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Posted

When the Minnesota Twins drafted Royce Lewis with the first overall pick they hoped that exactly this scenario would play out. No not the injuries and missed time, but the one where he impacts historical significance in each game he plays.

 

For the past couple of years Minnesota Twins manager Rocco Baldelli has not been able to pencil Royce Lewis’ name into his lineup on a daily basis. When he has been able to do so, the superstar third baseman has almost always made a sizable impact.

Despite possessing a candor that is entirely team focused, thankful, and reflective of the privilege to play the game at this level, Lewis is so much more. He has battled adversity, and dealt with multiple starts and stops throughout his career. Recently he went through a 4-for-23 rehab assignment with Triple-A St. Paul that had some questioning what he would bring back to the lineup.

The answer has been nothing short of per game production that would rank among the greatest to ever play the game.

Through 12 games this season, Lewis already has seven home runs. He slugged a pair in both halves of a doubleheader against the Oakland Athletics on Father’s Day, and he owns an otherworldly 1.398 OPS. Accumulating 1.2 fWAR to this point, he’s been the Twins fourth-most productive hitter despite playing in at least 42 less games.

To bring some perspective to just how impressive this run is, extrapolating numbers to a 162 game pace is jaw-dropping:

  • 16.2 fWAR
  • 94 home runs
  • 27 doubles
  • 148 RBI

 

The pace at which Lewis is making solid contact is staggering. It’s obviously unsustainable, but that doesn’t meant the percentages aren’t incredibly appealing to look at:

  • 43.8% of hits have left the yard
  • 17.1% of at bats have been home runs
  • 14.9% of plate appearances have resulted in round trippers

For a player that took hitting grand slams to a new level last season, and elevated even further during an exciting postseason run, Lewis opened the 2024 season with a blast and picked right up where he left off when returning from injury. His 22% barrel rate is a career-high and it’s being propped up by a career-best 41.7% hard hit rate. He’s chasing (25.3%) less than ever, and has a manageable whiff rate. Essentially forcing pitchers to play into his hands, he’s punishing them every chance he gets. His K/BB rate looked a bit problematic early last season, and he has avoided strikeouts while adding walks. Dialed in doesn’t even begin to describe where the 25-year-old is at right now.

A season ago the Twins got Lewis for just 58 games after a late start. He’s played the same amount of games this year as he did in 2022 when suffering a freak acl tear. The only thing that has ever been able to hold him back at the highest level is injury, and avoiding that bug will continue allowing him to rack up at bats in a career that has yet to see him finish with an average below .300.

For all the twists and turns Lewis has taken to get to this point, the fun he is having right now, and results he is producing, are certainly making it all worth it.


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Posted
14 minutes ago, RpR said:

Can Lewis get enough at bats to get the batting title?

Probably not, he needs 445 PA over the 89 remaining games; 5 PA/game. And Rocco seems to think Royce needs every third or fourth game off...

Posted
18 minutes ago, mnfireman said:

Probably not, he needs 445 PA over the 89 remaining games; 5 PA/game. And Rocco seems to think Royce needs every third or fourth game off...

Considering his injury history, it's probably not a bad idea to give him a little rest here and there.

It's pretty incredible what he's done when he's been on the field. He's got the tools and the mindset for success and I love watching him play.

Posted

I love Royce. I think he has a chance to be a legendary Twin. When it comes to comparing homers I want to stick up for my favorite Twin Harmon Killebrew. As a bonus baby he had to spend his first year in the big leagues. I doubt he had many at bats but whatever the number was they were as an 18 year old. 

Posted
9 hours ago, Doctor Gast said:

Many said "Oh, he'll regress, he can't maintain this production." Even if he regress a little, he'll still have pretty good numbers.

On pace for 0 grand slams slams this year.  We will see if he can adjust.

Posted
11 hours ago, cmoss84 said:

Has anyone ever led the league in HR while not having enough ABs to qualify for batting title?

I don't think so.  Strike seasons cross up some forms of search.  I thought maybe someone would have done it during the Dead Ball era but I didn't turn up such a season,  Finally, I thought Babe Ruth might be the one in 1918, which he was transitioning away from being a pitcher, but apparently he had enough PA to qualify that year (according to baseball-reference.com) when he led the league with only 11 in 382 PA.

I didn't look in the 19th Century.

Posted
7 hours ago, Chachi said:

On pace for 0 grand slams slams this year.  We will see if he can adjust.

the thing about grand slams is that they are so dependent on three runners being on base.  Not our strong suit.

Posted

Royce is doing some crazy things.  If he can stay healthy he could take us very far for next several years.  However, he, similar to Buck, has shown a great ability to get hurt in many different ways.  Lets hope they were mostly flukes now and behind him.  

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