Greglw3
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Everything posted by Greglw3
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When will Walker Jenkins make Twins debut
Greglw3 replied to jaimedude's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
I hope you’re right! The timing would be perfect. One more strong bat for the late season push! -
Going Oppo: Why You Can't Ignore Jeff Hoffman's Stubborn ERA
Greglw3 replied to Sam Caulder's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
No not an overpay, Hoffman has elite stuff. -
Going Oppo: Why You Can't Ignore Jeff Hoffman's Stubborn ERA
Greglw3 replied to Sam Caulder's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
But in the category of: Josh Bell has been extremely valuable to the Twins because he heated up big time around June 1 and has taken, patient, professional and very clutch at bats ever since - in that category, let’s give Hoffman his due that at the time of the trade he had ~ a 1.21 ERA since June 1. -
Ha ha ha, the lucky baseball player. That’s one thing I’ve noticed is the non-helpful tendency of some of these SABR style statistics to simply say, this statistical measurement proves player X is having bad luck. How fortunate the blessed one, Aaron Sabato to stay so lucky that he’s piled up a near record season for St. Paul and carries a 1.200+ OPS vs lefties. As John McEnroe once emphatically stated to a stunned tennis world, "You cannot be serious". But I think you’re being sarcastic in saying it’s all luck but disguising it with xwOBA, that stat that Roy Smalley, Justin Morneau, Denard Span, Paul Molitor and Trevor Plouffe love to quote.
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bean5302, here’s what I’m talking about. The mean batting in the IL in 2026 is .254 and Jenkins is hitting .285. Good relative to his peers? Wait? It’s here, brother. I can tell you that there is a major statistical significance between a .285 avg and a .254 avg. He’s very good relative to his peers, kinda like Trevor Larnach to his peers.
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3 Roster Moves the Twins Need to Make Right Now
Greglw3 replied to Matthew Taylor's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
We should keep Jackson. .300 hitting, solid defensive and especially athletic catchers don’t grow on trees. Call up Culpepper and Jenkins and leave Wallner at AAA. The times I’ve watched him at ST. Paul on MLB.tv, he still looks like the same hitter, probably feasting on AAA pitching mistakes. Defensively, declined. And that hole, that gaping hole in his swing. Can’t take a chance at a strikeout parade in a pennant race. I’d be very enthused at installing Culpepper at SS and Jenkins in CF with Keaschall in RF. The speed boost, offensive boost possibilities are tantalizing! In calling up Jenkins, I wouldn’t preclude the possibility of Roden still making it.- 241 replies
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That's a fair point. I would counter it with, in the last 5 games, against 2 different teams, he’s hitting .350 with a .409 OBP, so maybe the rust is receding rapidly. In Jenkins last 6 games, he’s hitting .417 with a .481 OBP.
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Walker Jenkins is not "every prospect" and he’s on an overall tear, not just last night. He’s way more talented than "every prospect". The same could be said for Kaelen Culpepper, but to a slightly lesser degree, perhaps. I think he’d be a big offensive upgrade over Kreidler with more power, more speed and ultimately, if not right away, a higher batting average too. The infusion of speed and raw athleticism that Jenkins and Culpepper would bring would be huge for a team that has struggled offensively for an extended period.
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My sentiments exactly! Great minds think alike! I’m sure they would improve the Twins offense.
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Jenkins and Culpepper both had 3 hits tonight. Jenkins up to .285. Bring them both up tomorrow. And Gabby had 3 hits as well so since he’s killing lefties, there’s your answer!
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3 pretty bad players??? Well good grief 1-Minter came with a 2.35 ERA, which is about 2.28 now and a 1.00 WHIP. 2-Kremer has a 4.37 lifetime ERA to replace Matthews over 5 ERA and Prielipp’s close to 5 ERA. 3-These are Hoffman’s stats since the beginning of June IP- 22.1 H-13 ER-3 BB-8 K-30 ERA-1.21
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Heistyman: Because you’re a pessimist or you’re so traumatized by the Ron Davis experience that you can never trust a reliever again (I too lived through the persistently depressing Ron Davis experience!). To make you feel better, here are Hoffman’s stats since the beginning of June: IP- 22.1 H-13 ER-3 BB-8 K-30 ERA-1.21
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At the risk of another thumbs down, I don’t think A.J. Minter was a mediocre rental. AT the time of the trade, Passan described him as one of the top relievers on the market. Kremer, I’m reserving judgement on but I think he has another year of control in 2027. Lifetime 4.37 ERA for a #4 or #5 starter isn’t bad, especially replacing Zebby’s 5+ ERA or, to a lesser degree even Prielipp’s 4.75 ERA. I love Prielipp’s potential but maybe Kremer can hold up in big games better, we’ll see. What would really excite me is getting Robbie Ray or Emerson Hancock and/or trading Larnach for a strong reliever or controllable starter, perhaps younger and opening up a spot for Walker Jenkins.
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That makes sense to me because this report doesn’t pass the smell test. I don’t believe it. There is no way the Twins trade a high end hitter with an additional year of control for a reliever with a near 5 ERA, even if he has been good before, WITH an expiring contract. Larnach is worth more than a rental. There had to be other players involved or the whole thing is fiction.
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Why does Corey Provus keep calling Cal Raleigh’s 2025 season the greatest offensive season for a catcher in baseball history when Joe Mauer’s .365 season (the highest batting average for a catcher in baseball history) was far batter? Nobody challenges him on it! Mauer outhit Raleigh .365 - .247, had an OBP almost 100 points higher than Raleigh, the slugging percentages were a wash. It’s a blowout for Mauer and strange for the Twins broadcaster to keep saying that.
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I do watch some of the games but only Gamecast since Culpepper returned from injury.
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Bullpen May No Longer Be The Twins Number One Need
Greglw3 replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Robbie Ray is my #1 choice and he might be their ace if they acquire him. Then the more prospect expensive Emerson Hancock, I’d probably give up E-Rod for him. I agree 100% Exhibit A as to why WAR is a deeply troubled statistic which even Bill James has disowned. I guarantee that if you check Fangraphs and any other site, they’ll both have Ray’s ERA at 3.16 and Gausman’s at 4.5. The wild flip flopping between two sites on the same statistic for the same two players is more confirmation that James was right in his recent essay in concluding WAR should be renamed WAG for Wild Ass Guess I totally don’t understand the attraction to this "statistic".- 24 replies
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Minnesota Twins Still Looking to Reinforce Bullpen
Greglw3 replied to Matthew Lenz's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
I'm with you, Robbie Ray is my #1 choice for sure! If he likes it here, they could even extend him. -
The answer is a resounding Yes to your question. To get a top-of-the-reliever-market reliever with a 2.35 ERA and ~1.00 WHIP is exactly what the Twins need to be doing as a start to the buying that will give this team a chance to be potentially a playoff threat. I’d try for Robbie Ray next and also Emerson Hancock. Tyler Tolbert, Alex Call, and 2 more solid relievers. Kevin Gausman would be next in line.
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HarmonK03, all I can say is RodC29! You say tomato, I say tomato. And "Knock out a home run, shout a hip hurray...cheer for the Minnesota Twins tonight!"
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2 hits, was that yesterday? Looking at the silver lining. I think once he settles in, he’ll be, in total, a vast improvement over Kreidler, especially offensively with power and steals.
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