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Fun With Numbers 2019


Vanimal46

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Posted

Twins lead the majors in runs scored. Eddie Rosario leads the team with 34 runs, which places him... drum roll... tied for 26th across the majors.

 

This is a balanced offense, folks.

Posted

Twins lead the majors in home runs with 101. However, 62 have been hit on the road, and only 39 at home (tied for only 6th).

 

Imagine their totals if their home park wasn't Grand Canyon National.

Posted

Twins lead the majors in home runs with 101. However, 62 have been hit on the road, and only 39 at home (tied for only 6th).

 

Imagine their totals if their home park wasn't Grand Canyon National.

I blame the roots from old pine trees in center field...

Posted

We're all pretty pleased with the production we're getting from the 9th slot in the batting order, with Buxton having a nice start to his season. It flew past my radar, though maybe not yours, that we don't even lead the majors in production at the bottom of the order. Minnesota's OPS is up there at .777 (brought down by a few batters with weird names like Ehire and Willians), but Houston leads the majors with .871. That's mostly Jake Marisnick, who is hitting .300 with power and has run the anchor leg almost exclusively this year. Apparently great (managers') minds think alike.

Posted

 

Twins lead the majors in home runs with 101. However, 62 have been hit on the road, and only 39 at home (tied for only 6th).

 

Imagine their totals if their home park wasn't Grand Canyon National.

To be serious, the Twins have played more road games and they have played a lot of games in Target Field in cold and wet conditions. Over the course of the year, I expect the home-road split to even out.

 

If the Twins would slow to a pedestrian 1.0 homers per game going forward, they still would hit 213! With the lineup they are putting out, I can''t see how they fail to break their season record and I think they have an excellent chance to break the all-time team record for one season. The only question on setting that record is if someone else hits more homers than the Twins this season. 

Posted

To be serious, the Twins have played more road games and they have played a lot of games in Target Field in cold and wet conditions. Over the course of the year, I expect the home-road split to even out.

638579da-f599-4971-887c-57b6a4546573_scr

Oh! You're no fun with numbers anymore.

Posted

I'm for home runs, but a contrarian on the HR record. I don't care. I'd care if there was a non-zero chance that whatever record might be set this year, would last more than a day and a half. But there's not. MLB home runs have become what passing and receiving yards became in the NFL. The totals are meaningless on a historical basis...but you need to be toward the top of the league in a given season to be a truly dangerous team.

Posted

After 49 games in the 2109 season, it is interesting that the Twins only have been intentionally walked 2 times this year, but who are you going to walk intentionally when they currently lead MLB in homers (98), OPS (.855), slugging (.516), runs (289), extra base hits (208), RBI (277) and tied for run differential (+90); are second in hits (460) and average (.272), and 3rd in doubles (102)!

The fear coming into the season with this roster was where the OBP would come from, yet they are 6th (.340), and that there would be massive Ks, yet they are only 28th (366)! They are also only 22nd in GIDP with 29.

 

This is truly remarkable at this point.

Posted

 

We're all pretty pleased with the production we're getting from the 9th slot in the batting order, with Buxton having a nice start to his season. It flew past my radar, though maybe not yours, that we don't even lead the majors in production at the bottom of the order. Minnesota's OPS is up there at .777 (brought down by a few batters with weird names like Ehire and Willians), but Houston leads the majors with .871. That's mostly Jake Marisnick, who is hitting .300 with power and has run the anchor leg almost exclusively this year. Apparently great (managers') minds think alike.

 

Speaking of our 9th hitter, Byron Buxton is even with Bryce Harper on OPS+, 114 to 114.

Posted

Buxton didn't hit a single home run last month, but he's up to 4 this month. I don't expect him to be a power guy, but 20 HR a year to go with that speed and defense would be pretty amazing.

It doesn’t matter to me how many Taters he hits. I want that K% down.

 

The more contact he makes the more amazing he will be. Every time he puts the ball in play he has the potential to maximize his potential.

Posted

The AL has four 30 win teams and five 30 loss teams. Three teams have 34 wins and two have 34 losses.

 

Little more balanced in the NL. Only three 30 win teams and three 30 loss teams. The Dodgers (with 34) are the only team with more than 31 wins. The Marlins (with 33) are the only team with more than 31 losses.

 

 

Seems like the AL is more of a “have”s and “have not”s league.

Posted

Nelson Cruz hit more home runs than anyone in the major leagues the past five seasons.   As of today there are 7 Twins who have hit as many or more homers than Cruz this season, and Sano could soon make it 8. 

Posted

Positional OPS Ranks (Last Week)

 

C - 1st (1)

1B - 18th (20)

2B - 4th (4)

3B - 14th (21) - Thanks Miguel

SS - 1st (2)

LF - 13th (17)

CF - 7th (7)

RF - 9th (12)

DH - 5th (8) - Two teams above them are NL with fewer than 15PA

 

Overall - 1st (2)

 

Interestingly, Houston (2nd place overall) also has it's worst OPS positional rank at 1B, and for both teams, not only is it the lowest rank, but it's also the lowest raw number (.767 Min, .695 Hou)

 

Twins Daily Contributor
Posted

Current Twins roster OPS's, sorted top to bottom.

 

1.140

1.036

.989

.967

.873

.862

.851

.842

.842

.817

.745

.696

.658

 

And we just sent down a guy sporting 1.050

 

If you had told me in March that Jonathan Schoop would have an .817 OPS on Jun 3rd, I'd have been thrilled. He's fourth from the bottom.

 

 

Posted

Looks like the Tigers got a good one in Casey Mize, last year's #1 overall.

 

His AA stats so far:

 

7G, 5-0, 1.21 ERA,  44.2 IP,  28 H, 9 BB, 40K.

 

Combined with high A earlier this year:

 

11G, 7-0, 0.89 ERA, 70.2 IP, 35 H, 10BB, 65K.

 

 

Posted

As of the time I'm posting this the Twins have the best record in the American League but also trail Houston by a half game. That's a consequence of having a winning percentage greater than 2/3.

Posted

per Phil Miller via twitter:

 

By coincidence, the last time Max Kepler hit three home runs here in Cleveland, it delivered Minnesota's 41st victory. Tonight? Win No. 41. Of course, last time it was in August.

Posted

Kepler’s OPS climbed 66 points last night, going from .814 to .880.

 

In the American League there are 40 hitters with an OPS of at least 800. The Twins Gabe six: Polanco, Kepler, Rosario, Cron, Buxton, and Schoop. Not included on that list: Garver, Castro, and Cruz...not because they don’t, but because they don’t have enough ABs to qualify. Nine batters at .800+.

Posted

 

Kepler’s OPS climbed 66 points last night, going from .814 to .880.

In the American League there are 40 hitters with an OPS of at least 800. The Twins Gabe six: Polanco, Kepler, Rosario, Cron, Buxton, and Schoop. Not included on that list: Garver, Castro, and Cruz...not because they don’t, but because they don’t have enough ABs to qualify. Nine batters at .800+.

You omitted Sano. That makes ten. There's also Arraez, but I don't count him because he's not currently on the roster.

Posted

Our line ups #8 hitter is on pace for  36.58  2Bs and 28.74 HRs.  (Schoop)

 

Polanco is on pace for 83.61 XBHs this season.

 

Rosario is on track for 47 HR and 130.6 RBI.  

 

Twins are on pace for 5.22 3 HR games by individual players.  

 

Kepler is on pace for 2.61 3 HR games this season.  

 

Odorizzi is on pace for 168 innings of sub 2.00 ERA

 

Ryne Harper is on pace for 67 relief innings of sub 2.00 ERA after pitching last year in AA.

 

Here is a fun one for someone to calculate.  The bench players typically hit worse then starters which is why they are on the bench.  a .750 OPS is typically a decent OPS for a starter.  and over .700 OPS is ok for a bench player.  What OPS does our bench currently have.  They have hit well overall this year too but do not get as much press.

Posted

 

Here is a fun one for someone to calculate.  The bench players typically hit worse then starters which is why they are on the bench.  a .750 OPS is typically a decent OPS for a starter.  and over .700 OPS is ok for a bench player.  What OPS does our bench currently have.  They have hit well overall this year too but do not get as much press.

The beauty of this answer is "the Twins don't really have a bench".

 

And the front office doesn't get enough credit for making that happen. Through the roster, Baldelli, and various moves, they've created a non-existent "starting nine". They have 12-13 players who fill roles as needed.

Posted

Going in to today's games the AL is 17 games under .500 against the NL. Last season was the first time since 2003 that the NL had a winning record in interleague play and it certainly looks as though that could happen again this year.

 

Here is the division-by-division breakdown:

ALE -9 (-4 interleague)

ALC -17 (-12 interleague)

ALW +9 (-1 interleague)

NLE -8 (+8 interleague)

NLC +8 (+1 interleague)

NLW +17 (+8 interleague)

 

So not only does the ALC have by far the worst record of any division, but it also has by far the worst record in interleague play. Moreover, the ALC is paired with the worst division in the NL, the NLE, in interleague play. It appears that the numbers bear out what probably most people expected going into the season, that the ALC is the weakest division in baseball.

 

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