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Byron Buxton will be back in center field this season, after missing more than a year of action on the grass. Max Kepler will flank him on one side, with Matt Wallner set to take the other spot. Backup outfield options only included Willi Castro, and with no Michael A. Taylor this time around, a right-handed hitter who could also be a strong defender in center was missing.
Manuel Margot filled the need when Derek Falvey swung a deal Monday with the Los Angeles Dodgers. The 29-year-old is an above-average defender, although not the Gold Glove-level type to whom Minnesotans have been treated in recent seasons. He would not be stretched if he were forced to start many games in Buxton’s absence.
Offensively, Margot has never lived up to the billing that would have been expected from a consensus top-25 prospect back in 2017. With a career 91 OPS+, he’s been below-average, even for his position. While that could be a bad thing, his floor remains safe, as his worst tally was an 83 OPS+ in 2019 with the San Diego Padres.
The hope for the Twins here is that Margot can also find some expanded success against southpaws. Although Buxton bats right-handed, he has traditionally dominated righties. Margot has an OPS nearly 100 points higher against left-handed pitching, and his average of .281 and on-base percentage of .341 both would play. Given the left-handed nature of Minnesota’s corner outfielders and Matt Wallner's defensive limitations, Rocco Baldelli also has a late-game replacement at his disposal.
The specific profile that Margot has also complements the Twins' current assets well. His arm is not the calling card, and that means he’s best positioned for center and left field. Kepler isn’t a candidate to be replaced for defensive purposes, and Wallner has familiarity with Target Field’s overhang should he need to shift. If there was a perfect last-minute addition, then Falvey may have hit the nail on the head.
Falvey didn’t make this trade as a one-for-one, either. Along with Margot, Minnesota netted Rayne Doncon. The 20-year-old was an international free agent signed by the Dodgers, and debuted in 2021 as a 17-year-old. Ben Badler of Baseball America wrote at the time, “Doncon is 6-foot-1, 177 pounds with long limbs, a high waist and big physical upside, with a variety of paths his future could go depending on his physical development. He has the body type where early on it looked like he could outgrow shortstop, but so far, he has remained lean and agile enough for the position while getting stronger, showing good defensive instincts and a nose for the ball.”
In 2023, Doncon completed his first full season of pro ball, playing 107 games at Low-A. He posted just a .651 OPS, but was over two years younger than the league average, and he showed pop with 14 long balls. He split time evenly throughout the infield, working at second, third, and short. As the Twins front office accomplished in the Luis Arráez and Jorge Polanco trades, they sought to add firepower beyond the major-league talent that was their primary target. Doncon isn’t the prospect that José Salas was coming into the organization, but there’s reason to like the upside here. This is where thoughts from True Blue LA landed on Doncon after last year.
In grabbing Doncon along with Margot, the Twins hedge their bet of losing former 36th overall pick Noah Miller. The younger brother of Milwaukee Brewers infielder Owen Miller, Noah is already MLB-ready with the glove. The defense has been his calling card since he was drafted, and unfortunately, the bat hasn’t developed. He is still just 21 years old, and time remains on his side, but he produced a .648 OPS with little power at High-A Cedar Rapids a season ago.
As has been a theme in Twins deals this offseason, they are also money-conscious. Getting $6 million from the Dodgers is significant, with Margot’s contract checking in at $10 million this season. He has a $12-million option for 2025, with a $2-million buyout that would be paid by the Rays if the Twins don't exercise the option. The additional dollars should bring Minnesota’s payroll to almost $130 million, which still sits about $25 million below the 2023 outlay.
From a high-level view, it’s hard not to like this deal for the Twins. Margot is a definite upgrade defensively over Castro in the outfield, and there’s a chance he could hit in a platoon situation. Giving up a prospect in Miller who may never hit enough to reach the majors is hardly an overpay, and adding dollars and a flier helps sweeten the pot.
Expect Minnesota to be out on a reunion with Taylor at this point, and Hernández has since announced he is returning to Los Angeles. Although Minnesota was in the running for his services, they may have dodged a bullet and directly benefited from him taking a roster spot with their trade partner.
Are you satisfied with Margot as the final piece of the Twins' roster puzzle? How much faith do you have in the team's nimble maneuvering, around a caved-in payroll? Let us know.







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