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    Minnesota Twins 2026 Position Analysis: Shortstop

    This feels like the single most important (non-pitching) position for the future of the Minnesota Twins. Trading Carlos Correa and his massive contract at last year's deadline cleared the way — but for whom?

    Nick Nelson
    Image courtesy of Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images

    Twins Video

    In 2024, the Twins finished sixth among MLB teams in fWAR at the shortstop position, even with Carlos Correa missing much of the second half with a foot injury. Heading into 2025, Minnesota was again projected as a top-10 team at short, behind the strength of Correa coming off an All-Star season.

    Correa proved disappointing. At the end of July, the Twins ranked 16th among MLB teams in shortstop WAR. Mediocre, but hardly disastrous. Just minutes before the trade deadline, Minnesota's front office pounced on an opportunity to unload (some of) Correa's contract, sending him to the Astros for essentially nothing. 

    Brooks Lee took over full-time shortstop duties the rest of the way, and things now did take a turn for disaster. He slashed .208/.274/.348 with uninspiring glovework in the final two months. Despite the underwhelming display, he's once again lined up for the everyday job in 2026, without much in the way of confidence-inspiring backup plans. 

    Can Lee and the Twins defy expectations at a position where they are projected by FanGraphs to be the worst team in all of baseball?

    TWINS SHORTSTOPS AT A GLANCE

    Starter: Brooks Lee
    Backup: Ryan Kreidler
    Depth: Orlando Arcia, Tristan Gray
    Prospects: Kaelen Culpepper, Marek Houston

    Twins fWAR Ranking Last Year: 22nd out of 30
    Twins fWAR Projection This Year: 30th out of 30

    THE GOOD
    It's important to acknowledge that Lee is still only 25 years old, and the attributes that made him a top-10 draft pick and high-end prospect are still there. He's a switch-hitter with excellent contact skills and a very high baseball IQ, capable of playing up the middle while offering signs of latent power potential.

    That's a valuable asset, in theory. But so far in his major-league career, the pieces just have not clicked together for Lee, who's been a replacement-level player through 189 MLB games per FanGraphs (negative-1.0 WAR per Baseball Reference). And while there's no sugarcoating his performance up to this point, it's telling that the Twins traded Correa last year, handed Lee the reins, and are handing them right back over this spring.

    They believe in Brooks Lee. That was clear from very early on. Their faith may ultimately prove misguided but it's far too early to say so; he'd hardly be the first highly-touted prospect to struggle through a couple of rough seasons before finally turning a corner in his mid-20s. Tom Kelly used to say it takes 1,000 plate appearances in the majors before you really know about a guy, and Lee's still a few hundred short of that. 

    That said, the clock is ticking. The Twins are giving him a wide open runway to take off. The time is now.

    Lee knows it, and has come to camp with a resolve to lock down the shortstop gig for the foreseeable future. As Bobby Nightengale wrote for the Star Tribune, Lee is living out the proverbial "best shape of his life" mantra — “Probably 15 people have said to me, ‘Man, Brooks looks great,’” said Derek Shelton — and attacking his weaknesses head on. He's focused on improving his defensive range in the field, and making better swing decisions at the plate.

     

    Average shortstop defense is about the best you can realistically hope for from Lee, so his bat needs to carry him if he's going to be a positive contributor. And while there are many things that go into that, the simplest version is that he just needs to hit the ball harder. He's shown flashes of impressive power but they are too few and far between, washed out by endless waves of weak contact. 

    We'll see if the offseason work and partnering with new hitting coach Keith Beauregard pays off. Lifting his batting average by even 20 or 30 points would go a long way toward putting Lee's production in an acceptable range — seemingly doable for a guy with one of the lowest BABIPs (.254) in the league since debuting in 2024.

    Even if he rights the ship somewhat, it's not clear that Lee is part of the long-term vision at shortstop. He's better suited at second or third. Rising through the system are two clear candidates to be heir apparent: Minnesota's #1 selections from each of the last two drafts. 

    Kaelen Culpepper, drafted 21st overall in 2024, experienced a huge breakout last year in the minors, slashing .289/.375/.469 in 113 games between Single-A and Double-A. He participated in the Futures Game and this spring finds himself as a consensus top-100 prospect. Culpepper is in big-league camp and seeing a fair amount of action, which is among the many signals that he might be inching toward entering the team's plans. 

     

    Marek Houston, drafted 16th overall in 2025, lacks the offensive profile of Culpepper, but is probably already the best defensive shortstop in the organization at age 21. I don't want to overstate things but there's a reason the Twins took him in the middle of the first round, signed him for nearly $5 million and promoted him to High-A almost immediately — and it's not because of his bat. If he proves to be the level of difference-maker in the field that the Twins are envisioning, he can turn into a valuable big-league regular even if the punchless bat doesn't progress. Shortstop is one of the few positions where you can say that.

     

    THE BAD
    Correa, even during his down years in 2023 and 2025, was a roughly average MLB starting shortstop. I know people get lost in the salary and the "overpaid" narratives, but Correa had tremendous value to the Twins as a floor-setting veteran with All-Star potential. They traded that for nothing at last year's deadline and now we pin our hopes with an organization that has shown no real ability to develop its own MLB shortstop talent.

    Here's a list of first-round shortstops the Twins have drafted in the past 20 years, prior to Culpepper and Houston: Levi Michael (2011), Nick Gordon (2014), Royce Lewis (2017), Keoni Cavaco (2019), Noah Miller (2021) and Lee. That list does not include high-profile international signings like Wander Javier, Miguel Sano and Danny De Andrade. To date, none of these players have panned out as major-league shortstops. (Jorge Polanco did, briefly.)

    The jury is still out on Lee, but it's not looking good. And while it's easy to dream on Culpepper or Houston, the reality is that odds are stacked against them because it's just really hard to emerge as one of the 30 best shortstops in the world. Culpepper is a good prospect, but not an elite prospect, in part because many evaluators believe he's destined for third base. Houston's going to need to meet an extremely high bar defensively unless his hitting ability improves by leaps and bounds.

    For now, what the Twins have is Lee, a replacement-level player backed up by replacement-level options in Ryan Kreidler, Orlando Arcia and Tristan Gray. Unless Lee can stay healthy and rebound, the shortstop position is going to be rough for Minnesota in 2026.

    THE BOTTOM LINE
    The long-term picture is unclear and the short-term outlook is rather bleak. FanGraphs projecting the Twins to rank 30th out of 30 MLB teams in WAR at the shortstop position says it all — Lee hasn't shown much of anything, and there's little behind him in the way of proven depth.

    Catch up on the rest of our roster preview series:

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    Marek Houston

    Cedar Rapids Kernels - A+, SS
    The 22-year-old went 2-for-5 on Friday night, his fourth straight multi-hit game. Heading into the week, he was hitting .246/.328/.404 (.732). Four games later, he is hitting .303/.361/.447 (.808).

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    This is a stark reminder how absolutely clueless the Twins organization has been for many years.  Royce Lewis had the best chance to be a major league SS, but injuries and excessive weight training changed his body type and transformed him into a 3B.  

    The Twins are in an unacceptable gap for 2026 and 2027 at the SS position.  Lee, for whatever positives he has will probably not survive the year at SS.  He just isn't physically gifted enough to shine there, and I question selecting him where they did as the Twins should have been aware of those physical limitations.  Does anybody envision Lee ever making the play Houston did behind 2B??  I wonder if Brooks Lee will even be a Twin in 2027/2028.

    Now the Twins are forced to consider rushing another kid (Culpepper) who many think is destined to be a 3B to rescue themselves from the below average ceiling of Lee.  Heck, when you look at what Brooks Lee did at the plate post Correa trade you could almost find yourself thinking "why not just stick Marek Houston in there NOW!!!"  

    There is a high chance the player the Twins select with the 3rd overall pick in the amateur draft this June will be a SS.  Will it be a college player or a high school player?  How quickly could that player realistically challenge for the major league starting job? 

    SS is an absolute mess for the Twins and when SS is considered the foundation for any good major league defense, it makes it all the more disappointing that this team had to make a very expensive mistake on Carlos Correa when almost every other major league team didn't think Correa could handle SS for long with his persistent foot problems.  

    Quote

    backed up by replacement-level options in Ryan Kreidler, Orlando Arcia and Tristan Gray. 

    I believe you are being very generous in this quote.  Weakness is not an acceptable word - disastrous seems better,  But there is always hope and Lee has the opportunity to prove his value.  I am fascinated by Culpepper but realize he will be at least 24 when he debuts so he has to hit the ground running.  

    I know weak batting SS have been part of MLB for decades some are in the HOF.  Ozzie Smith was always considered great arm - no hit, but in 19 seasons he maintained a 262 BA.  Rabbit Maranville played SS 23 years and is in the HOF for his fielding, but over more than two decades he hi 258.  Aparacio and Tinker both glove first SS in the Hall maintained 262 BA.  Lee as a bad fielding SS now has a 232 lifetime BA over two seasons.

    Brooks - it is time!  

    Otherwise this goes beyond my 2B and 3B - Royce and Keaschall or Bust - this is already busted and there is no rescue coming in quickly. 

    I think unless Lee has a breakout year, he's destined for an infield utility role. He still has value at that position as someone who can competently cover 2nd, SS and 3rd. We really need Culpeper to continue raking and force a call up, hopefully next year.

    A shortstop is usually made better by the second and third basemen around him. Probably NOT the case with the Twins, as one fears for the defense, overall,g the last couple of years of being thrust into the majors, shuffled around from position to position, and learning on the job.  of the entire infield. If Lee is better suited for third or second himself, is he a better choice than Lewis of Keaschall at the moment? If so, why not play him at either of those positions, and the Twins then needed to egt a solid field first guy at short in the off-season, which they didn't.

    Some of us have argued that Lee needed more seasoning, at least half-a-season, at AAA during any of the past two seasons, insted of learning on the job and shuffling around the diamond on a daily basis. Right now, does he pan out best as the space infielder/bench guy, who may quickly become too expensive because he played two much the past couple (and this) season as a... regular? 

    Is Lee another NOT owning a position guy with less than adequate bat skills that the best the Twins can do is hope for a breakout season that will give him some trade value, or he contributes to a team that is... just playing ball and hoping no one notices (or cares) as long as a budget is met and the game is played.

    Like the crowded outfield, we have to ask how many of Wallner, Larnach, Lewis, Lee, Outman, Clemens whatever will be on the team come 2027, and if not then, why are they here now.

    3 hours ago, mikelink45 said:

    I believe you are being very generous in this quote.  Weakness is not an acceptable word - disastrous seems better,  

    I'm not sure the right reaction for this.  I completely agree with this statement, so a thumbs up or a heart is in order.  However, I hate that it is happening, so a crying reaction or thumbs down is more appropriate.  

    He's scrappy.  Unfortunately as Charles Barkley said, it means he can't play - at least not well enough to hold down a MLB job full time. 

    I hope Lee gets 600 at bats so we can find out if he is going to hit. If he doesn’t improve quite a bit we won’t have to worry about where he will play. He doesn’t really comfortable at 2nd but looks decent at 3rd. If Royce figures it out then I would trade Lee. He is not a SS on a good team. 

    One arguement about Lee that just baffles me is his arm. I read one report that he has a weak/average arm. And then I read another that says his arms is just fine for 3B. Well, a 3B needs about as good of an arm as a SS, generally speaking, as many of his throws are just as long.

    WHAT I THINK I KNOW:

    1] Lee just isn't a dynamic athlete. So range will always hold him back. The fact that he's worked hard on being "quicker" is great. Even 1 more step can help. Overcoming the temptation he recognizes to take an automatic step IN, by itself, may add a step of range.

    2] I like his hands. I read all the complaints. But from what I've watched, he has really good hands. The only PROBLEM I've concluded with his hands is that playing 3 spots as an early career ML player is just a lack of experience at 2B and 3B. All 3 spots need a little different technique in fielding, and he's still a work in progress in that regard.

    3] I think he has a nice, smooth, quick transition from glove to hand. Further, I've seen him make some off balance throws that made me wonder how he accomplished that due to the fact he's supposed to be a sub par athlete. I think he's surprisingly smooth in a short area, if that makes sense.

    Lee is NEVER going to be a great SS. I think average is very much achievable. And I'm OK with that for the immediate future. He either needs to excel as a defender, or improve his offense to remain at SS. IIRC, there were questions when drafted about remaining at SS. So I don't believe there is any surprise that his long term future is not a starting ML SS.

    Can he improve to average? I believe he can, and will this season. But IMO, it's his BAT that is the biggest question mark. Nick's OP reminds something I've been yelling about for months now. ROOKIE status is 150 ML AB. Lee entered 2025 at 172 ML AB. That means he entered 2025 BARELY above rookie status. But there are so many bashing his bat as an almost rookie seeming to believe he's already some kind of failure. I just find that ridiculous. Draft and prospect hype for a 24yo who struggled in his FIRST full ML season would be the cause I guess.

    Lee is a hard worker according to anyone who knows him. They hype of "best shape of his career" and a "different looking body" shouldn't be ignored as hyperbole for a 25yo entering his 2nd ML full season.

    Assuming he doesn't have what I now refer to as "Miranda disease", which is the feeling contacting every ball, even if it means weak contact, is a good thing...which Lee recognizes...he has the potential to be a .270-ish HITTER. While he doesn't have much speed, he would seem to be a legitimate 30 Dbls hitter. I'm not convinced his HR power is beyond mid to upper teens, but I'm OK with that considering Dbls power and the AVG and .320-ish OB % I think he's capable of. That's a GOOD ballplayer. If he does better, we can all celebrate. 

    I rather dislike the immediate depth options. Is it possible Arcia has one more solid season in him? Maybe. It would be great if he did. Kreidler might have a great glove, and can even play CF well, but so far he's proven he can't hit his way put of a wet paper bag. Even in MILB he only hit around .230! Crazy as it may be, Gray offers the best bat of the 3, can play all 4 INF positions, and might be the best overall option. (Ugh). 

    What really disappoints me is the lack of imagination from the FO. I'm not saying they would get it RIGHT, but why didn't they look for a trade move...possibly including Larnach...for SOMEONE'S Newman, Punto, or Castro who was 25-27yo with a solid glove and SOME talent and potential who might be blocked and needing opportunity? Wouldn't we love another Punto today as the backup SS/utility option? 

    What's done is done. (Grr).

    Digging deeper, examining the depth, maybe it doesn't matter in the long run. There's at least a decent chance that K-Pepper is ready June or July 1st to debut and just be a better SS than Lee...even with improvement...to take over. Suddenly Lee is a super sub, especially if his BAT takes another step forward. That DOESN'T mean KP won't make mistakes. But he has more athleticism, quickness and speed, with a good arm, to be a better every day option. And Lee becomes a quality depth option across the diamond, and we can forget the names Kreidler, Arcia, and Gray other than being St Paul depth options. It's also possible that Schobel, building on his 2025, becomes another depth option that we might want to pay attention to.

    From there, a year or two from now, Houston might change the complexion again. Despite being a well built, athletic player, there are questions about his power. Considering his OUTSTANDING defensive potential, all he needs to do is just be the solid hitter he was in college, with decent XB pop, speed, and good base running, and a decent OB% profile. 

    Houston is not a small individual. But I'm still not convinced he has POWER. But it would seem he at least has POP. That means the ability to crank 8-10+ HR, 30 Dbls, and a few Trips per season. He's also fast enough and smart enough to steal 15-20 bases a year. His HITTING profile suggests a solid AVG and OB%. At WORST he's a .250 hitter with .270 possible based on projection and a .315-.320 OB% on the low side.

    With his defense, even the low side of a .250 hitter with a .320 OB%, 30 Dbls, a handful of Trips, 8-10 HR, and 15 SB could make him a possible All Star player.

    If he can provide anything close to that, if not better, he probably moves Culpepper off of SS in a season or two. But that's not a BAD THING. Culpepper suddenly takes over 2B or 3B. Lewis maybe takes over 1B. Lee becomes a super utility spot where he plays daily. Keaschall is either entrenched at 2B, or maybe moves to 1B or OF. 

    NONE of these options are a BAD thing. For the first thing in a long time the Twins actually have some depth where they have, potentially, a "decent" SS to start the season with a couple of really talented replacements in the near future.

    I just don't like the options opening day so much.

    To put it bluntly, the situation is dire at this position. I haven't paid close enough attention to know how Arcia or Kreidler is looking this spring training. What's the verdict there? Because whether we like it or not, they're the full time starter unless Culpepper makes so much noise in AA/AAA it's impossible to ignore. 

    Almost everyone was excited that Brooks Lee dropped to the Twins. What has changed? Not his fielding. It's his bat. It's time for him to hit this year. Even though I prefer Culpepper at SS to start the year, it's obvious the Twins don't think he's ready, or they just don't believe in pushing anyone these days like they did Arraez. The Twins aren't winning that much anyway so, like others have said, let's see what we have in Lee. 

    Side question - would Culpepper and Jenkins have to NOT be on the 40 man roster in order to play AAA at the start of 2027 IF there is a strike? That would be an interesting factor.

    Lee's range isn't going to get better past 25, but it is a bit early to write off the bat (180-ish games in MLB). Hopefully he hits, and especially I hope his back or whatever doesn't take him off the field much, because the real crime here is the utter lack of a backup plan. (Maybe the Twins could package Outman, Larnach, and Arcia to Los Angeles to get Ryan Fitzgerald back.) (And no I don't think that is a real solution, except the part about losing a couple deadwood OFs. More realistic hope is they can deal cheap for depth at the end of ST as rosters cut down.)

    On 3/6/2026 at 9:15 PM, DocBauer said:

    From there, a year or two from now, Houston might change the complexion again. Despite being a well built, athletic player, there are questions about his power. Considering his OUTSTANDING defensive potential, all he needs to do is just be the solid hitter he was in college, with decent XB pop, speed, and good base running, and a decent OB% profile. 

    Houston is not a small individual. But I'm still not convinced he has POWER. But it would seem he at least has POP. That means the ability to crank 8-10+ HR, 30 Dbls, and a few Trips per season. He's also fast enough and smart enough to steal 15-20 bases a year. His HITTING profile suggests a solid AVG and OB%. At WORST he's a .250 hitter with .270 possible based on projection and a .315-.320 OB% on the low side.

    With his defense, even the low side of a .250 hitter with a .320 OB%, 30 Dbls, a handful of Trips, 8-10 HR, and 15 SB could make him a possible All Star player.

    I hope you're right about Houston, but right now that's the hitting profile we're seeing in A-ball, which is not what we should be projecting him for in MLB. 30 doubles and 8-10 homers looks pretty optimistic, and if he's not able to do damage on the occasional ball, he could end up getting overwhelmed by better pitching as those cheap walks disappear and he gets fewer bleeders through the infield.

    I hope he develops as a hitter, because the defense is absolutely legit. But it's fair to be concerned that he's Noah Miller pt 2: all glove, no bat. Miller made it to AAA last season, and got bullied at the plate. Now, he still might improve and he'll probably make it to MLB as a utility guy at some point, but he doesn't look like a starter at all, let alone a potential all-star.

    Culpepper, on the other hand, has a much higher upside. A lot of the prospect evaluators who had him moving off SS have backed off that and the bat impresses,



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