the Twins keep him around it'll strike me as a move motivated by preserving depth and not exposing him to waivers. But maybe there's still a switch to be flipped for the 28-year-old. He was a really good player when he first came up in LA.

There's reason to be bullish on these guys. But when you're talking about players who are 26, 27, 28 years old, it becomes less relevant to talk about what could be. If they are what they are, according to their MLB track records, then none are really starting-caliber left fielders. We'll have to wait for the system to produce one.

THE BOTTOM LINE
The Twins have given themselves a lot of options in left field, with newcomers brought in to challenge Larnach and Martin. Hopefully it'll be a healthy competition that yields fruitful results. Either way, it seems like the current group is only vying to keep the seat warm for a wave of prospects that includes Rodriguez and Gabriel Gonzalez. Even Walker Jenkins could use LF as an entry point alongside Byron Buxton.

I'm not the most confident about left field from a short-term perspective, but I feel very good about its outlook in the big picture. The Twins just need to work their way through this current logjam and figure out what to do with Larnach.

Catch up on the rest of our roster preview series:


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Verified Member
Posted

I like an outfield of Roden, Martin, Buxton, Outman, Gabriel Gonzalez and possibly Emma.

I like Martin full time but Roden deserves a vs righty platoon as a starter based on his magnificent spring.

I don’t want Larnach involved at all, that’s called running back 70-92 and so is Wallner. If they must keep Wallner, I’d hope he’s limited to just playing vs righties. 

The 6 that I have gives you the option of the track meet outfield in Martin, Buxton and Outman, the upside outfield of Roden, Buxton and Rodriguez or Roden, Buxton and Martin. Vs. Lefties, you can go al RH with Martin, Buxton and G Gonzalez who seemingly stepped out of the womb hitting. 1 of the 6 could DH. I think there’s enough at bats from 300, 400, 500, 550, 600 to go around for all of these guys. If anybody falters, I think Wagaman looks like he will be a solid hitter.

Verified Member
Posted

Do spring training stats mean anything or not, is one of the questions. 

Roden has been raking so far this spring...but Outman is hitting quite well too. I'm seriously down on Outman and don't want him being given a roster spot on scholarship...but who actually deserves to get the job is hard for me to answer.

Larnach seems like a poor choice to continue on at this point, and I wish there was a trade out there that could bring back a competent RH reliever, and I'd be willing to add a lottery ticket prospect to get that done. That would position us to have someone like Roden or Rodriguez start in LF, free up DH time for Bell et al, and Martin would be a good fit as a 4th OF, especially if you have the R2 boys on the roster as potential backups for CF.

I think it's time to break the logjam. deal Larnach, for whatever you can get, Cut Outman (if he wants to go to AAA, fine; I have no problem with him playing the season as a veteran injury replacement in Saint Paul). Let either Roden or Rodriguez seize the job with Martin playing against every LHP in existence and occasionally getting some time against RHP (with an "R" sliding to RF at times to get Wallner over to DH more)

I don't hold Roden's poor debut against him; it's a tiny sample of his first test at MLB. I think Rodriguez can hit and field if he stays healthy. I'm enthusiastic about GG as well.

Posted

It would be fun to see ERod out there as the #1 backup. I think the fans would like that. Martin has no pop - not a great choice for a corner OF. It seems Larnach is the starter by default unless Shelton has other ideas, Roden and Outman - meh.

Posted
1 hour ago, NYCTK said:

I've been a big Roden > Martin guy and will continue to be so. 

Younger, and been better at nearly every step of the way. Martin had a great little stretch last year, but I still have my money on Roden. 

Why not break camp with Buxton, Martin and Roden as the starting OF, Wallner as the primary DH/4th OF (OF 2-3 days a week), and Outman or Clemens as the 5th OF? Give Martin and Roden 4-5 days a week of playing time and see if they can make it. It's time,  In an ideal world, I would trade Larnach and Outman for whatever you can get, or trade Larnach and stash Outman in AAA (not sure he would clear waivers after his hot spring, not sure if I care). We have Clemens and Keaschall who can play OF if needed and a lot of guys in AAA deserving of a shot some time this year.  We don't need 5 primary OFs on the 26 man roster.  

I think this whole idea of having to open DH ABs for Bell and Caratini is way overblown and frankly, a terrible concept. Guys, Bell is the everyday 1B 4-5 days a week with Clemens at 1B the other days and Caratini will play C 2-3 days a week. That's plenty of playing time for those guys, They can both play at 1B/DH against LH pitching with Wallner on the bench to get extra days. We do not need to hold back young players so those two over 30 guys and/or Clemens can get extra ABs. Give those ABs to Martin, Roden, and later GG or Emma by making Wallner a primary DH. Keep running them out there until they fail. Don't give those ABs to Bell and Caratini, or to Larnach for that matter,  

Verified Member
Posted
57 minutes ago, jmlease1 said:

Do spring training stats mean anything or not, is one of the questions. 

Mostly nothing, but with Roden it's interesting since he both has so few big league plate appearances, and so many spring training plate appearances. 

153 MLB: 555 OPS
94 ST: 995 OPS

Posted

If the general rule of thumb is "the away team sends their lower level players to Hammond" then the Twins batters are probably facing the lower level pitchers as vets don't ride the bus. I'm not sure I'm reading the splits correctly and obviously its a small sample size, but it looks to me that Outman doesn't perform too well when he's playing an away game and facing the more veteran pitchers. Hopefully the expert stats contributers on TD can enlighten everyone.

Old-Timey Member
Posted

It's nice to have options. It's nice to have depth. But this is a mess.

For the upteenth time, I don't dislike Larnach. He's a solid, ML LH hitter who could be a nice primary DH for someone who can play an OK corner OF once in a while. But he no longer fits with the Twins. He should be moved for whatever you can get for him: prospect, or packaged with a another internal prospect for a decent pen arm if possible.

I believe Outman is 29yo or about to turn.  He hasn't hit ML pitching for 2 yrs. So does his him having a good ST actually mean anything? 

I'd love to throw caution to the wind and just give E-Rod the job from day one and Roden can sit at AAA along with Jenkins and Gonzalez for nextqn up. But I don't think the Twins will be that brave. They'll want to give E-Rod a little more AAA time to make sure he's ready, and it helps with service time.

So it should come down to Roden and Outman. I'm not down on Roden for a poor 2025 debut between two different teams and so little actual time played. Personally, I'd roll with the younger Roden, Martin sharing time and sort of functioning as the 4th OF, and risk losing Outman. I just don't see a future for Outman with the club, but I can see one for Roden.

And if Roden doesn't step up, you have Rodriguez, Jenkins, and Gonzalez all sitting at St Paul just waiting. 

While not a perfect solution, that makes the most sense to me.

Verified Member
Posted
51 minutes ago, DocBauer said:

I'd love to throw caution to the wind and just give E-Rod the job from day one and Roden can sit at AAA along with Jenkins and Gonzalez for nextqn up. But I don't think the Twins will be that brave. They'll want to give E-Rod a little more AAA time to make sure he's ready, and it helps with service time.

 

Rodriguez is not necessarily helping his case, showing his biggest concerns are valid by striking out in 45% of his PAs in ST, while also showing his strength by hitting 2 homeruns. 

Verified Member
Posted
5 hours ago, Greglw3 said:

I like an outfield of Roden, Martin, Buxton, Outman, Gabriel Gonzalez and possibly Emma.

I like Martin full time but Roden deserves a vs righty platoon as a starter based on his magnificent spring.

I don’t want Larnach involved at all, that’s called running back 70-92 and so is Wallner. If they must keep Wallner, I’d hope he’s limited to just playing vs righties. 

The 6 that I have gives you the option of the track meet outfield in Martin, Buxton and Outman, the upside outfield of Roden, Buxton and Rodriguez or Roden, Buxton and Martin. Vs. Lefties, you can go al RH with Martin, Buxton and G Gonzalez who seemingly stepped out of the womb hitting. 1 of the 6 could DH. I think there’s enough at bats from 300, 400, 500, 550, 600 to go around for all of these guys. If anybody falters, I think Wagaman looks like he will be a solid hitter.

 

2 hours ago, mikelink45 said:

The theme for LF is waiting for the prospects - no one else is exciting or particularly good. 

SO you think Martin and his .282 batting average, ability to steal and defensive ability is not particularly good? I disagree with that. I’d much rather have him than Larnach. Many more ways to beat you.

Posted

It's worth mentioning that the outfield jam extends beyond the majors into the minors as well.

Let's say that the roster stays as it does now, which means the opening day outfield against a righty is likely to be Larnach-Buxton-Wallner. We'll say Martin and Outman start the season on the bench, with Martin spelling Wallner or Larnach against lefties.

The means Roden gets sent down, and you then have a AAA outfield logjam with Jenkins, Rodriguez, Gonzalez, and Roden all vying for at-bats in the outfield. That's without even mentioning Hendry Mendez, who tore up AA last year and deserves a promotion, or Kyler Fedko, who hit well in the minors last year and could conceivably be a useful right-handed platoon outfielder. These are all guys you ideally want getting everyday at-bats at AAA this year.

I don't really see how this gets resolved without a trade unless there are multiple injuries.

Posted
5 hours ago, mikelink45 said:

The theme for LF is waiting for the prospects - no one else is exciting or particularly good. 

So it's root root root for the home team , if they don't win it's a shame ...

With a poorly run organization and probably no better than last year , we can expect results the same but probably worse than last year , they need to clear the platoon players and get everyday players on the roster , 15 games into spring training and they results have been poor  ...

It would be nice to see players that earned a roster spot get the opportunity and play everyday  , I know you are not a Martin fan but they should be looking at Martin to be an everyday outfielder and spelling keaschall at second base ...

Give Martin an opportunity and let him run with it or fail with it , he does make contact and hits , speed on the bases , we need that speed if we are going to continue to play like we did after the deadline last year  , homeruns are important but getting on base and scoring runs is too , you did like watching arraez get on base and spark the club  ...

I'm just going to wait and see what else they might add and subtract before spring training is over , if they don't make some changes it's going to be another long season  ...

 

Twins Daily Contributor
Posted
8 hours ago, Greglw3 said:

I like an outfield of Roden, Martin, Buxton, Outman, Gabriel Gonzalez and possibly Emma.

I like Martin full time but Roden deserves a vs righty platoon as a starter based on his magnificent spring.

I don’t want Larnach involved at all, that’s called running back 70-92 and so is Wallner. If they must keep Wallner, I’d hope he’s limited to just playing vs righties. 

The 6 that I have gives you the option of the track meet outfield in Martin, Buxton and Outman, the upside outfield of Roden, Buxton and Rodriguez or Roden, Buxton and Martin. Vs. Lefties, you can go al RH with Martin, Buxton and G Gonzalez who seemingly stepped out of the womb hitting. 1 of the 6 could DH. I think there’s enough at bats from 300, 400, 500, 550, 600 to go around for all of these guys. If anybody falters, I think Wagaman looks like he will be a solid hitter.

No room to carry 6 outfielders.

Twins Daily Contributor
Posted
1 hour ago, Vanimal46 said:

Where's Joey Gallo when you need him in 2026?

Pretty sure Gallo is available. Make the call, Jeremy.

Verified Member
Posted
7 hours ago, USAFChief said:

No room to carry 6 outfielders.

 

7 hours ago, USAFChief said:

No room to carry 6 outfielders.

Not to worry, 2 are gone already. Funny Gonzalez was seeing the same pitching as Larnach and Wallner and outhitting them by light years. I’m holding my breath hoping one of them gets traded. I refuse to believe from all I’ve heard Shelton and Tom Pohlad say, that they’ll run it back with those two below average hitters.

Old-Timey Member
Posted
18 hours ago, Greglw3 said:

 

SO you think Martin and his .282 batting average, ability to steal and defensive ability is not particularly good? I disagree with that. I’d much rather have him than Larnach. Many more ways to beat you.

No I do not want Martin or Larnach starting.  Neither of them give me the production I want.  I am fine with Martin as fourth OF. 

Old-Timey Member
Posted
15 hours ago, Blyleven2011 said:

So it's root root root for the home team , if they don't win it's a shame ...

With a poorly run organization and probably no better than last year , we can expect results the same but probably worse than last year , they need to clear the platoon players and get everyday players on the roster , 15 games into spring training and they results have been poor  ...

It would be nice to see players that earned a roster spot get the opportunity and play everyday  , I know you are not a Martin fan but they should be looking at Martin to be an everyday outfielder and spelling keaschall at second base ...

Give Martin an opportunity and let him run with it or fail with it , he does make contact and hits , speed on the bases , we need that speed if we are going to continue to play like we did after the deadline last year  , homeruns are important but getting on base and scoring runs is too , you did like watching arraez get on base and spark the club  ...

I'm just going to wait and see what else they might add and subtract before spring training is over , if they don't make some changes it's going to be another long season  ...

 

At this point I am fine with Martin starting - I like him better than Roden and Outman, but I am still waiting on Rodriguez, Walker, and Gonzales.

Verified Member
Posted
4 hours ago, tarheeltwinsfan said:

Did I read this correctly: fWAR ranking for the Twins left fielders last year was 6?  Can someone explain this to me please. 

Bader was awesome last season.

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