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  • Twins 8, Royals 6: From Laugher to Nail Biter, Twins Survive


    Steven Trefz

    Twins fans had to wait an extra 90 minutes before they could watch their favorite nine take the field. They didn't have to wait long to see the bats break out, but they had to hang on for dear life as the game grinded to a close. In the end, the Twins won the game, and won a game that they couldn't afford to lose.

    Image courtesy of Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

    Twins Video

    Box Score
    Starting Pitcher: Pablo Lopez, 6 IP, 8 H, 6 R, 6 ER, 1 BB, 7 K (92 pitches, 68 strikes, 73.9%)
    Home Runs: Max Kepler (3), Jorge Polanco (2), Jose Miranda (3)
    Top 3 WPA: Michael A. Taylor (.178), Max Kepler (.121), Jorge Polanco (.118)
    Bottom 3 WPA: Christian Vasquez (-.115), Pablo Lopez (-.104), Carlos Correa (-.103)
    Win Probability Chart (via FanGraphs)

    993112505_chart(1).png.200c50bff6ab1aa68be1c77e850d9668.png

    Waiting is the Hardest Part
    Much to the enjoyment of those attending the Happy Hour festivities early on Friday afternoon, the game ventured into a 90-minute rain delay. As with any delay, one worries about the starting pitchers, and both began the game by giving up an extra base hit to the lead-off man which led to the first runs of the game. Bobby Witt Jr. took a Pablo Lopez changeup to right field for a double, and later scored on a Salvador Perez sacrifice fly. 

    In the bottom of the first inning, the first pitch went the deepest, as Max Kepler took an 89-mph Jordan Lyles fastball out to the flagpoles for his 15th career lead-off homerun to tie the game 1-1.

    Lopez Settles Down...Lyles Does Not
    Lopez worked through the Royals line-up in the top of the second inning while only allowing a shift-beating single to where Carlos Correa usually roams. Lyles started the second inning by walking Trevor Larnach, serving up a 108.1 mph double to Jose Miranda, and walking Joey Gallo to load the bases with nobody out.

    After Christian Vasquez flied out weakly to the first baseman, Michael A. Taylor laid off a wayward sweeper to walk in a run. Kepler came up again with first-pitch grand slam on his mind, but settled for a fly out to medium left-field to plate Miranda to put the Twins ahead 3-1. Correa followed with a harmless flyball to end the threat.

    Running the Bases. No Really, MLB Players Running Bases!
    Lopez continued to cruise until there were two outs in the top of the fourth inning. Edward Olivares shot a short-hop grounder that Jorge Polanco failed to get in front of, and hustled his way to second before Kepler could get the ball back in. A questionable late strike call got Nick Pratto in a quick hole, but Pratto slapped a single to right and Olivares again hustled his way around the bases, barely beating Kepler's throw home to close the gap at 3-2.

    In the bottom of the fourth, the Twins slugged and ran their way into one of the most exciting sequences in the season thus far. Gallo feasted on the first pitch and drove the ball off of the limestone facing in right, and blazed in Gallo fashion around the bases for a triple. While the Royals were still in shock, Taylor and the Twins put some backyard baseball into play, with a safety squeeze and a little bit of extra sauce...

    Taylor kept on running, and the only Twin allowed to steal took third base too. After Correa again popped up with a runner in scoring position, Polanco decided to dent a chair in the Great Clips seats for his 100th bomba.

    Let's Talk About Throwing Strikes
    Coming off of his worst start so far as a Twin versus the Washington Nationals, Lopez continued the Twins pattern of pumping the strike zone. Obviously, when your team spots you a large lead that becomes an easier task, but in key moments early in the game his consistent control of the strike zone garnered him a generous strike zone. The Royals couldn't focus in on one area, and had to cover 2-3 inches all around the zone. Keep an eye on Twins starters in the rest of the series to see if they can continue this positive trend. They came into today with an MLB leading 4.00 SO/BB rate, and finished the game in the same place.

    Let's Talk About Throwing the Right Kind of Strikes - Part 2
    The top of the sixth inning presented a case study in what can go wrong when all you do is pump the wrong kind of strikes. Having just been given another insurance run on a Miranda homer to left, Lopez struggled with his off-speed location. He hung a curveball to Perez, who promptly deposited it into the bullpen. Two batters later, another hanging curve was escorted to left field for a triple by Olivares, who then scored on another shift-beating single to where a shortstop should be.

    Lopez continued into the seventh inning with the Twins holding an 8-4 advantage, but he immediately lost the strike zone, walking Hunter Dozier on five pitches. The curveball bit Lopez again in the next at-bat, as Michael Massey crushed another one-hopper off of Polanco's glove, resulting in runners at the corners with nobody out. 

    Bullpen Time
    Griffin Jax was called in to stop the bleeding, facing Witt Jr. in a tough spot. Jax forced a fielder's choice groundout and struck out Vinnie Pasquantino to get the first two outs of the seventh. Witt Jr. stole his sixth base of the season and advanced to third on a wild pitch, with the aforementioned Perez up to bat. The timeless Perez watched four straight sweepers before slapping the fifth sweeper into left to close the gap to 8-6. Lopez surrendered a season-high six runs, and is trending the wrong direction since signing his extension last week. Can the weather be held accountable for the recent issues, or do we have something to be worried about?

    Caleb Theilbar continued the excitement for the Twins bullpen in the eighth inning. The end result was zero runs, but Royals manager Matt Quatraro got to enjoy an early shower after pointing out to the home plate umpire what everyone watching the game already knew. With two on and nursing only a two-run lead, the Twins took the gift and didn't look back.

    Shutting the Door Slowly and Painfully
    TwinsDaily readers pondered why Jhoan Duran was called into Thursday's game to close out a 7-1 affair. Jorge Lopez responded today with the answer: "I used to do this at an All-Star level too." After retiring Witt Jr. and Pasquantino rather easily, Lopez faced a lengthy day after Perez fouled a liner straight back off of Jerry Layne's facemask. Layne was able to stay in the game, but Perez rocketed the next pitch up the middle to bring up M.J. Melendez to the plate as the tying run. Melendez laced a single to right, Lopez plunked the red-hot Olivares in the back to load the bases, and TwinsDaily readers pulled out their favorite commenting device in preparation to rip apart the Twins coaching staff in a way only that a group of fans who started their Friday fun-day early and often is capable of doing.

    With Layne's post-concussion strike zone no longer offering the corners to Twins pitchers, Lopez found himself down 3-0 to Nick Pratto. The next pitch could have been a walk and a run, but the corner was caught (Thank you Mr. Layne!) and two pitches later Lopez and the Twins were celebrating another strike out and an 8-6 victory!

    Postgame interview

    What’s Next?
    The Twins try to avoid the rain again Saturday afternoon. RHP Brad Keller (2-2, 3.96 ERA) will be taking the mound for Kansas City, while the Twins send the man, the myth, the legend RHP Bailey Ober (1-0, 1.59) out for his second start of the season on the Minneapolis side of the creek. Tomorrow’s first pitch is scheduled for 1:10 pm CDT.

    Postgame Interviews 
    (Coming Soon) 

    Bullpen Usage Spreadsheet

    Morán 24 0 0 29 0 53  
    Jax 23 0 0 0 16 39  
    Durán 0 15 0 15 0 30  
    J López 0 10 0 0 20 30  
    Stewart 0 0 0 28 0 28  
    Thielbar 0 0 0 0 25 25  
    Pagán 0 0 10 0 0 10  
    Winder 0 0 0 0 0 0  
                   
     
     
    South Dakotan Twins fan, on a quest to see a Twins series in every MLB stadium by 2025.
    Follow Steven Trefz on Twitter: @TwinsTrefz

     

     

     

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    Thankful for the bats today! Scoring 8 runs can win a lot of games. Royals even out hit us 12-8.

    Lopez contract drunk. Since the signing only 4 games into the season, 2 starts, 10 innings, 11 earned runs (9.90 ERA albeit Jax let in 2 inherited runners of which one was on Lopez and one on Jax and his wild pitch) on 16 hits with 3 BBs and 2 hit batters with only one solo homer given up - all for the home fans. Yuk. Lucky to be 1-1 instead of 0-2 for these 2 starts. ERA now at 4.00, right about his career average of 3.94.

    Vazquez sure loves to call the off speed/breaking stuff. Sometimes 12 in a row.....

     

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    "TwinsDaily readers pondered why Jhoan Duran was called into Thursday's game to close out a 7-1 affair. ( no we didn't. we all knew yesterday about the immigration when he came in the game ) Jorge Lopez responded today with the answer: "I used to do this at an All-Star level too." .........  and TwinsDaily readers pulled out their favorite commenting device in preparation to rip apart the Twins coaching staff in a way only that a group of fans who started their Friday fun-day early and often is capable of doing."

    Loving your readers, I see. 😇

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    13 minutes ago, GNess said:

    What does Kirilloff need to do at St Paul to get promoted?

    BTW - Wins matter most, but playing sound baseball as an element of your team culture matters too. 

    Kepler is hitting now. Gallo is hitting. Larnach has an option. Gordon doesn't. Solano doesn't. Where does he play? It might take an injury, for a IL replacement, and he keeps playing 2 days on and 1 off as they build up his wrist. Kirilloff has an option so he can move up and down. I think they would want him to play a lot, wrist watching, where ever he is playing

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    My philosophy is pretty simple, win more games than you lose. Sometimes you perform great and dominate. Sometimes you play great and win a close one. Sometimes you win an UGLY game, but you still win.

    1] Lopez wasn't very sharp his last turn, though not awful. A bad weather day and a couple bad bounces, it wasn't pretty. Today, after a couple hours delay, still in bad elements, he was better than the Royal's starter. What I look at is not final numbers after a game like today. What I look at is the first 5 innings. 2 runs, a few hits, no walks, and 6 K's. Delay, bad weather, whatever, Lopez was solid through 5. Final numbers won't reflect that.

    2] The bats are coming alive. Even the bats in the  3rd game of the NY series had us scoring 6 runs! STOP beating up on Larnach! He leads the team in RBI, plays solid defense except for one horrible play, and is starting to learn how to beat all the offspeed stuff he's seeing. Miranda and Correa are heating up.

    3] Pitching depth is being tested earlier than I hoped for, or expected. I still agree with giving Maeda his due, as well as skipping one start. His first 2 starts were a solid 5 and 6 IP. And he can't be blamed for a liner off his ankle. Age and injury recovery seems to indicate an IL stint. Unless I've missed something, Mahle's recent early pull was precautionary. But he was still very good through 4. Is there cause for concern? ABSOLUTELY. But no need to panic just yet.

    I believe it was the Dodgers...last year?...who set a modern day record for using only 8-9 SP for a season. It just doesn't happen like that. How many teams, including the Twins for the past 10-20yrs, wouldn't have had Ober and Varland in their opening day rotation?

    The depth has been built up for a reason. And beyond Ober and Varland, there remains SWR as a young, top prospect hopefully ready to fill a role. Headrick has impressed me so far as another option, though I think he's destined to be a really good BP arm. Digging even deeper, we're talking about Sanchez and Rodriguez as 10th and 11th options! Unfortunately, Balazovic is being brought along slowly at this point, which makes sense, and he's not a rotation option at this point.

    The Twins won an ugly game. They were the better team. They beat the Yankees. They beat the Astros. The offense is heating up. While early, they are on pace for 90 wins even though everything isn't clicking at 100%. They have pitching depth that we haven't seen in years. 

    I'm having a lot of fun right now!

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    40 minutes ago, GNess said:

    What does Kirilloff need to do at St Paul to get promoted?

    BTW - Wins matter most, but playing sound baseball as an element of your team culture matters too. 

    The offense is starting to click, for the most part.

    Who do you remove on the roster to make room?

    A little more time to make sure the wrist is not only 100%, but to make sure Kirilloff feels fully confident himself that he's 100% and ready to go.

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    1 hour ago, h2oface said:

    "TwinsDaily readers pondered why Jhoan Duran was called into Thursday's game to close out a 7-1 affair. ( no we didn't. we all knew yesterday about the immigration when he came in the game ) Jorge Lopez responded today with the answer: "I used to do this at an All-Star level too." .........  and TwinsDaily readers pulled out their favorite commenting device in preparation to rip apart the Twins coaching staff in a way only that a group of fans who started their Friday fun-day early and often is capable of doing."

    Loving your readers, I see. 😇

    I assume only the best!

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    Lopez will get used to the cold. Correa will start spitting on bad pitches with two strikes. Kiroloff is going to have to rake to force his way into a hot lineup. It's going to be a fun summer.

    Good to see a win with so many contributors. Good rosters find ways to win and this is a good group.

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    1 hour ago, h2oface said:

    Kepler is hitting now. Gallo is hitting. Larnach has an option. Gordon doesn't. Solano doesn't. Where does he play? It might take an injury, for a IL replacement, and he keeps playing 2 days on and 1 off as they build up his wrist. Kirilloff has an option so he can move up and down. I think they would want him to play a lot, wrist watching, where ever he is playing

     

    I'm bias, as a Polanco fan, so take it with a grain of salt. What a difference having him in the lineup makes. No-hitter or 8-6 counts the same when the regular season ends. Kirilloff is hitting the leather off the ball in AAA..I get wanting to call him (Kirilloff) up from a few of the other posters, but I agree with H2o. Let's relax on the WHY and focus on the when. Unfortunately, an injury to a position player will happen...I think that will be the when. Until then he has to keep earning it. When that happens, he has to keep earning it.

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    3 hours ago, GNess said:

    What does Kirilloff need to do at St Paul to get promoted?

    BTW - Wins matter most, but playing sound baseball as an element of your team culture matters too. 

    Hmmm… let’s see…Kirilloff missed most of last season, had no spring training games…hmmm… I guess maybe finish his rehab?  🤔 He did play back to back nine inning games and has hit 3 AAA HRs so let’s start cutting people to get him on the roster.  

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    With this kind of terrible weather, I was hoping that Lopez didn't have to pitch. But since he did, I thought the Twins would be considerate & only let him pitch 5 innings. To limit his suffering & chances to hurt something. When the 6th came around, I was shocked that Lopez was still out there, even more so after the 7th. Leading 8-2 is where Pagan comes in, if he allows some runs or gets hurt, it's no big deal. Pagan's on the roster this is how you use him, not risk your ace.

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    28 minutes ago, Doctor Gast said:

    With this kind of terrible weather, I was hoping that Lopez didn't have to pitch. But since he did, I thought the Twins would be considerate & only let him pitch 5 innings. To limit his suffering & chances to hurt something. When the 6th came around, I was shocked that Lopez was still out there, even more so after the 7th. Leading 8-2 is where Pagan comes in, if he allows some runs or gets hurt, it's no big deal. Pagan's on the roster this is how you use him, not risk your ace.

    I've been told repeatedly on this site that we must send starters deeper into games. I'm sure Rocco would have been absolutely buried if he had lifted Lopez after 5 innings and a low pitch count with a 6-run lead. I was surprised to see Lopez have two consecutive struggle innings in the 6th and 7th, and I'd argue that Vazquez didn't do him any favors by continuing to push the breaking stuff.

    Good to see the offense rolling a bit right now. Jumping on a pitcher early is never bad.

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    Did we extend the wrong man?  Wow has Lopez looked bad since his contract.  I know the article says he kept pounding the strike zone.  They do that in batting practice too.  Now that the bats are going Lopez need to return to what he did earlier. 

    Yes we can bring Kiriloff up.  Castro, Solano, Gordon are all expendable if a better player is ready to take the field.

    I did enjoy the game, but the last inning should have been the Royals. 

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    1 hour ago, Doctor Gast said:

    With this kind of terrible weather, I was hoping that Lopez didn't have to pitch. But since he did, I thought the Twins would be considerate & only let him pitch 5 innings. To limit his suffering & chances to hurt something. When the 6th came around, I was shocked that Lopez was still out there, even more so after the 7th. Leading 8-2 is where Pagan comes in, if he allows some runs or gets hurt, it's no big deal. Pagan's on the roster this is how you use him, not risk your ace.

    I mean, we could just do away with sports because they are injury risks. And while I have high hopes for López, I’m not ready to call him our ace. It was absolutely the correct move to send him out for the 6th. We could debate the 7th, but I’d have still sent him out there, too. Geez, it’s bad to pull starters after 4 or 5 and now it’s bad to send them out for a 6th? I don’t get the logic here.

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    Loved the comment on Taylor as “the only Twin allowed to steal a base.” Guess the learning to to be a ML manager is pretty steep for Rocco, today’s Earl Weaver. 

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    Sure is nice to have clutch hitting  , 2 out three run homer by Polanco  ...

    Great to have a healthy  Polanco back and in the lineup , he has been the spark that ignited the other players as hitting is contagious ...

    Since activated a healthy Polanco  has 9 rbi's ,  he has plenty left in the tank even though some have said he is past his prime ...

    We have been and are lucky to have him ( Polanco) playing for the twins ... 

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    1 hour ago, Doctor Gast said:

    But since he did, I thought the Twins would be considerate & only let him pitch 5 innings.

    Rocco would have been torn to shreds on TD if he had done that. It's interesting that the tide has turned and now people are posting multiple times that Rocco is letting the starters go too long (Maeda earlier this year). A manager can never win on TD.

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    There is no doubt that Rocco was pulling pitchers too early last year, several pitchers flat out shared their frustration on this topic. I would think most pitchers want to get the opportunity to get the win and a quality start if their pitch count is in a spot that allows, and they are still effective.  I didn't see yesterday's game, so I don't know how Lopez looked, but am guessing he appreciated the opportunity to secure a QS. After that was gone am a little surprised coming out to start the 7th.... but guessing it had something to do with Duran's availability, or lack of. Rocco has done a good job with the SP this year. 

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    1 hour ago, FlyingFinn said:

    Rocco would have been torn to shreds on TD if he had done that. It's interesting that the tide has turned and now people are posting multiple times that Rocco is letting the starters go too long (Maeda earlier this year). A manager can never win on TD.

    29 out of 30 times, I'd say Pablo Lopez go out there & pitch 7+ innings. He's used to MIA weather & has never pitched in cold & wet weather like this. If you're not used to this type of weather it could cause some issues. So this'd be the time if Lopez had to pitch just limit it to 5 innings. Yesterday, Lopez did not have his best stuff especially after 5. I'm just saying use some common sense, we want our best SPs in the rotation throughout the season & into the post season. Not the popular social media, LaRussa philosophy of having all your SPs pitch 7+ innings all the time no matter what, even if it results in injuries & ineffectiveness. I'm just voicing my opinion.

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    I'm curious about Kirilloff.  He's done very well at triple a a few times only to come up to the Twins and see only mediocre results for 2+ seasons.  Is he worth all the hype and consternation about calling him up?  I sure hope so.  This team should call up players if they are better than what they have now.  Maybe Kiriloffs great, or maybe he is just a great triple a player that doesn't quite make it.  I'd sure love to find out.

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    2 hours ago, FlyingFinn said:

    . A manager can never win on TD.

    I think managers (and umpires) rarely win anywhere.

    When the Blue Jays WON back to back World Series in '92 and '93, there was endless criticism of manager Cito Gaston.  Amazing....

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