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After a lost 2023 season, José Miranda appears to be healthy again, and he should probably be a bigger topic of conversation for 2024. He’s been passed up by several players at multiple positions, and is almost guaranteed to begin the season at Triple-A. Should his spring performance be drumming up more excitement?
Miranda has been one of the Twins' best hitters this spring, as his OPS currently sits near 1.000. In addition to piling up the hits, he’s even walked a handful of times. On the surface, it appears he’s locked in at the plate like we’ve seen him be at times in his career. Spring training stats always need to be taken with a grain of salt, but Miranda’s success so far should be viewed with particularly profound skepticism.
Miranda has never been known for scalding the baseball. Even in 2022, when his performance made him a hopeful future piece of the offense, his average exit velocity of 89.3 miles per hour was only 55th percentile. Last year's struggles coincided with a shoulder injury, which could explain the slight drop to 87.9 mph.
The hope was that Miranda would build off that middling number to some degree, but after a lost 2023 season, the numbers this spring aren’t looking all that promising.
The small sample size is the key consideration here, as he could raise his average quite a bit with even one ball screaming off his barrel. Still, it would be nice to see some signs that the shoulder is healthy and that Miranda can rip into mistake pitches. His average exit velocity this spring is a paltry 83.6 MPH, and his 90th-percentile value is 100.3. A hitter showing useful big-league power is at least five miles per hour higher in each of those categories.
This is reflected in his slash line. His OPS, which may bring hope on the surface, is buoyed by his on-base percentage, which is currently higher than his slugging. Of his six hits, one slicing double to the opposite field is the only one that’s gone for extra bases. His slugging so far reflects what we see in the exit velocity: This brief success isn’t reminiscent of the 2022 iteration of Miranda, who looked like he could carve out a long-term role.
Of course, Miranda’s performance this spring was unlikely to have any real bearing on where he began his season, but a handful of truly well-hit balls would be encouraging. Of course, we can expect Miranda to get regular playing time in St. Paul, where the data will quickly outweigh his limited spring training appearances. Hopefully, the success we’re currently seeing leads to a more believable version in the hitter-friendly confines of CHS field.
It’s great to see Miranda finding the grass with his hits again, even if it isn’t the most sustainable form of success right now. If he can come out of the spring healthy and ready to play an everyday role, it has to be considered a victory. Hopefully, some version of the 2022, extra-base-hit machine Miranda was will follow.
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